FinalWin Prob.pScore
2432%87
86
1168%93
83
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
92.59394.9
DEN logo DEN
90.29290.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN86
100%
83
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)86
92.9%
83
7.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)85
90.9%
83
9.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0HOURockets Rebound84
81.1%
83
18.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0DENMISS Camby 18' Jump Shot84
75.0%
83
25.0%
Q4 - 0:13.0HOUHayes Dunk (3 PTS)84
52.6%
83
47.4%
Q4 - 0:13.0DENEisley Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)82
32.4%
83
67.6%
Q4 - 0:19.0HOUHoward 13' Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Bogans 4 AST)82
13.0%
83
87.0%
Q4 - 0:37.0DENPatterson Backcourt Turnover (P5.T14)80
7.9%
83
92.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0DENEvans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)80
6.6%
83
93.4%
Q4 - 1:00DENMISS Eisley 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
10.3%
83
89.7%
Q4 - 1:19HOUBogans Layup (15 PTS)80
7.7%
83
92.3%
Q4 - 1:22DENEisley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)78
5.1%
83
94.9%
Q4 - 1:29HOUHead 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bogans 3 AST)78
3.0%
83
97.0%
Q4 - 1:48DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)75
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q4 - 1:48DENJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)75
1.7%
82
98.3%
Q4 - 1:55DENPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
2.4%
81
97.6%
Q4 - 1:57HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q4 - 2:20HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
4.7%
81
95.3%
Q4 - 2:21DENMISS Patterson Driving Layup75
3.9%
81
96.1%
Q4 - 2:38HOUHoward 4' Hook Shot (29 PTS)75
2.4%
81
97.6%
Q4 - 2:51HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
2.4%
81
97.6%
Q4 - 2:53DENMISS Camby Driving Layup73
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q4 - 3:04HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)73
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q4 - 3:04HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)72
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 3:04HOURockets Rebound71
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q4 - 3:05DENMISS Eisley 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q4 - 3:21HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)71
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 3:21HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 270
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 3:32HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)70
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 3:33DENMISS Camby 19' Jump Shot70
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 3:51HOUHead Layup (5 PTS)70
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 3:54DENPatterson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)68
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 4:10DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 4:13HOUMISS Alston 9' Running Jump Shot68
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q4 - 4:22DENJohnson Layup (10 PTS) (Patterson 2 AST)68
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 4:25DENEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)68
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q4 - 4:28HOUMISS Head 5' Running Jump Shot68
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q4 - 4:47HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)68
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q4 - 4:49DENMISS Camby 18' Jump Shot68
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 4:58DENEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)68
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q4 - 5:01HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q4 - 5:19DENPatterson 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Eisley 2 AST)68
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 5:27DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q4 - 5:28HOUCamby BLOCK (2 BLK)68
2.4%
77
97.6%
Q4 - 5:39HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q4 - 5:42DENMISS Patterson Layup68
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q4 - 5:43DENPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q4 - 5:44DENMISS Patterson Layup68
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q4 - 6:01HOUAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)68
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q4 - 6:01HOUAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)67
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q4 - 6:08DENMISS Patterson Free Throw 2 of 266
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q4 - 6:08HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q4 - 6:08DENMISS Patterson Free Throw 1 of 266
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q4 - 6:21DENEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)66
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q4 - 6:23HOUMISS Head 3PT Jump Shot66
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q4 - 6:34HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q4 - 6:34DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 266
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q4 - 6:34DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 266
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q4 - 6:52HOUHayes Free Throw 1 of 1 (1 PTS)66
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q4 - 7:16HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q4 - 7:16DENMISS Evans Free Throw 2 of 263
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q4 - 7:16DENEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)63
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q4 - 7:18DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q4 - 7:20HOUMISS Swift Reverse Layup63
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q4 - 7:28HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q4 - 7:30DENMISS Martin 17' Jump Shot63
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q4 - 7:37DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q4 - 7:39HOUMISS Swift 20' Jump Shot63
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q4 - 7:48HOUSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q4 - 7:50DENMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q4 - 8:06HOUSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)63
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q4 - 8:06HOUSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)62
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q4 - 8:25DENEisley Driving Layup (6 PTS)61
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q4 - 8:29DENEisley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q4 - 8:32DENMISS Martin 11' Turnaround Jump Shot61
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q4 - 8:49HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)61
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q4 - 9:17DENMartin 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)61
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q4 - 9:34DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q4 - 9:36DENMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
3.6%
72
96.4%
Q4 - 9:44DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q4 - 9:47HOUMISS Head Driving Layup61
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q4 - 10:02DENEisley 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)61
4.4%
72
95.6%
Q4 - 10:09DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
5.4%
70
94.6%
Q4 - 10:11HOUMISS Head 3PT Jump Shot61
5.8%
70
94.2%
Q4 - 10:30DENMartin Layup (8 PTS)61
6.7%
70
93.3%
Q4 - 10:45DENEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
8.2%
68
91.8%
Q4 - 10:47HOUMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot61
8.7%
68
91.3%
Q4 - 11:01HOUBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)61
10.9%
68
89.1%
Q4 - 11:03DENMISS Eisley 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
10.3%
68
89.7%
Q4 - 11:18DENEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
8.9%
68
91.1%
Q4 - 11:19HOUMISS Bogans Free Throw 1 of 161
9.1%
68
90.9%
Q4 - 11:36DENJohnson 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Eisley 1 AST)59
7.3%
68
92.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU59
8.8%
66
91.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
11.4%
66
88.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENMISS Patterson Free Throw 2 of 259
11.2%
66
88.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENMISS Patterson Free Throw 1 of 259
10.1%
66
89.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENNUGGETS Rebound59
9.5%
66
90.5%
Q3 - 0:03.0HOUMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
10.1%
66
89.9%
Q3 - 0:25.0HOUBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
11.4%
66
88.6%
Q3 - 0:27.0DENMISS Martin 3PT Jump Shot59
10.8%
66
89.2%
Q3 - 0:51.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
9.5%
66
90.5%
Q3 - 0:52.0HOUMISS Mutombo Free Throw 1 of 159
9.7%
66
90.3%
Q3 - 1:07DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)57
8.4%
66
91.6%
Q3 - 1:07DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 257
8.8%
65
91.2%
Q3 - 1:07DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
8.4%
65
91.6%
Q3 - 1:09DENMISS Anthony 15' Fadeaway Jumper57
9.5%
65
90.5%
Q3 - 1:28HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
8.4%
65
91.6%
Q3 - 1:28HOUMutombo Tip Shot (4 PTS)57
8.4%
65
91.6%
Q3 - 1:30HOUMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
6.2%
65
93.8%
Q3 - 1:49HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)55
7.0%
65
93.0%
Q3 - 1:51HOUMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
6.1%
65
93.9%
Q3 - 2:02DENPatterson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)55
7.5%
65
92.5%
Q3 - 2:04DENPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
6.2%
65
93.8%
Q3 - 2:07DENMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot55
7.0%
65
93.0%
Q3 - 2:26HOUHoward Layup (24 PTS)55
6.2%
65
93.8%
Q3 - 2:27HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
5.2%
65
94.8%
Q3 - 2:29HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
4.6%
65
95.4%
Q3 - 2:51DENMartin 13' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)53
5.2%
65
94.8%
Q3 - 3:08HOUHoward 15' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)53
6.6%
63
93.4%
Q3 - 3:21DENPatterson Foul Turnover (P2.T10)51
5.7%
63
94.3%
Q3 - 3:34DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
4.7%
63
95.3%
Q3 - 3:35HOUMISS Bogans 20' Jump Shot51
5.0%
63
95.0%
Q3 - 4:01DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)51
6.0%
63
94.0%
Q3 - 4:13HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)51
8.0%
60
92.0%
Q3 - 4:13HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)50
7.8%
60
92.2%
Q3 - 4:35DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)49
7.0%
60
93.0%
Q3 - 4:35DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)49
7.2%
59
92.8%
Q3 - 4:40DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
8.0%
58
92.0%
Q3 - 4:40DENMISS Camby 18' Jump Shot49
9.1%
58
90.9%
Q3 - 4:53DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
8.0%
58
92.0%
Q3 - 4:55HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 149
8.2%
58
91.8%
Q3 - 5:09DENAnthony 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)47
7.4%
58
92.6%
Q3 - 5:22HOUMutombo Foul Turnover (P2.T14)47
8.5%
56
91.5%
Q3 - 5:38HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
10.0%
56
90.0%
Q3 - 5:40DENMISS Camby 19' Jump Shot47
9.5%
56
90.5%
Q3 - 6:00HOUHoward 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)47
8.5%
56
91.5%
Q3 - 6:14HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
7.7%
56
92.3%
Q3 - 6:18DENMISS Miller 16' Fadeaway Jumper45
7.4%
56
92.6%
Q3 - 6:35HOUAlston 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)45
6.6%
56
93.4%
Q3 - 6:48HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
4.9%
56
95.1%
Q3 - 6:50HOUMISS Alston 21' Jump Shot42
4.4%
56
95.6%
Q3 - 6:56DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)42
4.9%
56
95.1%
Q3 - 7:12HOUMutombo Dunk (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)42
4.4%
56
95.6%
Q3 - 7:29DENAnthony Layup (17 PTS) (Camby 2 AST)40
3.9%
56
96.1%
Q3 - 7:53HOUAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)40
4.4%
54
95.6%
Q3 - 7:53HOUMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 239
4.2%
54
95.8%
Q3 - 7:55DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)39
4.5%
54
95.5%
Q3 - 8:01DENElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)39
4.0%
54
96.0%
Q3 - 8:04HOUMISS Bogans 20' Jump Shot39
4.2%
54
95.8%
Q3 - 8:19DENElson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
4.7%
54
95.3%
Q3 - 8:19DENMISS Elson Free Throw 1 of 239
4.9%
53
95.1%
Q3 - 8:22DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
4.6%
53
95.4%
Q3 - 8:23HOUMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot39
4.9%
53
95.1%
Q3 - 8:37DENJohnson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)39
5.4%
53
94.6%
Q3 - 8:44DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
4.6%
53
95.4%
Q3 - 8:46HOUMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
4.9%
53
95.1%
Q3 - 8:59HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
5.4%
53
94.6%
Q3 - 9:02DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot39
5.4%
53
94.6%
Q3 - 9:32HOUHoward 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)39
4.8%
53
95.2%
Q3 - 9:51DENMiller 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)37
4.2%
53
95.8%
Q3 - 10:09HOUWesley Traveling Turnover (P4.T13)37
5.0%
51
95.0%
Q3 - 10:18HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
5.8%
51
94.2%
Q3 - 10:20DENMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot37
5.6%
51
94.4%
Q3 - 10:43HOUHoward 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)37
5.0%
51
95.0%
Q3 - 10:59DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T6)35
4.4%
51
95.6%
Q3 - 11:08DENElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
4.0%
51
96.0%
Q3 - 11:10HOUMISS Alston 15' Jump Shot35
4.2%
51
95.8%
Q3 - 11:21HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
4.6%
51
95.4%
Q3 - 11:24DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot35
4.4%
51
95.6%
Q3 - 11:44HOUAnthony STEAL (2 STL)35
4.0%
51
96.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN35
4.6%
51
95.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
4.0%
51
96.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Miller Layup35
4.4%
51
95.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0HOUMiller STEAL (3 STL)35
4.5%
51
95.5%
Q2 - 0:23.0DENElson 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)35
4.9%
51
95.1%
Q2 - 0:44.0DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
5.8%
49
94.2%
Q2 - 0:48.0HOUMISS Mutombo 10' Turnaround Hook Shot35
5.9%
49
94.1%
Q2 - 1:08DENAnthony Layup (15 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)35
6.6%
49
93.4%
Q2 - 1:10DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
7.8%
47
92.2%
Q2 - 1:12HOUMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
8.0%
47
92.0%
Q2 - 1:32DENCamby Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)35
8.3%
47
91.7%
Q2 - 1:37DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
9.9%
45
90.1%
Q2 - 1:39HOUMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot35
10.1%
45
89.9%
Q2 - 2:02DENAnthony 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)35
11.1%
45
88.9%
Q2 - 2:18HOUHoward 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)35
12.5%
43
87.5%
Q2 - 2:20HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
11.1%
43
88.9%
Q2 - 2:22HOUMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
10.3%
43
89.7%
Q2 - 2:37HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
11.0%
43
89.0%
Q2 - 2:38DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
10.0%
43
90.0%
Q2 - 2:38DENMISS Camby Tip Shot33
10.7%
43
89.3%
Q2 - 2:40DENMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot33
10.7%
43
89.3%
Q2 - 2:53HOUBogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Head 2 AST)33
10.0%
43
90.0%
Q2 - 3:08DENMiller Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)30
8.4%
43
91.6%
Q2 - 3:20DENEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)30
7.4%
43
92.6%
Q2 - 3:23HOUMISS Alston 20' Jump Shot30
7.7%
43
92.3%
Q2 - 3:28HOUBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
8.4%
43
91.6%
Q2 - 3:30DENMISS Elson 19' Jump Shot30
8.0%
43
92.0%
Q2 - 3:45HOUHoward 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Head 1 AST)30
7.4%
43
92.6%
Q2 - 4:07DENJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)28
6.9%
43
93.1%
Q2 - 4:25HOUBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)28
8.6%
40
91.4%
Q2 - 4:25HOUMISS Bogans Free Throw 1 of 227
8.3%
40
91.7%
Q2 - 4:31DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)27
8.6%
40
91.4%
Q2 - 4:31DENMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 227
8.8%
39
91.2%
Q2 - 4:48HOUBrunson Backcourt Turnover (P2.T10)27
8.6%
39
91.4%
Q2 - 4:49HOURockets Rebound27
9.5%
39
90.5%
Q2 - 4:51HOUMISS Head 3PT Jump Shot27
8.9%
39
91.1%
Q2 - 4:57HOUBrunson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
9.5%
39
90.5%
Q2 - 4:59DENMISS Elson 15' Jump Shot27
9.2%
39
90.8%
Q2 - 5:19DENEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)27
8.7%
39
91.3%
Q2 - 5:21DENMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot27
9.4%
39
90.6%
Q2 - 5:26HOUJohnson STEAL (1 STL)27
8.7%
39
91.3%
Q2 - 5:33DENPatterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
9.7%
39
90.3%
Q2 - 5:33DENPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
10.1%
38
89.9%
Q2 - 5:39DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
10.7%
37
89.3%
Q2 - 5:40HOUMISS Bogans 14' Jump Shot27
11.0%
37
89.0%
Q2 - 5:45HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
11.9%
37
88.1%
Q2 - 5:46DENMISS Evans Driving Layup27
11.5%
37
88.5%
Q2 - 5:54DENPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
10.7%
37
89.3%
Q2 - 5:56HOUMISS Swift 19' Jump Shot27
11.0%
37
89.0%
Q2 - 6:09DENPatterson Foul Turnover (P1.T4)27
12.2%
37
87.8%
Q2 - 6:22HOUHead 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brunson 1 AST)27
10.9%
37
89.1%
Q2 - 6:38DENJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)24
9.1%
37
90.9%
Q2 - 6:54DENEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
10.9%
34
89.1%
Q2 - 6:57HOUMISS Bogans 11' Jump Bank Shot24
11.3%
34
88.7%
Q2 - 7:21DENEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)24
12.6%
34
87.4%
Q2 - 7:21DENMISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 224
13.0%
33
87.0%
Q2 - 7:21DENEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
12.5%
33
87.5%
Q2 - 7:24DENMISS Johnson 13' Jump Shot24
13.4%
33
86.6%
Q2 - 7:41DENEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
12.5%
33
87.5%
Q2 - 7:44HOUMISS Alston 7' Hook Shot24
12.9%
33
87.1%
Q2 - 8:11DENMartin 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)24
13.9%
33
86.1%
Q2 - 8:21HOUMartin STEAL (1 STL)24
15.0%
31
85.0%
Q2 - 8:31DENEisley Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)24
16.6%
31
83.4%
Q2 - 8:46DENNUGGETS Rebound24
15.1%
31
84.9%
Q2 - 8:47DENMISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 124
16.4%
31
83.6%
Q2 - 8:53DENEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
17.9%
29
82.1%
Q2 - 8:56HOUMISS Swift 16' Fadeaway Jumper24
18.4%
29
81.6%
Q2 - 9:14HOUSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
19.7%
29
80.3%
Q2 - 9:16DENMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
19.1%
29
80.9%
Q2 - 9:37DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
18.0%
29
82.0%
Q2 - 9:39HOUMISS Bogans 21' Jump Shot24
18.5%
29
81.5%
Q2 - 9:52HOUBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
19.7%
29
80.3%
Q2 - 9:55DENMISS Eisley 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
19.1%
29
80.9%
Q2 - 10:24HOUBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)24
18.1%
29
81.9%
Q2 - 10:38HOUBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
15.5%
29
84.5%
Q2 - 10:41DENMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot21
15.1%
29
84.9%
Q2 - 11:15HOUAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)21
14.2%
29
85.8%
Q2 - 11:33HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
12.0%
29
88.0%
Q2 - 11:35DENMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot18
11.7%
29
88.3%
Q2 - 11:49HOUBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
11.0%
29
89.0%
Q2 - 11:49HOUBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
10.7%
29
89.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN16
10.1%
29
89.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
9.5%
29
90.5%
Q1 - 0:05.0HOUMISS Wesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
9.7%
29
90.3%
Q1 - 0:25.0HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
10.1%
29
89.9%
Q1 - 0:28.0HOUMISS Hayes 7' Turnaround Jump Shot16
9.7%
29
90.3%
Q1 - 0:47.0DENPatterson Layup (2 PTS)16
10.1%
29
89.9%
Q1 - 0:56.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
11.2%
27
88.8%
Q1 - 0:58.0HOUMISS Wesley 20' Jump Shot16
11.4%
27
88.6%
Q1 - 1:19DENAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)16
12.1%
27
87.9%
Q1 - 1:29HOUAlston Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Swift 1 AST)16
13.3%
25
86.7%
Q1 - 1:32HOUSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
12.1%
25
87.9%
Q1 - 1:34DENMISS Martin 5' Jump Hook Shot14
11.8%
25
88.2%
Q1 - 1:52HOUPatterson STEAL (1 STL)14
11.3%
25
88.7%
Q1 - 2:13DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)14
12.3%
25
87.7%
Q1 - 2:13DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 214
12.4%
24
87.6%
Q1 - 2:25HOUAlston 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
12.3%
24
87.7%
Q1 - 2:42DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)12
11.3%
24
88.7%
Q1 - 2:42DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)12
11.4%
23
88.6%
Q1 - 2:55DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
12.3%
22
87.7%
Q1 - 2:57HOUMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot12
12.6%
22
87.4%
Q1 - 3:07DENAnthony 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)12
13.7%
22
86.3%
Q1 - 3:21HOUAlston Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
14.6%
20
85.4%
Q1 - 3:34DENBuckner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
13.6%
20
86.4%
Q1 - 3:35DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
12.5%
20
87.5%
Q1 - 3:38HOUAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)10
12.8%
20
87.2%
Q1 - 3:54DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)10
13.6%
20
86.4%
Q1 - 3:54DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 210
13.9%
19
86.1%
Q1 - 3:56HOUBuckner STEAL (1 STL)10
13.5%
19
86.5%
Q1 - 4:08HOUBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
14.8%
19
85.2%
Q1 - 4:11DENMISS Anthony 12' Turnaround Jump Shot10
14.4%
19
85.6%
Q1 - 4:20DENEisley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
13.5%
19
86.5%
Q1 - 4:23HOUMISS Alston Driving Layup10
13.9%
19
86.1%
Q1 - 4:43HOUBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
14.8%
19
85.2%
Q1 - 4:45DENMISS Buckner 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
14.4%
19
85.6%
Q1 - 5:00HOUMiller STEAL (2 STL)10
13.5%
19
86.5%
Q1 - 5:01HOURockets Rebound10
15.0%
19
85.0%
Q1 - 5:01HOUCamby BLOCK (1 BLK)10
14.2%
19
85.8%
Q1 - 5:20HOUBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
14.9%
19
85.1%
Q1 - 5:21DENMISS Camby 18' Jump Shot10
14.6%
19
85.4%
Q1 - 5:34HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T4)10
13.8%
19
86.2%
Q1 - 5:44DENMiller Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
14.9%
19
85.1%
Q1 - 5:48HOUAnthony STEAL (1 STL)10
15.9%
17
84.1%
Q1 - 6:08DENAnthony Driving Dunk (4 PTS)10
17.3%
17
82.7%
Q1 - 6:28DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
18.5%
15
81.5%
Q1 - 6:30HOUMISS Bogans Free Throw 1 of 110
18.6%
15
81.4%
Q1 - 6:34HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
17.3%
15
82.7%
Q1 - 6:36DENMISS Camby 20' Jump Shot8
17.0%
15
83.0%
Q1 - 6:52DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
16.1%
15
83.9%
Q1 - 6:55HOUMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
16.5%
15
83.5%
Q1 - 7:12DENCamby Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)8
17.6%
15
82.4%
Q1 - 7:25HOUWesley 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)8
18.6%
13
81.4%
Q1 - 7:40DENElson 6' Jump Hook Shot (3 PTS)6
17.6%
13
82.4%
Q1 - 7:41DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
18.6%
11
81.4%
Q1 - 7:43DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot6
19.5%
11
80.5%
Q1 - 7:55DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
18.6%
11
81.4%
Q1 - 7:59HOUMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot6
19.0%
11
81.0%
Q1 - 8:13DENElson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)6
19.9%
11
80.1%
Q1 - 8:13DENMISS Elson Free Throw 1 of 26
20.3%
10
79.7%
Q1 - 8:32HOUHoward 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)6
19.8%
10
80.2%
Q1 - 8:48DENBuckner 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)4
18.7%
10
81.3%
Q1 - 8:57DENNUGGETS Rebound4
19.8%
8
80.2%
Q1 - 8:57HOUMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot4
20.2%
8
79.8%
Q1 - 9:17DENAnthony Dunk (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)4
21.1%
8
78.9%
Q1 - 9:20HOUMiller STEAL (1 STL)4
22.0%
6
78.0%
Q1 - 9:40DENBuckner Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
23.7%
6
76.3%
Q1 - 9:40DENBuckner Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
24.0%
5
76.0%
Q1 - 9:51DENElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
24.7%
4
75.3%
Q1 - 9:53HOUMISS Wesley 21' Jump Shot4
25.3%
4
74.7%
Q1 - 9:59DENCamby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
26.6%
4
73.4%
Q1 - 10:03DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
24.7%
4
75.3%
Q1 - 10:07DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot4
25.8%
4
74.2%
Q1 - 10:29HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
24.7%
4
75.3%
Q1 - 10:29HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
24.5%
4
75.5%
Q1 - 10:41DENCamby 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)2
23.5%
4
76.5%
Q1 - 10:54HOUHoward 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)2
24.7%
2
75.3%
Q1 - 11:08DENCamby 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)0
23.4%
2
76.6%
Q1 - 11:21HOUMutombo Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T1)0
24.8%
0
75.2%
Q1 - 11:42HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.1%
0
73.9%
Q1 - 11:43DENMISS Elson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot0
25.7%
0
74.3%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Camby vs. Mutombo: Tip to Miller0
24.8%
0
75.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.99 49.4%
DEN
0.88 44.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
13
19
68%
DEN
14
22
64%
Midrange
HOU
12
35
34%
DEN
15
40
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
DEN
2
3.0
13
15%
23%
Free Throws
HOU
18
25
72%
DEN
19
34
56%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Howard3167%15.5 / 23
R. Alston1743%8.5 / 20
K. Bogans1544%7.5 / 17
L. Head850%4.0 / 8
D. Mutombo675%3.0 / 4
S. Swift440%2.0 / 5
C. Hayes338%1.5 / 4
D. Wesley225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony2265%11.0 / 17
D. Johnson1246%6.0 / 13
K. Martin1042%5.0 / 12
M. Camby829%4.0 / 14
A. Miller750%3.5 / 7
F. Elson643%3.0 / 7
R. Patterson638%3.0 / 8
H. Eisley650%3.0 / 6
G. Buckner467%2.0 / 3
R. Evans225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
79
+9
-14
88
DEN
77
+15
-15
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.99 49.4%
DEN
0.88 44.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.4
105.6
HOU 92.5 +2.3
DEN 90.2
Pace
88.2
93.9
HOU 94.9 +4.7
DEN 90.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
14.7
HOU 15.2 +0.8
DEN 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
48.8%
HOU 45.3% +2.6%
DEN 42.7%
TO %
15.4%
15.1%
HOU 14.9%
DEN 14.3% +0.6%
ORB %
25.5%
26.9%
HOU 15.6%
DEN 29.5% +13.9%
FTrt
31.7
34.7
HOU 33.3
DEN 45.3 +12.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.3%
62.4%
HOU 61.3%
DEN 67.7% +6.4%
STL %
8.1%
8.9%
HOU 7.5%
DEN 9.8% +2.3%
BLK %
6.6%
8.8%
HOU 4.8%
DEN 5.6% +0.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.3%
52.3%
HOU 49.4% +5.3%
DEN 44.1%
Rim FG%
56.1%
59.2%
HOU 68.4% +4.8%
DEN 63.6%
Mid FG%
39.3%
39.7%
HOU 34.3%
DEN 37.5% +3.2%
3P %
33.2%
32.5%
HOU 28.6% +13.2%
DEN 15.4%
FT %
75.9%
74.4%
HOU 72.0% +16.1%
DEN 55.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
38.8%
HOU 25.3%
DEN 29.3% +4.0%
Mid Att. %
45.3%
45.1%
HOU 46.7% +6.7%
DEN 53.3%
3P Att. %
22.6%
16.1%
HOU 28.0% +10.7%
DEN 17.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsHOUDEN
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points8683
Rebounds3851
Assists1921
Steals79
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)38 (2)
Field Goals31-7531-75
At-the-Rim FG13-1914-22
Midrange FG12-3515-40
2-Point FG25-5429-62
3-Point FG6-212-13
Free Throws18-2519-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 175 · 30
42.4
17
43%
7
7
1
0
3
3
1
6
5-6
83%
3-9
33%
2-8
25%
F · 6'5" 215 · 26
39.8
15
44%
7
4
1
0
1
4
0
7
3-6
50%
3-8
38%
2-7
29%
F · 6'9" 250 · 33
32.9
31
67%
7
1
1
0
1
5
3
4
7-9
78%
12-19
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 203 · 35
28.8
2
25%
1
1
1
0
4
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
C · 7'2" 260 · 40
23.4
6
75%
4
0
1
0
2
5
1
3
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 23
24.7
8
50%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-5
40%
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23
24.6
3
38%
5
0
1
2
1
3
1
4
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26
15.1
4
40%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 218 · 30
5.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 34
2.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'6" 310 · 26
F · 6'11" 275 · 21
#24 · G · 6'5" 202 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'5" 200 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
49%
38
19
7
3
14
0
7
31
18-25
72%
25-54
46%
6-21
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.