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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 17, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Cavaliers42%8993
19Celtics58%9188
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.2
38.3
28.3
21
53%
5
6
5
1
0
6
0
5
4-6
67%
7-15
4-9
47%
45%
1-2
50%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.7
34.6
30.3
11
37%
1
3
3
1
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
4-12
3-7
33%
46%
1-3
33%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.0
34.0
20.2
12
54%
4
9
2
1
0
1
0
4
4-5
80%
4-8
1-3
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.9
21.6
22.7
11
78%
3
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
5-7
71%
3-4
5-9
75%
50%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.6
11.7
25.7
4
46%
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3
2-3
67%
1-3
4-8
33%
51%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.6
29.3
21.6
14
65%
4
0
2
1
0
1
3
1
4-4
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
53%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.6
29.0
19.8
12
75%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
4-8
50%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.9
26.4
18.3
4
42%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
4-4
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.2
8.2
11.2
2
50%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.4
7.0
8.1
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
51%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.4
10.2
0
1-2
47%
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.4
8.0
0
1-2
45%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.3
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.1
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.2
40.8
29.7
17
44%
5
2
1
1
1
4
1
4
1-1
100%
8-15
4-9
53%
49%
0-4
0%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.6
40.2
35.9
13
50%
7
4
2
1
0
4
2
5
1-2
50%
6-12
5-10
50%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 24.3
34.6
32.7
23
68%
4
3
3
2
0
5
1
3
3-11
27%
10-11
4-8
91%
48%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 21.4
22.1
30.7
4
33%
2
4
1
0
1
3
2
0
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
54%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.9
18.4
22.5
5
50%
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
1-3
33%
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 22.9
29.6
3.6
2
35%
13
1
0
0
1
1
3
10
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.1
29.2
20.9
10
56%
2
4
2
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
43%
2-4
50%
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 24.2
25.1
20.9
14
89%
2
2
2
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
2-2
100%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.5
22.8
1
4-8
50%
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 31.0
11.2
0
1-3
44%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 22.7
10.4
0
1-2
53%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.1
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 27.6
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.