Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Jazz	13%	86	82	96.5	85	85.3
	1	Spurs	87%	97	115	136.9	84	83.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Brown G · 6'5" 210 · 27	38.6	8	40%	7	1	1	0	0	2	2	5	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-5	20%	+5.9
Mehmet Okur F · 6'11" 260 · 27	38.5	17	85%	6	2	0	1	4	1	2	4	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	1-2	50%	+7.8
Deron Williams G · 6'3" 200 · 22	32.5	18	64%	1	4	1	1	1	1	1	0	1-1	100%	7-13	54%	1-1	100%	+10.4
Carlos Boozer C · 6'9" 258 · 24	31.8	8	36%	4	5	1	0	3	1	0	4	2-4	50%	3-9	33%	0-0	-	+1.4
Matt Harpring F · 6'7" 230 · 30	24.9	15	54%	2	3	2	0	1	2	2	0	3-4	75%	6-11	55%	0-1	0%	+9.0

CJ Miles G · 6'6" 220 · 19	23.1	5	31%	3	3	2	0	1	2	2	1	1-1	100%	2-7	29%	0-1	0%	+3.5
Kris Humphries F · 6'9" 235 · 21	17.8	0	0%	4	2	0	0	1	1	3	1	0-0	-	0-7	0%	0-0	-	−3.3
Jarron Collins C · 6'11" 249 · 27	17.3	3	38%	5	0	0	0	1	3	1	4	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-	+0.1
Keith McLeod G · 6'2" 190 · 26	15.5	8	67%	0	2	0	0	1	3	0	0	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	+3.7
Andrei Kirilenko F · 6'9" 235 · 25	DND-Back spasms
Greg Ostertag C · 7'2" 280 · 33	DNP - Coach's Decision
Milt Palacio G · 6'4" 210 · 28	DND-Left knee inflammation
Robert Whaley #54 · C · 6'10" 260 · 24	Inactive · INACTIVE
Gordan Giricek #10 · G · 6'6" 220 · 29	Inactive · INACTIVE
Andre Owens #30 · G · 6'4" 200 · 25	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	82	47%	32	22	7	2	13	0	13	19	13-18	72%	30-65	46%	3-11	27%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

19 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Brown G · 6'5" 210 · 27	38.6	8	40%	7	1	1	0	0	2	2	5	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-5	20%	+5.9
Mehmet Okur F · 6'11" 260 · 27	38.5	17	85%	6	2	0	1	4	1	2	4	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	1-2	50%	+7.8
Deron Williams G · 6'3" 200 · 22	32.5	18	64%	1	4	1	1	1	1	1	0	1-1	100%	7-13	54%	1-1	100%	+10.4
Carlos Boozer C · 6'9" 258 · 24	31.8	8	36%	4	5	1	0	3	1	0	4	2-4	50%	3-9	33%	0-0	-	+1.4
Matt Harpring F · 6'7" 230 · 30	24.9	15	54%	2	3	2	0	1	2	2	0	3-4	75%	6-11	55%	0-1	0%	+9.0

CJ Miles G · 6'6" 220 · 19	23.1	5	31%	3	3	2	0	1	2	2	1	1-1	100%	2-7	29%	0-1	0%	+3.5
Kris Humphries F · 6'9" 235 · 21	17.8	0	0%	4	2	0	0	1	1	3	1	0-0	-	0-7	0%	0-0	-	−3.3
Jarron Collins C · 6'11" 249 · 27	17.3	3	38%	5	0	0	0	1	3	1	4	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-	+0.1
Keith McLeod G · 6'2" 190 · 26	15.5	8	67%	0	2	0	0	1	3	0	0	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	+3.7
Andrei Kirilenko F · 6'9" 235 · 25	DND-Back spasms
Greg Ostertag C · 7'2" 280 · 33	DNP - Coach's Decision
Milt Palacio G · 6'4" 210 · 28	DND-Left knee inflammation
Robert Whaley #54 · C · 6'10" 260 · 24	Inactive · INACTIVE
Gordan Giricek #10 · G · 6'6" 220 · 29	Inactive · INACTIVE
Andre Owens #30 · G · 6'4" 200 · 25	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	82	47%	32	22	7	2	13	0	13	19	13-18	72%	30-65	46%	3-11	27%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

1 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 29	25.0	18	64%	2	4	1	0	0	1	0	2	7-7	100%	1-5	20%	3-6	50%	+13.6
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 35	24.3	8	57%	3	0	2	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%	+5.8
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 30	21.9	16	57%	5	1	1	1	0	1	3	2	2-3	67%	7-13	54%	0-0	-	+9.3
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 29	18.3	2	50%	3	2	1	0	2	4	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-	+1.3
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 24	16.3	6	100%	1	3	0	0	3	4	0	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-	+1.6

Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 30	29.8	6	75%	11	5	1	0	0	2	4	7	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-	+11.2
Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 34	22.4	16	80%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	5-5	100%	2-5	40%	+11.2
Nick Van Exel G · 6'1" 190 · 34	21.1	12	86%	2	6	2	0	3	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	+10.1
Michael Finley G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33	20.3	10	56%	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	4	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	1-1	100%	+2.8
Robert Horry F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36	17.3	10	83%	6	3	0	2	0	0	2	4	1-4	25%	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	+11.7
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 24	14.5	10	63%	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-	+3.6
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 31	8.8	1	50%	3	0	0	0	2	5	1	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-	−1.3
Sean Marks #40 · F-C · 6'10" 250 · 31	Inactive · INACTIVE
Melvin Sanders #34 · G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	67%	42	27	9	4	13	0	12	30	14-19	74%	31-55	56%	13-22	59%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

0.93 46.6%

SAS

1.34 66.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

18

32

56%

SAS

20

30

67%

Midrange

UTA

12

33

36%

SAS

11

25

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

3

4.5

11

27%

41%

SAS

13

19.5

22

59%

89%

Free Throws

UTA

13

18

72%

SAS

14

19

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Williams	18	64%	9.0 / 14
M. Okur	17	85%	8.5 / 10
M. Harpring	15	54%	7.5 / 14
D. Brown	8	40%	4.0 / 10
C. Boozer	8	36%	4.0 / 11
K. McLeod	8	67%	4.0 / 6
C. Miles	5	31%	2.5 / 8
J. Collins	3	38%	1.5 / 4
K. Humphries	0	-	0.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili	18	64%	9.0 / 14
T. Duncan	16	57%	8.0 / 14
B. Barry	16	80%	8.0 / 10
N. Van Exel	12	86%	6.0 / 7
M. Finley	10	56%	5.0 / 9
R. Horry	10	83%	5.0 / 6
B. Udrih	10	63%	5.0 / 8
B. Bowen	8	57%	4.0 / 7
T. Parker	6	100%	3.0 / 3
R. Nesterovic	6	75%	3.0 / 4
N. Mohammed	2	50%	1.0 / 2
F. Oberto	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	24 103.6 10 107.1	UTA 96.5 SAS 136.9 +40.4
Pace	24 88.3 23 88.8	UTA 85.3 +1.6 SAS 83.7
Avg. Poss. Time	1 17.4 4 16.9	UTA 16.9 −0.3 SAS 17.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 46.7% 3 51.3%	UTA 45.4% SAS 65.6% +20.2%
TO %	28 16.6% 14 14.8%	UTA 14.3% SAS 13.2% −1.1%
ORB %	1 32.4% 20 26.0%	UTA 30.2% SAS 38.7% +8.5%
FTrt	2 39.7 27 29.8	UTA 23.7 SAS 24.7 +1.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 64.6% 17 57.4%	UTA 66.7% +5.3% SAS 61.4%
STL %	25 7.2% 21 7.4%	UTA 8.2% SAS 10.7% +2.5%
BLK %	1 10.3% 9 8.4%	UTA 3.6% SAS 6.2% +2.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	27 50.0% 7 53.1%	UTA 46.6% SAS 66.9% +20.3%
Rim FG%	19 56.5% 3 61.7%	UTA 56.3% SAS 66.7% +10.4%
Mid FG%	28 37.5% 21 39.0%	UTA 36.4% SAS 44.0% +7.6%
3P %	26 33.6% 2 38.5%	UTA 27.3% SAS 59.1% +31.8%
FT %	25 71.9% 28 70.2%	UTA 72.2% SAS 73.7% +1.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 38.3% 14 36.7%	UTA 42.1% +3.1% SAS 39.0%
Mid Att. %	23 46.8% 9 41.8%	UTA 43.4% SAS 32.5% −11.0%
3P Att. %	25 14.9% 15 21.5%	UTA 14.5% SAS 28.6% +14.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	UTA	SAS
Possessions	85	84
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	82	115
Rebounds	32	42
Assists	22	27
Steals	7	9
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (2)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	19 (2)	30 (2)
Field Goals	33-76	44-77
At-the-Rim FG	18-32	20-30
Midrange FG	12-33	11-25
2-Point FG	30-65	31-55
3-Point FG	3-11	13-22
Free Throws	13-18	14-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

	ATL	132 ◀
	ORL	125

	MIL	116
	WAS	128 ◀

	MIN	131 ◀
	MIA	106

	CHA	110 ◀
	BKN	103

	CHI	92
	TOR	135 ◀

	IND	123 ◀
	NOP	120

	PHX	83
	POR	124 ◀

	GSW	105
	LAL	127 ◀

	SAC	96
	LAC	121 ◀

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg