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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 24, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Magic47%92107
23Heat53%93104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.0
38.4
36.6
23
45%
12
2
0
1
1
2
4
8
11-15
73%
6-19
6-10
32%
54%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 34.1
34.0
32.9
24
65%
3
2
1
1
0
3
2
1
6-8
75%
9-15
5-10
60%
50%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 27.7
32.6
27.6
6
38%
2
3
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
45%
0-3
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 24.8
30.1
29.9
14
64%
2
5
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-8
5-9
50%
51%
2-3
67%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.8
20.7
27.1
8
82%
3
1
0
1
3
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
50%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.4
29.4
20.1
11
57%
8
1
1
0
1
0
2
6
5-6
83%
3-7
3-7
43%
47%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.3
18.4
17.2
7
47%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
44%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 26.5
14.1
9.1
4
69%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21.4
11.6
11.6
2
17%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-6
1-3
17%
45%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.5
10.8
21.6
8
120%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
1-1
3-6
100%
45%
1-1
100%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 22.4
5.1
0
1-1
43%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.6
1.8
0
0-0
50%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.7
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.7
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 30.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.9
42.7
37.1
33
57%
5
15
3
2
2
5
1
4
15-20
75%
9-19
8-16
47%
51%
0-1
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.0
37.9
26.8
12
47%
13
3
0
1
0
0
2
11
2-2
100%
5-12
3-6
42%
48%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.5
35.3
29.6
19
61%
8
3
1
1
2
0
5
3
7-8
88%
6-12
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.8
32.7
15.2
15
75%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
44%
3-3
100%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.8
30.6
22.0
17
60%
7
0
0
0
5
0
4
3
5-7
71%
6-11
3-5
55%
55%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
21.4
19.9
4
29%
5
0
0
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
49%
0-2
0%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.3
12.4
24.0
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.4
12.2
13.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.3
10.4
11.0
2
25%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
50%
0-0
-
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 22.9
4.3
11.0
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.7
10.6
0
1-3
48%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.2
6.6
0
1-1
44%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.9
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.0
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.