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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 18, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Rockets52%9292
5Pistons48%91104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.2
36.8
35.6
33
62%
16
4
0
1
0
8
5
11
17-20
85%
8-18
9-17
44%
53%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.2
35.3
33.8
9
75%
6
2
1
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
51%
1-2
50%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.5
31.7
36.4
24
66%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
8-11
6-13
73%
46%
1-5
20%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.3
31.4
35.6
5
31%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
43%
1-5
20%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.8
23.7
19.5
0
0%
6
0
1
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
45%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.5
27.8
18.2
7
45%
6
1
0
0
2
1
0
6
3-4
75%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.0
26.1
23.5
8
57%
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
2-4
50%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.6
16.8
14.5
4
41%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-2
0%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.4
10.6
8.3
2
114%
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.0
2.5
0
0-1
42%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.4
2.2
0
0-0
49%
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.3
1.2
0
0-0
42%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.4
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.1
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.1
41.6
36.8
23
63%
3
9
1
1
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
4-11
3-8
36%
43%
4-6
67%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 28.8
38.1
35.8
30
73%
7
8
1
1
0
2
0
7
6-6
100%
9-14
7-14
64%
46%
2-4
50%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 26.7
35.0
38.0
15
51%
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
5-6
83%
5-9
5-10
56%
47%
0-3
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 32.2
33.5
37.2
15
61%
11
2
0
1
3
0
3
8
2-3
67%
5-7
4-9
71%
46%
1-4
25%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.2
14.2
21.2
3
26%
6
0
0
1
1
0
4
2
1-2
50%
1-5
3-5
20%
49%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
19.2
18.0
9
83%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
43%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.2
17.2
15.3
4
29%
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
49%
0-0
-
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37.7
15.9
4.6
1
27%
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.0
13.7
18.1
2
20%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
38%
0-3
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 23.7
6.1
7.2
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.2
5.6
9.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 25.8
3.9
0
0-1
45%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 19.6
Will Blalock
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.