Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, November 24, 2006

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	15	Magic	47%	91	107
	23	Heat	53%	93	104

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
Magic	121.6	88	92.4
Heat	118.2	88	84.0

Scoring Opportunities

ORL

+17

-8

MIA

+25

-8

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.09 54.6%

MIA

0.98 49.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	MIA
Q4 - 0:00.0	MIA		107 100%	104 0%
Q4 - 0:00.0	MIA	HEAT Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 2)	107	104
Q4 - 0:00.0	MIA	Walker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	107 99.9%	104 0.1%
Q4 - 0:00.0	ORL	MISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 2	107 99.9%	104 0.1%
Q4 - 0:00.0	ORL	Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)	107 99.9%	104 0.1%
Q4 - 0:00.0	MIA	Walker P.FOUL (P3.PN)	106	104
Q4 - 0:01.0	ORL	Howard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)	106 99.9%	104 0.1%
Q4 - 0:03.0	MIA	MISS Wade 15' Fadeaway Jumper	106 98.7%	104 1.3%
Q4 - 0:16.0	MIA	Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)	106 83.0%	104 17.0%
Q4 - 0:18.0	ORL	MISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 2	106 85.7%	104 14.3%
Q4 - 0:18.0	ORL	SUB: Bogans FOR Turkoglu	106	104
Q4 - 0:18.0	ORL	Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)	106 92.4%	104 7.6%
Q4 - 0:18.0	MIA	Kapono P.FOUL (P4.PN)	105	104
Q4 - 0:19.0	ORL	SUB: Turkoglu FOR Milicic	105	104
Q4 - 0:19.0	ORL	Magic Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)	105	104
Q4 - 0:19.0	MIA	Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)	105 86.5%	104 13.5%
Q4 - 0:19.0	ORL	SUB: Milicic FOR Bogans	105	103
Q4 - 0:19.0	MIA	Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)	105 88.5%	103 11.5%
Q4 - 0:19.0	ORL	Bogans S.FOUL (P2.PN)	105	102
Q4 - 0:28.0	ORL	SUB: Arroyo FOR Milicic	105	102
Q4 - 0:28.0	MIA	SUB: Walker FOR Mourning	105	102
Q4 - 0:28.0	MIA	HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)	105	102
Q4 - 0:28.0	ORL	Hill 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)	105 90.3%	102 9.7%
Q4 - 0:45.0	ORL	Howard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)	103 76.5%	102 23.5%
Q4 - 0:47.0	MIA	MISS Wade 19' Jump Shot	103 71.7%	102 28.3%
Q4 - 1:00	MIA	Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)	103 59.5%	102 40.5%
Q4 - 1:01	ORL	MISS Milicic Free Throw 2 of 2	103 61.7%	102 38.3%
Q4 - 1:01	ORL	Milicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	103 68.7%	102 31.3%
Q4 - 1:01	MIA	Wright P.FOUL (P3.PN)	102	102
Q4 - 1:01	ORL	Milicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	102 60.4%	102 39.6%
Q4 - 1:02	ORL	MISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot	102 48.8%	102 51.2%
Q4 - 1:14	MIA	Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)	102 60.4%	102 39.6%
Q4 - 1:14	MIA	Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)	102 62.9%	101 37.1%
Q4 - 1:14	ORL	Bogans P.FOUL (P1.PN)	102	100
Q4 - 1:27	MIA	Jump Ball Mourning vs. Milicic: Tip to Haslem	102	100
Q4 - 1:29	MIA	Mourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)	102 71.2%	100 28.8%
Q4 - 1:30	MIA	MISS Wade 10' Jump Shot	102 79.2%	100 20.8%
Q4 - 1:48	ORL	Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)	102 68.5%	100 31.5%
Q4 - 1:48	ORL	Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)	101 66.7%	100 33.3%
Q4 - 1:48	MIA	Wade S.FOUL (P1.PN)	100	100
Q4 - 2:06	ORL	SUB: Bogans FOR Turkoglu	100	100
Q4 - 2:06	ORL	Magic Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)	100	100
Q4 - 2:07	MIA	Wade 20' Jump Shot (29 PTS)	100 60.4%	100 39.6%
Q4 - 2:23	ORL	Hill Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)	100 67.7%	98 32.3%
Q4 - 2:27	MIA	Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T9)	100 80.9%	98 19.1%
Q4 - 2:45	ORL	Haslem STEAL (1 STL)	100 67.6%	98 32.4%
Q4 - 3:00	MIA	Haslem Dunk (19 PTS) (Wade 15 AST)	100 78.5%	98 21.5%
Q4 - 3:04	MIA	Mourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	100 83.6%	96 16.4%
Q4 - 3:06	ORL	Mourning BLOCK (5 BLK)	100 85.9%	96 14.1%
Q4 - 3:17	MIA	Mourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)	100 90.3%	96 9.7%
Q4 - 3:17	MIA	Mourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)	100 91.5%	95 8.5%
Q4 - 3:17	ORL	Milicic S.FOUL (P3.PN)	100	94
Q4 - 3:31	ORL	Hill Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)	100 89.1%	94 10.9%
Q4 - 3:31	MIA	Mourning S.FOUL (P5.PN)	99	94
Q4 - 3:31	ORL	Hill Layup (18 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)	99	94
Q4 - 3:49	MIA	Kapono 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 14 AST)	97 80.6%	94 19.4%
Q4 - 4:09	MIA	Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)	97 85.8%	92 14.2%
Q4 - 4:10	ORL	MISS Milicic 8' Hook Shot	97 87.3%	92 12.7%
Q4 - 4:29	MIA	Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 13 AST)	97 90.3%	92 9.7%
Q4 - 4:39	MIA	HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)	97	89
Q4 - 4:43	ORL	Milicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	97 95.2%	89 4.8%
Q4 - 4:43	ORL	Milicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	96 94.5%	89 5.5%
Q4 - 4:43	ORL	SUB: Nelson FOR Arroyo	95	89
Q4 - 4:43	MIA	Kapono P.FOUL (P3.PN)	95	89
Q4 - 4:55	ORL	Milicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	95 93.3%	89 6.7%
Q4 - 4:57	MIA	MISS Wade 17' Jump Shot	95 92.5%	89 7.5%
Q4 - 5:06	MIA	Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)	95 86.8%	89 13.2%
Q4 - 5:08	ORL	MISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot	95 88.0%	89 12.0%
Q4 - 5:23	ORL	Milicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	95 90.5%	89 9.5%
Q4 - 5:24	MIA	MISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2	95 90.0%	89 10.0%
Q4 - 5:24	MIA	HEAT Rebound	95	89
Q4 - 5:24	MIA	MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2	95 87.8%	89 12.2%
Q4 - 5:24	ORL	Hill S.FOUL (P3.T4)	95	89
Q4 - 5:33	ORL	Turkoglu P.FOUL (P2.T3)	95	89
Q4 - 5:34	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)	95 87.0%	89 13.0%
Q4 - 5:35	MIA	MISS Wade 21' Jump Shot	95 89.6%	89 10.4%
Q4 - 5:52	ORL	Howard Follow Up Dunk (22 PTS)	95 87.1%	89 12.9%
Q4 - 5:53	ORL	Howard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)	93 83.0%	89 17.0%
Q4 - 5:54	ORL	Mourning BLOCK (4 BLK)	93 79.3%	89 20.7%
Q4 - 6:11	MIA	Mourning Dunk (15 PTS)	93 80.4%	89 19.6%
Q4 - 6:13	MIA	Mourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	93 84.6%	87 15.4%
Q4 - 6:15	MIA	MISS Kapono 14' Jump Shot	93 87.3%	87 12.7%
Q4 - 6:35	ORL	Milicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	93 84.7%	87 15.3%
Q4 - 6:35	ORL	Milicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	92 83.1%	87 16.9%
Q4 - 6:35	MIA	Kapono P.FOUL (P2.T4)	91	87
Q4 - 6:35	ORL	Milicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	91 80.5%	87 19.5%
Q4 - 6:36	ORL	Mourning BLOCK (3 BLK)	91 76.8%	87 23.2%
Q4 - 6:50	ORL	SUB: Turkoglu FOR Bogans	91	87
Q4 - 6:50	ORL	Magic Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)	91	87
Q4 - 6:59	MIA	Kapono 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	91 80.6%	87 19.4%
Q4 - 7:17	MIA	Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	91 82.6%	85 17.4%
Q4 - 7:19	ORL	MISS Howard 4' Hook Shot	91 83.9%	85 16.1%
Q4 - 7:39	MIA	Mourning Layup (13 PTS) (Wade 12 AST)	91 86.6%	85 13.4%
Q4 - 7:44	MIA	Kapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	91 89.4%	83 10.6%
Q4 - 7:46	ORL	Mourning BLOCK (2 BLK)	91 90.2%	83 9.8%
Q4 - 8:00	MIA	Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)	91 91.9%	83 8.1%
Q4 - 8:00	ORL	SUB: Howard FOR Battie	91	82
Q4 - 8:00	MIA	SUB: Kapono FOR Walker	91	82
Q4 - 8:00	MIA	SUB: Wright FOR Payton	91	82
Q4 - 8:00	MIA	HEAT Rebound	91	82
Q4 - 8:00	MIA	MISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2	91 92.3%	82 7.7%
Q4 - 8:00	ORL	Battie S.FOUL (P5.T2)	91	82
Q4 - 8:11	ORL	Hill 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)	91 90.4%	82 9.6%
Q4 - 8:30	ORL	Magic Rebound	89 87.9%	82 12.1%
Q4 - 8:31	MIA	MISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot	89 87.0%	82 13.0%
Q4 - 8:42	MIA	Jump Ball Mourning vs. Battie: Tip to Wade	89	82
Q4 - 8:42	MIA	HEAT Rebound	89 85.0%	82 15.0%
Q4 - 8:42			89	82
Q4 - 8:43	MIA	MISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot	89 87.1%	82 12.9%
Q4 - 8:51	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)	89 85.0%	82 15.0%
Q4 - 8:53	ORL	MISS Arroyo 12' Jump Bank Shot	89 86.0%	82 14.0%
Q4 - 9:10	MIA	Wade 19' Jump Shot (27 PTS)	89 86.3%	82 13.7%
Q4 - 9:27	ORL	Bogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	89 89.0%	80 11.0%
Q4 - 9:27	ORL	Bogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	88 88.4%	80 11.6%
Q4 - 9:27	MIA	Mourning S.FOUL (P4.T3)	87	80
Q4 - 9:41	MIA	Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)	87 86.3%	80 13.7%
Q4 - 9:41	MIA	Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)	87 86.9%	79 13.1%
Q4 - 9:41	ORL	SUB: Battie FOR Howard	87	78
Q4 - 9:41	ORL	Howard S.FOUL (P3.T1)	87	78
Q4 - 9:56	ORL	Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)	87 89.1%	78 10.9%
Q4 - 9:56	ORL	Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)	86 88.3%	78 11.7%
Q4 - 9:56	MIA	SUB: Mourning FOR Doleac	85	78
Q4 - 9:56	MIA	SUB: Wade FOR Wright	85	78
Q4 - 9:56	MIA	SUB: Haslem FOR Barron	85	78
Q4 - 9:56	MIA	Payton S.FOUL (P2.T2)	85	78
Q4 - 10:05	ORL	Arroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	85 84.9%	78 15.1%
Q4 - 10:07	MIA	MISS Barron 12' Jump Shot	85 84.0%	78 16.0%
Q4 - 10:33	ORL	Hill Layup (14 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)	85 81.9%	78 18.1%
Q4 - 10:45	ORL	Hill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	83 78.2%	78 21.8%
Q4 - 10:47	MIA	MISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot	83 77.0%	78 23.0%
Q4 - 11:05	MIA	HEAT Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)	83	78
Q4 - 11:09	ORL	Howard Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)	83 72.9%	78 27.1%
Q4 - 11:09	MIA	Wright S.FOUL (P2.T1)	82	78
Q4 - 11:09	ORL	Howard Layup (17 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)	82	78
Q4 - 11:20	ORL	Milicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	80 63.4%	78 36.6%
Q4 - 11:22	MIA	MISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot	80 62.0%	78 38.0%
Q4 - 11:47	ORL	Arroyo 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	80 58.7%	78 41.3%
Q4 - 11:56	MIA	Walker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)	78 53.1%	78 46.9%
Q4 - 12:00			78	78
Q3 - 0:00.0	ORL		78 48.0%	78 52.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0	ORL	Magic Rebound	78 53.1%	78 46.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0	ORL	MISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot	78 49.5%	78 50.5%
Q3 - 0:15.0	ORL	SUB: Arroyo FOR Nelson	78	78
Q3 - 0:15.0	MIA	Wright Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	78 52.5%	78 47.5%
Q3 - 0:15.0	MIA	SUB: Payton FOR Wade	78	77
Q3 - 0:15.0	MIA	SUB: Barron FOR Mourning	78	77
Q3 - 0:15.0	MIA	Wright Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	78 53.6%	77 46.4%
Q3 - 0:15.0	ORL	Nelson S.FOUL (P4.PN)	78	76
Q3 - 0:15.0	MIA	Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	78 58.1%	76 41.9%
Q3 - 0:16.0	MIA	MISS Walker Tip Shot	78 61.1%	76 38.9%
Q3 - 0:17.0	MIA	Walker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	78 58.1%	76 41.9%
Q3 - 0:18.0	MIA	MISS Wright Layup	78 61.2%	76 38.8%
Q3 - 0:20.0	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	78 58.1%	76 41.9%
Q3 - 0:21.0	ORL	Wade BLOCK (2 BLK)	78 59.5%	76 40.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0	MIA	Walker Layup (4 PTS)	78 62.5%	76 37.5%
Q3 - 0:43.0	MIA	Walker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	78 67.7%	74 32.3%
Q3 - 0:45.0	MIA	MISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot	78 70.4%	74 29.6%
Q3 - 1:04	ORL	Howard Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)	78 66.6%	74 33.4%
Q3 - 1:04	MIA	Mourning S.FOUL (P3.T4)	77	74
Q3 - 1:04	ORL	Howard Layup (14 PTS)	77	74
Q3 - 1:04	ORL	Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	75 57.0%	74 43.0%
Q3 - 1:05	ORL	MISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot	75 53.9%	74 46.1%
Q3 - 1:12	MIA	SUB: Mourning FOR Haslem	75	74
Q3 - 1:12	ORL	Magic Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)	75	74
Q3 - 1:19	MIA	Wade 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS)	75 57.0%	74 43.0%
Q3 - 1:36	ORL	Milicic 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)	75 62.2%	72 37.8%
Q3 - 1:55	MIA	Wright 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)	73 57.0%	72 43.0%
Q3 - 2:08	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)	73 61.1%	70 38.9%
Q3 - 2:09	ORL	MISS Howard 7' Hook Shot	73 62.5%	70 37.5%
Q3 - 2:23	ORL	Milicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	73 65.5%	70 34.5%
Q3 - 2:27	MIA	MISS Wright 19' Jump Shot	73 64.2%	70 35.8%
Q3 - 2:44	ORL	Bogans 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)	73 61.2%	70 38.8%
Q3 - 2:56	MIA	Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)	71 56.6%	70 43.4%
Q3 - 2:56	MIA	HEAT Rebound	71	69
Q3 - 2:56	MIA	MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2	71 57.4%	69 42.6%
Q3 - 2:56	ORL	Nelson S.FOUL (P3.PN)	71	69
Q3 - 2:59	MIA	HEAT Rebound	71 56.7%	69 43.3%
Q3 - 2:59	MIA	Jump Ball Wright vs. Howard: Tip to Doleac	71	69
Q3 - 3:00	MIA	MISS Wright Layup	71 59.8%	69 40.2%
Q3 - 3:28	ORL	Nelson Driving Layup (14 PTS)	71 56.2%	69 43.8%
Q3 - 3:39	MIA	Wade 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)	69 52.0%	69 48.0%
Q3 - 3:58	ORL	Milicic Dunk (4 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)	69 56.2%	67 43.8%
Q3 - 4:15	MIA	Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)	67 52.0%	67 48.0%
Q3 - 4:15	MIA	Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)	67 52.8%	66 47.2%
Q3 - 4:15	ORL	Nelson S.FOUL (P2.T4)	67	65
Q3 - 4:29	ORL	Turkoglu Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)	67 55.6%	65 44.4%
Q3 - 4:54	MIA	Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)	65 52.0%	65 48.0%
Q3 - 4:54	MIA	Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)	65 52.9%	64 47.1%
Q3 - 4:54	ORL	Nelson S.FOUL (P1.T3)	65	63
Q3 - 5:12	ORL	Nelson 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)	65 55.0%	63 45.0%
Q3 - 5:29	MIA	Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	62 47.2%	63 52.8%
Q3 - 5:29	ORL	SUB: Milicic FOR Battie	62	62
Q3 - 5:29	MIA	Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	62 48.1%	62 51.9%
Q3 - 5:29	ORL	Battie S.FOUL (P4.T2)	62	61
Q3 - 5:29	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)	62 50.9%	61 49.1%
Q3 - 5:30	MIA	MISS Walker Layup	62 54.1%	61 45.9%
Q3 - 5:45	MIA	Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	62 50.9%	61 49.1%
Q3 - 5:46	ORL	MISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 1	62 51.5%	61 48.5%
Q3 - 5:46	MIA	Doleac S.FOUL (P2.T3)	62	61
Q3 - 5:46	ORL	Howard 9' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)	62	61
Q3 - 6:06	MIA	Haslem 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)	60 47.1%	61 52.9%
Q3 - 6:27	ORL	Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	60 50.8%	59 49.2%
Q3 - 6:27	ORL	Magic Rebound	59	59
Q3 - 6:27	ORL	MISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2	59 49.5%	59 50.5%
Q3 - 6:27	MIA	Wright S.FOUL (P1.T2)	59	59
Q3 - 6:41	MIA	Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	59 51.2%	59 48.8%
Q3 - 6:41	MIA	Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	59 52.0%	58 48.0%
Q3 - 6:41	ORL	Battie P.FOUL (P3.T1)	59	57
Q3 - 6:49	MIA	SUB: Doleac FOR Mourning	59	57
Q3 - 6:49	MIA	SUB: Walker FOR Kapono	59	57
Q3 - 6:49	ORL	SUB: Bogans FOR Hill	59	57
Q3 - 6:49	MIA	HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)	59	57
Q3 - 6:55	ORL	Nelson Layup (9 PTS)	59 54.9%	57 45.1%
Q3 - 6:56	ORL	Nelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	57 51.2%	57 48.8%
Q3 - 6:59	ORL	MISS Hill 19' Jump Shot	57 48.1%	57 51.9%
Q3 - 7:17	MIA	Mourning Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)	57 50.6%	57 49.4%
Q3 - 7:37	ORL	Turkoglu Layup (4 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)	57 54.3%	55 45.7%
Q3 - 7:43	MIA	Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)	55 50.6%	55 49.4%
Q3 - 7:48	MIA	Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	55 46.6%	55 53.4%
Q3 - 7:50	ORL	MISS Howard 9' Jump Shot	55 47.8%	55 52.2%
Q3 - 8:07	MIA	Wade 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)	55 50.4%	55 49.6%
Q3 - 8:29	ORL	Hill Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)	55 53.9%	53 46.1%
Q3 - 8:33	ORL	Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	55 57.9%	53 42.1%
Q3 - 8:35	ORL	MISS Hill Dunk	55 55.1%	53 44.9%
Q3 - 8:40	ORL	Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	55 57.9%	53 42.1%
Q3 - 8:42	MIA	MISS Wade 19' Jump Shot	55 56.7%	53 43.3%
Q3 - 8:58	ORL	Nelson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)	55 53.9%	53 46.1%
Q3 - 9:06	ORL	Magic Rebound	52 46.6%	53 53.4%
Q3 - 9:07	ORL	Wade BLOCK (1 BLK)	52 44.0%	53 56.0%
Q3 - 9:16	MIA	Haslem 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)	52 46.6%	53 53.4%
Q3 - 9:32	ORL	Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	52 50.2%	51 49.8%
Q3 - 9:32	ORL	Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	51 49.6%	51 50.4%
Q3 - 9:32	MIA	Mourning S.FOUL (P2.T1)	50	51
Q3 - 9:56	MIA	Wright 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)	50 46.6%	51 53.4%
Q3 - 10:07	MIA	Kapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	50 50.0%	49 50.0%
Q3 - 10:08	MIA	MISS Wright Alley Oop Dunk	50 52.6%	49 47.4%
Q3 - 10:12	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	50 50.0%	49 50.0%
Q3 - 10:13	ORL	MISS Howard Tip Shot	50 51.1%	49 48.9%
Q3 - 10:14	ORL	Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	50 53.7%	49 46.3%
Q3 - 10:16	ORL	MISS Hill Layup	50 51.2%	49 48.8%
Q3 - 10:35	MIA	Mourning Dunk (9 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)	50 53.7%	49 46.3%
Q3 - 10:37	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	50 57.2%	47 42.8%
Q3 - 10:39	MIA	MISS Wade 20' Jump Shot	50 59.6%	47 40.4%
Q3 - 10:58	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	50 57.2%	47 42.8%
Q3 - 11:00	ORL	MISS Hill 18' Jump Shot	50 58.3%	47 41.7%
Q3 - 11:07	ORL	Hill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	50 60.5%	47 39.5%
Q3 - 11:09	ORL	Mourning BLOCK (1 BLK)	50 58.0%	47 42.0%
Q3 - 11:16	ORL	Battie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	50 60.5%	47 39.5%
Q3 - 11:18	MIA	MISS Haslem Layup	50 59.4%	47 40.6%
Q3 - 11:46	ORL	Howard 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)	50 56.9%	47 43.1%
Q3 - 12:00			48	47
Q2 - 0:00.0	ORL		48 53.7%	47 46.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0	ORL	Nelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	48 53.7%	47 46.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0	MIA	MISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot	48 52.5%	47 47.5%
Q2 - 0:07.0	ORL	Nelson 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	48 50.6%	47 49.4%
Q2 - 0:28.0	MIA	Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	46 46.4%	47 53.6%
Q2 - 0:28.0	ORL	SUB: Turkoglu FOR Ariza	46	46
Q2 - 0:28.0	MIA	Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	46 47.0%	46 53.0%
Q2 - 0:28.0	ORL	Hill S.FOUL (P2.PN)	46	45
Q2 - 0:38.0	MIA	Doleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	46 50.5%	45 49.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0	ORL	MISS Ariza Tip Shot	46 51.3%	45 48.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0	ORL	Ariza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	46 53.1%	45 46.9%
Q2 - 0:43.0	ORL	MISS Ariza Layup	46 51.3%	45 48.7%
Q2 - 0:50.0	MIA	Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	46 53.1%	45 46.9%
Q2 - 0:50.0	ORL	SUB: Milicic FOR Howard	46	44
Q2 - 0:50.0	MIA	SUB: Doleac FOR Mourning	46	44
Q2 - 0:50.0	MIA	Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	46 53.8%	44 46.2%
Q2 - 0:50.0	ORL	Howard S.FOUL (P2.PN)	46	43
Q2 - 1:06	ORL	Battie 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)	46 57.1%	43 42.9%
Q2 - 1:20	ORL	Magic Rebound	44	43
Q2 - 1:20	ORL	MISS Hill Free Throw Technical	44 53.0%	43 47.0%
Q2 - 1:20	MIA	Haslem T.FOUL (P3.T3)	44	43
Q2 - 1:20	MIA	SUB: Barron FOR Haslem	44	43
Q2 - 1:20	MIA	Haslem L.B.FOUL (P3.T3)	44	43
Q2 - 1:20	ORL	Magic Rebound	44 53.0%	43 47.0%
Q2 - 1:21	MIA	MISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot	44 52.2%	43 47.8%
Q2 - 1:33	MIA	Mourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	44 50.6%	43 49.4%
Q2 - 1:34	ORL	MISS Howard Layup	44 51.3%	43 48.7%
Q2 - 1:47	ORL	Ariza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	44 52.9%	43 47.1%
Q2 - 1:48	MIA	MISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot	44 52.2%	43 47.8%
Q2 - 2:05	ORL	Howard Layup (7 PTS) (Battie 1 AST)	44 49.8%	43 50.2%
Q2 - 2:18	ORL	Magic Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)	42	43
Q2 - 2:22	MIA	Wright Layup (6 PTS)	42 46.8%	43 53.2%
Q2 - 2:23	MIA	Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	42 49.9%	41 50.1%
Q2 - 2:25	MIA	MISS Mourning Tip Shot	42 52.2%	41 47.8%
Q2 - 2:26	MIA	Mourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	42 49.9%	41 50.1%
Q2 - 2:27	MIA	MISS Wright Layup	42 52.2%	41 47.8%
Q2 - 2:34	ORL	Wade STEAL (3 STL)	42 49.9%	41 50.1%
Q2 - 2:51	MIA	Wright 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)	42 53.1%	41 46.9%
Q2 - 3:01	ORL	Wade STEAL (2 STL)	42 55.9%	39 44.1%
Q2 - 3:18	MIA	Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	42 59.4%	39 40.6%
Q2 - 3:18	ORL	SUB: Nelson FOR Arroyo	42	38
Q2 - 3:18	MIA	Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	42 60.0%	38 40.0%
Q2 - 3:18	ORL	Battie S.FOUL (P2.T4)	42	37
Q2 - 3:26	MIA	SUB: Kapono FOR Walker	42	37
Q2 - 3:26	ORL	Arroyo P.FOUL (P1.T3)	42	37
Q2 - 3:28	ORL	Wade STEAL (1 STL)	42 61.9%	37 38.1%
Q2 - 3:41	ORL	Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	42 65.3%	37 34.7%
Q2 - 3:43	MIA	MISS Wright 19' Jump Shot	42 64.3%	37 35.7%
Q2 - 4:02	ORL	Arroyo 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)	42 61.6%	37 38.4%
Q2 - 4:10	MIA	Walker P.FOUL (P2.T2)	40	37
Q2 - 4:18	ORL	SUB: Battie FOR Milicic	40	37
Q2 - 4:18	MIA	HEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)	40 58.9%	37 41.1%
Q2 - 4:18	MIA	HEAT Rebound	40 55.7%	37 44.3%
Q2 - 4:19	MIA	MISS Wright 16' Jump Shot	40 57.9%	37 42.1%
Q2 - 4:25	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	40 55.7%	37 44.3%
Q2 - 4:26	MIA	MISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot	40 57.9%	37 42.1%
Q2 - 4:44	ORL	Milicic 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)	40 55.7%	37 44.3%
Q2 - 5:02	MIA	Mourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)	38 52.8%	37 47.2%
Q2 - 5:02	ORL	SUB: Howard FOR Dooling	38	36
Q2 - 5:02	MIA	SUB: Haslem FOR Hite	38	36
Q2 - 5:02	ORL	Milicic S.FOUL (P2.T2)	38	36
Q2 - 5:02	MIA	Mourning Layup (6 PTS)	38	36
Q2 - 5:02	MIA	Mourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	38 58.7%	34 41.3%
Q2 - 5:03	MIA	MISS Wade 14' Jump Shot	38 60.6%	34 39.4%
Q2 - 5:11	MIA	Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	38 58.7%	34 41.3%
Q2 - 5:13	ORL	MISS Milicic 6' Hook Shot	38 59.6%	34 40.4%
Q2 - 5:28	MIA	Wade Finger Roll (8 PTS)	38 61.5%	34 38.5%
Q2 - 5:41	ORL	Ariza Layup (2 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)	38 64.3%	32 35.7%
Q2 - 5:45	MIA	Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)	36 61.5%	32 38.5%
Q2 - 5:54	MIA	Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	36 58.7%	32 41.3%
Q2 - 5:56	ORL	MISS Ariza Layup	36 59.6%	32 40.4%
Q2 - 5:58	ORL	Ariza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	36 61.5%	32 38.5%
Q2 - 6:00	ORL	MISS Hill Layup	36 59.6%	32 40.4%
Q2 - 6:14	ORL	Milicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	36 61.3%	32 38.7%
Q2 - 6:15	MIA	MISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 2	36 60.8%	32 39.2%
Q2 - 6:15	MIA	Mourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	36 59.4%	32 40.6%
Q2 - 6:15	ORL	Milicic S.FOUL (P1.T1)	36	31
Q2 - 6:24	MIA	SUB: Wade FOR Barron	36	31
Q2 - 6:24	MIA	SUB: Mourning FOR Payton	36	31
Q2 - 6:24	MIA	SUB: Wright FOR Kapono	36	31
Q2 - 6:24	MIA	HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)	36	31
Q2 - 6:32	ORL	Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)	36 60.8%	31 39.2%
Q2 - 6:44	ORL	Arroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	33 55.7%	31 44.3%
Q2 - 6:46	MIA	MISS Barron 17' Jump Shot	33 54.6%	31 45.4%
Q2 - 6:55	MIA	Barron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	33 52.3%	31 47.7%
Q2 - 6:57	ORL	MISS Hill 16' Jump Shot	33 53.4%	31 46.6%
Q2 - 7:10	ORL	Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	33 55.3%	31 44.7%
Q2 - 7:12	ORL	MISS Milicic 6' Running Hook Shot	33 53.3%	31 46.7%
Q2 - 7:31	MIA	Hite Layup (2 PTS)	33 55.3%	31 44.7%
Q2 - 7:33	MIA	Hite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	33 58.0%	29 42.0%
Q2 - 7:35	MIA	MISS Hite 15' Jump Shot	33 60.0%	29 40.0%
Q2 - 7:51	ORL	Hill 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)	33 58.0%	29 42.0%
Q2 - 7:55	ORL	Dooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	31 55.3%	29 44.7%
Q2 - 7:57	MIA	MISS Barron Layup	31 54.4%	29 45.6%
Q2 - 7:58	MIA	Barron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	31 52.4%	29 47.6%
Q2 - 7:59	MIA	MISS Walker Layup	31 54.4%	29 45.6%
Q2 - 8:00	MIA	Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	31 52.4%	29 47.6%
Q2 - 8:02	MIA	MISS Hite Layup	31 54.1%	29 45.9%
Q2 - 8:16	ORL	Hill Layup (8 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)	31 52.3%	29 47.7%
Q2 - 8:21	ORL	Ariza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	29 49.5%	29 50.5%
Q2 - 8:22	MIA	MISS Payton Layup	29 48.6%	29 51.4%
Q2 - 8:39	ORL	Arroyo Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	29 46.8%	29 53.2%
Q2 - 8:39	ORL	SUB: Hill FOR Turkoglu	28	29
Q2 - 8:39			28	29
Q2 - 8:39	MIA	Payton S.FOUL (P1.T1)	28	29
Q2 - 8:39	ORL	Arroyo 6' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)	28	29
Q2 - 8:46	ORL	Milicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	26 41.3%	29 58.7%
Q2 - 8:48	MIA	MISS Hite 24' 3PT Jump Shot	26 40.5%	29 59.5%
Q2 - 8:56	MIA	Payton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	26 38.7%	29 61.3%
Q2 - 8:58	ORL	MISS Turkoglu 17' Jump Shot	26 39.5%	29 60.5%
Q2 - 9:16	ORL	Magic Rebound	26 41.2%	29 58.8%
Q2 - 9:17	MIA	MISS Payton 14' Fadeaway Jumper	26 40.4%	29 59.6%
Q2 - 9:23	MIA	Jump Ball Walker vs. Arroyo: Tip to Payton	26	29
Q2 - 9:23	MIA	SUB: Hite FOR Wade	26	29
Q2 - 9:42	ORL	Dooling Driving Layup (5 PTS)	26 38.6%	29 61.4%
Q2 - 9:58	MIA	Barron 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)	24 36.2%	29 63.8%
Q2 - 10:12	MIA	HEAT Rebound	24 38.8%	27 61.2%
Q2 - 10:13	MIA	MISS Kapono 8' Jump Bank Shot	24 40.6%	27 59.4%
Q2 - 10:23	MIA	Barron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	24 38.8%	27 61.2%
Q2 - 10:24	MIA	MISS Wade 18' Jump Shot	24 40.6%	27 59.4%
Q2 - 10:31	MIA	Barron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	24 38.8%	27 61.2%
Q2 - 10:33	ORL	MISS Ariza 19' Jump Shot	24 39.6%	27 60.4%
Q2 - 10:40	ORL	Arroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	24 41.4%	27 58.6%
Q2 - 10:42	ORL	MISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot	24 39.6%	27 60.4%
Q2 - 10:53	MIA	Wade 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	24 41.4%	27 58.6%
Q2 - 11:00	MIA	Barron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	24 43.9%	25 56.1%
Q2 - 11:02	ORL	MISS Arroyo 17' Jump Bank Shot	24 44.7%	25 55.3%
Q2 - 11:24	MIA	Walker 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	24 46.5%	25 53.5%
Q2 - 11:40	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	24 49.0%	23 51.0%
Q2 - 11:42	ORL	MISS Ariza 8' Jump Shot	24 49.8%	23 50.2%
Q2 - 12:00			24	23
Q1 - 0:00.0	MIA		24 51.6%	23 48.4%
Q1 - 0:05.0	ORL	Dooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	24 49.0%	23 51.0%
Q1 - 0:05.0	MIA	SUB: Kapono FOR Doleac	23	23
Q1 - 0:05.0	ORL	SUB: Ariza FOR Howard	23	23
Q1 - 0:05.0	ORL	Dooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)	23 48.6%	23 51.4%
Q1 - 0:05.0	MIA	Doleac P.FOUL (P1.PN)	22	23
Q1 - 0:08.0	MIA	Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)	22 46.0%	23 54.0%
Q1 - 0:25.0	ORL	Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	22 44.1%	23 55.9%
Q1 - 0:25.0	ORL	Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	21 43.3%	23 56.7%
Q1 - 0:25.0	MIA	Walker S.FOUL (P1.PN)	20	23
Q1 - 0:44.0	ORL	Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	20 41.2%	23 58.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0	MIA	MISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot	20 40.6%	23 59.4%
Q1 - 1:10	ORL	Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	20 39.8%	23 60.2%
Q1 - 1:10	MIA	SUB: Barron FOR Haslem	19	23
Q1 - 1:10	ORL	Magic Rebound	19	23
Q1 - 1:10	ORL	MISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2	19 39.0%	23 61.0%
Q1 - 1:10	MIA	Haslem S.FOUL (P2.T4)	19	23
Q1 - 1:11	ORL	Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	19 39.1%	23 60.9%
Q1 - 1:12	ORL	MISS Howard 4' Jump Shot	19 38.0%	23 62.0%
Q1 - 1:25	ORL	Dooling Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)	19 39.1%	23 60.9%
Q1 - 1:25	MIA	HEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Walker )	18	23
Q1 - 1:35	MIA	SUB: Walker FOR Kapono	18	23
Q1 - 1:35	ORL	SUB: Arroyo FOR Nelson	18	23
Q1 - 1:35	MIA	Doleac Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)	18 36.8%	23 63.2%
Q1 - 1:56	ORL	Nelson 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)	18 35.3%	23 64.7%
Q1 - 2:12	MIA	Haslem Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)	16 33.1%	23 66.9%
Q1 - 2:20	MIA	Doleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	16 35.5%	21 64.5%
Q1 - 2:21	MIA	MISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot	16 36.8%	21 63.2%
Q1 - 2:36	ORL	Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	16 35.5%	21 64.5%
Q1 - 2:36	ORL	Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	15 34.8%	21 65.2%
Q1 - 2:36	MIA	SUB: Payton FOR Wright	14	21
Q1 - 2:36	MIA	SUB: Doleac FOR Mourning	14	21
Q1 - 2:36	MIA	Kapono S.FOUL (P1.T3)	14	21
Q1 - 2:52	MIA	Mourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	14 33.1%	21 66.9%
Q1 - 2:52	MIA	HEAT Rebound	14	20
Q1 - 2:52	MIA	MISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 2	14 33.8%	20 66.2%
Q1 - 2:52	ORL	Turkoglu S.FOUL (P1.T4)	14	20
Q1 - 2:55	MIA	Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	14 33.5%	20 66.5%
Q1 - 2:57	ORL	MISS Milicic 8' Hook Shot	14 34.0%	20 66.0%
Q1 - 3:12	MIA	Wade Reverse Layup (4 PTS)	14 35.5%	20 64.5%
Q1 - 3:33	ORL	Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	14 37.7%	18 62.3%
Q1 - 3:50	ORL	SUB: Milicic FOR Hill	12	18
Q1 - 3:50	ORL	SUB: Dooling FOR Battie	12	18
Q1 - 3:50	ORL	Magic Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)	12	18
Q1 - 3:55	MIA	Wade Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)	12 35.5%	18 64.5%
Q1 - 4:07	MIA	Kapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	12 38.3%	16 61.7%
Q1 - 4:09	ORL	MISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot	12 38.9%	16 61.1%
Q1 - 4:30	MIA	Haslem Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)	12 40.4%	16 59.6%
Q1 - 4:36	ORL	Battie P.FOUL (P1.T3)	12	14
Q1 - 4:39	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	12 42.3%	14 57.7%
Q1 - 4:41	ORL	MISS Battie 17' Jump Shot	12 43.0%	14 57.0%
Q1 - 5:01	ORL	Battie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	12 44.5%	14 55.5%
Q1 - 5:03	ORL	MISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot	12 42.9%	14 57.1%
Q1 - 5:16	MIA	Kapono 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)	12 44.5%	14 55.5%
Q1 - 5:28	MIA	Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	12 48.0%	11 52.0%
Q1 - 5:30	ORL	MISS Howard 7' Hook Shot	12 48.7%	11 51.3%
Q1 - 5:49	ORL	Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	12 50.2%	11 49.8%
Q1 - 5:50	MIA	MISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2	12 49.9%	11 50.1%
Q1 - 5:50	MIA	HEAT Rebound	12	11
Q1 - 5:50	MIA	MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2	12 48.6%	11 51.4%
Q1 - 5:50	MIA	HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)	12	11
Q1 - 5:50	ORL	Hill S.FOUL (P1.T2)	12	11
Q1 - 6:05	ORL	Hill Driving Layup (6 PTS)	12 48.0%	11 52.0%
Q1 - 6:32	MIA	Wright 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	10 46.3%	11 53.7%
Q1 - 6:42	MIA	HEAT Rebound	10 48.0%	9 52.0%
Q1 - 6:43	MIA	MISS Haslem Layup	10 49.2%	9 50.8%
Q1 - 6:44	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	10 48.0%	9 52.0%
Q1 - 6:45	MIA	MISS Haslem Driving Layup	10 49.2%	9 50.8%
Q1 - 6:51	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	10 47.9%	9 52.1%
Q1 - 6:54	MIA	MISS Mourning 5' Hook Shot	10 49.2%	9 50.8%
Q1 - 7:05	ORL	Howard P.FOUL (P1.T1)	10	9
Q1 - 7:15	ORL	Howard Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)	10 47.8%	9 52.2%
Q1 - 7:23	MIA	Haslem P.FOUL (P1.T2)	10	9
Q1 - 7:34	MIA	Mourning 8' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)	10 49.6%	9 50.4%
Q1 - 7:50	ORL	Turkoglu Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)	10 50.9%	7 49.1%
Q1 - 7:54	ORL	Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	10 52.6%	7 47.4%
Q1 - 7:56	MIA	MISS Wade 19' Jump Shot	10 52.1%	7 47.9%
Q1 - 8:16	ORL	Hill Layup (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)	10 50.7%	7 49.3%
Q1 - 8:17	ORL	Magic Rebound	8 49.2%	7 50.8%
Q1 - 8:18	ORL	Haslem BLOCK (2 BLK)	8 48.2%	7 51.8%
Q1 - 8:25	ORL	Battie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 49.2%	7 50.8%
Q1 - 8:27	MIA	MISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot	8 48.7%	7 51.3%
Q1 - 8:39	ORL	Battie 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)	8 47.7%	7 52.3%
Q1 - 8:58	MIA	Kapono 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)	6 46.3%	7 53.7%
Q1 - 9:16	ORL	Hill 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	6 49.0%	4 51.0%
Q1 - 9:27	MIA	Kapono Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	4 47.6%	4 52.4%
Q1 - 9:28	MIA	Kapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 46.6%	4 53.4%
Q1 - 9:29	ORL	Haslem BLOCK (1 BLK)	4 46.9%	4 53.1%
Q1 - 9:34	MIA	Wade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	4 47.6%	4 52.4%
Q1 - 9:43	MIA	Mourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 46.6%	4 53.4%
Q1 - 9:44	ORL	MISS Howard Driving Layup	4 46.9%	4 53.1%
Q1 - 10:02	MIA	Haslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)	4 47.5%	4 52.5%
Q1 - 10:20	ORL	Battie Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	4 48.1%	2 51.9%
Q1 - 10:20	ORL	Battie Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	3 47.9%	2 52.1%
Q1 - 10:20	MIA	Mourning S.FOUL (P1.T1)	2	2
Q1 - 10:33	MIA	Kapono 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)	2 47.3%	2 52.7%
Q1 - 10:50	ORL	Battie Layup (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)	2 47.8%	0 52.2%
Q1 - 10:55	ORL	Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	0 47.2%	0 52.8%
Q1 - 10:58	MIA	MISS Mourning 6' Running Hook Shot	0 47.0%	0 53.0%
Q1 - 11:12	MIA	Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 46.6%	0 53.4%
Q1 - 11:14	ORL	MISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	0 46.8%	0 53.2%
Q1 - 11:35	ORL	Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 46.9%	0 53.1%
Q1 - 11:37	MIA	MISS Kapono Layup	0 46.8%	0 53.2%
Q1 - 12:00	MIA	Jump Ball Mourning vs. Howard: Tip to Haslem	0 46.8%	0 53.2%
Q1 - 12:00			0	0
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	MIA
			Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.09 54.6%

MIA

0.98 49.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

50%

MIA

43%

Midrange

ORL

42%

MIA

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

4.5

43%

64%

MIA

4.5

33%

50%

Free Throws

ORL

81%

MIA

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Hill	24	67%	12.0 / 18
D. Howard	23	46%	11.5 / 25
J. Nelson	14	64%	7.0 / 11
D. Milicic	11	55%	5.5 / 10
T. Battie	8	80%	4.0 / 5
K. Dooling	8	133%	4.0 / 3
C. Arroyo	7	50%	3.5 / 7
H. Turkoglu	6	38%	3.0 / 8
K. Bogans	4	67%	2.0 / 3
T. Ariza	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Wade	33	57%	16.5 / 29
U. Haslem	19	59%	9.5 / 16
A. Mourning	17	61%	8.5 / 14
J. Kapono	15	75%	7.5 / 10
D. Wright	12	46%	6.0 / 13
A. Walker	4	29%	2.0 / 7
E. Barron	2	25%	1.0 / 4
R. Hite	2	25%	1.0 / 4
G. Payton	0	-	0.0 / 4
M. Doleac	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL

+17

-8

MIA

+25

-8

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.09 54.6%

MIA

0.98 49.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	105.1 104.2	ORL 121.6 +3.4 MIA 118.2
Pace	89.8 90.1	ORL 92.4 +8.4 MIA 84.0
Avg. Poss. Time	16.2 16.5	ORL 15.6 −1.6 MIA 17.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	50.0% 50.6%	ORL 47.5% +3.4% MIA 44.1%
TO %	18.0% 15.3%	ORL 7.6% −0.6% MIA 8.2%
ORB %	29.3% 24.9%	ORL 31.1% MIA 45.5% +14.4%
FTrt	39.3 32.1	ORL 45.7 +2.2 MIA 43.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	53.0% 57.6%	ORL 54.1% MIA 58.3% +4.2%
STL %	7.6% 7.6%	ORL 5.7% +1.2% MIA 4.5%
BLK %	8.5% 8.8%	ORL 6.6% MIA 12.2% +5.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	53.0% 52.4%	ORL 54.6% +5.5% MIA 49.1%
Rim FG%	61.6% 61.8%	ORL 50.0% +7.1% MIA 42.9%
Mid FG%	38.3% 40.5%	ORL 42.1% MIA 43.8% +1.7%
3P %	35.6% 34.3%	ORL 42.9% +9.6% MIA 33.3%
FT %	70.2% 69.0%	ORL 81.1% +2.7% MIA 78.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	40.1% 34.9%	ORL 44.4% +11.5% MIA 32.9%
Mid Att. %	44.1% 40.7%	ORL 46.9% −9.6% MIA 56.5%
3P Att. %	15.8% 24.5%	ORL 8.6% MIA 10.6% +1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	ORL	MIA
Possessions	88	88
Possession Minutes	22.9	25.1
Points	107	104
Rebounds	38	51
Assists	20	21
Steals	5	4
Blocks	5	9
Turnovers (Team)	8 (0)	8 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (3)	20 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (4)	31 (0)
Field Goals	37-81	36-85
At-the-Rim FG	18-36	12-28
Midrange FG	16-38	21-48
2-Point FG	34-74	33-76
3-Point FG	3-7	3-9
Free Throws	30-37	29-37
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

15 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 21	38.4	23	46%	12	2	0	1	2	3	4	8	11-15	73%	6-19	32%	0-0	-
Grant Hill G · 6'8" 225 · 34	34.0	24	67%	3	2	1	0	3	3	2	1	6-8	75%	9-15	60%	0-0	-
Hedo Turkoglu F · 6'10" 220 · 28	32.6	6	38%	2	3	2	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 25	30.1	14	64%	2	5	1	0	1	4	1	1	0-0	-	4-8	50%	2-3	67%
Tony Battie F · 6'11" 240 · 31	20.7	8	80%	3	1	0	3	0	5	1	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Darko Milicic C · 7'0" 275 · 21	29.4	11	55%	8	1	1	1	0	3	2	6	5-6	83%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Carlos Arroyo G · 6'2" 200 · 27	18.4	7	50%	3	3	0	0	0	1	1	2	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Keith Bogans G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27	14.1	4	67%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Trevor Ariza F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21	11.6	2	17%	4	1	0	0	1	0	2	2	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Keyon Dooling G · 6'3" 195 · 27	10.8	8	133%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 22
Bo Outlaw F · 6'8" 220 · 36
Travis Diener #34 · G · 6'1" 175 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
James Augustine #40 · F · 6'10" 235 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Pat Garrity #8 · F · 6'9" 238 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	55%	38	20	5	5	8	0	14	24	30-37	81%	34-74	46%	3-7	43%

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15 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 21	38.4	23	46%	12	2	0	1	2	3	4	8	11-15	73%	6-19	32%	0-0	-
Grant Hill G · 6'8" 225 · 34	34.0	24	67%	3	2	1	0	3	3	2	1	6-8	75%	9-15	60%	0-0	-
Hedo Turkoglu F · 6'10" 220 · 28	32.6	6	38%	2	3	2	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 25	30.1	14	64%	2	5	1	0	1	4	1	1	0-0	-	4-8	50%	2-3	67%
Tony Battie F · 6'11" 240 · 31	20.7	8	80%	3	1	0	3	0	5	1	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Darko Milicic C · 7'0" 275 · 21	29.4	11	55%	8	1	1	1	0	3	2	6	5-6	83%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Carlos Arroyo G · 6'2" 200 · 27	18.4	7	50%	3	3	0	0	0	1	1	2	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Keith Bogans G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27	14.1	4	67%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Trevor Ariza F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21	11.6	2	17%	4	1	0	0	1	0	2	2	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Keyon Dooling G · 6'3" 195 · 27	10.8	8	133%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 22
Bo Outlaw F · 6'8" 220 · 36
Travis Diener #34 · G · 6'1" 175 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
James Augustine #40 · F · 6'10" 235 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Pat Garrity #8 · F · 6'9" 238 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	55%	38	20	5	5	8	0	14	24	30-37	81%	34-74	46%	3-7	43%

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23 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 25	42.7	33	57%	5	15	3	2	5	1	1	4	15-20	75%	9-19	47%	0-1	0%
Dorell Wright G · 6'9" 205 · 21	37.9	12	46%	13	3	0	0	0	3	2	11	2-2	100%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 26	35.3	19	59%	8	3	1	2	0	3	5	3	7-8	88%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Jason Kapono F · 6'8" 215 · 26	32.7	15	75%	4	0	0	0	1	4	1	3	0-0	-	3-7	43%	3-3	100%
Alonzo Mourning C · 6'10" 261 · 37	30.6	17	61%	7	0	0	5	0	5	4	3	5-7	71%	6-11	55%	0-0	-

Antoine Walker F · 6'9" 245 · 30	21.4	4	29%	5	0	0	0	1	3	3	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Gary Payton G · 6'4" 190 · 38	12.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Michael Doleac C · 6'11" 262 · 29	12.2	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Earl Barron F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25	10.4	2	25%	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Robert Hite G · 6'2" 184 · 23	4.3	2	25%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Wayne Simien F · 6'9" 250 · 24
Chris Quinn G · 6'2" 175 · 23
James Posey #42 · F · 6'8" 217 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jason Williams #55 · G · 6'1" 180 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Shaquille O'Neal #32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	49%	51	21	4	9	8	0	20	31	29-37	78%	33-76	43%	3-9	33%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE