FinalWin Prob.pScore
1246%94
93
2554%95
88
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
94.99880.5
ATL logo ATL
92.69595.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
OT1 - 0:00.0ATL93
100%
88
0%
OT1 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Shel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 291
99.1%
88
0.9%
OT1 - 0:03.0ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)91
97.8%
88
2.2%
OT1 - 0:03.0ATLHAWKS Rebound91
99.5%
87
0.5%
OT1 - 0:04.0ATLMISS Johnson 29' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.8%
87
0.2%
OT1 - 0:14.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)91
96.6%
87
3.4%
OT1 - 0:14.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)90
96.0%
87
4.0%
OT1 - 0:16.0ATLJohnson 4' Jump Shot (22 PTS)89
92.2%
87
7.8%
OT1 - 0:23.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)89
94.7%
85
5.3%
OT1 - 0:23.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)88
93.9%
85
6.1%
OT1 - 0:24.0ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)87
89.8%
85
10.2%
OT1 - 0:24.0ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)87
91.3%
84
8.7%
OT1 - 0:25.0ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
94.3%
83
5.7%
OT1 - 0:27.0ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 287
97.4%
83
2.6%
OT1 - 0:27.0ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 287
95.6%
83
4.4%
OT1 - 0:38.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)87
98.0%
81
2.0%
OT1 - 0:38.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)86
97.7%
81
2.3%
OT1 - 0:38.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)85
96.4%
81
3.6%
OT1 - 0:40.0ATLMISS Johnson 3' Layup85
95.1%
81
4.9%
OT1 - 0:48.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)85
90.5%
81
9.5%
OT1 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 284
89.5%
81
10.5%
OT1 - 1:02MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)84
89.0%
81
11.0%
OT1 - 1:04ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
86.4%
81
13.6%
OT1 - 1:31MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)84
76.1%
81
23.9%
OT1 - 1:48MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
54.2%
81
45.8%
OT1 - 1:50ATLMISS Lue 29' 3PT Jump Shot81
50.2%
81
49.8%
OT1 - 2:05MIAWade 28' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS)81
40.1%
81
59.9%
OT1 - 2:19ATLLue Layup (11 PTS) (Shel. Williams 1 AST)78
24.4%
81
75.6%
OT1 - 2:22ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
29.3%
79
70.7%
OT1 - 2:24MIASmith BLOCK (4 BLK)78
33.8%
79
66.2%
OT1 - 2:43ATLStoudamire 29' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lue 5 AST)78
45.5%
79
54.5%
OT1 - 3:03MIAWade 13' Jump Bank Shot (29 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)78
61.3%
76
38.7%
OT1 - 3:17MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)76
55.4%
76
44.6%
OT1 - 3:19ATLMISS Stoudamire 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
50.7%
76
49.3%
OT1 - 3:37MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)76
42.6%
76
57.4%
OT1 - 3:37MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)75
40.8%
76
59.2%
OT1 - 3:56ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)74
34.1%
76
65.9%
OT1 - 3:56ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)74
35.9%
75
64.1%
OT1 - 4:01ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
42.4%
74
57.6%
OT1 - 4:02MIAMISS Mourning Layup74
45.3%
74
54.7%
OT1 - 4:04MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)74
52.2%
74
47.8%
OT1 - 4:07MIASmith BLOCK (3 BLK)74
45.3%
74
54.7%
OT1 - 4:23MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)74
52.3%
74
47.7%
OT1 - 4:25ATLMISS Lue 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
49.2%
74
50.8%
OT1 - 4:46MIASmith STEAL (2 STL)74
42.2%
74
57.8%
OT1 - 5:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Mourning: Tip to Williams74
52.3%
74
47.7%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
61.4%
74
38.6%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Walker 28' 3PT Jump Shot74
42.7%
74
57.3%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
58.7%
74
41.3%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot74
43.7%
74
56.3%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
57.3%
74
42.7%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
44.8%
74
55.2%
Q4 - 1:12ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)74
55.2%
74
44.8%
Q4 - 1:12ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)74
57.9%
73
42.1%
Q4 - 1:29MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)74
65.6%
72
34.4%
Q4 - 1:29MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)73
63.2%
72
36.8%
Q4 - 1:29MIAHeat Rebound72
55.2%
72
44.8%
Q4 - 1:30MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot72
44.5%
72
55.5%
Q4 - 1:43MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
54.4%
72
45.6%
Q4 - 1:44ATLMISS Stoudamire 19' Jump Shot72
50.3%
72
49.7%
Q4 - 2:09ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)72
40.0%
72
60.0%
Q4 - 2:10MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 272
42.2%
72
57.8%
Q4 - 2:10MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 272
47.6%
72
52.4%
Q4 - 2:11MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
56.5%
72
43.5%
Q4 - 2:13MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
44.9%
72
55.1%
Q4 - 2:32MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)72
56.9%
72
43.1%
Q4 - 2:35ATLMISS Stoudamire 28' 3PT Jump Shot72
51.7%
72
48.3%
Q4 - 2:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)72
40.3%
72
59.7%
Q4 - 2:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)71
38.5%
72
61.5%
Q4 - 3:09MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
34.3%
72
65.7%
Q4 - 3:10ATLMISS Smith Layup70
30.2%
72
69.8%
Q4 - 3:17MIAClaxton STEAL (1 STL)70
21.9%
72
78.1%
Q4 - 3:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)70
34.4%
72
65.6%
Q4 - 3:38ATLMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot70
31.7%
72
68.3%
Q4 - 3:43ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)70
26.1%
72
73.9%
Q4 - 3:44MIAMISS Wright 8' Jump Shot70
28.4%
72
71.6%
Q4 - 4:00MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)70
34.0%
72
66.0%
Q4 - 4:06ATLMISS Claxton 3' Layup70
31.3%
72
68.7%
Q4 - 4:30MIAMourning 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)70
25.5%
72
74.5%
Q4 - 4:53ATLWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
19.2%
72
80.8%
Q4 - 4:53ATLWright Dunk (6 PTS)68
19.2%
72
80.8%
Q4 - 4:55ATLMISS Johnson Layup68
31.1%
70
68.9%
Q4 - 4:58ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)68
25.4%
70
74.6%
Q4 - 5:01ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot68
32.7%
70
67.3%
Q4 - 5:24MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)68
27.6%
70
72.4%
Q4 - 5:43MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)65
16.4%
70
83.6%
Q4 - 5:46ATLMISS Lue Free Throw 2 of 265
15.8%
70
84.2%
Q4 - 5:46ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)65
12.8%
70
87.2%
Q4 - 5:53ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)65
16.2%
69
83.8%
Q4 - 5:54MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot65
17.7%
69
82.3%
Q4 - 6:11ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)65
23.7%
69
76.3%
Q4 - 6:11ATLSmith Tip Shot (16 PTS)65
23.7%
69
76.3%
Q4 - 6:13ATLMISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot65
33.9%
67
66.1%
Q4 - 6:37MIAWright 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)65
28.6%
67
71.4%
Q4 - 6:51MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
23.6%
67
76.4%
Q4 - 6:53ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
21.7%
67
78.3%
Q4 - 7:11ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
20.1%
67
79.9%
Q4 - 7:13MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
21.7%
67
78.3%
Q4 - 7:35ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)63
25.5%
67
74.5%
Q4 - 7:35ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 263
26.8%
66
73.2%
Q4 - 7:48MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)63
24.7%
66
75.3%
Q4 - 7:48MIAMourning Layup (7 PTS)63
24.7%
66
75.3%
Q4 - 7:49MIAMISS Walker 12' Jump Shot61
17.2%
66
82.8%
Q4 - 8:06MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
21.9%
66
78.1%
Q4 - 8:07ATLMISS Lue 28' 3PT Jump Shot61
20.5%
66
79.5%
Q4 - 8:10ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
17.8%
66
82.2%
Q4 - 8:14MIAMISS Wright 1' Dunk61
18.9%
66
81.1%
Q4 - 8:22ATLStoudamire Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)61
21.8%
66
78.2%
Q4 - 8:42ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)61
17.7%
66
82.3%
Q4 - 8:44ATLWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
17.7%
66
82.3%
Q4 - 8:44ATLMISS Wright Layup61
20.5%
66
79.5%
Q4 - 8:47ATLMISS Lue 19' Jump Shot61
20.4%
66
79.6%
Q4 - 8:51ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
17.6%
66
82.4%
Q4 - 8:53MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot61
18.8%
66
81.2%
Q4 - 9:16ATLLue 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)61
23.1%
66
76.9%
Q4 - 9:38MIAWade Layup (25 PTS)61
27.3%
64
72.7%
Q4 - 9:56ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)59
23.0%
64
77.0%
Q4 - 9:56ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)59
24.0%
63
76.0%
Q4 - 10:06ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
28.1%
62
71.9%
Q4 - 10:08MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 259
28.7%
62
71.3%
Q4 - 10:08MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)59
32.0%
62
68.0%
Q4 - 10:24ATLJohnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lue 4 AST)58
28.4%
62
71.6%
Q4 - 10:41MIAStoudamire STEAL (1 STL)58
38.1%
59
61.9%
Q4 - 10:53MIAHeat Rebound58
44.0%
59
56.0%
Q4 - 10:53MIAMISS Mourning 3' Layup58
39.8%
59
60.2%
Q4 - 11:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)58
43.8%
59
56.2%
Q4 - 11:09ATLMISS Smith 1' Layup58
42.1%
59
57.9%
Q4 - 11:22ATLHAWKS Rebound58
38.3%
59
61.7%
Q4 - 11:23MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot58
40.0%
59
60.0%
Q4 - 11:40MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
43.8%
59
56.2%
Q4 - 11:42ATLMISS Bozeman Layup58
42.1%
59
57.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA58
38.3%
59
61.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound58
43.8%
59
56.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup58
40.0%
59
60.0%
Q3 - 0:14.0ATLWright Foul Turnover (P1.T10)58
43.9%
59
56.1%
Q3 - 0:31.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)58
38.9%
59
61.1%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Williams 9' Jump Shot58
40.4%
59
59.6%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
43.9%
59
56.1%
Q3 - 0:58.0ATLMISS Johnson Layup58
42.4%
59
57.6%
Q3 - 1:01ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
39.2%
59
60.8%
Q3 - 1:02ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 158
43.4%
59
56.6%
Q3 - 1:16MIAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)58
48.8%
57
51.2%
Q3 - 1:30MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
44.1%
57
55.9%
Q3 - 1:31ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
42.6%
57
57.4%
Q3 - 1:42ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
39.2%
57
60.8%
Q3 - 1:43MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot56
40.7%
57
59.3%
Q3 - 2:02ATLSmith 1' Dunk (13 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)56
43.8%
57
56.2%
Q3 - 2:06ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
48.0%
55
52.0%
Q3 - 2:08MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot56
49.6%
55
50.4%
Q3 - 2:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)56
53.1%
55
46.9%
Q3 - 2:23ATLMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot56
51.6%
55
48.4%
Q3 - 2:36ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)56
48.1%
55
51.9%
Q3 - 2:37MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot56
49.6%
55
50.4%
Q3 - 2:56ATLSmith 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)56
53.2%
55
46.8%
Q3 - 3:09MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)56
57.1%
53
42.9%
Q3 - 3:20MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
53.0%
53
47.0%
Q3 - 3:21ATLMISS Lue 28' 3PT Jump Shot54
51.5%
53
48.5%
Q3 - 3:34MIASmith STEAL (1 STL)54
48.2%
53
51.8%
Q3 - 3:53MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
52.9%
53
47.1%
Q3 - 3:55ATLMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 154
52.3%
53
47.7%
Q3 - 4:08ATLHAWKS Rebound54
56.2%
51
43.8%
Q3 - 4:08MIASmith BLOCK (2 BLK)54
57.7%
51
42.3%
Q3 - 4:27ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)54
61.1%
51
38.9%
Q3 - 4:27ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)54
61.9%
50
38.1%
Q3 - 4:49MIAWade 1' Dunk (22 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)54
64.6%
49
35.4%
Q3 - 4:59ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)52
61.2%
49
38.8%
Q3 - 5:22ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)52
56.1%
49
43.9%
Q3 - 5:24MIAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot52
57.4%
49
42.6%
Q3 - 5:51ATLPachulia 2' Layup (10 PTS)52
60.5%
49
39.5%
Q3 - 6:02ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)52
63.2%
47
36.8%
Q3 - 6:04MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot52
64.4%
47
35.6%
Q3 - 6:29ATLSmith 1' Layup (9 PTS)52
67.2%
47
32.8%
Q3 - 6:35ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
70.4%
45
29.6%
Q3 - 6:36MIAMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot52
71.5%
45
28.5%
Q3 - 6:49ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)52
73.9%
45
26.1%
Q3 - 6:53MIAJohnson STEAL (2 STL)52
79.4%
42
20.6%
Q3 - 7:08ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)52
81.0%
42
19.0%
Q3 - 7:08ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)52
81.6%
41
18.4%
Q3 - 7:25MIADoleac 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)52
83.0%
40
17.0%
Q3 - 7:41ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)50
81.1%
40
18.9%
Q3 - 7:41ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)50
81.6%
39
18.4%
Q3 - 7:52MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)50
83.0%
38
17.0%
Q3 - 8:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
78.0%
38
22.0%
Q3 - 8:04ATLMISS Claxton 2' Layup47
77.1%
38
22.9%
Q3 - 8:21MIADoleac 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)47
74.9%
38
25.1%
Q3 - 8:31MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
72.4%
38
27.6%
Q3 - 8:32ATLMISS Pachulia 3' Layup45
71.3%
38
28.7%
Q3 - 8:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)45
68.8%
38
31.2%
Q3 - 8:45MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS)45
68.8%
38
31.2%
Q3 - 8:48MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup43
63.2%
38
36.8%
Q3 - 8:56MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
66.0%
38
34.0%
Q3 - 8:58ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
64.8%
38
35.2%
Q3 - 9:05ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw Technical43
61.4%
38
38.6%
Q3 - 9:17ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)43
61.4%
38
38.6%
Q3 - 9:18MIAMISS Payton 5' Jump Shot43
62.5%
38
37.5%
Q3 - 9:39ATLJohnson 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS)43
65.0%
38
35.0%
Q3 - 9:49ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)43
68.2%
36
31.8%
Q3 - 9:50MIAMISS Payton 17' Jump Shot43
69.2%
36
30.8%
Q3 - 10:00MIAHeat Rebound43
71.4%
36
28.6%
Q3 - 10:00MIAMISS Mourning 6' Jump Shot43
69.2%
36
30.8%
Q3 - 10:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)43
70.7%
36
29.3%
Q3 - 10:17ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)43
67.3%
36
32.7%
Q3 - 10:17ATLMISS Smith Layup43
69.7%
36
30.3%
Q3 - 10:17ATLMISS Shel. Williams 2' Layup43
69.7%
36
30.3%
Q3 - 10:40MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)43
67.4%
36
32.6%
Q3 - 10:40MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 242
66.3%
36
33.7%
Q3 - 11:05ATLPachulia Layup (6 PTS)42
67.0%
36
33.0%
Q3 - 11:07ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
69.9%
34
30.1%
Q3 - 11:08ATLMISS Claxton 19' Jump Shot42
71.9%
34
28.1%
Q3 - 11:23MIAPachulia STEAL (1 STL)42
69.9%
34
30.1%
Q3 - 11:37ATLSmith 2' Layup (5 PTS)42
72.9%
34
27.1%
Q3 - 11:41ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
75.4%
32
24.6%
Q3 - 11:43MIAMISS Payton Layup42
76.2%
32
23.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL42
78.0%
32
22.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound42
75.4%
32
24.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Lue 28' 3PT Jump Shot42
77.2%
32
22.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS)42
74.9%
32
25.1%
Q2 - 0:22.0ATLStoudamire 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)40
71.5%
32
28.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAWilliams 1' Layup (2 PTS)40
74.9%
30
25.1%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)38
71.6%
30
28.4%
Q2 - 0:40.0ATLMISS Lue 2' Layup38
71.0%
30
29.0%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)38
69.6%
30
30.4%
Q2 - 1:10MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
65.0%
30
35.0%
Q2 - 1:12ATLMISS Stoudamire 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
64.6%
30
35.4%
Q2 - 1:29MIAWalker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T7)36
63.5%
30
36.5%
Q2 - 1:32MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
65.1%
30
34.9%
Q2 - 1:34ATLMISS Wright 11' Jump Shot36
64.6%
30
35.4%
Q2 - 1:54MIAHaslem 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)36
63.5%
30
36.5%
Q2 - 2:05MIAHeat Rebound34
59.1%
30
40.9%
Q2 - 2:06ATLMISS Claxton 19' Jump Shot34
58.3%
30
41.7%
Q2 - 2:23MIAWalker 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
56.3%
30
43.7%
Q2 - 2:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)32
52.9%
30
47.1%
Q2 - 2:44ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot32
52.1%
30
47.9%
Q2 - 3:03MIAWade 4' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)32
49.5%
30
50.5%
Q2 - 3:16ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)30
46.9%
30
53.1%
Q2 - 3:16ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 230
47.6%
29
52.4%
Q2 - 3:21ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
46.5%
29
53.5%
Q2 - 3:24MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
47.5%
29
52.5%
Q2 - 3:40ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)30
49.9%
29
50.1%
Q2 - 3:46ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
46.5%
29
53.5%
Q2 - 3:47MIAMISS Mourning 10' Jump Shot30
47.6%
29
52.4%
Q2 - 4:13ATLJohnson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)30
49.4%
29
50.6%
Q2 - 4:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)30
52.3%
27
47.7%
Q2 - 4:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)29
51.8%
27
48.2%
Q2 - 4:47ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
49.4%
27
50.6%
Q2 - 4:47ATLPachulia Layup (4 PTS)28
49.4%
27
50.6%
Q2 - 4:52ATLMISS Claxton 2' Layup28
54.3%
25
45.7%
Q2 - 4:58ATLWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
52.3%
25
47.7%
Q2 - 4:59MIAMISS Mourning Layup28
53.2%
25
46.8%
Q2 - 5:01MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
55.1%
25
44.9%
Q2 - 5:03MIAMISS Payton 27' 3PT Jump Shot28
53.0%
25
47.0%
Q2 - 5:26MIAHeat Rebound28
55.1%
25
44.9%
Q2 - 5:26ATLMISS Pachulia 10' Jump Shot28
54.2%
25
45.8%
Q2 - 5:46MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)28
52.1%
25
47.9%
Q2 - 6:14ATLStoudamire 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)26
49.5%
25
50.5%
Q2 - 6:24ATLClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
54.5%
22
45.5%
Q2 - 6:26MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot26
55.5%
22
44.5%
Q2 - 6:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)26
57.7%
22
42.3%
Q2 - 6:33MIAMISS Payton 20' Jump Shot26
55.5%
22
44.5%
Q2 - 6:58ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
57.7%
22
42.3%
Q2 - 6:58ATLPachulia Layup (2 PTS)26
57.7%
22
42.3%
Q2 - 7:00ATLMISS Stoudamire 20' Jump Shot26
62.1%
20
37.9%
Q2 - 7:05ATLWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
59.5%
20
40.5%
Q2 - 7:07MIAMISS Payton 19' Jump Shot26
60.3%
20
39.7%
Q2 - 7:23ATLWright 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)26
62.2%
20
37.8%
Q2 - 7:30ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
64.5%
18
35.5%
Q2 - 7:32MIASmith BLOCK (1 BLK)26
65.3%
18
34.7%
Q2 - 7:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)26
67.1%
18
32.9%
Q2 - 7:53ATLMISS Stoudamire 27' 3PT Jump Shot26
66.3%
18
33.7%
Q2 - 8:10ATLWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
63.9%
18
36.1%
Q2 - 8:11MIAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot26
64.7%
18
35.3%
Q2 - 8:32ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)26
66.6%
18
33.4%
Q2 - 8:35ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)26
63.9%
18
36.1%
Q2 - 8:37MIAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)26
64.8%
18
35.2%
Q2 - 8:46ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)26
66.6%
18
33.4%
Q2 - 9:06MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)26
63.4%
18
36.6%
Q2 - 9:06MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)25
62.9%
18
37.1%
Q2 - 9:23ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)24
61.3%
18
38.7%
Q2 - 9:37ATLHAWKS Rebound24
63.4%
16
36.6%
Q2 - 9:37ATLMISS Wright 2' Layup24
65.2%
16
34.8%
Q2 - 9:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)24
63.4%
16
36.6%
Q2 - 9:48MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS)24
63.4%
16
36.6%
Q2 - 9:50MIAMISS Walker 5' Jump Shot22
59.4%
16
40.6%
Q2 - 10:14ATLLue 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
61.0%
16
39.0%
Q2 - 10:37ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
63.0%
14
37.0%
Q2 - 10:38MIAMISS Kapono 3PT Jump Shot22
63.8%
14
36.2%
Q2 - 10:57ATLShel. Williams 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)22
65.6%
14
34.4%
Q2 - 11:21MIAWalker 3' Layup (2 PTS)22
67.0%
12
33.0%
Q2 - 11:34MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
64.8%
12
35.2%
Q2 - 11:36ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 220
64.5%
12
35.5%
Q2 - 11:36ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 220
63.0%
12
37.0%
Q2 - 11:51MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)20
62.6%
12
37.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL20
64.9%
12
35.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound20
62.6%
12
37.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot20
64.2%
12
35.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)20
62.3%
12
37.7%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
59.5%
12
40.5%
Q1 - 0:25.0ATLMISS Lue 27' 3PT Jump Shot18
59.0%
12
41.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIALue STEAL (1 STL)18
57.7%
12
42.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)18
59.5%
12
40.5%
Q1 - 0:38.0ATLMISS Lue 20' Jump Shot18
59.0%
12
41.0%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
57.7%
12
42.3%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
57.4%
12
42.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0ATLBozeman Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)16
54.9%
12
45.1%
Q1 - 1:03ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
57.7%
10
42.3%
Q1 - 1:05ATLMISS Lue 27' 3PT Jump Shot16
58.9%
10
41.1%
Q1 - 1:30ATLBozeman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
57.7%
10
42.3%
Q1 - 1:33MIAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot16
58.2%
10
41.8%
Q1 - 1:39MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
59.5%
10
40.5%
Q1 - 1:43MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 216
57.9%
10
42.1%
Q1 - 1:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)16
59.6%
10
40.4%
Q1 - 2:02ATLLue 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
57.4%
10
42.6%
Q1 - 2:10MIAWright STEAL (1 STL)15
59.8%
8
40.2%
Q1 - 2:29ATLJohnson 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
61.9%
8
38.1%
Q1 - 2:38ATLWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
64.2%
6
35.8%
Q1 - 2:40MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot15
64.8%
6
35.2%
Q1 - 2:55ATLLue 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)15
66.2%
6
33.8%
Q1 - 3:20MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)15
67.3%
4
32.7%
Q1 - 3:29MIAHeat Rebound13
65.5%
4
34.5%
Q1 - 3:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)13
65.5%
4
34.5%
Q1 - 3:31MIAMISS Haslem Layup13
63.9%
4
36.1%
Q1 - 3:34MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup13
63.9%
4
36.1%
Q1 - 3:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)13
65.6%
4
34.4%
Q1 - 3:43ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot13
64.9%
4
35.1%
Q1 - 4:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
62.7%
4
37.3%
Q1 - 4:02MIAWade Layup (9 PTS)13
62.7%
4
37.3%
Q1 - 4:05MIAMISS Wade 3' Jump Shot11
59.2%
4
40.8%
Q1 - 4:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
61.0%
4
39.0%
Q1 - 4:23ATLMISS Pachulia 5' Jump Shot11
60.2%
4
39.8%
Q1 - 4:51ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
58.5%
4
41.5%
Q1 - 4:53MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot11
59.2%
4
40.8%
Q1 - 5:06ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)11
60.0%
4
40.0%
Q1 - 5:08ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
57.7%
4
42.3%
Q1 - 5:10ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
59.3%
4
40.7%
Q1 - 5:20ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
57.8%
4
42.2%
Q1 - 5:21MIAMISS Mourning 12' Jump Shot11
58.5%
4
41.5%
Q1 - 5:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
60.1%
4
39.9%
Q1 - 5:44ATLMISS Bozeman 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
59.4%
4
40.6%
Q1 - 5:54ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
57.8%
4
42.2%
Q1 - 5:55MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
58.5%
4
41.5%
Q1 - 6:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
59.2%
4
40.8%
Q1 - 6:14ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot11
58.6%
4
41.4%
Q1 - 6:30MIAWade 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)11
57.1%
4
42.9%
Q1 - 6:38MIAHeat Rebound9
55.3%
4
44.7%
Q1 - 6:38MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
53.8%
4
46.2%
Q1 - 6:46ATLPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)9
55.3%
4
44.7%
Q1 - 6:57MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)9
53.2%
4
46.8%
Q1 - 7:15ATLJohnson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)6
48.9%
4
51.1%
Q1 - 7:30MIAPayton Foul Turnover (P1.T3)6
50.6%
2
49.4%
Q1 - 7:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
52.7%
2
47.3%
Q1 - 7:35ATLMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot6
52.1%
2
47.9%
Q1 - 7:39ATLHAWKS Rebound6
50.6%
2
49.4%
Q1 - 7:40ATLMISS Shel. Williams 15' Jump Shot6
52.1%
2
47.9%
Q1 - 7:58MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)6
50.6%
2
49.4%
Q1 - 8:13ATLShel. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)4
49.1%
2
50.9%
Q1 - 8:16ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
47.0%
2
53.0%
Q1 - 8:17MIAMISS Walker 4' Jump Shot4
47.6%
2
52.4%
Q1 - 8:42ATLClaxton 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)4
49.1%
2
50.9%
Q1 - 8:56MIAMourning 2' Layup (2 PTS)4
50.7%
0
49.3%
Q1 - 9:17ATLJohnson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)2
49.0%
0
51.0%
Q1 - 9:39MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
46.6%
0
53.4%
Q1 - 9:42MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
45.3%
0
54.7%
Q1 - 9:45MIAPachulia BLOCK (1 BLK)0
43.6%
0
56.4%
Q1 - 9:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
45.3%
0
54.7%
Q1 - 9:58ATLMISS Pachulia 18' Jump Shot0
44.5%
0
55.5%
Q1 - 10:15MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)0
42.9%
0
57.1%
Q1 - 10:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.0%
0
55.0%
Q1 - 10:23ATLMISS Claxton 1' Layup0
44.4%
0
55.6%
Q1 - 10:33ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
42.9%
0
57.1%
Q1 - 10:34MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot0
43.6%
0
56.4%
Q1 - 10:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.0%
0
55.0%
Q1 - 10:42ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
44.4%
0
55.6%
Q1 - 10:59MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
42.9%
0
57.1%
Q1 - 11:11MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.8%
0
55.2%
Q1 - 11:12ATLMISS Shel. Williams 18' Jump Shot0
44.3%
0
55.7%
Q1 - 11:21ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
43.1%
0
56.9%
Q1 - 11:23MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot0
43.6%
0
56.4%
Q1 - 11:42ATLClaxton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
44.8%
0
55.2%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Mourning: Tip to Johnson0
43.1%
0
56.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.89 44.3%
ATL
0.84 41.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
34
44%
ATL
19
38
50%
Midrange
MIA
14
39
36%
ATL
11
27
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
15
20%
30%
ATL
3
4.5
24
13%
19%
Free Throws
MIA
26
32
81%
ATL
19
30
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3756%18.5 / 33
U. Haslem2170%10.5 / 15
J. Williams1050%5.0 / 10
A. Mourning935%4.5 / 13
M. Doleac8100%4.0 / 4
A. Walker415%2.0 / 13
D. Wright220%1.0 / 5
J. Kapono233%1.0 / 3
G. Payton0-0.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2244%11.0 / 25
J. Smith1644%8.0 / 18
T. Lue1341%6.5 / 16
Z. Pachulia1260%6.0 / 10
S. Stoudamire844%4.0 / 9
S. Williams750%3.5 / 7
L. Wright650%3.0 / 6
S. Claxton214%1.0 / 7
C. Bozeman233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
84
+21
-14
105
ATL
85
+18
-10
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.89 44.3%
ATL
0.84 41.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
102.9
MIA 94.9 +2.3
ATL 92.6
Pace
90.1
90.2
MIA 80.5
ATL 95.9 +15.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.2
MIA 17.9
ATL 15.0 +2.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
47.1%
MIA 38.1%
ATL 38.8% +0.7%
TO %
15.3%
16.7%
MIA 12.1%
ATL 9.7% +2.4%
ORB %
24.9%
29.3%
MIA 28.0% +4.4%
ATL 23.6%
FTrt
32.1
34.6
MIA 36.4 +2.7
ATL 33.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
55.6%
MIA 56.3% +13.9%
ATL 42.4%
STL %
7.6%
8.2%
MIA 6.1%
ATL 9.5% +3.4%
BLK %
8.8%
8.7%
MIA 10.8% +2.6%
ATL 8.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
50.8%
MIA 44.3% +2.4%
ATL 41.9%
Rim FG%
61.8%
55.2%
MIA 44.1%
ATL 50.0% +5.9%
Mid FG%
40.5%
39.3%
MIA 35.9%
ATL 40.7% +4.8%
3P %
34.3%
32.9%
MIA 20.0% +7.5%
ATL 12.5%
FT %
69.0%
76.1%
MIA 81.3% +18.0%
ATL 63.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
38.8%
MIA 38.6%
ATL 42.7% +4.1%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
44.9%
MIA 44.3%
ATL 30.3% +14.0%
3P Att. %
24.5%
16.3%
MIA 17.0%
ATL 27.0% +9.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions9895
Possession Minutes29.223.8
Points9388
Rebounds5649
Assists1814
Steals69
Blocks76
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (7)13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)42 (2)36 (2)
Field Goals32-8833-89
At-the-Rim FG15-3419-38
Midrange FG14-3911-27
2-Point FG29-7330-65
3-Point FG3-153-24
Free Throws26-3219-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
48.9
21
70%
17
2
0
0
3
3
4
13
7-7
100%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 25
48.8
37
56%
7
9
2
2
6
3
2
5
14-17
82%
10-23
43%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
34.9
9
35%
9
0
0
4
1
6
4
5
1-2
50%
4-12
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
32.0
4
15%
2
2
1
0
2
3
1
1
0-2
0%
2-6
33%
0-6
0%
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
16.8
0
0%
1
1
2
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-5
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 180 · 31
32.2
10
50%
4
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-7
29%
2-3
67%
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21
20.6
2
20%
10
0
1
0
0
4
0
10
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 217 · 30
10.5
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
10.3
8
100%
4
0
0
0
0
5
1
3
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
10.0
2
33%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 24
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'2" 175 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G · 6'2" 184 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
93
44%
56
18
6
7
14
0
14
42
26-32
81%
29-73
40%
3-15
20%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.