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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 19, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Hawks33%9299
18Cavaliers67%98100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 20.4
42.6
35.3
21
50%
5
4
4
1
4
3
2
3
6-7
86%
6-14
4-9
43%
44%
1-4
25%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22.8
31.6
25.3
7
39%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
52%
0-1
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.2
31.5
20.1
16
58%
11
3
1
1
1
1
0
11
0-2
0%
8-12
3-7
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 24.8
29.0
35.0
11
40%
3
3
1
1
1
2
2
1
4-4
100%
2-6
5-11
33%
46%
1-6
17%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.2
23.1
30.6
8
72%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
6-8
75%
1-2
4-9
50%
44%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 19.8
30.9
30.6
12
50%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
6-12
4-9
50%
46%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.0
26.8
24.9
13
60%
1
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
46%
3-5
60%
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22.6
10.2
12.1
6
71%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
4-5
80%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.4
7.5
9.0
3
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Anthony Grundy
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.0
6.8
7.5
2
53%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-1
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.3
10.8
0
1-3
43%
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.7
3.2
0
0-1
47%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.7
38.7
31.1
19
46%
1
6
1
1
0
3
0
1
3-8
38%
8-15
4-8
53%
48%
0-2
0%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.2
25.2
10.3
8
68%
5
2
0
0
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
2-3
67%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.0
20.0
24.6
6
61%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.9
19.2
22.1
8
51%
7
0
0
0
1
2
4
3
2-2
100%
3-7
5-9
43%
53%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.6
10.0
20.8
6
56%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-3
67%
2-4
3-6
50%
54%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.6
32.0
24.0
14
64%
18
2
2
1
3
5
4
14
6-9
67%
4-7
3-5
57%
56%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.9
29.2
20.9
16
66%
7
1
0
1
0
2
3
4
3-5
60%
5-9
2-3
56%
52%
1-1
100%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.6
25.7
22.7
10
57%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
1-4
1-1
25%
50%
2-3
67%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
19.4
2.8
8
52%
7
1
2
0
0
2
1
6
4-4
100%
2-5
0-1
40%
51%
0-1
0%
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.4
9.2
5.8
5
64%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.4
6.1
7.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.4
5.2
8.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.2
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.1
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.