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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 24, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Cavaliers52%9587
22Pacers48%9497
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.9
42.4
38.7
30
66%
7
5
1
2
0
3
1
6
16-20
80%
4-12
8-16
33%
50%
2-2
100%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.2
30.8
23.7
17
59%
12
1
0
1
0
3
3
9
1-1
100%
8-14
4-8
57%
49%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.6
29.5
23.6
6
38%
2
4
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
42%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.5
22.9
27.2
2
50%
10
1
0
0
0
3
1
9
0-0
-
1-2
5-10
50%
48%
0-0
-
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.0
17.9
18.3
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.2
28.3
29.8
9
46%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
2-5
40%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.5
22.5
17.3
3
23%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
0-3
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.2
19.4
22.6
9
57%
6
0
1
1
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
54%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.0
17.0
17.8
4
52%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 20.7
9.3
10.7
7
60%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.0
4.3
0
0-1
44%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.8
1.8
0
0-0
42%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.8
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 31.8
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.1
41.6
34.9
29
67%
6
5
0
1
4
3
2
4
13-15
87%
8-15
7-15
53%
46%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 28.7
33.0
29.1
19
60%
5
6
3
1
0
1
1
4
10-11
91%
3-9
3-7
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 23.6
32.7
32.7
4
23%
6
1
2
1
0
0
3
3
4-6
67%
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
0-4
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.8
27.9
32.1
10
51%
8
1
0
1
0
2
2
6
0-2
0%
5-9
6-12
56%
47%
0-0
-
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 24.8
9.8
9.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Sarunas Jasikevicius
· 6'4" 197 · 30.7
29.2
13.4
15
63%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
4-8
1-2
50%
42%
2-3
67%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 28.6
25.3
32.1
5
23%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-7
4-8
29%
45%
0-3
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.9
23.7
22.3
8
82%
8
0
1
1
1
0
4
4
2-2
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
53%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 38.4
16.4
9.2
5
31%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
1-6
17%
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 24.8
0.4
1.8
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.9
20.2
1
2-5
48%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.8
4.4
0
0-1
45%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.3
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 20.8
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.