Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, November 18, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Heat | 46% | 94 | 93 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Bobcats | 30% | 93 | 83 |
 | 17 | Magic | 70% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 13 | Nets | 82% | 101 | 68 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Celtics | 51% | 102 | 122 |
 | 27 | Knicks | 49% | 101 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 5 | Pistons | 48% | 91 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 48% | 94 | 99 | |
 | 23 | Timberwolves | 52% | 95 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Bucks | 61% | 100 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Mavericks | 84% | 102 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Raptors | 26% | 103 | 109 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | SuperSonics | 33% | 102 | 95 | |
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Friday, November 17, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 51% | 96 | 100 | |
| 24 | Pacers | 49% | 95 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 25% | 94 | 90 |
| 19 | Celtics | 75% | 102 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 23% | 93 | 100 |
| 5 | Heat | 77% | 102 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 31% | 93 | 76 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 69% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 35% | 96 | 91 |
| 8 | Pistons | 65% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 68% | 97 | 115 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 32% | 91 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Bulls | 24% | 88 | 83 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 29% | 99 | 94 |
| 4 | Suns | 71% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 30% | 100 | 100 |
 | 13 | Lakers | 70% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Jazz | 38% | 104 | 118 |
| 9 | SuperSonics | 62% | 108 | 109 | |
Thursday, November 16, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 31% | 88 | 100 |
| 2 | Rockets | 69% | 94 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 14 | Warriors | 59% | 102 | 117 |
Wednesday, November 15, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nuggets | 36% | 99 | 99 |
| 14 | Magic | 64% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 14% | 86 | 87 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 86% | 100 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 44% | 96 | 88 |
| 21 | Celtics | 56% | 98 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 28% | 97 | 87 |
| 15 | Nets | 72% | 105 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 57% | 106 | 82 |
| 28 | Knicks | 43% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 28% | 91 | 100 | |
| 12 | Pistons | 72% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bobcats | 15% | 87 | 95 |
| 1 | Spurs | 85% | 101 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 23% | 89 | 111 |
| 11 | Kings | 77% | 98 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 33% | 99 | 96 |
| 8 | SuperSonics | 67% | 105 | 90 | |
Tuesday, November 14, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 44% | 101 | 103 |
| 25 | Hawks | 56% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nuggets | 34% | 97 | 112 |
| 6 | Heat | 66% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bobcats | 33% | 92 | 85 |
| 19 | Hornets | 67% | 98 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 26% | 90 | 89 |
| 17 | Timberwolves | 74% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 39% | 90 | 92 |
| 1 | Rockets | 61% | 94 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bulls | 33% | 92 | 99 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 67% | 97 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 53% | 103 | 90 |
| 20 | Jazz | 47% | 102 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 34% | 100 | 99 |
| 16 | Warriors | 66% | 106 | 110 |
Monday, November 13, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 44% | 98 | 92 |
| 21 | Celtics | 56% | 100 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SuperSonics | 45% | 101 | 119 | |
| 13 | Nets | 55% | 102 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 64% | 101 | 102 |
| 28 | Knicks | 36% | 97 | 96 |
Sunday, November 12, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 35% | 97 | 76 | |
| 6 | Clippers | 65% | 102 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 42% | 103 | 105 | |
| 11 | Wizards | 58% | 106 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nuggets | 51% | 102 | 108 |
| 26 | Bobcats | 49% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rockets | 49% | 91 | 94 |
| 4 | Heat | 51% | 92 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Raptors | 28% | 96 | 92 |
| 14 | Kings | 72% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 72% | 99 | 103 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 28% | 92 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 22% | 91 | 81 |
| 10 | Lakers | 78% | 101 | 91 |
Saturday, November 11, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | SuperSonics | 48% | 101 | 113 | |
| 26 | Hawks | 52% | 102 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Celtics | 22% | 92 | 93 |
| 8 | Cavaliers | 78% | 102 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 11% | 91 | 92 |
| 3 | Spurs | 89% | 106 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Magic | 33% | 92 | 109 |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 67% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 27% | 91 | 80 |
| 10 | Bulls | 73% | 99 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 46% | 103 | 113 |
| 20 | Bucks | 54% | 104 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 17% | 96 | 87 |
| 2 | Suns | 83% | 108 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pistons | 46% | 96 | 79 |
| 19 | Warriors | 54% | 97 | 111 |
Friday, November 10, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 38% | 97 | 111 |
| 25 | Raptors | 62% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nuggets | 42% | 99 | 108 |
| 18 | 76ers | 58% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 35% | 102 | 111 |
| 16 | Wizards | 65% | 107 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | SuperSonics | 51% | 101 | 99 | |
| 26 | Bobcats | 49% | 100 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Magic | 43% | 94 | 83 |
| 23 | Pacers | 57% | 96 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jazz | 51% | 102 | 107 |
| 22 | Celtics | 49% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 45% | 94 | 113 |
| 11 | Nets | 55% | 95 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 14% | 89 | 94 |
| 3 | Rockets | 86% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 57% | 97 | 91 | |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pistons | 40% | 96 | 97 |
| 8 | Lakers | 60% | 99 | 83 |
Thursday, November 9, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 42% | 92 | 94 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 58% | 95 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 31% | 101 | 119 |
| 1 | Suns | 69% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hornets | 47% | 97 | 116 | |
| 21 | Warriors | 53% | 98 | 121 |
Wednesday, November 8, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 39% | 96 | 104 |
| 25 | Raptors | 61% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 35% | 97 | 91 |
| 15 | Wizards | 65% | 102 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | SuperSonics | 39% | 101 | 87 | |
| 20 | Magic | 61% | 104 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bobcats | 40% | 96 | 108 |
| 24 | Celtics | 60% | 100 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jazz | 38% | 99 | 89 |
| 11 | Nets | 62% | 103 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rockets | 58% | 99 | 97 |
| 23 | Bucks | 42% | 96 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 40% | 101 | 106 |
| 2 | Spurs | 60% | 104 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 27% | 100 | 109 |
| 18 | Nuggets | 73% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 63% | 102 | 90 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 46% | 99 | 85 |
| 7 | Clippers | 54% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pistons | 45% | 95 | 86 |
| 14 | Kings | 55% | 96 | 99 |
Tuesday, November 7, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 25% | 89 | 104 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 75% | 98 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | 43% | 93 | 86 |
| 21 | Pacers | 57% | 95 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | SuperSonics | 37% | 98 | 87 | |
| 10 | Heat | 63% | 102 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 68% | 93 | 86 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 32% | 87 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Warriors | 29% | 95 | 93 |
| 16 | Hornets | 71% | 102 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 28% | 97 | 88 |
| 8 | Lakers | 72% | 104 | 95 |
Monday, November 6, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 48% | 100 | 103 |
| 21 | Magic | 52% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 67% | 99 | 105 |
| 29 | Knicks | 33% | 93 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 32% | 96 | 85 |
| 11 | Bulls | 68% | 102 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 21% | 92 | 107 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 79% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pistons | 43% | 97 | 101 |
| 13 | Jazz | 57% | 99 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 39% | 95 | 81 |
| 16 | Kings | 61% | 99 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 19% | 94 | 89 |
| 7 | Clippers | 81% | 106 | 102 |
Sunday, November 5, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 65% | 99 | 103 |
| 24 | Raptors | 35% | 94 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 47% | 92 | 98 |
| 14 | 76ers | 53% | 93 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 52% | 98 | 82 |
| 27 | Hawks | 48% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 51% | 95 | 90 |
| 19 | Hornets | 49% | 94 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 46% | 107 | 101 |
| 12 | SuperSonics | 54% | 109 | 117 | |