FinalWin Prob.pScore
1946%99
93
2654%100
97
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
98.99499.0
ATL logo ATL
101.09691.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL93
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 0:10.0TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 0:17.0ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)93
3.5%
97
96.5%
Q4 - 0:17.0ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 293
4.4%
96
95.6%
Q4 - 0:17.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)93
2.9%
96
97.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0TORMISS Ford Layup93
4.1%
96
95.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)93
10.1%
96
89.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 293
11.8%
95
88.2%
Q4 - 0:27.0TORFord 27' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)93
9.2%
95
90.8%
Q4 - 0:30.0ATLLue 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)90
2.5%
95
97.5%
Q4 - 0:51.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)90
8.5%
93
91.5%
Q4 - 0:54.0TORMISS Ford 8' Jump Shot90
10.6%
93
89.4%
Q4 - 1:04TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)90
17.0%
93
83.0%
Q4 - 1:05ATLMISS Lue 9' Jump Shot90
14.4%
93
85.6%
Q4 - 1:22TORFord 1' Running Layup (22 PTS)90
11.3%
93
88.7%
Q4 - 1:28TORFord REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)88
8.0%
93
92.0%
Q4 - 1:29TORMISS Bargnani 15' Jump Shot88
5.4%
93
94.6%
Q4 - 1:44ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)88
9.3%
93
90.7%
Q4 - 1:44ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 288
10.3%
92
89.7%
Q4 - 1:55TORFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)88
9.2%
92
90.8%
Q4 - 1:55TORFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)87
8.4%
92
91.6%
Q4 - 2:00ATLSmith 8' Jump Shot (9 PTS)86
6.0%
92
94.0%
Q4 - 2:22TORFord 1' Layup (18 PTS)86
9.2%
90
90.8%
Q4 - 2:43ATLShel. Williams Traveling Turnover (P4.T15)84
7.6%
90
92.4%
Q4 - 3:01TORFord 2' Layup (16 PTS)84
4.9%
90
95.1%
Q4 - 3:05TORFord REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)82
3.8%
90
96.2%
Q4 - 3:07ATLMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot82
3.2%
90
96.8%
Q4 - 3:28TORFord Layup (14 PTS)82
2.1%
90
97.9%
Q4 - 3:46ATLJohnson 18' Jump Shot (26 PTS)80
2.7%
90
97.3%
Q4 - 4:09TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)80
3.6%
88
96.4%
Q4 - 4:09TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)79
3.3%
88
96.7%
Q4 - 4:25ATLLue 2' Layup (14 PTS)78
2.5%
88
97.5%
Q4 - 4:33ATLHAWKS Rebound78
3.5%
86
96.5%
Q4 - 4:33TORMISS Ford 1' Layup78
3.9%
86
96.1%
Q4 - 4:42ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)78
5.0%
86
95.0%
Q4 - 4:42ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 278
5.4%
85
94.6%
Q4 - 5:00TORJones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ford 12 AST)78
4.9%
85
95.1%
Q4 - 5:10TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)75
3.7%
85
96.3%
Q4 - 5:12TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 275
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q4 - 5:12TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)75
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q4 - 5:23ATLLue Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)74
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q4 - 5:34ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 5:35TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 274
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 5:35TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)74
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q4 - 5:45TORFord REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 5:47TORMISS Bargnani 28' 3PT Jump Shot73
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 5:56TORJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 5:58ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot73
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 6:19ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 6:23TORMISS Ford 2' Layup73
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q4 - 6:44ATLJohnson Reverse Layup (23 PTS)73
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q4 - 7:07TORFord 1' Layup (12 PTS)73
4.7%
83
95.3%
Q4 - 7:15ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)71
3.7%
83
96.3%
Q4 - 7:15ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)71
3.9%
82
96.1%
Q4 - 7:41TORBargnani 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Ford 11 AST)71
4.6%
81
95.4%
Q4 - 7:50ATLLue 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)69
3.6%
81
96.4%
Q4 - 8:10TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)69
5.7%
79
94.3%
Q4 - 8:10TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)68
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q4 - 8:10TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q4 - 8:11TORSmith BLOCK (4 BLK)67
3.8%
79
96.2%
Q4 - 8:25ATLPachulia 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)67
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q4 - 8:46TORFord 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)67
5.7%
77
94.3%
Q4 - 8:56ATLPachulia Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)65
4.5%
77
95.5%
Q4 - 9:11TORGarbajosa Traveling Turnover (P5.T16)65
4.2%
77
95.8%
Q4 - 9:29ATLStoudamire Layup (8 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)65
5.3%
77
94.7%
Q4 - 9:33ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
6.6%
75
93.4%
Q4 - 9:35TORMISS Garbajosa 20' Jump Shot65
7.1%
75
92.9%
Q4 - 9:44TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)65
8.3%
75
91.7%
Q4 - 9:45ATLMISS Stoudamire 19' Jump Shot65
7.7%
75
92.3%
Q4 - 10:03ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
7.4%
75
92.6%
Q4 - 10:05TORMISS Bargnani 20' Jump Shot65
8.0%
75
92.0%
Q4 - 10:13TORGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
9.3%
75
90.7%
Q4 - 10:15ATLMISS Lue 4' Jump Shot65
8.7%
75
91.3%
Q4 - 10:22ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
7.4%
75
92.6%
Q4 - 10:23TORMISS Graham 19' Jump Shot65
7.9%
75
92.1%
Q4 - 10:36ATLStoudamire Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)65
9.2%
75
90.8%
Q4 - 10:51ATLWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
13.6%
72
86.4%
Q4 - 10:52TORMISS Ford 10' Jump Shot65
14.5%
72
85.5%
Q4 - 10:59TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)65
16.8%
72
83.2%
Q4 - 11:01ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot65
16.7%
72
83.3%
Q4 - 11:20ATLWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
14.6%
72
85.4%
Q4 - 11:22TORMISS Graham 7' Jump Shot65
15.4%
72
84.6%
Q4 - 11:42ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Graham: Tip to Garbajosa65
17.6%
72
82.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL65
14.5%
72
85.5%
Q3 - 0:05.0TORCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)65
15.8%
72
84.2%
Q3 - 0:05.0TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)64
15.5%
72
84.5%
Q3 - 0:06.0TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
13.2%
72
86.8%
Q3 - 0:08.0ATLMISS Lue 17' Jump Shot63
12.5%
72
87.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
11.0%
72
89.0%
Q3 - 0:26.0TORMISS Calderon 27' 3PT Jump Shot63
11.6%
72
88.4%
Q3 - 0:45.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
13.1%
72
86.9%
Q3 - 0:45.0ATLSmith Layup (7 PTS)63
13.1%
72
86.9%
Q3 - 0:45.0ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup63
17.7%
70
82.3%
Q3 - 0:55.0ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
15.7%
70
84.3%
Q3 - 0:57.0TORMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
16.5%
70
83.5%
Q3 - 1:21ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)63
19.7%
70
80.3%
Q3 - 1:21ATLSmith 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Stoudamire 2 AST)63
23.0%
69
77.0%
Q3 - 1:23ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
26.5%
67
73.5%
Q3 - 1:26TORSmith BLOCK (3 BLK)63
27.7%
67
72.3%
Q3 - 1:45ATLJohnson 2' Layup (21 PTS)63
30.6%
67
69.4%
Q3 - 2:05ATLWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
34.7%
65
65.3%
Q3 - 2:07TORMISS Bargnani 8' Jump Shot63
36.2%
65
63.8%
Q3 - 2:21TORJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
39.5%
65
60.5%
Q3 - 2:22ATLMISS Lue Free Throw 2 of 263
38.8%
65
61.2%
Q3 - 2:22ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)63
35.7%
65
64.3%
Q3 - 2:38TORFord 2' Running Layup (8 PTS)63
39.1%
64
60.9%
Q3 - 2:43TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
35.1%
64
64.9%
Q3 - 2:45ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot61
33.7%
64
66.3%
Q3 - 2:52ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
30.7%
64
69.3%
Q3 - 2:54TORMISS Jones 29' 3PT Jump Shot61
32.0%
64
68.0%
Q3 - 3:10ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)61
35.6%
64
64.4%
Q3 - 3:17ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
31.4%
64
68.6%
Q3 - 3:19TORMISS Bargnani 5' Jump Shot61
32.6%
64
67.4%
Q3 - 3:38ATLJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)61
35.6%
64
64.4%
Q3 - 3:41ATLWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
43.9%
61
56.1%
Q3 - 3:43ATLMISS Lue 19' Jump Shot61
47.2%
61
52.8%
Q3 - 4:07ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
43.6%
61
56.4%
Q3 - 4:08TORMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
45.1%
61
54.9%
Q3 - 4:35ATLLue 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)61
48.5%
61
51.5%
Q3 - 4:42TORSmith STEAL (2 STL)61
56.5%
58
43.5%
Q3 - 4:43TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)61
61.3%
58
38.7%
Q3 - 4:45ATLMISS Lue 1' Layup61
59.9%
58
40.1%
Q3 - 5:01TORBosh 2' Layup (7 PTS)61
56.3%
58
43.7%
Q3 - 5:18ATLLue 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)59
52.5%
58
47.5%
Q3 - 5:33TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)59
56.3%
56
43.7%
Q3 - 5:44TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)56
48.3%
56
51.7%
Q3 - 5:45ATLMISS Stoudamire 17' Jump Shot56
46.9%
56
53.1%
Q3 - 5:56TORLue STEAL (1 STL)56
43.8%
56
56.2%
Q3 - 6:01TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
48.0%
56
52.0%
Q3 - 6:02ATLMISS Stoudamire 19' Jump Shot56
46.7%
56
53.3%
Q3 - 6:13ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
43.8%
56
56.2%
Q3 - 6:14TORMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot56
45.1%
56
54.9%
Q3 - 6:22TORRaptors Rebound56
48.1%
56
51.9%
Q3 - 6:22TORMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
45.1%
56
54.9%
Q3 - 6:36ATLLue Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)56
48.1%
56
51.9%
Q3 - 6:36ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)56
52.1%
55
47.9%
Q3 - 6:51TORJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)56
47.8%
55
52.2%
Q3 - 6:51TORMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 255
47.2%
55
52.8%
Q3 - 7:05ATLShel. Williams Foul Turnover (P3.T9)55
47.7%
55
52.3%
Q3 - 7:17TORFord 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)55
43.3%
55
56.7%
Q3 - 7:28ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P2.T8)53
40.1%
55
59.9%
Q3 - 7:56TORGarbajosa 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ford 10 AST)53
35.9%
55
64.1%
Q3 - 8:11TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)51
33.4%
55
66.6%
Q3 - 8:15ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot51
32.2%
55
67.8%
Q3 - 8:29TORGarbajosa Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)51
29.6%
55
70.4%
Q3 - 8:40ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
33.3%
55
66.7%
Q3 - 8:40ATLPachulia Tip Shot (14 PTS)51
33.3%
55
66.7%
Q3 - 8:42ATLMISS Johnson 1' Layup51
39.1%
53
60.9%
Q3 - 9:02ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
36.5%
53
63.5%
Q3 - 9:03TORMISS Bosh 7' Jump Shot51
37.6%
53
62.4%
Q3 - 9:18ATLPachulia Dunk (12 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)51
40.1%
53
59.9%
Q3 - 9:36TORGarbajosa 1' Running Layup (13 PTS) (Ford 9 AST)51
43.6%
51
56.4%
Q3 - 9:41TORFord REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
40.1%
51
59.9%
Q3 - 9:43ATLMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot49
39.0%
51
61.0%
Q3 - 10:04ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
36.6%
51
63.4%
Q3 - 10:06TORMISS Ford Layup49
37.8%
51
62.2%
Q3 - 10:07TORFord REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
40.4%
51
59.6%
Q3 - 10:09TORMISS Ford 2' Layup49
37.8%
51
62.2%
Q3 - 10:24ATLShel. Williams 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)49
40.4%
51
59.6%
Q3 - 10:34ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
43.5%
49
56.5%
Q3 - 10:37TORSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)49
44.6%
49
55.4%
Q3 - 10:42TORJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
47.4%
49
52.6%
Q3 - 10:43ATLMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot49
46.2%
49
53.8%
Q3 - 11:04ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
43.7%
49
56.3%
Q3 - 11:06TORMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot49
44.8%
49
55.2%
Q3 - 11:17ATLPachulia 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)49
47.3%
49
52.7%
Q3 - 11:39TORGarbajosa Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)49
50.6%
47
49.4%
Q3 - 11:39TORMISS Garbajosa Free Throw 1 of 248
49.6%
47
50.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL48
50.7%
47
49.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound48
47.1%
47
52.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Stoudamire 27' 3PT Jump Shot48
49.6%
47
50.4%
Q2 - 0:15.0TORGarbajosa Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)48
47.7%
47
52.3%
Q2 - 0:19.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
50.0%
47
50.0%
Q2 - 0:19.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
50.8%
46
49.2%
Q2 - 0:34.0TORBosh 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T11)48
54.3%
45
45.7%
Q2 - 0:48.0ATLWright Layup (2 PTS)48
56.7%
45
43.3%
Q2 - 0:49.0ATLWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
60.8%
43
39.2%
Q2 - 0:50.0ATLMISS Pachulia 1' Layup48
62.4%
43
37.6%
Q2 - 1:02ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
60.7%
43
39.3%
Q2 - 1:04TORMISS Garbajosa 28' 3PT Jump Shot48
61.2%
43
38.8%
Q2 - 1:24TORRaptors Rebound48
62.3%
43
37.7%
Q2 - 1:25ATLMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot48
61.8%
43
38.2%
Q2 - 1:34TORStoudamire STEAL (1 STL)48
60.7%
43
39.3%
Q2 - 1:53ATLShel. Williams Dunk (4 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)48
62.3%
43
37.7%
Q2 - 2:02TORPachulia STEAL (2 STL)48
65.3%
41
34.7%
Q2 - 2:14ATLJohnson 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)48
68.0%
41
32.0%
Q2 - 2:18ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
70.8%
39
29.2%
Q2 - 2:20TORMISS Graham 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
71.6%
39
28.4%
Q2 - 2:30TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)48
73.2%
39
26.8%
Q2 - 2:31ATLMISS Stoudamire 21' Jump Shot48
72.5%
39
27.5%
Q2 - 2:44TORGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
70.9%
39
29.1%
Q2 - 2:44TORGraham Layup (8 PTS)48
70.9%
39
29.1%
Q2 - 2:46TORMISS Jones 3' Jump Shot46
66.3%
39
33.7%
Q2 - 2:52TORFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
68.0%
39
32.0%
Q2 - 2:53ATLMISS Lue 20' Jump Shot46
67.2%
39
32.8%
Q2 - 2:58ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
65.5%
39
34.5%
Q2 - 3:00TORMISS Bosh Layup46
66.3%
39
33.7%
Q2 - 3:01TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
67.2%
39
32.8%
Q2 - 3:03TORMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot46
65.2%
39
34.8%
Q2 - 3:13TORJones Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)46
67.3%
39
32.7%
Q2 - 3:25ATLStoudamire Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)45
64.6%
39
35.4%
Q2 - 3:41ATLShel. Williams Foul Turnover (P2.T7)45
67.3%
38
32.7%
Q2 - 3:54ATLHAWKS Rebound45
64.3%
38
35.7%
Q2 - 3:56ATLMISS Claxton 20' Jump Shot45
66.4%
38
33.6%
Q2 - 4:12TORGraham 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (Ford 8 AST)45
63.7%
38
36.3%
Q2 - 4:15TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
61.0%
38
39.0%
Q2 - 4:18ATLMISS Claxton 1' Layup43
60.2%
38
39.8%
Q2 - 4:39TORGarbajosa 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Ford 7 AST)43
58.3%
38
41.7%
Q2 - 4:45ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)41
55.4%
38
44.6%
Q2 - 4:54TORPachulia STEAL (1 STL)41
52.6%
38
47.4%
Q2 - 5:06ATLStoudamire 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)41
55.3%
38
44.7%
Q2 - 5:21TORFord Foul Turnover (P2.T7)41
57.9%
36
42.1%
Q2 - 5:25TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
60.8%
36
39.2%
Q2 - 5:26ATLMISS Claxton 18' Jump Shot41
59.9%
36
40.1%
Q2 - 5:43TORFord 1' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)41
57.9%
36
42.1%
Q2 - 5:53TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
55.3%
36
44.7%
Q2 - 5:55TORMISS Parker 27' 3PT Jump Shot39
53.2%
36
46.8%
Q2 - 6:13TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
55.3%
36
44.7%
Q2 - 6:15ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot39
54.3%
36
45.7%
Q2 - 6:35ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
52.0%
36
48.0%
Q2 - 6:36TORMISS Calderon 21' Jump Shot39
53.0%
36
47.0%
Q2 - 6:52ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
55.3%
36
44.7%
Q2 - 6:52ATLPachulia Layup (6 PTS)39
55.3%
36
44.7%
Q2 - 6:56ATLMISS Pachulia 2' Layup39
59.7%
34
40.3%
Q2 - 7:14TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
57.2%
34
42.8%
Q2 - 7:14TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
56.7%
34
43.3%
Q2 - 7:17TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
54.8%
34
45.2%
Q2 - 7:19ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
53.9%
34
46.1%
Q2 - 7:36TORCalderon 2' Layup (4 PTS)37
52.0%
34
48.0%
Q2 - 7:56ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)35
49.5%
34
50.5%
Q2 - 8:04TORParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)35
46.4%
34
53.6%
Q2 - 8:23TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
41.6%
34
58.4%
Q2 - 8:24ATLMISS Shel. Williams 19' Jump Shot32
40.8%
34
59.2%
Q2 - 8:53TORGraham 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
38.8%
34
61.2%
Q2 - 9:01TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
36.8%
34
63.2%
Q2 - 9:03ATLMISS Lue 27' 3PT Jump Shot30
36.0%
34
64.0%
Q2 - 9:21TORBargnani 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)30
34.2%
34
65.8%
Q2 - 9:44ATLJohnson Layup (14 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)27
30.1%
34
69.9%
Q2 - 9:57TORCalderon Running Layup (2 PTS)27
32.0%
32
68.0%
Q2 - 10:08TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
30.2%
32
69.8%
Q2 - 10:10ATLMISS Freije 28' 3PT Jump Shot25
29.5%
32
70.5%
Q2 - 10:38TORParker 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
27.9%
32
72.1%
Q2 - 10:54ATLLue Foul Turnover (P1.T4)23
26.2%
32
73.8%
Q2 - 10:57ATLWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
24.1%
32
75.9%
Q2 - 10:59TORMISS Bargnani 7' Jump Shot23
24.7%
32
75.3%
Q2 - 11:07TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
26.3%
32
73.7%
Q2 - 11:09ATLMISS Lue 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
25.7%
32
74.3%
Q2 - 11:32ATLHAWKS Rebound23
24.5%
32
75.5%
Q2 - 11:33ATLMISS Lue 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
25.7%
32
74.3%
Q2 - 11:44ATLWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
24.4%
32
75.6%
Q2 - 11:46TORMISS Bosh Layup23
25.0%
32
75.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR23
26.3%
32
73.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0ATLSmith 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)23
26.3%
32
73.7%
Q1 - 0:05.0TORSmith STEAL (1 STL)23
28.6%
30
71.4%
Q1 - 0:19.0TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
30.1%
30
69.9%
Q1 - 0:21.0TORMISS Graham 19' Jump Shot23
29.1%
30
70.9%
Q1 - 0:34.0TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
30.1%
30
69.9%
Q1 - 0:35.0ATLMISS Lue 27' 3PT Jump Shot23
29.7%
30
70.3%
Q1 - 0:48.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
28.6%
30
71.4%
Q1 - 0:49.0TORMISS Garbajosa 18' Jump Shot23
29.1%
30
70.9%
Q1 - 1:00ATLLue 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)23
30.1%
30
69.9%
Q1 - 1:13TORBargnani 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garbajosa 1 AST)23
34.9%
27
65.1%
Q1 - 1:27ATLPachulia Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)21
32.3%
27
67.7%
Q1 - 1:42TORGraham 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)21
30.7%
27
69.3%
Q1 - 1:50TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
28.3%
27
71.7%
Q1 - 1:51ATLMISS Claxton 10' Jump Shot19
27.8%
27
72.2%
Q1 - 2:05TORFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)19
27.0%
27
73.0%
Q1 - 2:22ATLPachulia 1' Layup (4 PTS)19
28.7%
27
71.3%
Q1 - 2:35TORBargnani Foul Turnover (P1.T4)19
30.8%
25
69.2%
Q1 - 2:53ATLJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)19
32.7%
25
67.3%
Q1 - 3:06TORJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)19
37.0%
22
63.0%
Q1 - 3:25ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)16
33.2%
22
66.8%
Q1 - 3:33TORJohnson STEAL (1 STL)16
35.0%
20
65.0%
Q1 - 3:43ATLJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)16
37.3%
20
62.7%
Q1 - 3:55TORBosh Foul Turnover (P1.T2)16
41.4%
17
58.6%
Q1 - 4:15ATLClaxton 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)16
43.8%
17
56.2%
Q1 - 4:32ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
45.6%
15
54.4%
Q1 - 4:36TORMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot16
46.4%
15
53.6%
Q1 - 4:46TORFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
48.2%
15
51.8%
Q1 - 4:47ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
47.4%
15
52.6%
Q1 - 5:06ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
45.5%
15
54.5%
Q1 - 5:07TORMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
46.2%
15
53.8%
Q1 - 5:34ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
47.8%
15
52.2%
Q1 - 5:42ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
49.7%
13
50.3%
Q1 - 5:46TORPachulia BLOCK (1 BLK)16
50.4%
13
49.6%
Q1 - 6:07ATLClaxton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)16
51.5%
13
48.5%
Q1 - 6:21TORParker Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)16
55.4%
10
44.6%
Q1 - 6:27TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
57.5%
10
42.5%
Q1 - 6:29ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot16
56.9%
10
43.1%
Q1 - 6:43TORGarbajosa 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)16
55.4%
10
44.6%
Q1 - 7:06ATLClaxton 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
52.9%
10
47.1%
Q1 - 7:19ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
54.6%
8
45.4%
Q1 - 7:23ATLMISS Claxton 19' Jump Shot14
56.1%
8
43.9%
Q1 - 7:39TORParker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)14
54.7%
8
45.3%
Q1 - 7:58TORJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
51.1%
8
48.9%
Q1 - 7:59ATLMISS Claxton Free Throw 1 of 111
50.8%
8
49.2%
Q1 - 8:07TORFord 2' Layup (2 PTS)11
52.9%
6
47.1%
Q1 - 8:20ATLShel. Williams Foul Turnover (P1.T2)9
51.2%
6
48.8%
Q1 - 8:20ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
49.1%
6
50.9%
Q1 - 8:23ATLMISS Pachulia 3' Layup9
50.6%
6
49.4%
Q1 - 8:40TORGarbajosa 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)9
49.1%
6
50.9%
Q1 - 8:50TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
47.4%
6
52.6%
Q1 - 8:52ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
46.8%
6
53.2%
Q1 - 9:17TORGarbajosa 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)7
45.0%
6
55.0%
Q1 - 9:27TORJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
43.7%
6
56.3%
Q1 - 9:29ATLMISS Pachulia 1' Layup5
42.9%
6
57.1%
Q1 - 9:38ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
41.3%
6
58.7%
Q1 - 9:41ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 25
43.3%
6
56.7%
Q1 - 9:41ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 25
42.2%
6
57.8%
Q1 - 9:46TORGarbajosa 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)5
41.3%
6
58.7%
Q1 - 9:50TORFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
40.0%
6
60.0%
Q1 - 9:53TORSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)3
38.4%
6
61.6%
Q1 - 10:09ATLShel. Williams Dunk (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)3
39.8%
6
60.2%
Q1 - 10:34TORJones 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)3
41.4%
4
58.6%
Q1 - 10:50ATLPachulia Layup (2 PTS)0
38.0%
4
62.0%
Q1 - 11:06ATLClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.8%
2
60.2%
Q1 - 11:08TORMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot0
40.3%
2
59.7%
Q1 - 11:17ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
41.5%
2
58.5%
Q1 - 11:27ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.8%
2
60.2%
Q1 - 11:28TORMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot0
40.3%
2
59.7%
Q1 - 11:41ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
41.5%
2
58.5%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Bosh: Tip to Pachulia0
43.4%
0
56.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.04 52.2%
ATL
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
18
32
56%
ATL
20
29
69%
Midrange
TOR
11
30
37%
ATL
13
34
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
ATL
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
Free Throws
TOR
17
21
81%
ATL
13
21
62%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Ford2566%12.5 / 19
J. Garbajosa1568%7.5 / 11
C. Bosh1142%5.5 / 13
F. Jones1155%5.5 / 10
A. Bargnani938%4.5 / 12
A. Parker840%4.0 / 10
J. Graham850%4.0 / 8
J. Calderon660%3.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2756%13.5 / 24
Z. Pachulia1869%9.0 / 13
T. Lue1647%8.0 / 17
J. Smith1146%5.5 / 12
S. Claxton950%4.5 / 9
S. Stoudamire850%4.0 / 8
S. Williams675%3.0 / 4
L. Wright2100%1.0 / 1
M. Freije0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
78
+11
-16
89
ATL
81
+11
-15
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.04 52.2%
ATL
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.3
102.9
TOR 98.9 +2.1
ATL 101.0
Pace
93.3
90.2
TOR 99.0 +7.7
ATL 91.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
16.2
TOR 14.5 +1.2
ATL 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
47.1%
TOR 48.1%
ATL 52.5% +4.4%
TO %
13.8%
16.7%
TOR 15.3%
ATL 14.4% +0.9%
ORB %
22.3%
29.3%
TOR 22.7% +2.7%
ATL 20.0%
FTrt
30.3
34.6
TOR 26.6 +0.3
ATL 26.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
55.6%
TOR 48.6% +5.0%
ATL 43.6%
STL %
7.6%
8.2%
TOR 4.3%
ATL 7.3% +3.0%
BLK %
6.3%
8.7%
TOR 4.8%
ATL 8.1% +3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.6%
50.8%
TOR 52.2%
ATL 52.7% +0.5%
Rim FG%
59.5%
55.2%
TOR 56.3%
ATL 69.0% +12.7%
Mid FG%
42.7%
39.3%
TOR 36.7%
ATL 38.2% +1.5%
3P %
36.3%
32.9%
TOR 35.3%
ATL 35.3%
FT %
78.8%
76.1%
TOR 81.0% +19.1%
ATL 61.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.1%
38.8%
TOR 40.5% +4.3%
ATL 36.3%
Mid Att. %
47.6%
44.9%
TOR 38.0% +4.5%
ATL 42.5%
3P Att. %
22.4%
16.3%
TOR 21.5% +0.3%
ATL 21.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORATL
Possessions9496
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points9397
Rebounds4242
Assists1717
Steals47
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)34 (1)
Field Goals35-7939-80
At-the-Rim FG18-3220-29
Midrange FG11-3013-34
2-Point FG29-6233-63
3-Point FG6-176-17
Free Throws17-2113-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 23
42.2
11
42%
7
3
0
3
3
3
2
5
7-9
78%
2-9
22%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 165 · 24
37.6
25
66%
8
12
1
0
4
6
4
4
2-2
100%
10-17
59%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 225 · 28
37.0
11
55%
5
0
0
0
1
3
0
5
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
2-5
40%
C · 6'9" 245 · 29
33.3
15
68%
12
1
1
0
5
1
0
12
1-2
50%
7-9
78%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 210 · 31
30.6
8
40%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
2-5
40%
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 21
24.6
9
38%
4
0
1
0
1
3
3
1
2-2
100%
2-8
25%
1-3
33%
F · 6'7" 230 · 24
21.8
8
50%
3
0
1
0
1
4
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 25
13.0
6
60%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 30
F · 6'10" 238 · 24
G · 5'11" 170 · 36
F · 6'6" 245 · 22
#24 · G · 6'7" 220 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F · 6'10" 250 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#43 · F · 6'9" 235 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
52%
42
17
4
3
16
0
10
32
17-21
81%
29-62
47%
6-17
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.