FinalWin Prob.pScore
2538%88
78
1962%92
85
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
84.89299.9
BOS logo BOS
90.49487.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS78
0%
85
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAScalabrine STEAL (1 STL)78
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 0:25.0BOSMISS Perkins 7' Jump Shot78
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAOlowokandi STEAL (1 STL)78
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)78
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 0:50.0BOSMISS Olowokandi 8' Jump Shot78
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 1:09MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)78
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 1:23MIAPosey Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)75
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 1:33MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 1:35BOSMISS Perkins 4' Jump Shot74
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 1:49MIAWright 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)74
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 2:05MIAHeat Rebound72
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 2:06BOSMISS Greene Free Throw 2 of 272
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 2:06BOSGreene Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)72
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 2:08BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)72
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 2:10MIAMISS Posey 2' Layup72
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 2:25BOSPerkins Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)72
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 2:41MIAGreene STEAL (5 STL)72
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 2:58BOSScalabrine Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)72
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 3:12MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)72
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 3:29BOSScalabrine 12' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)69
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40BOSOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 3:42MIAMISS Simien 11' Jump Shot69
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 3:58BOSGreene Foul Turnover (P2.T14)69
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 4:00MIAGreene STEAL (4 STL)69
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 4:02MIASimien REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 4:04MIAMISS Posey 22' Jump Shot69
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 4:11MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 4:13BOSMISS Olowokandi 5' Jump Shot69
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 4:28MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)69
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 4:28MIAMISS Barron Free Throw 1 of 268
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 4:44MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 4:46BOSMISS Green 6' Jump Shot68
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 4:51BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 4:53MIAMISS Kapono 15' Jump Shot68
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 4:59MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 5:02BOSMISS Greene 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 5:19MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)68
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 5:19MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 267
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 5:30BOSGomes Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)67
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 5:47BOSJones REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)67
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 5:49MIAMISS Simien 4' Jump Shot67
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 6:10BOSGreen 2' Layup (8 PTS)67
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 6:34BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)67
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q4 - 6:35MIAMISS Posey 16' Jump Shot67
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q4 - 6:56MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q4 - 6:58BOSMISS Greene 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q4 - 7:14MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)67
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q4 - 7:42BOSGreene 1' Layup (13 PTS)67
2.0%
80
98.0%
Q4 - 7:46MIAGreene STEAL (3 STL)67
2.6%
78
97.4%
Q4 - 8:10BOSJones 1' Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Scalabrine 2 AST)67
4.2%
78
95.8%
Q4 - 8:34BOSJones REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)67
5.3%
76
94.7%
Q4 - 8:36MIAMISS Barron 4' Jump Shot67
5.7%
76
94.3%
Q4 - 8:53MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
6.8%
76
93.2%
Q4 - 8:55BOSMISS Scalabrine 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
6.3%
76
93.7%
Q4 - 9:09BOSGreene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
6.1%
76
93.9%
Q4 - 9:11MIAMISS Barron 17' Jump Shot67
6.5%
76
93.5%
Q4 - 9:23BOSOlowokandi Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T12)67
7.6%
76
92.4%
Q4 - 9:41BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
6.0%
76
94.0%
Q4 - 9:43MIAMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
6.5%
76
93.5%
Q4 - 10:03BOSScalabrine 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gomes 3 AST)67
8.4%
76
91.6%
Q4 - 10:12MIAGreene STEAL (2 STL)67
12.4%
73
87.6%
Q4 - 10:29BOSGreene 13' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)67
15.3%
73
84.7%
Q4 - 10:54MIASimien Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)67
18.2%
71
81.8%
Q4 - 11:07BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)67
22.8%
71
77.2%
Q4 - 11:10BOSJones REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)67
31.1%
68
68.9%
Q4 - 11:12BOSMISS Allen 1' Layup67
34.6%
68
65.4%
Q4 - 11:21BOSMISS Greene Free Throw Clear Path67
31.1%
68
68.9%
Q4 - 11:23MIAGreene STEAL (1 STL)67
31.1%
68
68.9%
Q4 - 11:34MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
36.1%
68
63.9%
Q4 - 11:36BOSMISS Gomes 19' Jump Shot67
34.5%
68
65.5%
Q4 - 11:41BOSCELTICS Rebound67
31.1%
68
68.9%
Q4 - 11:42BOSMISS Scalabrine 3PT Jump Shot67
34.5%
68
65.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS67
31.0%
68
69.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound67
31.0%
68
69.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Perkins 21' Jump Shot67
34.5%
68
65.5%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIASimien 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Anderson 4 AST)67
31.4%
68
68.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
27.1%
68
72.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0BOSMISS Allen 1' Layup65
25.9%
68
74.1%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIASimien Foul Turnover (P2.T6)65
23.3%
68
76.7%
Q3 - 0:55.0BOSGomes Layup (19 PTS)65
27.1%
68
72.9%
Q3 - 0:56.0BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
31.4%
66
68.6%
Q3 - 0:57.0BOSMISS Jones 7' Jump Shot65
34.6%
66
65.4%
Q3 - 1:19MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)65
31.4%
66
68.6%
Q3 - 1:19MIAMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 264
30.8%
66
69.2%
Q3 - 1:35BOSJones 1' Slam Dunk (5 PTS)64
31.6%
66
68.4%
Q3 - 1:36BOSJones REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)64
35.8%
64
64.2%
Q3 - 1:37BOSMISS Allen 1' Layup64
39.1%
64
60.9%
Q3 - 1:45MIAJones STEAL (1 STL)64
35.8%
64
64.2%
Q3 - 2:06BOSPerkins 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)64
39.9%
64
60.1%
Q3 - 2:30BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
44.1%
62
55.9%
Q3 - 2:32MIAMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
45.7%
62
54.3%
Q3 - 2:37MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
49.2%
62
50.8%
Q3 - 2:39BOSMISS Perkins 4' Hook Shot64
47.6%
62
52.4%
Q3 - 2:57MIASimien Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)64
44.2%
62
55.8%
Q3 - 3:06MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
35.7%
62
64.3%
Q3 - 3:09BOSMISS Gomes 22' Jump Shot61
34.4%
62
65.6%
Q3 - 3:36MIASimien 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)61
31.4%
62
68.6%
Q3 - 3:47MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
27.9%
62
72.1%
Q3 - 3:49BOSMISS Gomes 16' Jump Shot59
26.7%
62
73.3%
Q3 - 4:11MIAPosey 1' Slam Dunk (7 PTS)59
24.2%
62
75.8%
Q3 - 4:14BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)57
21.6%
62
78.4%
Q3 - 4:25MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)57
18.4%
62
81.6%
Q3 - 4:25MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)56
18.1%
62
81.9%
Q3 - 4:35MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
16.3%
62
83.7%
Q3 - 4:37BOSMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
15.5%
62
84.5%
Q3 - 4:50BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
13.8%
62
86.2%
Q3 - 4:51MIAMISS Posey 2' Layup55
14.5%
62
85.5%
Q3 - 5:14BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)55
16.8%
62
83.2%
Q3 - 5:14BOSPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)55
17.5%
61
82.5%
Q3 - 5:23BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
19.0%
60
81.0%
Q3 - 5:24MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot55
19.9%
60
80.1%
Q3 - 5:35BOSGomes Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)55
21.9%
60
78.1%
Q3 - 5:35BOSGomes Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)55
22.6%
59
77.4%
Q3 - 5:47BOSCELTICS Rebound55
24.6%
58
75.4%
Q3 - 5:48MIAMISS Kapono 13' Jump Shot55
25.7%
58
74.3%
Q3 - 6:10BOSAllen 2' Layup (14 PTS)55
28.2%
58
71.8%
Q3 - 6:11BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
31.3%
56
68.7%
Q3 - 6:12BOSMISS Allen 5' Jump Shot55
34.0%
56
66.0%
Q3 - 6:32BOSCELTICS Rebound55
31.3%
56
68.7%
Q3 - 6:35MIAMISS Doleac 16' Jump Shot55
32.5%
56
67.5%
Q3 - 6:59BOSLaFrentz 1' Layup (2 PTS)55
35.2%
56
64.8%
Q3 - 7:00BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)55
38.7%
54
61.3%
Q3 - 7:02BOSMISS Green 1' Layup55
41.0%
54
59.0%
Q3 - 7:05BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
38.0%
54
62.0%
Q3 - 7:06BOSMISS Green 12' Jump Shot55
41.0%
54
59.0%
Q3 - 7:29MIAKapono 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)55
38.1%
54
61.9%
Q3 - 7:48BOSGomes Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)53
35.0%
54
65.0%
Q3 - 7:48BOSGomes Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)53
35.8%
53
64.2%
Q3 - 7:53BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)53
38.1%
52
61.9%
Q3 - 7:55MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
39.4%
52
60.6%
Q3 - 8:10MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
42.2%
52
57.8%
Q3 - 8:11BOSMISS Green 6' Jump Shot53
40.9%
52
59.1%
Q3 - 8:24BOSMISS Allen Free Throw Clear Path53
38.0%
52
62.0%
Q3 - 8:25MIAAllen STEAL (1 STL)53
38.0%
52
62.0%
Q3 - 8:38MIAHeat Rebound53
42.2%
52
57.8%
Q3 - 8:39BOSMISS Perkins 7' Hook Shot53
40.9%
52
59.1%
Q3 - 8:57BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)53
38.0%
52
62.0%
Q3 - 8:59MIAMISS Doleac 5' Hook Shot53
39.3%
52
60.7%
Q3 - 9:15BOSGomes Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)53
41.3%
52
58.7%
Q3 - 9:15BOSGomes Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)53
42.1%
51
57.9%
Q3 - 9:21BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)53
44.8%
50
55.2%
Q3 - 9:22MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot53
45.9%
50
54.1%
Q3 - 9:44BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)53
48.6%
50
51.4%
Q3 - 9:44BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)53
49.4%
49
50.6%
Q3 - 9:54MIAHaslem 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)53
52.2%
48
47.8%
Q3 - 10:08BOSGreen 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Perkins 1 AST)51
48.0%
48
52.0%
Q3 - 10:32MIAWright 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)51
51.2%
46
48.8%
Q3 - 10:48MIAKapono Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)49
48.0%
46
52.0%
Q3 - 11:01MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
43.8%
46
56.2%
Q3 - 11:03BOSMISS Perkins 4' Hook Shot48
42.8%
46
57.2%
Q3 - 11:21MIAKapono Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)48
40.4%
46
59.6%
Q3 - 11:27MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
43.9%
46
56.1%
Q3 - 11:28BOSMISS LaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
42.8%
46
57.2%
Q3 - 11:44MIAHaslem 1' Layup (6 PTS)48
40.4%
46
59.6%
Q3 - 11:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)46
37.2%
46
62.8%
Q3 - 11:47MIAAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)46
34.9%
46
65.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS46
37.3%
46
62.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
33.9%
46
66.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0BOSMISS Perkins 3' Layup46
36.0%
46
64.0%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)46
34.5%
46
65.5%
Q2 - 0:30.0BOSScalabrine 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gomes 2 AST)43
28.0%
46
72.0%
Q2 - 0:46.0BOSJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)43
34.5%
43
65.5%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 243
34.8%
43
65.2%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 243
36.9%
43
63.1%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAPosey Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)43
36.7%
43
63.3%
Q2 - 1:17BOSJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)42
33.4%
43
66.6%
Q2 - 1:17BOSJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)42
34.3%
42
65.7%
Q2 - 1:17BOSJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
37.8%
41
62.2%
Q2 - 1:19BOSMISS Gomes 19' Jump Shot42
38.9%
41
61.1%
Q2 - 1:31BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
37.8%
41
62.2%
Q2 - 1:33MIAMISS Posey 22' Jump Shot42
38.3%
41
61.7%
Q2 - 1:57BOSGomes Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)42
39.4%
41
60.6%
Q2 - 2:08BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
37.0%
41
63.0%
Q2 - 2:10MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 242
37.4%
41
62.6%
Q2 - 2:10MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)42
39.4%
41
60.6%
Q2 - 2:18MIAPosey Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)41
36.8%
41
63.2%
Q2 - 2:31MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
33.9%
41
66.1%
Q2 - 2:33BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
33.2%
41
66.8%
Q2 - 2:50MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)40
31.5%
41
68.5%
Q2 - 2:50MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)39
30.5%
41
69.5%
Q2 - 3:05BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)38
28.9%
41
71.1%
Q2 - 3:22MIAWalker 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)38
33.7%
38
66.3%
Q2 - 3:39BOSAllen 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)35
28.9%
38
71.1%
Q2 - 3:50MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
31.1%
36
68.9%
Q2 - 3:50MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
30.7%
36
69.3%
Q2 - 3:52MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
28.9%
36
71.1%
Q2 - 3:54BOSMISS Olowokandi 13' Jump Shot33
28.1%
36
71.9%
Q2 - 4:11MIADoleac 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)33
26.5%
36
73.5%
Q2 - 4:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)31
24.3%
36
75.7%
Q2 - 4:24BOSMISS Scalabrine 3PT Jump Shot31
23.6%
36
76.4%
Q2 - 4:50MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)31
22.2%
36
77.8%
Q2 - 4:50MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)30
21.8%
36
78.2%
Q2 - 4:56MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
20.3%
36
79.7%
Q2 - 4:57BOSMISS Olowokandi 13' Jump Shot29
19.7%
36
80.3%
Q2 - 5:11MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
18.6%
36
81.4%
Q2 - 5:11MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
18.2%
36
81.8%
Q2 - 5:26BOSOlowokandi 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9)27
17.1%
36
82.9%
Q2 - 5:45BOSOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
15.4%
36
84.6%
Q2 - 5:47MIAMISS Kapono 16' Jump Shot27
15.9%
36
84.1%
Q2 - 5:51MIAHeat Rebound27
17.0%
36
83.0%
Q2 - 5:52MIAGreene BLOCK (1 BLK)27
15.9%
36
84.1%
Q2 - 5:54BOSGreene Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)27
17.0%
36
83.0%
Q2 - 6:10BOSOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
15.7%
36
84.3%
Q2 - 6:12MIAMISS Walker 3' Layup27
16.2%
36
83.8%
Q2 - 6:34BOSGreene 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Scalabrine 1 AST)27
17.5%
36
82.5%
Q2 - 6:44BOSOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
20.5%
33
79.5%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS Walker 2' Layup27
21.2%
33
78.8%
Q2 - 7:00BOSGreen Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)27
22.8%
33
77.2%
Q2 - 7:19MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)27
21.2%
33
78.8%
Q2 - 7:28MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
18.0%
33
82.0%
Q2 - 7:30BOSMISS Scalabrine 18' Jump Shot24
17.4%
33
82.6%
Q2 - 7:43MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)24
16.3%
33
83.7%
Q2 - 7:45MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
17.9%
33
82.1%
Q2 - 7:47MIAOlowokandi BLOCK (1 BLK)24
16.8%
33
83.2%
Q2 - 8:08BOSGreene Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)24
18.1%
33
81.9%
Q2 - 8:27MIAKapono 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)24
21.2%
30
78.8%
Q2 - 8:40BOSScalabrine 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)22
19.7%
30
80.3%
Q2 - 8:56MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)22
21.2%
28
78.8%
Q2 - 9:12BOSOlowokandi 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)19
18.3%
28
81.7%
Q2 - 9:24BOSOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
19.7%
26
80.3%
Q2 - 9:26MIAMISS Kapono Free Throw 2 of 219
19.9%
26
80.1%
Q2 - 9:26MIAMISS Kapono Free Throw 1 of 219
21.1%
26
78.9%
Q2 - 9:40BOSOlowokandi 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)19
21.5%
26
78.5%
Q2 - 10:02BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
23.2%
24
76.8%
Q2 - 10:04MIAMISS Anderson 22' Jump Shot19
23.8%
24
76.2%
Q2 - 10:11MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
25.3%
24
74.7%
Q2 - 10:13BOSMISS Scalabrine 14' Jump Shot19
24.6%
24
75.4%
Q2 - 10:31MIAKapono 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
23.2%
24
76.8%
Q2 - 10:40MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
21.7%
24
78.3%
Q2 - 10:42BOSMISS Jones Layup17
21.1%
24
78.9%
Q2 - 10:46BOSJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
19.9%
24
80.1%
Q2 - 10:47BOSMISS Olowokandi 11' Jump Shot17
21.1%
24
78.9%
Q2 - 11:03BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
20.0%
24
80.0%
Q2 - 11:04MIAMISS Barron 13' Jump Shot17
20.5%
24
79.5%
Q2 - 11:18BOSScalabrine Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)17
21.6%
24
78.4%
Q2 - 11:32BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
20.0%
24
80.0%
Q2 - 11:33MIAMISS Barron 1' Layup17
20.5%
24
79.5%
Q2 - 11:35MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
21.6%
24
78.4%
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS Kapono 21' Jump Shot17
20.5%
24
79.5%
Q2 - 11:42MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
21.6%
24
78.4%
Q2 - 11:45MIAMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
20.5%
24
79.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA17
21.6%
24
78.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSGomes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)17
21.6%
24
78.4%
Q1 - 0:04.0BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
25.3%
21
74.7%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Anderson Free Throw 2 of 217
25.5%
21
74.5%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
26.9%
21
73.1%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
24.9%
21
75.1%
Q1 - 0:20.0BOSMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
24.5%
21
75.5%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIASimien Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
23.5%
21
76.5%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIASimien Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
23.2%
21
76.8%
Q1 - 0:52.0BOSJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)14
21.5%
21
78.5%
Q1 - 0:52.0BOSMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 214
22.0%
20
78.0%
Q1 - 1:12BOSJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
22.0%
20
78.0%
Q1 - 1:13MIAMISS Simien 4' Hook Shot14
22.3%
20
77.7%
Q1 - 1:15MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
23.2%
20
76.8%
Q1 - 1:17MIAMISS Anderson 20' Jump Shot14
22.3%
20
77.7%
Q1 - 1:42MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
23.2%
20
76.8%
Q1 - 1:43BOSMISS Greene 21' Jump Shot14
22.8%
20
77.2%
Q1 - 2:08BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
22.0%
20
78.0%
Q1 - 2:10MIAMISS Barron 13' Jump Shot14
22.4%
20
77.6%
Q1 - 2:25MIASimien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
23.5%
20
76.5%
Q1 - 2:26BOSMISS Green 18' Jump Shot14
23.0%
20
77.0%
Q1 - 2:32BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)14
22.0%
20
78.0%
Q1 - 2:34MIAMISS Barron 15' Jump Shot14
22.4%
20
77.6%
Q1 - 2:45BOSGomes Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)14
23.5%
20
76.5%
Q1 - 2:45BOSGomes Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)14
23.9%
19
76.1%
Q1 - 2:51BOSJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
25.4%
18
74.6%
Q1 - 2:53BOSMISS LaFrentz 3' Layup14
26.5%
18
73.5%
Q1 - 3:00BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
25.4%
18
74.6%
Q1 - 3:02MIAMISS Payton 17' Jump Shot14
25.9%
18
74.1%
Q1 - 3:12MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
27.3%
18
72.7%
Q1 - 3:14BOSMISS LaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
26.7%
18
73.3%
Q1 - 3:24BOSJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
25.3%
18
74.7%
Q1 - 3:25MIAMISS Posey 18' Jump Shot14
25.9%
18
74.1%
Q1 - 3:35BOSGomes Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)14
27.3%
18
72.7%
Q1 - 3:35BOSGomes Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
27.7%
17
72.3%
Q1 - 3:38BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)14
28.9%
16
71.1%
Q1 - 3:40MIAMISS Posey 1' Layup14
29.5%
16
70.5%
Q1 - 3:46BOSLaFrentz Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)14
31.0%
16
69.0%
Q1 - 3:48BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)14
28.9%
16
71.1%
Q1 - 3:50MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
29.5%
16
70.5%
Q1 - 4:10MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
30.9%
16
69.1%
Q1 - 4:12BOSMISS Greene Free Throw 2 of 214
30.6%
16
69.4%
Q1 - 4:12BOSGreene Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
29.6%
16
70.4%
Q1 - 4:18BOSCELTICS Rebound14
30.5%
15
69.5%
Q1 - 4:18BOSMISS Gomes 2' Layup14
32.1%
15
67.9%
Q1 - 4:24MIALaFrentz STEAL (1 STL)14
30.5%
15
69.5%
Q1 - 4:30BOSGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)14
32.8%
15
67.2%
Q1 - 4:49BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
30.5%
15
69.5%
Q1 - 4:50MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot14
31.2%
15
68.8%
Q1 - 5:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)14
32.5%
15
67.5%
Q1 - 5:05BOSMISS Perkins 2' Reverse Layup14
31.8%
15
68.2%
Q1 - 5:25MIADoleac 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)14
30.5%
15
69.5%
Q1 - 5:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)12
28.9%
15
71.1%
Q1 - 5:32BOSMISS Greene 19' Jump Shot12
28.3%
15
71.7%
Q1 - 5:41BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
27.0%
15
73.0%
Q1 - 5:43MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
27.6%
15
72.4%
Q1 - 5:53BOSPerkins Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)12
28.9%
15
71.1%
Q1 - 6:01BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
27.1%
15
72.9%
Q1 - 6:03MIAMISS Wright 22' Jump Shot12
27.6%
15
72.4%
Q1 - 6:19BOSGreene 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gomes 1 AST)12
28.8%
15
71.2%
Q1 - 6:39MIAHaslem 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)12
30.4%
13
69.6%
Q1 - 6:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
28.8%
13
71.2%
Q1 - 6:40MIAMISS Doleac 16' Jump Shot10
27.6%
13
72.4%
Q1 - 6:46MIAHeat Rebound10
28.8%
13
71.2%
Q1 - 6:46MIAPerkins BLOCK (3 BLK)10
27.6%
13
72.4%
Q1 - 6:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
28.8%
13
71.2%
Q1 - 7:01BOSMISS Perkins 10' Jump Shot10
28.4%
13
71.6%
Q1 - 7:17MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)10
27.3%
13
72.7%
Q1 - 7:17MIAMISS Doleac Free Throw 1 of 29
26.9%
13
73.1%
Q1 - 7:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
27.4%
13
72.6%
Q1 - 7:28BOSMISS Green 16' Jump Shot9
26.9%
13
73.1%
Q1 - 7:46MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
25.8%
13
74.2%
Q1 - 7:46MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
25.5%
13
74.5%
Q1 - 7:48BOSAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)7
24.5%
13
75.5%
Q1 - 7:50BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
22.9%
13
77.1%
Q1 - 7:53MIAPerkins BLOCK (2 BLK)7
23.4%
13
76.6%
Q1 - 8:19BOSGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
24.5%
13
75.5%
Q1 - 8:19BOSGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
24.8%
12
75.2%
Q1 - 8:34BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
25.8%
11
74.2%
Q1 - 8:36MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot7
26.3%
11
73.7%
Q1 - 8:52BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)7
27.5%
11
72.5%
Q1 - 8:55BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
30.4%
8
69.6%
Q1 - 8:56MIAPerkins BLOCK (1 BLK)7
30.9%
8
69.1%
Q1 - 9:21BOSGomes 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)7
32.1%
8
67.9%
Q1 - 9:30MIADoleac 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
33.4%
6
66.6%
Q1 - 9:46BOSGomes 1' Layup (2 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)5
32.1%
6
67.9%
Q1 - 10:00MIAWalker 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)5
33.4%
4
66.6%
Q1 - 10:06BOSAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
30.3%
4
69.7%
Q1 - 10:10BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.6%
4
71.4%
Q1 - 10:12MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot2
29.1%
4
70.9%
Q1 - 10:22BOSGreen 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
30.3%
4
69.7%
Q1 - 10:31MIAWright 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 10:50BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
30.3%
2
69.7%
Q1 - 10:50BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
30.7%
1
69.3%
Q1 - 10:54BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.7%
0
68.3%
Q1 - 10:56MIAMISS Walker 4' Jump Shot0
32.3%
0
67.7%
Q1 - 11:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.3%
0
66.7%
Q1 - 11:04BOSMISS Perkins 4' Hook Shot0
32.9%
0
67.1%
Q1 - 11:14BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.9%
0
68.1%
Q1 - 11:16MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
32.3%
0
67.7%
Q1 - 11:33MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.4%
0
66.6%
Q1 - 11:35BOSMISS LaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
32.9%
0
67.1%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Perkins vs. Doleac: Tip to LaFrentz0
31.8%
0
68.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 43.8%
BOS
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
8
23
35%
BOS
13
28
46%
Midrange
MIA
10
35
29%
BOS
10
32
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
BOS
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
Free Throws
MIA
27
37
73%
BOS
27
32
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wright2067%10.0 / 15
A. Walker1458%7.0 / 12
J. Kapono950%4.5 / 9
W. Simien964%4.5 / 7
U. Haslem844%4.0 / 9
J. Posey840%4.0 / 10
M. Doleac744%3.5 / 8
D. Anderson217%1.0 / 6
E. Barron17%0.5 / 7
G. Payton0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Gomes1968%9.5 / 14
T. Allen1765%8.5 / 13
O. Greene1464%7.0 / 11
B. Scalabrine1056%5.0 / 9
G. Green836%4.0 / 11
D. Jones758%3.5 / 6
K. Perkins417%2.0 / 12
M. Olowokandi429%2.0 / 7
R. LaFrentz220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+9
-13
88
BOS
78
+13
-16
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 43.8%
BOS
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
104.8
MIA 84.8
BOS 90.4 +5.6
Pace
92.2
92.6
MIA 99.9 +12.8
BOS 87.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
15.1
MIA 14.4 +2.1
BOS 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
50.4%
MIA 35.9%
BOS 38.7% +2.8%
TO %
15.0%
17.0%
MIA 14.7% +0.5%
BOS 15.2%
ORB %
26.8%
25.7%
MIA 14.6%
BOS 22.2% +7.6%
FTrt
36.3
34.9
MIA 52.1 +9.4
BOS 42.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
58.1%
MIA 52.2% +15.2%
BOS 37.0%
STL %
6.9%
7.5%
MIA 9.8%
BOS 10.6% +0.8%
BLK %
8.5%
8.1%
MIA 5.0%
BOS 10.3% +5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
53.6%
MIA 43.8%
BOS 46.7% +2.9%
Rim FG%
64.2%
57.3%
MIA 34.8%
BOS 46.4% +11.6%
Mid FG%
38.9%
41.6%
MIA 28.6%
BOS 31.3% +2.7%
3P %
34.5%
36.2%
MIA 38.5% +11.8%
BOS 26.7%
FT %
70.0%
75.5%
MIA 73.0%
BOS 84.4% +11.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
39.4%
MIA 32.4%
BOS 37.3% +4.9%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
40.2%
MIA 49.3%
BOS 42.7% +6.6%
3P Att. %
22.7%
20.4%
MIA 18.3%
BOS 20.0% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9294
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points7885
Rebounds4251
Assists1210
Steals910
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)41 (2)
Field Goals23-7127-75
At-the-Rim FG8-2313-28
Midrange FG10-3510-32
2-Point FG18-5823-60
3-Point FG5-134-15
Free Throws27-3727-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'9" 205 · 20
30.3
20
67%
7
3
2
0
4
3
0
7
10-12
83%
5-9
56%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
26.1
7
44%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
23.9
14
58%
2
1
1
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
4-7
57%
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
22.1
8
44%
8
0
2
0
0
3
2
6
2-4
50%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
9.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
33.8
9
50%
5
1
0
0
2
2
1
4
3-5
60%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 217 · 29
31.1
8
40%
5
2
2
1
0
4
0
5
3-3
100%
1-8
13%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
24.1
9
64%
5
0
2
0
4
3
2
3
3-3
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 195 · 32
19.2
2
17%
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
16.7
1
7%
5
0
0
0
2
3
1
4
1-2
50%
0-6
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 36
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#55 · G · 6'1" 180 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
78
44%
42
12
9
3
13
0
7
35
27-37
73%
18-58
31%
5-13
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.