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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 18, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Celtics51%102122
27Knicks49%101118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 29.1
42.8
34.0
39
60%
9
4
2
1
1
1
2
7
18-22
82%
9-16
6-12
56%
49%
1-7
14%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 21.4
34.7
23.1
19
68%
6
4
0
1
0
2
0
6
8-9
89%
4-8
3-6
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.2
32.8
23.9
22
70%
14
0
0
1
0
5
6
8
10-13
77%
6-10
3-7
60%
49%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.7
29.4
28.2
20
70%
2
2
0
1
0
2
2
0
5-5
100%
3-7
4-9
43%
51%
3-5
60%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 22.0
27.1
24.7
3
52%
8
2
1
0
4
0
1
7
1-2
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 23.3
26.6
23.6
4
23%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-6
3-5
17%
51%
0-2
0%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 20.7
17.8
22.6
5
47%
6
3
0
1
0
2
1
5
3-3
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
43%
0-3
0%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
8.3
12.1
3
150%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
1-1
100%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.8
8.0
14.0
3
34%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.8
7.8
16.1
1
13%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-4
25%
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 24.9
4.8
11.7
3
80%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Allan Ray
· 6'2" 205 · 22.4
4.8
0
0-1
43%
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 31.6
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 33.6
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 21.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.7
44.4
30.4
8
34%
1
8
1
1
0
0
1
0
2-4
50%
3-8
3-7
38%
48%
0-2
0%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.7
29.3
19.4
18
67%
6
2
2
1
1
3
0
6
9-10
90%
3-8
2-4
38%
45%
1-1
100%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 26.6
24.1
30.8
3
14%
8
2
0
1
0
0
3
5
3-4
75%
0-7
3-7
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 24.0
21.4
28.9
7
33%
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
3-4
75%
2-9
5-9
22%
54%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 23.5
13.0
24.1
6
61%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-4
4-9
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.7
35.7
27.7
37
63%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
13-15
87%
6-14
4-8
43%
46%
4-9
44%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 23.6
26.4
22.7
12
87%
8
0
1
1
0
1
4
4
2-2
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
57%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 22.5
25.3
19.9
19
63%
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
7-7
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
2-6
33%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.3
12.8
15.3
4
69%
4
4
3
0
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 31.0
7.3
10.2
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.3
0.3
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 32.0
8.9
0
1-2
42%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 32.2
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 25.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.