FinalWin Prob.pScore
1626%89
95
274%97
111
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
109.28787.7
DAL logo DAL
123.39089.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL95
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0UTAGriffin STEAL (3 STL)95
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0DALArmstrong Driving Layup (5 PTS)95
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0UTAMcLeod Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)95
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0UTAMcLeod Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0DALArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0DALMISS Armstrong 9' Jump Shot93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10UTAMiles 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34DALMISS Mbenga 11' Jump Shot91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47UTAGriffin STEAL (2 STL)91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12DALStackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30UTAMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)91
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30UTAMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39DALStackhouse Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)89
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59UTATerry STEAL (2 STL)89
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)89
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27UTAMISS Boozer 9' Fadeaway Jumper89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37UTABrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)89
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 3:38UTAMISS Harpring 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 3:44UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)89
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 3:44UTAMISS Harpring Free Throw 2 of 289
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 3:44UTAMISS Harpring Free Throw 1 of 289
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 4:02DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)89
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 4:02DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)89
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 4:13UTAOkur Traveling Turnover (P4.T17)89
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 4:15UTABrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 4:17UTAMISS Harpring 3PT Jump Shot89
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 4:23UTAJazz Rebound89
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 4:25UTAMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 4:44DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)89
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 5:02DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)89
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 5:03UTAMISS Harpring Free Throw 2 of 289
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 5:03UTAHarpring Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)89
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 5:16UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)88
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 5:17UTAMISS Okur 17' Jump Shot88
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 5:34DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)88
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 5:34DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)88
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 5:51UTAHarpring Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)88
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 5:51UTAHarpring Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)87
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 5:51UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 5:51DALMISS Howard 5' Running Jump Shot86
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 6:08DALMAVERICKS Rebound86
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 6:09DALMISS Griffin 16' Jump Shot86
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 6:29UTABoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)86
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 6:29UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)85
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 6:29UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)84
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 6:31UTADiop BLOCK (1 BLK)84
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 6:43DALDiop Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)84
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 6:43DALDiop Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)84
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 7:03UTAOkur Driving Layup (17 PTS)84
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 7:23DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)82
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 7:23DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)82
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 7:23DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 7:25DALMISS Stackhouse 5' Jump Shot82
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 7:46UTAOkur 10' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)82
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 8:03UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 8:05DALMISS Terry 18' Jump Shot80
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 8:22UTACollins 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)80
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 8:41DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)78
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 8:41DALMISS Terry Free Throw 1 of 278
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 8:55UTAOkur 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (13 PTS)78
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 9:07DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Diop 2 AST)76
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 9:11DALDiop REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)76
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 9:13DALMISS Terry 13' Jump Shot76
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 9:29UTAOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)76
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 9:29UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)75
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 9:42UTAHumphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 9:45DALMISS Stackhouse Dunk74
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 10:02UTABrown 7' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)74
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 10:12DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)72
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 10:25DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)72
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 10:40UTAOkur Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T16)72
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 10:46UTAHumphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 10:48DALMISS Stackhouse Layup72
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 11:07UTABrown Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T15)72
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 11:11UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 11:13DALMISS Stackhouse 6' Jump Shot72
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 11:37DALDampier REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)72
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 11:39UTAMISS Okur 10' Fadeaway Jumper72
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL72
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0DALDampier REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)72
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0UTAMISS Humphries Free Throw 2 of 272
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0UTAMISS Humphries Free Throw 1 of 272
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q3 - 0:13.0DALArmstrong 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)72
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q3 - 0:31.0UTABoozer 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (D. Williams 9 AST)72
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q3 - 0:52.0DALPowell Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)70
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q3 - 0:52.0DALMISS Powell Free Throw 1 of 270
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q3 - 0:55.0DALDampier REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)70
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q3 - 0:56.0UTAMISS D. Williams Reverse Layup70
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q3 - 1:12DALPowell 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)70
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q3 - 1:29UTAPowell STEAL (1 STL)70
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q3 - 1:31UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)70
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q3 - 1:33DALMISS Stackhouse 13' Jump Shot70
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q3 - 1:49UTAHumphries Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)70
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q3 - 1:49UTAMISS Humphries Free Throw 1 of 269
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q3 - 2:05DALHoward 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS)69
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q3 - 2:25DALPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q3 - 2:27UTAMISS Brown 15' Jump Shot69
2.1%
84
97.9%
Q3 - 2:39DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)69
2.4%
84
97.6%
Q3 - 2:41DALPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q3 - 2:43UTAMISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
2.1%
84
97.9%
Q3 - 3:05DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)69
2.7%
84
97.3%
Q3 - 3:05DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)69
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q3 - 3:12DALPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
3.2%
82
96.8%
Q3 - 3:13UTAMISS Boozer 5' Hook Shot69
3.4%
82
96.6%
Q3 - 3:23DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)69
3.8%
82
96.2%
Q3 - 3:23DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)69
3.9%
81
96.1%
Q3 - 3:39UTABoozer Driving Layup (17 PTS) (D. Williams 8 AST)69
4.5%
80
95.5%
Q3 - 3:47DALDampier Follow Up Dunk (11 PTS)67
3.8%
80
96.2%
Q3 - 3:49DALDampier REBOUND (Off:7 Def:2)67
4.4%
78
95.6%
Q3 - 3:50DALMISS Nowitzki 10' Jump Shot67
5.0%
78
95.0%
Q3 - 4:08UTAOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)67
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q3 - 4:08UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)66
4.5%
78
95.5%
Q3 - 4:18UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q3 - 4:19UTAMISS Okur 22' Jump Shot65
3.5%
78
96.5%
Q3 - 4:34DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)65
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q3 - 4:34DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)65
4.1%
77
95.9%
Q3 - 4:48UTABoozer Driving Layup (15 PTS) (D. Williams 7 AST)65
4.6%
76
95.4%
Q3 - 5:00UTAJazz Rebound63
4.0%
76
96.0%
Q3 - 5:02DALMISS Terry 13' Jump Shot63
4.1%
76
95.9%
Q3 - 5:07DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
3.6%
76
96.4%
Q3 - 5:09UTAMISS Boozer 20' Jump Shot63
3.8%
76
96.2%
Q3 - 5:26DALHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)63
4.3%
76
95.7%
Q3 - 5:42DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
3.6%
76
96.4%
Q3 - 5:43UTAMISS Okur Free Throw 2 of 263
3.7%
76
96.3%
Q3 - 5:43UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)63
4.1%
76
95.9%
Q3 - 5:54UTAJazz Rebound62
3.6%
76
96.4%
Q3 - 5:56DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
3.4%
76
96.6%
Q3 - 6:17UTAD. Williams 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS)62
3.3%
76
96.7%
Q3 - 6:22UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q3 - 6:24DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot60
2.7%
76
97.3%
Q3 - 6:35DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q3 - 6:37UTAMISS Okur 21' Jump Shot60
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q3 - 6:51DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)60
2.8%
76
97.2%
Q3 - 7:00UTADiop STEAL (2 STL)60
3.8%
73
96.2%
Q3 - 7:18DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)60
4.8%
73
95.2%
Q3 - 7:34UTAD. Williams Driving Layup (14 PTS)60
6.3%
70
93.7%
Q3 - 7:42DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Terry 6 AST)58
5.5%
70
94.5%
Q3 - 7:49UTAHoward STEAL (3 STL)58
6.3%
68
93.7%
Q3 - 8:13DALNowitzki Free Throw 3 of 3 (13 PTS)58
7.6%
68
92.4%
Q3 - 8:13DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 3 (12 PTS)58
7.7%
67
92.3%
Q3 - 8:13DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 3 (11 PTS)58
7.8%
66
92.2%
Q3 - 8:31UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)58
9.8%
65
90.2%
Q3 - 8:31UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 257
9.5%
65
90.5%
Q3 - 8:35DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)57
10.0%
65
90.0%
Q3 - 8:43DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
8.5%
65
91.5%
Q3 - 8:45UTAMISS D. Williams 15' Jump Shot57
8.9%
65
91.1%
Q3 - 9:02DALHoward 12' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)57
9.9%
65
90.1%
Q3 - 9:06DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
11.3%
63
88.7%
Q3 - 9:08UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
12.9%
63
87.1%
Q3 - 9:08UTAMISS Okur Layup57
11.7%
63
88.3%
Q3 - 9:09UTAMISS Boozer Layup57
11.7%
63
88.3%
Q3 - 9:16DALGriffin Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)57
12.9%
63
87.1%
Q3 - 9:16DALGriffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)57
13.2%
62
86.8%
Q3 - 9:28UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)57
14.5%
61
85.5%
Q3 - 9:28UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)56
14.1%
61
85.9%
Q3 - 9:44UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
12.9%
61
87.1%
Q3 - 9:46DALMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot55
12.4%
61
87.6%
Q3 - 9:49DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
11.3%
61
88.7%
Q3 - 9:51DALMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot55
12.4%
61
87.6%
Q3 - 10:11UTAKirilenko Layup (6 PTS) (Harpring 2 AST)55
11.2%
61
88.8%
Q3 - 10:25DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)53
10.0%
61
90.0%
Q3 - 10:50UTAD. Williams 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Okur 1 AST)53
12.7%
58
87.3%
Q3 - 11:12DALNowitzki Driving Layup (7 PTS)50
10.0%
58
90.0%
Q3 - 11:34UTABoozer 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (D. Williams 6 AST)50
11.3%
56
88.7%
Q3 - 11:49DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)48
10.0%
56
90.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL48
8.8%
56
91.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound48
8.8%
56
91.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Nowitzki 59' 3PT Jump Shot48
9.6%
56
90.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
9.4%
56
90.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0UTAMISS Ostertag Free Throw 2 of 248
9.5%
56
90.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0UTAOstertag Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)48
10.0%
56
90.0%
Q2 - 0:20.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)47
9.0%
56
91.0%
Q2 - 0:20.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)47
9.2%
55
90.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0UTAD. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)47
10.5%
54
89.5%
Q2 - 0:38.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)44
8.0%
54
92.0%
Q2 - 0:38.0DALMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 1 of 244
8.1%
53
91.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)44
8.2%
53
91.8%
Q2 - 0:56.0UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 243
8.0%
53
92.0%
Q2 - 1:06DALDampier Foul Turnover (P2.T7)43
8.2%
53
91.8%
Q2 - 1:18UTAD. Williams 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
7.7%
53
92.3%
Q2 - 1:38DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)41
6.4%
53
93.6%
Q2 - 1:38DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)41
6.6%
52
93.4%
Q2 - 1:53UTAKirilenko 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (D. Williams 5 AST)41
7.7%
51
92.3%
Q2 - 2:17UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)39
6.8%
51
93.2%
Q2 - 2:19DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 239
6.7%
51
93.3%
Q2 - 2:19DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)39
6.3%
51
93.7%
Q2 - 2:19DALDampier REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)39
6.9%
50
93.1%
Q2 - 2:20DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
7.4%
50
92.6%
Q2 - 2:41UTAHumphries 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)39
6.9%
50
93.1%
Q2 - 2:59DALGriffin Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
6.1%
50
93.9%
Q2 - 2:59DALGriffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
6.2%
49
93.8%
Q2 - 3:01UTAGriffin STEAL (1 STL)37
7.1%
48
92.9%
Q2 - 3:07UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
8.0%
48
92.0%
Q2 - 3:10DALMISS Howard 6' Running Jump Shot37
7.7%
48
92.3%
Q2 - 3:25DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
7.1%
48
92.9%
Q2 - 3:26DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 237
7.9%
48
92.1%
Q2 - 3:26DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)37
7.4%
48
92.6%
Q2 - 3:44UTAKirilenko Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T10)37
7.9%
47
92.1%
Q2 - 3:53UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
8.9%
47
91.1%
Q2 - 3:54DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot37
8.6%
47
91.4%
Q2 - 4:12UTAOstertag 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9)37
8.1%
47
91.9%
Q2 - 4:32DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)37
9.0%
47
91.0%
Q2 - 4:32DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)37
9.1%
46
90.9%
Q2 - 4:37UTATerry STEAL (1 STL)37
10.0%
45
90.0%
Q2 - 4:44UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
11.1%
45
88.9%
Q2 - 4:45DALMISS Diop Free Throw 2 of 237
11.0%
45
89.0%
Q2 - 4:45DALMISS Diop Free Throw 1 of 237
10.5%
45
89.5%
Q2 - 4:45DALDiop REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)37
10.0%
45
90.0%
Q2 - 4:46DALMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 237
11.0%
45
89.0%
Q2 - 4:46DALDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
10.3%
45
89.7%
Q2 - 5:10UTABoozer 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McLeod 2 AST)37
11.1%
44
88.9%
Q2 - 5:28UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
10.2%
44
89.8%
Q2 - 5:30UTAMISS McLeod 20' Jump Shot35
9.4%
44
90.6%
Q2 - 5:52UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
10.1%
44
89.9%
Q2 - 5:53DALMISS Diop Free Throw 2 of 235
10.0%
44
90.0%
Q2 - 5:53DALDiop Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
9.5%
44
90.5%
Q2 - 5:53DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
10.1%
43
89.9%
Q2 - 5:54DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
10.1%
43
89.9%
Q2 - 5:54DALMISS Daniels Tip Shot35
10.9%
43
89.1%
Q2 - 5:56DALMISS Nowitzki 10' Jump Shot35
10.9%
43
89.1%
Q2 - 6:08DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)35
10.2%
43
89.8%
Q2 - 6:19UTAStackhouse STEAL (1 STL)35
11.2%
42
88.8%
Q2 - 6:37DALStackhouse 13' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)35
12.6%
42
87.4%
Q2 - 6:54DALMAVERICKS Rebound35
13.6%
40
86.4%
Q2 - 6:56UTAMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
14.1%
40
85.9%
Q2 - 7:20DALStackhouse 19' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)35
15.4%
40
84.6%
Q2 - 7:34UTACollins Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)35
16.7%
38
83.3%
Q2 - 7:34UTACollins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)35
18.3%
38
81.7%
Q2 - 7:37UTAMISS McLeod 21' Jump Shot35
17.2%
38
82.8%
Q2 - 8:07DALPowell Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)35
18.3%
38
81.7%
Q2 - 8:14UTABrown 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McLeod 1 AST)35
16.6%
38
83.4%
Q2 - 8:27DALTerry 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (3 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)32
14.1%
38
85.9%
Q2 - 8:55UTABrown Driving Layup (2 PTS)32
16.6%
35
83.4%
Q2 - 9:15DALStackhouse 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)30
15.4%
35
84.6%
Q2 - 9:21DALDampier REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)30
16.6%
33
83.4%
Q2 - 9:23UTAMISS Okur 13' Turnaround Jump Shot30
17.1%
33
82.9%
Q2 - 9:42UTAJazz Rebound30
18.2%
33
81.8%
Q2 - 9:44DALMISS Daniels 16' Jump Shot30
17.7%
33
82.3%
Q2 - 10:01DALMAVERICKS Rebound30
16.7%
33
83.3%
Q2 - 10:02DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
17.8%
33
82.2%
Q2 - 10:25UTAMcLeod Driving Layup (2 PTS)30
16.7%
33
83.3%
Q2 - 10:29DALArmstrong Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)28
15.5%
33
84.5%
Q2 - 10:55UTACollins 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)28
14.1%
33
85.9%
Q2 - 11:06UTABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
12.9%
33
87.1%
Q2 - 11:08DALMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot26
12.6%
33
87.4%
Q2 - 11:30UTAOkur 20' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)26
11.9%
33
88.1%
Q2 - 11:51DALArmstrong Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)24
10.9%
33
89.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL24
10.0%
33
90.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTACollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
10.0%
33
90.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTACollins Tip Shot (2 PTS)24
10.0%
33
90.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTADampier BLOCK (1 BLK)22
8.6%
33
91.4%
Q1 - 0:07.0DALDampier REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)22
9.2%
33
90.8%
Q1 - 0:07.0DALDampier Tip Shot (8 PTS)22
9.2%
33
90.8%
Q1 - 0:08.0DALMISS Howard Layup22
10.7%
31
89.3%
Q1 - 0:29.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
10.2%
31
89.8%
Q1 - 0:31.0UTAMISS D. Williams 21' Jump Shot22
10.4%
31
89.6%
Q1 - 0:40.0DALDampier Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)22
10.9%
31
89.1%
Q1 - 0:56.0DALPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
12.0%
29
88.0%
Q1 - 0:58.0DALMISS Stackhouse 17' Jump Shot22
12.6%
29
87.4%
Q1 - 1:08DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)22
12.1%
29
87.9%
Q1 - 1:09UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
12.9%
29
87.1%
Q1 - 1:09UTAMISS Kirilenko Tip Shot22
12.3%
29
87.7%
Q1 - 1:10UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
12.9%
29
87.1%
Q1 - 1:10UTAMISS Collins Tip Shot22
12.3%
29
87.7%
Q1 - 1:11UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
12.9%
29
87.1%
Q1 - 1:11UTAMISS Kirilenko Tip Shot22
12.3%
29
87.7%
Q1 - 1:13UTAMISS Brown Layup22
12.3%
29
87.7%
Q1 - 1:32DALPowell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
12.9%
29
87.1%
Q1 - 1:32DALPowell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
13.1%
28
86.9%
Q1 - 1:52DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
14.2%
27
85.8%
Q1 - 1:54UTAMISS Brown 19' Jump Shot22
14.5%
27
85.5%
Q1 - 2:08DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)22
15.3%
27
84.7%
Q1 - 2:21UTABoozer Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)22
18.0%
24
82.0%
Q1 - 2:45DALStackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)22
19.3%
24
80.7%
Q1 - 2:52UTAHoward STEAL (2 STL)22
22.5%
21
77.5%
Q1 - 3:09DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
23.8%
21
76.2%
Q1 - 3:09DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
24.4%
20
75.6%
Q1 - 3:09DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)22
25.3%
19
74.7%
Q1 - 3:09DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)22
25.3%
19
74.7%
Q1 - 3:09DALMISS Dampier Layup22
26.7%
19
73.3%
Q1 - 3:11DALMISS Terry 15' Jump Shot22
26.7%
19
73.3%
Q1 - 3:27UTAD. Williams 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)22
25.3%
19
74.7%
Q1 - 3:48DALDampier Slam Dunk (2 PTS)20
23.9%
19
76.1%
Q1 - 3:51DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
25.4%
17
74.6%
Q1 - 3:52DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot20
26.7%
17
73.3%
Q1 - 4:12UTAKirilenko Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)20
24.8%
17
75.2%
Q1 - 4:14UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
26.8%
17
73.2%
Q1 - 4:16DALMISS Dampier Layup20
26.2%
17
73.8%
Q1 - 4:17DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
24.8%
17
75.2%
Q1 - 4:20DALMISS Terry 13' Jump Shot20
26.2%
17
73.8%
Q1 - 4:36UTAHarpring Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
24.8%
17
75.2%
Q1 - 4:36UTAHarpring Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
24.5%
17
75.5%
Q1 - 4:47DALDampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)18
23.5%
17
76.5%
Q1 - 5:00UTABoozer 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)18
21.7%
17
78.3%
Q1 - 5:12DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
20.1%
17
79.9%
Q1 - 5:12DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
20.2%
16
79.8%
Q1 - 5:28UTAHarpring Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)16
21.3%
15
78.7%
Q1 - 5:43DALHoward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)14
20.1%
15
79.9%
Q1 - 6:06UTAD. Williams 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)14
22.5%
12
77.5%
Q1 - 6:25DALDiop Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)12
21.2%
12
78.8%
Q1 - 6:43DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
22.5%
10
77.5%
Q1 - 6:44UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 2 of 212
22.7%
10
77.3%
Q1 - 6:44UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
23.6%
10
76.4%
Q1 - 7:02DALHoward 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)11
22.2%
10
77.8%
Q1 - 7:20UTAOkur 14' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (D. Williams 3 AST)11
23.4%
8
76.6%
Q1 - 7:31DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
22.2%
8
77.8%
Q1 - 7:34DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
20.8%
8
79.2%
Q1 - 7:36UTAMISS Boozer 14' Jump Shot9
21.2%
8
78.8%
Q1 - 7:53DALHoward 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)9
22.2%
8
77.8%
Q1 - 8:05UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)9
23.2%
6
76.8%
Q1 - 8:27DALHoward 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Diop 1 AST)6
20.7%
6
79.3%
Q1 - 8:31DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
21.8%
4
78.2%
Q1 - 8:32DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
22.9%
4
77.1%
Q1 - 8:37DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
21.8%
4
78.2%
Q1 - 8:39UTAMISS Harpring 18' Jump Shot6
22.3%
4
77.7%
Q1 - 8:51UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
23.3%
4
76.7%
Q1 - 8:53DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot6
22.9%
4
77.1%
Q1 - 9:13UTABoozer 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)6
21.6%
4
78.4%
Q1 - 9:28DALGriffin Layup (2 PTS)4
20.7%
4
79.3%
Q1 - 9:29DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
21.6%
2
78.4%
Q1 - 9:31DALMISS Griffin 18' Jump Shot4
22.7%
2
77.3%
Q1 - 9:54UTABoozer 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)4
21.6%
2
78.4%
Q1 - 10:00DALDiop Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
20.7%
2
79.3%
Q1 - 10:02DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
19.1%
2
80.9%
Q1 - 10:03UTAMISS Okur 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
19.5%
2
80.5%
Q1 - 10:24UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
20.5%
2
79.5%
Q1 - 10:26DALMISS Griffin 15' Jump Shot2
20.1%
2
79.9%
Q1 - 10:45UTADiop STEAL (1 STL)2
19.1%
2
80.9%
Q1 - 10:58UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
20.5%
2
79.5%
Q1 - 11:01DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot2
19.9%
2
80.1%
Q1 - 11:07UTAHoward STEAL (1 STL)2
19.2%
2
80.8%
Q1 - 11:21DALHoward 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)2
20.3%
2
79.7%
Q1 - 11:33UTAOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
21.6%
0
78.4%
Q1 - 11:33UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
21.3%
0
78.7%
Q1 - 11:39UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.3%
0
79.7%
Q1 - 11:41DALMISS Terry Running Layup0
19.9%
0
80.1%
Q1 - 11:46DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.2%
0
80.8%
Q1 - 11:48UTAMISS Harpring Layup0
19.5%
0
80.5%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Diop vs. Okur: Tip to D. Williams0
20.3%
0
79.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.14 57.2%
DAL
1.13 56.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
10
21
48%
DAL
10
20
50%
Midrange
UTA
20
35
57%
DAL
12
35
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
DAL
7
10.5
13
54%
81%
Free Throws
UTA
26
37
70%
DAL
46
55
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Boozer2166%10.5 / 16
M. Okur1753%8.5 / 16
D. Williams1673%8.0 / 11
A. Kirilenko956%4.5 / 8
M. Harpring739%3.5 / 9
D. Brown739%3.5 / 9
J. Collins675%3.0 / 4
K. McLeod450%2.0 / 4
C. Miles4100%2.0 / 2
K. Humphries350%1.5 / 3
G. Ostertag150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2261%11.0 / 18
J. Stackhouse2063%10.0 / 16
J. Howard1864%9.0 / 14
J. Terry1650%8.0 / 16
E. Dampier1372%6.5 / 9
A. Griffin650%3.0 / 6
D. Diop563%2.5 / 4
J. Powell583%2.5 / 3
D. Armstrong583%2.5 / 3
M. Daniels117%0.5 / 3
D. Mbenga0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
67
+14
-20
81
DAL
76
+21
-14
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.14 57.2%
DAL
1.13 56.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.6
111.3
UTA 109.2
DAL 123.3 +14.1
Pace
88.3
88.2
UTA 87.7
DAL 89.3 +1.5
Avg. Poss. Time
17.4
16.9
UTA 16.4
DAL 16.1 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.7%
49.5%
UTA 53.1% +5.3%
DAL 47.8%
TO %
16.6%
14.4%
UTA 19.7%
DAL 14.0% +5.7%
ORB %
32.4%
31.9%
UTA 36.1%
DAL 47.4% +11.3%
FTrt
39.7
36.4
UTA 56.9
DAL 80.9 +24.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.6%
50.0%
UTA 60.6%
DAL 65.5% +4.9%
STL %
7.2%
8.1%
UTA 8.0%
DAL 13.3% +5.3%
BLK %
10.3%
9.4%
UTA 5.5% +1.9%
DAL 3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.0%
53.3%
UTA 57.2% +0.6%
DAL 56.6%
Rim FG%
56.5%
55.4%
UTA 47.6%
DAL 50.0% +2.4%
Mid FG%
37.5%
43.4%
UTA 57.1% +22.8%
DAL 34.3%
3P %
33.6%
37.4%
UTA 33.3%
DAL 53.8% +20.5%
FT %
71.9%
78.3%
UTA 70.3%
DAL 83.6% +13.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
32.5%
UTA 32.3% +2.9%
DAL 29.4%
Mid Att. %
46.8%
50.0%
UTA 53.8%
DAL 51.5% +2.4%
3P Att. %
14.9%
17.5%
UTA 13.8%
DAL 19.1% +5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsUTADAL
Possessions8790
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points95111
Rebounds3341
Assists2019
Steals712
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)20 (0)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)18 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)20 (3)23 (1)
Field Goals33-6529-68
At-the-Rim FG10-2110-20
Midrange FG20-3512-35
2-Point FG30-5622-55
3-Point FG3-97-13
Free Throws26-3746-55
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 22
35.7
16
73%
1
9
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-9
56%
2-2
100%
F · 6'9" 258 · 24
34.4
21
66%
11
1
0
0
2
3
4
7
3-3
100%
9-15
60%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 260 · 27
32.7
17
53%
5
1
0
0
4
4
2
3
7-8
88%
5-11
45%
0-1
0%
G · 6'9" 235 · 25
24.6
9
56%
3
3
1
2
5
3
2
1
5-8
63%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 30
22.9
7
39%
3
2
0
0
0
5
0
3
5-8
63%
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 27
30.5
7
39%
3
2
1
0
1
5
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
17.6
3
50%
2
0
0
0
1
5
0
2
1-4
25%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 249 · 27
16.5
6
75%
3
0
0
0
2
3
3
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
12.3
4
50%
0
2
3
1
3
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 280 · 33
9.2
1
50%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 220 · 19
3.6
4
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 28
#10 · G · 6'6" 220 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#54 · C · 6'10" 260 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · G · 6'4" 200 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
57%
33
20
7
3
20
0
13
20
26-37
70%
30-56
54%
3-9
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.