for complete access.
All Games Friday, November 24, 2006
FinalWin Prob.pScore
15
Magic
47%91
107
23
Heat
53%93
104
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
121.68892.4
MIA logo MIA
118.28884.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA107
100%
104
0%
Q4 - 0:01.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)106
99.5%
104
0.5%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Wade 15' Fadeaway Jumper106
96.7%
104
3.3%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)106
79.4%
104
20.6%
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 2106
81.3%
104
18.7%
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)106
89.2%
104
10.8%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)105
82.0%
104
18.0%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)105
84.3%
103
15.7%
Q4 - 0:28.0ORLHill 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)105
87.0%
102
13.0%
Q4 - 0:45.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)103
73.9%
102
26.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot103
68.7%
102
31.3%
Q4 - 1:00MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)103
55.1%
102
44.9%
Q4 - 1:01ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 2 of 2103
57.3%
102
42.7%
Q4 - 1:01ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)103
64.3%
102
35.7%
Q4 - 1:01ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)102
56.8%
102
43.2%
Q4 - 1:02ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot102
44.8%
102
55.2%
Q4 - 1:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)102
55.8%
102
44.2%
Q4 - 1:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)102
58.3%
101
41.7%
Q4 - 1:29MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)102
66.3%
100
33.7%
Q4 - 1:30MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot102
75.1%
100
24.9%
Q4 - 1:48ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)102
65.6%
100
34.4%
Q4 - 1:48ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)101
63.7%
100
36.3%
Q4 - 2:07MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (29 PTS)100
57.0%
100
43.0%
Q4 - 2:23ORLHill Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)100
63.5%
98
36.5%
Q4 - 2:27MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T9)100
77.6%
98
22.4%
Q4 - 2:45ORLHaslem STEAL (1 STL)100
63.3%
98
36.7%
Q4 - 3:00MIAHaslem Dunk (19 PTS) (Wade 15 AST)100
74.6%
98
25.4%
Q4 - 3:04MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)100
79.4%
96
20.6%
Q4 - 3:06ORLMourning BLOCK (5 BLK)100
82.3%
96
17.7%
Q4 - 3:17MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)100
87.6%
96
12.4%
Q4 - 3:17MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)100
89.0%
95
11.0%
Q4 - 3:31ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)100
87.1%
94
12.9%
Q4 - 3:49MIAKapono 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 14 AST)97
77.4%
94
22.6%
Q4 - 4:09MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)97
83.2%
92
16.8%
Q4 - 4:10ORLMISS Milicic 8' Hook Shot97
84.9%
92
15.1%
Q4 - 4:29MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 13 AST)97
88.2%
92
11.8%
Q4 - 4:43ORLMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)97
94.0%
89
6.0%
Q4 - 4:43ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)96
93.1%
89
6.9%
Q4 - 4:55ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)95
91.7%
89
8.3%
Q4 - 4:57MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot95
90.7%
89
9.3%
Q4 - 5:06MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)95
85.0%
89
15.0%
Q4 - 5:08ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
86.3%
89
13.7%
Q4 - 5:23ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)95
89.0%
89
11.0%
Q4 - 5:24MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 295
88.5%
89
11.5%
Q4 - 5:24MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 295
86.0%
89
14.0%
Q4 - 5:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)95
85.2%
89
14.8%
Q4 - 5:35MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot95
88.0%
89
12.0%
Q4 - 5:52ORLHoward Follow Up Dunk (22 PTS)95
85.2%
89
14.8%
Q4 - 5:53ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)93
80.7%
89
19.3%
Q4 - 5:54ORLMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)93
76.7%
89
23.3%
Q4 - 6:11MIAMourning Dunk (15 PTS)93
78.4%
89
21.6%
Q4 - 6:13MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)93
82.4%
87
17.6%
Q4 - 6:15MIAMISS Kapono 14' Jump Shot93
85.7%
87
14.3%
Q4 - 6:35ORLMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)93
82.5%
87
17.5%
Q4 - 6:35ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)92
80.8%
87
19.2%
Q4 - 6:35ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
78.5%
87
21.5%
Q4 - 6:36ORLMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)91
74.1%
87
25.9%
Q4 - 6:59MIAKapono 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)91
78.5%
87
21.5%
Q4 - 7:17MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)91
80.5%
85
19.5%
Q4 - 7:19ORLMISS Howard 4' Hook Shot91
81.9%
85
18.1%
Q4 - 7:39MIAMourning Layup (13 PTS) (Wade 12 AST)91
85.0%
85
15.0%
Q4 - 7:44MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
87.8%
83
12.2%
Q4 - 7:46ORLMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)91
88.8%
83
11.2%
Q4 - 8:00MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)91
90.8%
83
9.2%
Q4 - 8:00MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 291
91.3%
82
8.7%
Q4 - 8:11ORLHill 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)91
88.8%
82
11.2%
Q4 - 8:30ORLMagic Rebound89
86.2%
82
13.8%
Q4 - 8:31MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot89
85.2%
82
14.8%
Q4 - 8:42MIAHEAT Rebound89
82.8%
82
17.2%
Q4 - 8:43MIAMISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot89
85.2%
82
14.8%
Q4 - 8:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)89
82.8%
82
17.2%
Q4 - 8:53ORLMISS Arroyo 12' Jump Bank Shot89
83.9%
82
16.1%
Q4 - 9:10MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (27 PTS)89
84.8%
82
15.2%
Q4 - 9:27ORLBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)89
87.5%
80
12.5%
Q4 - 9:27ORLBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)88
86.8%
80
13.2%
Q4 - 9:41MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)87
84.8%
80
15.2%
Q4 - 9:41MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)87
85.4%
79
14.6%
Q4 - 9:56ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)87
87.6%
78
12.4%
Q4 - 9:56ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)86
86.7%
78
13.3%
Q4 - 10:05ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
83.3%
78
16.7%
Q4 - 10:07MIAMISS Barron 12' Jump Shot85
82.3%
78
17.7%
Q4 - 10:33ORLHill Layup (14 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)85
79.8%
78
20.2%
Q4 - 10:45ORLHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)83
76.2%
78
23.8%
Q4 - 10:47MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot83
74.8%
78
25.2%
Q4 - 11:09ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)83
70.3%
78
29.7%
Q4 - 11:20ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
60.8%
78
39.2%
Q4 - 11:22MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
59.1%
78
40.9%
Q4 - 11:47ORLArroyo 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)80
55.3%
78
44.7%
Q4 - 11:56MIAWalker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)78
50.1%
78
49.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL78
44.5%
78
55.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound78
50.1%
78
49.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot78
46.2%
78
53.8%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)78
50.0%
78
50.0%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)78
51.0%
77
49.0%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
55.1%
76
44.9%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Walker Tip Shot78
58.6%
76
41.4%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)78
55.1%
76
44.9%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Wright Layup78
58.6%
76
41.4%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
55.1%
76
44.9%
Q3 - 0:21.0ORLWade BLOCK (2 BLK)78
56.7%
76
43.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAWalker Layup (4 PTS)78
60.1%
76
39.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
65.0%
74
35.0%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot78
68.2%
74
31.8%
Q3 - 1:04ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)78
64.0%
74
36.0%
Q3 - 1:04ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)75
54.8%
74
45.2%
Q3 - 1:05ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
51.3%
74
48.7%
Q3 - 1:19MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS)75
54.8%
74
45.2%
Q3 - 1:36ORLMilicic 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)75
59.5%
72
40.5%
Q3 - 1:55MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)73
54.8%
72
45.2%
Q3 - 2:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)73
58.2%
70
41.8%
Q3 - 2:09ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot73
59.7%
70
40.3%
Q3 - 2:23ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
63.1%
70
36.9%
Q3 - 2:27MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot73
61.7%
70
38.3%
Q3 - 2:44ORLBogans 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)73
58.3%
70
41.7%
Q3 - 2:56MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)71
54.1%
70
45.9%
Q3 - 2:56MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 271
55.0%
69
45.0%
Q3 - 2:59MIAHEAT Rebound71
53.7%
69
46.3%
Q3 - 3:00MIAMISS Wright Layup71
57.2%
69
42.8%
Q3 - 3:28ORLNelson Driving Layup (14 PTS)71
53.7%
69
46.3%
Q3 - 3:39MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)69
49.4%
69
50.6%
Q3 - 3:58ORLMilicic Dunk (4 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)69
53.6%
67
46.4%
Q3 - 4:15MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)67
49.3%
67
50.7%
Q3 - 4:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)67
50.1%
66
49.9%
Q3 - 4:29ORLTurkoglu Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)67
53.0%
65
47.0%
Q3 - 4:54MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)65
49.3%
65
50.7%
Q3 - 4:54MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)65
50.2%
64
49.8%
Q3 - 5:12ORLNelson 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)65
53.0%
63
47.0%
Q3 - 5:29MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)62
45.0%
63
55.0%
Q3 - 5:29MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)62
45.8%
62
54.2%
Q3 - 5:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)62
48.8%
61
51.2%
Q3 - 5:30MIAMISS Walker Layup62
51.9%
61
48.1%
Q3 - 5:45MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
48.8%
61
51.2%
Q3 - 5:46ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 162
49.4%
61
50.6%
Q3 - 6:06MIAHaslem 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)60
44.9%
61
55.1%
Q3 - 6:27ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)60
48.6%
59
51.4%
Q3 - 6:27ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 259
47.3%
59
52.7%
Q3 - 6:41MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)59
48.9%
59
51.1%
Q3 - 6:41MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
49.7%
58
50.3%
Q3 - 6:55ORLNelson Layup (9 PTS)59
52.6%
57
47.4%
Q3 - 6:56ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
48.9%
57
51.1%
Q3 - 6:59ORLMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot57
45.9%
57
54.1%
Q3 - 7:17MIAMourning Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)57
48.6%
57
51.4%
Q3 - 7:37ORLTurkoglu Layup (4 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)57
51.9%
55
48.1%
Q3 - 7:43MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)55
48.6%
55
51.4%
Q3 - 7:48MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
44.2%
55
55.8%
Q3 - 7:50ORLMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot55
45.5%
55
54.5%
Q3 - 8:07MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)55
48.7%
55
51.3%
Q3 - 8:29ORLHill Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)55
51.9%
53
48.1%
Q3 - 8:33ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
56.2%
53
43.8%
Q3 - 8:35ORLMISS Hill Dunk55
53.2%
53
46.8%
Q3 - 8:40ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
56.2%
53
43.8%
Q3 - 8:42MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot55
54.9%
53
45.1%
Q3 - 8:58ORLNelson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)55
51.9%
53
48.1%
Q3 - 9:06ORLMagic Rebound52
44.5%
53
55.5%
Q3 - 9:07ORLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)52
41.9%
53
58.1%
Q3 - 9:16MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)52
44.5%
53
55.5%
Q3 - 9:32ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
48.0%
51
52.0%
Q3 - 9:32ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)51
47.4%
51
52.6%
Q3 - 9:56MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)50
44.6%
51
55.4%
Q3 - 10:07MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
47.9%
49
52.1%
Q3 - 10:08MIAMISS Wright Alley Oop Dunk50
50.6%
49
49.4%
Q3 - 10:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
47.9%
49
52.1%
Q3 - 10:13ORLMISS Howard Tip Shot50
49.1%
49
50.9%
Q3 - 10:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)50
51.8%
49
48.2%
Q3 - 10:16ORLMISS Hill Layup50
49.1%
49
50.9%
Q3 - 10:35MIAMourning Dunk (9 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)50
51.8%
49
48.2%
Q3 - 10:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)50
55.0%
47
45.0%
Q3 - 10:39MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot50
57.7%
47
42.3%
Q3 - 10:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
55.0%
47
45.0%
Q3 - 11:00ORLMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot50
56.2%
47
43.8%
Q3 - 11:07ORLHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)50
58.4%
47
41.6%
Q3 - 11:09ORLMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)50
56.0%
47
44.0%
Q3 - 11:16ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
58.4%
47
41.6%
Q3 - 11:18MIAMISS Haslem Layup50
57.4%
47
42.6%
Q3 - 11:46ORLHoward 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)50
54.9%
47
45.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL48
51.7%
47
48.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
51.7%
47
48.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
50.5%
47
49.5%
Q2 - 0:07.0ORLNelson 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)48
48.6%
47
51.4%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)46
44.3%
47
55.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)46
45.0%
46
55.0%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
48.6%
45
51.4%
Q2 - 0:40.0ORLMISS Ariza Tip Shot46
49.3%
45
50.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
51.0%
45
49.0%
Q2 - 0:43.0ORLMISS Ariza Layup46
49.3%
45
50.7%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)46
51.0%
45
49.0%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)46
51.6%
44
48.4%
Q2 - 1:06ORLBattie 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)46
55.3%
43
44.7%
Q2 - 1:20ORLMISS Hill Free Throw Technical44
50.6%
43
49.4%
Q2 - 1:20ORLMagic Rebound44
50.6%
43
49.4%
Q2 - 1:21MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot44
50.0%
43
50.0%
Q2 - 1:33MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
48.9%
43
51.1%
Q2 - 1:34ORLMISS Howard Layup44
49.4%
43
50.6%
Q2 - 1:47ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
50.6%
43
49.4%
Q2 - 1:48MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot44
50.0%
43
50.0%
Q2 - 2:05ORLHoward Layup (7 PTS) (Battie 1 AST)44
48.1%
43
51.9%
Q2 - 2:22MIAWright Layup (6 PTS)42
44.8%
43
55.2%
Q2 - 2:23MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
48.1%
41
51.9%
Q2 - 2:25MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot42
50.1%
41
49.9%
Q2 - 2:26MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
48.1%
41
51.9%
Q2 - 2:27MIAMISS Wright Layup42
50.1%
41
49.9%
Q2 - 2:34ORLWade STEAL (3 STL)42
48.1%
41
51.9%
Q2 - 2:51MIAWright 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)42
51.0%
41
49.0%
Q2 - 3:01ORLWade STEAL (2 STL)42
53.6%
39
46.4%
Q2 - 3:18MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)42
57.0%
39
43.0%
Q2 - 3:18MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)42
57.5%
38
42.5%
Q2 - 3:28ORLWade STEAL (1 STL)42
59.5%
37
40.5%
Q2 - 3:41ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)42
62.7%
37
37.3%
Q2 - 3:43MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot42
61.8%
37
38.2%
Q2 - 4:02ORLArroyo 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)42
59.2%
37
40.8%
Q2 - 4:18MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)40
56.3%
37
43.7%
Q2 - 4:18MIAHEAT Rebound40
53.5%
37
46.5%
Q2 - 4:19MIAMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot40
55.5%
37
44.5%
Q2 - 4:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
53.5%
37
46.5%
Q2 - 4:26MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
55.5%
37
44.5%
Q2 - 4:44ORLMilicic 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)40
53.5%
37
46.5%
Q2 - 5:02MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)38
50.7%
37
49.3%
Q2 - 5:02MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
56.0%
34
44.0%
Q2 - 5:03MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot38
58.1%
34
41.9%
Q2 - 5:11MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)38
56.0%
34
44.0%
Q2 - 5:13ORLMISS Milicic 6' Hook Shot38
57.0%
34
43.0%
Q2 - 5:28MIAWade Finger Roll (8 PTS)38
59.0%
34
41.0%
Q2 - 5:41ORLAriza Layup (2 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)38
61.5%
32
38.5%
Q2 - 5:45MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)36
59.0%
32
41.0%
Q2 - 5:54MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
56.1%
32
43.9%
Q2 - 5:56ORLMISS Ariza Layup36
57.0%
32
43.0%
Q2 - 5:58ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
59.0%
32
41.0%
Q2 - 6:00ORLMISS Hill Layup36
57.0%
32
43.0%
Q2 - 6:14ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
58.9%
32
41.1%
Q2 - 6:15MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 236
58.5%
32
41.5%
Q2 - 6:15MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)36
57.1%
32
42.9%
Q2 - 6:32ORLDooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)36
58.4%
31
41.6%
Q2 - 6:44ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
53.5%
31
46.5%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS Barron 17' Jump Shot33
52.5%
31
47.5%
Q2 - 6:55MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
50.2%
31
49.8%
Q2 - 6:57ORLMISS Hill 16' Jump Shot33
51.2%
31
48.8%
Q2 - 7:10ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
53.1%
31
46.9%
Q2 - 7:12ORLMISS Milicic 6' Running Hook Shot33
51.2%
31
48.8%
Q2 - 7:31MIAHite Layup (2 PTS)33
53.1%
31
46.9%
Q2 - 7:33MIAHite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
55.6%
29
44.4%
Q2 - 7:35MIAMISS Hite 15' Jump Shot33
57.5%
29
42.5%
Q2 - 7:51ORLHill 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)33
55.6%
29
44.4%
Q2 - 7:55ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
53.1%
29
46.9%
Q2 - 7:57MIAMISS Barron Layup31
52.3%
29
47.7%
Q2 - 7:58MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
50.3%
29
49.7%
Q2 - 7:59MIAMISS Walker Layup31
52.3%
29
47.7%
Q2 - 8:00MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
50.3%
29
49.7%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS Hite Layup31
52.0%
29
48.0%
Q2 - 8:16ORLHill Layup (8 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)31
50.0%
29
50.0%
Q2 - 8:21ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
47.7%
29
52.3%
Q2 - 8:22MIAMISS Payton Layup29
46.8%
29
53.2%
Q2 - 8:39ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)29
44.8%
29
55.2%
Q2 - 8:46ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
40.1%
29
59.9%
Q2 - 8:48MIAMISS Hite 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
39.2%
29
60.8%
Q2 - 8:56MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
37.3%
29
62.7%
Q2 - 8:58ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Jump Shot26
38.2%
29
61.8%
Q2 - 9:16ORLMagic Rebound26
40.1%
29
59.9%
Q2 - 9:17MIAMISS Payton 14' Fadeaway Jumper26
39.3%
29
60.7%
Q2 - 9:42ORLDooling Driving Layup (5 PTS)26
37.4%
29
62.6%
Q2 - 9:58MIABarron 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)24
35.4%
29
64.6%
Q2 - 10:12MIAHEAT Rebound24
37.5%
27
62.5%
Q2 - 10:13MIAMISS Kapono 8' Jump Bank Shot24
39.3%
27
60.7%
Q2 - 10:23MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
37.5%
27
62.5%
Q2 - 10:24MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot24
39.3%
27
60.7%
Q2 - 10:31MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
37.5%
27
62.5%
Q2 - 10:33ORLMISS Ariza 19' Jump Shot24
38.3%
27
61.7%
Q2 - 10:40ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
40.1%
27
59.9%
Q2 - 10:42ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
38.3%
27
61.7%
Q2 - 10:53MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)24
40.1%
27
59.9%
Q2 - 11:00MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
42.3%
25
57.7%
Q2 - 11:02ORLMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Bank Shot24
43.0%
25
57.0%
Q2 - 11:24MIAWalker 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
44.7%
25
55.3%
Q2 - 11:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
47.1%
23
52.9%
Q2 - 11:42ORLMISS Ariza 8' Jump Shot24
47.8%
23
52.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
49.5%
23
50.5%
Q1 - 0:05.0ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)24
47.2%
23
52.8%
Q1 - 0:05.0ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)23
46.8%
23
53.2%
Q1 - 0:08.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)22
44.2%
23
55.8%
Q1 - 0:25.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)22
42.5%
23
57.5%
Q1 - 0:25.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)21
41.7%
23
58.3%
Q1 - 0:44.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)20
39.6%
23
60.4%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
39.1%
23
60.9%
Q1 - 1:10ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)20
38.0%
23
62.0%
Q1 - 1:10ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 219
37.2%
23
62.8%
Q1 - 1:11ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)19
37.5%
23
62.5%
Q1 - 1:12ORLMISS Howard 4' Jump Shot19
36.3%
23
63.7%
Q1 - 1:25ORLDooling Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)19
37.5%
23
62.5%
Q1 - 1:35MIADoleac Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)18
35.3%
23
64.7%
Q1 - 1:56ORLNelson 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)18
33.6%
23
66.4%
Q1 - 2:12MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)16
31.6%
23
68.4%
Q1 - 2:20MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
33.7%
21
66.3%
Q1 - 2:21MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot16
35.1%
21
64.9%
Q1 - 2:36ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
33.7%
21
66.3%
Q1 - 2:36ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
33.0%
21
67.0%
Q1 - 2:52MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)14
31.5%
21
68.5%
Q1 - 2:52MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 214
32.2%
20
67.8%
Q1 - 2:55MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
31.7%
20
68.3%
Q1 - 2:57ORLMISS Milicic 8' Hook Shot14
32.2%
20
67.8%
Q1 - 3:12MIAWade Reverse Layup (4 PTS)14
34.1%
20
65.9%
Q1 - 3:33ORLTurkoglu 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
35.9%
18
64.1%
Q1 - 3:55MIAWade Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)12
34.1%
18
65.9%
Q1 - 4:07MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
35.9%
16
64.1%
Q1 - 4:09ORLMISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot12
36.7%
16
63.3%
Q1 - 4:30MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)12
38.4%
16
61.6%
Q1 - 4:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
40.1%
14
59.9%
Q1 - 4:41ORLMISS Battie 17' Jump Shot12
40.9%
14
59.1%
Q1 - 5:01ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
42.6%
14
57.4%
Q1 - 5:03ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot12
41.0%
14
59.0%
Q1 - 5:16MIAKapono 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)12
42.6%
14
57.4%
Q1 - 5:28MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
46.5%
11
53.5%
Q1 - 5:30ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot12
47.2%
11
52.8%
Q1 - 5:49ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
48.9%
11
51.1%
Q1 - 5:50MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 212
48.6%
11
51.4%
Q1 - 5:50MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 212
47.1%
11
52.9%
Q1 - 6:05ORLHill Driving Layup (6 PTS)12
46.4%
11
53.6%
Q1 - 6:32MIAWright 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
44.5%
11
55.5%
Q1 - 6:42MIAHEAT Rebound10
46.4%
9
53.6%
Q1 - 6:43MIAMISS Haslem Layup10
47.9%
9
52.1%
Q1 - 6:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
46.4%
9
53.6%
Q1 - 6:45MIAMISS Haslem Driving Layup10
47.9%
9
52.1%
Q1 - 6:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
46.4%
9
53.6%
Q1 - 6:54MIAMISS Mourning 5' Hook Shot10
47.9%
9
52.1%
Q1 - 7:15ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)10
46.2%
9
53.8%
Q1 - 7:34MIAMourning 8' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)10
48.3%
9
51.7%
Q1 - 7:50ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)10
50.0%
7
50.0%
Q1 - 7:54ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
52.1%
7
47.9%
Q1 - 7:56MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot10
51.5%
7
48.5%
Q1 - 8:16ORLHill Layup (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)10
50.2%
7
49.8%
Q1 - 8:17ORLMagic Rebound8
48.5%
7
51.5%
Q1 - 8:18ORLHaslem BLOCK (2 BLK)8
47.1%
7
52.9%
Q1 - 8:25ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
48.5%
7
51.5%
Q1 - 8:27MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot8
47.9%
7
52.1%
Q1 - 8:39ORLBattie 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
46.4%
7
53.6%
Q1 - 8:58MIAKapono 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)6
44.8%
7
55.2%
Q1 - 9:16ORLHill 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
48.0%
4
52.0%
Q1 - 9:27MIAKapono Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
46.6%
4
53.4%
Q1 - 9:28MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
44.2%
4
55.8%
Q1 - 9:29ORLHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)4
44.9%
4
55.1%
Q1 - 9:34MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
46.6%
4
53.4%
Q1 - 9:43MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
44.2%
4
55.8%
Q1 - 9:44ORLMISS Howard Driving Layup4
45.0%
4
55.0%
Q1 - 10:02MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
46.4%
4
53.6%
Q1 - 10:20ORLBattie Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
48.0%
2
52.0%
Q1 - 10:20ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
47.5%
2
52.5%
Q1 - 10:33MIAKapono 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)2
46.4%
2
53.6%
Q1 - 10:50ORLBattie Layup (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)2
48.0%
0
52.0%
Q1 - 10:55ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
46.4%
0
53.6%
Q1 - 10:58MIAMISS Mourning 6' Running Hook Shot0
45.7%
0
54.3%
Q1 - 11:12MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.5%
0
55.5%
Q1 - 11:14ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
45.0%
0
55.0%
Q1 - 11:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
46.2%
0
53.8%
Q1 - 11:37MIAMISS Kapono Layup0
45.6%
0
54.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Howard: Tip to Haslem0
44.5%
0
55.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.09 54.6%
MIA
0.98 49.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
18
36
50%
MIA
12
28
43%
Midrange
ORL
16
38
42%
MIA
21
48
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
3
4.5
7
43%
64%
MIA
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
Free Throws
ORL
30
37
81%
MIA
29
37
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Hill2467%12.0 / 18
D. Howard2346%11.5 / 25
J. Nelson1464%7.0 / 11
D. Milicic1155%5.5 / 10
T. Battie880%4.0 / 5
K. Dooling8133%4.0 / 3
C. Arroyo750%3.5 / 7
H. Turkoglu638%3.0 / 8
K. Bogans467%2.0 / 3
T. Ariza217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3357%16.5 / 29
U. Haslem1959%9.5 / 16
A. Mourning1761%8.5 / 14
J. Kapono1575%7.5 / 10
D. Wright1246%6.0 / 13
A. Walker429%2.0 / 7
E. Barron225%1.0 / 4
R. Hite225%1.0 / 4
G. Payton0-0.0 / 4
M. Doleac0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
80
+17
-8
97
MIA
80
+25
-8
105
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.09 54.6%
MIA
0.98 49.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
104.2
ORL 121.6 +3.4
MIA 118.2
Pace
89.8
90.1
ORL 92.4 +8.4
MIA 84.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.5
ORL 15.6 +1.6
MIA 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
50.6%
ORL 47.5% +3.4%
MIA 44.1%
TO %
18.0%
15.3%
ORL 7.6% +0.6%
MIA 8.2%
ORB %
29.3%
24.9%
ORL 31.1%
MIA 45.5% +14.4%
FTrt
39.3
32.1
ORL 45.7 +2.2
MIA 43.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.0%
57.6%
ORL 54.1%
MIA 58.3% +4.2%
STL %
7.6%
7.6%
ORL 5.7% +1.2%
MIA 4.5%
BLK %
8.5%
8.8%
ORL 6.6%
MIA 12.2% +5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
52.4%
ORL 54.6% +5.5%
MIA 49.1%
Rim FG%
61.6%
61.8%
ORL 50.0% +7.1%
MIA 42.9%
Mid FG%
38.3%
40.5%
ORL 42.1%
MIA 43.8% +1.7%
3P %
35.6%
34.3%
ORL 42.9% +9.6%
MIA 33.3%
FT %
70.2%
69.0%
ORL 81.1% +2.7%
MIA 78.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.1%
34.9%
ORL 44.4% +11.5%
MIA 32.9%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
40.7%
ORL 46.9% +9.6%
MIA 56.5%
3P Att. %
15.8%
24.5%
ORL 8.6%
MIA 10.6% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points107104
Rebounds3851
Assists2021
Steals54
Blocks59
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)8 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)20 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (4)31 (0)
Field Goals37-8136-85
At-the-Rim FG18-3612-28
Midrange FG16-3821-48
2-Point FG34-7433-76
3-Point FG3-73-9
Free Throws30-3729-37
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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15 Orlando Magic
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 21
38.4
23
46%
12
2
0
1
2
3
4
8
11-15
73%
6-19
32%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
G · 6'8" 225 · 34
34.0
24
67%
3
2
1
0
3
3
2
1
6-8
75%
9-15
60%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 28
32.6
6
38%
2
3
2
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-3
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25
30.1
14
64%
2
5
1
0
1
4
1
1
0-0
-
4-8
50%
2-3
67%
Tony Battie
F · 6'11" 240 · 31
20.7
8
80%
3
1
0
3
0
5
1
2
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 21
29.4
11
55%
8
1
1
1
0
3
2
6
5-6
83%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 27
18.4
7
50%
3
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27
14.1
4
67%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21
11.6
2
17%
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 27
10.8
8
133%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 22
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
Travis Diener
#34 · G · 6'1" 175 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
James Augustine
#40 · F · 6'10" 235 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Pat Garrity
#8 · F · 6'9" 238 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
55%
38
20
5
5
8
0
14
24
30-37
81%
34-74
46%
3-7
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.