Final Win Prob. pScore
2140%93
86
1860%96
79
ORTG#PossPace
MIN logo Timberwolves
94.59190.1
Hornets
86.89191.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMINNOK
Q4 - 0:00.0MIN86
100%
79
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:16)86
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0NOKMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)86
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MINMISS Jaric Free Throw 2 of 286
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MINJaric Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)86
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0NOKStojakovic P.FOUL (P2.PN)85
79
Q4 - 0:12.0NOKPaul 6' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS)85
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0MINDavis Traveling Turnover (P1.T16)85
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0NOKPargo Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)85
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0NOKPargo Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)85
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0MINDavis S.FOUL (P3.PN)85
75
Q4 - 0:41.0NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)85
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0MINMISS Hudson Free Throw 2 of 285
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0MINHudson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)85
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0NOKPaul P.FOUL (P2.PN)84
75
Q4 - 0:54.0MINJaric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)84
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 0:56.0NOKMISS Mason 5' Jump Shot84
99.7%
75
0.3%
Q4 - 1:10NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
99.4%
75
0.6%
Q4 - 1:11MINMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 284
99.4%
75
0.6%
Q4 - 1:11MINBlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)84
99.6%
75
0.4%
Q4 - 1:11NOKMason S.FOUL (P4.T3)83
75
Q4 - 1:28NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)83
99.1%
75
0.9%
Q4 - 1:28NOKHORNETS Rebound83
74
Q4 - 1:28NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 283
99.2%
74
0.8%
Q4 - 1:28MINBlount S.FOUL (P4.T3)83
74
Q4 - 1:46NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
98.4%
74
1.6%
Q4 - 1:47MINMISS Hudson 21' Jump Shot83
98.6%
74
1.4%
Q4 - 2:07MINBlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)83
99.1%
74
0.9%
Q4 - 2:09NOKMISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
99.0%
74
1.0%
Q4 - 2:19MINGarnett 5' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Jaric 4 AST)83
98.4%
74
1.6%
Q4 - 2:39MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)81
74
Q4 - 2:39NOKChandler L.B.FOUL (P4.T2)81
74
Q4 - 2:39MINTimberwolves Rebound81
97.8%
74
2.2%
Q4 - 2:40NOKMISS Pargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
97.4%
74
2.6%
Q4 - 2:43NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
95.8%
74
4.2%
Q4 - 2:45NOKMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
97.4%
74
2.6%
Q4 - 2:50NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
95.8%
74
4.2%
Q4 - 2:52MINMISS Hudson 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
95.2%
74
4.8%
Q4 - 3:08NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)81
96.8%
74
3.2%
Q4 - 3:08MINSUB: Davis FOR Foye81
73
Q4 - 3:08NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)81
97.0%
73
3.0%
Q4 - 3:08MINFoye S.FOUL (P1.T2)81
72
Q4 - 3:11MINPaul STEAL (2 STL)81
97.7%
72
2.3%
Q4 - 3:32NOKPargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)81
97.0%
72
3.0%
Q4 - 3:53MINHudson 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)81
98.6%
69
1.4%
Q4 - 4:05MINFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
98.1%
69
1.9%
Q4 - 4:06NOKMISS Pargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
97.9%
69
2.1%
Q4 - 4:26MINHudson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)79
97.3%
69
2.7%
Q4 - 4:46MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:15)76
94.6%
69
5.4%
Q4 - 4:47NOKMISS Pargo 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
93.9%
69
6.1%
Q4 - 4:57NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
92.0%
69
8.0%
Q4 - 4:59MINChandler BLOCK (1 BLK)76
92.9%
69
7.1%
Q4 - 5:07NOKStojakovic Violation:Kicked Ball76
69
Q4 - 5:32NOKPargo 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)76
91.9%
69
8.1%
Q4 - 5:49NOKSUB: Paul FOR Butler76
67
Q4 - 5:49NOKSUB: Stojakovic FOR Jackson76
67
Q4 - 5:49NOKHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)76
67
Q4 - 5:57MINJaric 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)76
94.1%
67
5.9%
Q4 - 6:16MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:14)74
89.5%
67
10.5%
Q4 - 6:17NOKMISS Jackson Layup74
88.5%
67
11.5%
Q4 - 6:19NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
86.1%
67
13.9%
Q4 - 6:20NOKMISS Jackson Layup74
88.5%
67
11.5%
Q4 - 6:39MINGarnett 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jaric 3 AST)74
86.2%
67
13.8%
Q4 - 6:58MINSUB: Foye FOR Davis72
67
Q4 - 6:58NOKPargo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)72
82.4%
67
17.6%
Q4 - 7:17MINDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)72
74.7%
67
25.3%
Q4 - 7:17MINDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)71
73.7%
67
26.3%
Q4 - 7:17MINSUB: Garnett FOR Smith70
67
Q4 - 7:17NOKJackson S.FOUL (P4.T1)70
67
Q4 - 7:19MINHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
69.5%
67
30.5%
Q4 - 7:20NOKMISS Pargo 17' Jump Shot70
67.5%
67
32.5%
Q4 - 7:37MINBlount 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T14)70
62.9%
67
37.1%
Q4 - 7:53NOKSUB: Chandler FOR Simmons70
67
Q4 - 7:5370
67
Q4 - 7:53NOKPargo Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T7)70
69.6%
67
30.4%
Q4 - 8:04MINJaric Layup (8 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)70
61.8%
67
38.2%
Q4 - 8:23MINJaric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
55.3%
67
44.7%
Q4 - 8:26NOKMISS Jackson Layup68
53.4%
67
46.6%
Q4 - 8:34NOKSimmons REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)68
49.0%
67
51.0%
Q4 - 8:35MINMISS Jaric 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
50.9%
67
49.1%
Q4 - 8:55MINJaric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
55.3%
67
44.7%
Q4 - 8:57NOKMISS Jackson 23' Jump Shot68
53.4%
67
46.6%
Q4 - 9:09MINJaric Driving Layup (6 PTS)68
48.7%
67
51.3%
Q4 - 9:32NOKPargo 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)66
42.4%
67
57.6%
Q4 - 9:47NOKSUB: Mason FOR Stojakovic66
65
Q4 - 9:47MINHudson Foul Turnover (P1.T13)66
48.7%
65
51.3%
Q4 - 9:47MINHudson OFF.Foul (P1)66
65
Q4 - 9:58MINTimberwolves Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)66
65
Q4 - 10:00NOKJackson Layup (13 PTS) (Pargo 4 AST)66
54.5%
65
45.5%
Q4 - 10:04NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
59.2%
63
40.8%
Q4 - 10:06MINMISS Davis 14' Jump Shot66
60.8%
63
39.2%
Q4 - 10:30NOKPargo Driving Layup (4 PTS)66
64.5%
63
35.5%
Q4 - 10:35MINPargo STEAL (2 STL)66
69.6%
61
30.4%
Q4 - 10:56NOKJackson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)66
74.2%
61
25.8%
Q4 - 11:09MINJaric Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)66
68.2%
61
31.8%
Q4 - 11:29NOKJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
72.4%
61
27.6%
Q4 - 11:29NOKHORNETS Rebound66
60
Q4 - 11:29NOKMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 266
73.3%
60
26.7%
Q4 - 11:29MINDavis S.FOUL (P2.T1)66
60
Q4 - 11:48NOKHORNETS Rebound66
72.7%
60
27.3%
Q4 - 11:50MINSimmons BLOCK (1 BLK)66
73.9%
60
26.1%
Q4 - 12:0066
60
Q3 - 0:00.0MIN66
76.6%
60
23.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)66
76.6%
60
23.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)66
77.1%
59
22.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MINJaric P.FOUL (P3.PN)66
58
Q3 - 0:04.0MINDavis 7' Jump Shot (21 PTS)66
78.9%
58
21.1%
Q3 - 0:08.0NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)64
74.8%
58
25.2%
Q3 - 0:08.0MINDavis Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)64
75.3%
57
24.7%
Q3 - 0:08.0NOKMason T.FOUL (P3.PN)63
57
Q3 - 0:08.0NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)63
71.4%
57
28.6%
Q3 - 0:08.0MINMadsen P.FOUL (P1.PN)63
56
Q3 - 0:29.0MINSmith 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)63
75.4%
56
24.6%
Q3 - 0:47.0MINJaric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
70.9%
56
29.1%
Q3 - 0:49.0NOKMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
69.8%
56
30.2%
Q3 - 1:04MINDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)61
65.8%
56
34.2%
Q3 - 1:04MINDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)60
64.9%
56
35.1%
Q3 - 1:04NOKMason P.FOUL (P3.PN)59
56
Q3 - 1:16NOKMason Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)59
56
Q3 - 1:16NOKJump Ball Mason vs. Jaric: Tip to Davis59
60.8%
56
39.2%
Q3 - 1:16MINSUB: Madsen FOR Garnett59
56
Q3 - 1:28NOKStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)59
56.5%
56
43.5%
Q3 - 1:30MINMISS Garnett Free Throw 2 of 259
57.1%
56
42.9%
Q3 - 1:30MINGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)59
60.5%
56
39.5%
Q3 - 1:30NOKMason S.FOUL (P2.PN)58
56
Q3 - 1:38MINSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)58
56.1%
56
43.9%
Q3 - 1:39NOKMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
54.7%
56
45.3%
Q3 - 1:50MINJaric Foul Turnover (P1.T10)58
51.7%
56
48.3%
Q3 - 1:50MINJaric OFF.Foul (P2)58
56
Q3 - 2:00MINSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)58
56.1%
56
43.9%
Q3 - 2:02NOKMISS Jackson Driving Layup58
53.8%
56
46.2%
Q3 - 2:17NOKSUB: Simmons FOR Chandler58
56
Q3 - 2:17MINJaric Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)58
50.6%
56
49.4%
Q3 - 2:17MINJaric Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)57
49.4%
56
50.6%
Q3 - 2:17MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)56
56
Q3 - 2:17NOKJackson P.FOUL (P3.PN)56
56
Q3 - 2:31NOKPaul Driving Layup (10 PTS)56
45.9%
56
54.1%
Q3 - 2:36MINJackson STEAL (1 STL)56
50.6%
54
49.4%
Q3 - 2:58MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:13)56
55.3%
54
44.7%
Q3 - 2:59NOKMISS Stojakovic 6' Jump Shot56
53.9%
54
46.1%
Q3 - 3:17MINSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)56
49.9%
54
50.1%
Q3 - 3:17MINSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)55
48.6%
54
51.4%
Q3 - 3:17NOKJackson S.FOUL (P2.PN)54
54
Q3 - 3:19MINSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)54
45.7%
54
54.3%
Q3 - 3:20MINMISS Garnett 14' Jump Shot54
42.4%
54
57.6%
Q3 - 3:41MINSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)54
45.7%
54
54.3%
Q3 - 3:42NOKMISS Paul 15' Jump Shot54
44.2%
54
55.8%
Q3 - 3:49NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
41.0%
54
59.0%
Q3 - 3:50MINMISS Jaric 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
42.4%
54
57.6%
Q3 - 4:07MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)54
45.6%
54
54.4%
Q3 - 4:08NOKMISS Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot54
44.0%
54
56.0%
Q3 - 4:26MINGarnett 11' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)54
40.6%
54
59.4%
Q3 - 4:36MINSUB: Smith FOR Blount52
54
Q3 - 4:36NOKStojakovic L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)52
54
Q3 - 4:36MINBlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
37.1%
54
62.9%
Q3 - 4:36MINMISS James 18' Jump Shot52
33.9%
54
66.1%
Q3 - 4:47NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)52
37.1%
54
62.9%
Q3 - 4:47NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)52
37.7%
53
62.3%
Q3 - 4:47MINJames P.FOUL (P3.PN)52
52
Q3 - 5:05NOKStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)52
40.2%
52
59.8%
Q3 - 5:07MINMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
41.6%
52
58.4%
Q3 - 5:33MINBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
44.9%
52
55.1%
Q3 - 5:34NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 252
44.2%
52
55.8%
Q3 - 5:34NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)52
41.6%
52
58.4%
Q3 - 5:34NOKSUB: Jackson FOR Jackson52
51
Q3 - 5:34MINSUB: Jaric FOR Hassell52
51
Q3 - 5:34NOKHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)52
51
Q3 - 5:34MINHassell S.FOUL (P4.PN)52
51
Q3 - 5:57MINDavis 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS)52
44.3%
51
55.7%
Q3 - 6:02MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)50
40.5%
51
59.5%
Q3 - 6:04NOKMISS Stojakovic Layup50
39.2%
51
60.8%
Q3 - 6:19NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
36.4%
51
63.6%
Q3 - 6:20MINMISS James 3PT Jump Shot50
37.6%
51
62.4%
Q3 - 6:39MINBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
40.5%
51
59.5%
Q3 - 6:40NOKMISS Paul 17' Jump Shot50
39.2%
51
60.8%
Q3 - 6:50NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
36.4%
51
63.6%
Q3 - 6:51MINMISS Blount 18' Jump Shot50
37.6%
51
62.4%
Q3 - 7:00NOKPaul P.FOUL (P1.T3)50
51
Q3 - 7:10NOKStojakovic 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS)50
40.0%
51
60.0%
Q3 - 7:16MINHassell P.FOUL (P3.T4)50
49
Q3 - 7:29MINBlount P.FOUL (P3.T3)50
49
Q3 - 7:29NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
43.6%
49
56.4%
Q3 - 7:30MINMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 150
44.1%
49
55.9%
Q3 - 7:30NOKChandler S.FOUL (P3.T2)50
49
Q3 - 7:30MINDavis Driving Layup (14 PTS)50
49
Q3 - 7:41MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)48
40.0%
49
60.0%
Q3 - 7:43NOKMISS Paul 21' Jump Shot48
38.8%
49
61.2%
Q3 - 7:57MINHassell P.FOUL (P2.T2)48
49
Q3 - 8:09NOKStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
36.0%
49
64.0%
Q3 - 8:10MINMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot48
37.2%
49
62.8%
Q3 - 8:26NOK48
49
Q3 - 8:28NOKChandler Layup (6 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)48
39.9%
49
60.1%
Q3 - 8:33MINPaul STEAL (1 STL)48
43.2%
47
56.8%
Q3 - 8:48MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)48
47.3%
47
52.7%
Q3 - 8:50NOKMISS Stojakovic 18' Jump Shot48
46.0%
47
54.0%
Q3 - 9:05MINGarnett 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 5 AST)48
43.2%
47
56.8%
Q3 - 9:14MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)46
39.7%
47
60.3%
Q3 - 9:15NOKMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot46
38.6%
47
61.4%
Q3 - 9:33NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
36.1%
47
63.9%
Q3 - 9:35MINMISS James 23' Jump Shot46
37.2%
47
62.8%
Q3 - 9:52NOKChandler L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)46
47
Q3 - 9:52MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)46
39.7%
47
60.3%
Q3 - 9:53NOKMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot46
38.6%
47
61.4%
Q3 - 10:00NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
36.1%
47
63.9%
Q3 - 10:02MINMISS Hassell 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
37.1%
47
62.9%
Q3 - 10:23NOKJackson 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)46
39.5%
47
60.5%
Q3 - 10:36MINGarnett 7' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)46
42.9%
45
57.1%
Q3 - 10:49MINBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
39.5%
45
60.5%
Q3 - 10:50NOKMISS Mason 5' Jump Hook Shot44
38.4%
45
61.6%
Q3 - 11:10NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
36.0%
45
64.0%
Q3 - 11:11MINMISS Blount 9' Turnaround Jump Shot44
37.1%
45
62.9%
Q3 - 11:37NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
39.5%
45
60.5%
Q3 - 11:37NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
40.0%
44
60.0%
Q3 - 11:37MINJames S.FOUL (P2.T1)44
43
Q3 - 12:0044
43
Q2 - 0:00.0NOK44
42.6%
43
57.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0MINDavis 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)44
43.1%
43
56.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0MINJaric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
39.0%
43
61.0%
Q2 - 0:10.0NOKMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot42
38.3%
43
61.7%
Q2 - 0:31.0NOKStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
36.6%
43
63.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0MINMISS Garnett 6' Jump Hook Shot42
37.4%
43
62.6%
Q2 - 0:49.0MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)42
39.1%
43
60.9%
Q2 - 0:50.0NOKMISS Stojakovic Free Throw 1 of 142
38.8%
43
61.2%
Q2 - 0:50.0NOKSUB: Jackson FOR Butler42
43
Q2 - 0:50.0MINSUB: Davis FOR Foye42
43
Q2 - 0:50.0MINBlount S.FOUL (P2.T3)42
43
Q2 - 0:50.0NOKStojakovic Driving Layup (6 PTS)42
43
Q2 - 1:06MINGarnett 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jaric 2 AST)42
43.0%
41
57.0%
Q2 - 1:29MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
39.0%
41
61.0%
Q2 - 1:30NOKMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot40
38.3%
41
61.7%
Q2 - 1:46MINFoye Reverse Layup (4 PTS)40
36.7%
41
63.3%
Q2 - 1:57NOKPaul 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)38
32.9%
41
67.1%
Q2 - 2:20NOKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
36.1%
39
63.9%
Q2 - 2:21MINMISS Foye 12' Jump Shot38
37.0%
39
63.0%
Q2 - 2:30NOKSUB: Mason FOR Pargo38
39
Q2 - 2:30MINSUB: Blount FOR Hudson38
39
Q2 - 2:30MINSUB: James FOR Smith38
39
Q2 - 2:30MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)38
39
Q2 - 2:33MINHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
39.2%
39
60.8%
Q2 - 2:35NOKMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
38.2%
39
61.8%
Q2 - 2:43NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
36.1%
39
63.9%
Q2 - 2:46MINMISS Smith Layup38
37.1%
39
62.9%
Q2 - 2:48MINSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)38
39.2%
39
60.8%
Q2 - 2:49MINMISS Hudson 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
37.1%
39
62.9%
Q2 - 3:01NOKPargo 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
39.3%
39
60.7%
Q2 - 3:19MINFoye 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)38
41.8%
37
58.2%
Q2 - 3:32MINSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
39.3%
37
60.7%
Q2 - 3:33NOKMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
38.2%
37
61.8%
Q2 - 3:47MINSmith Layup (2 PTS)36
35.9%
37
64.1%
Q2 - 3:49MINSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
33.5%
37
66.5%
Q2 - 3:51MINButler BLOCK (1 BLK)34
31.3%
37
68.7%
Q2 - 3:53MINJaric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
33.5%
37
66.5%
Q2 - 3:54MINMISS Smith Layup34
31.3%
37
68.7%
Q2 - 3:55MINSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
33.5%
37
66.5%
Q2 - 3:58MINMISS Smith 2' Layup34
31.3%
37
68.7%
Q2 - 4:24NOKChandler Dunk (4 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)34
33.3%
37
66.7%
Q2 - 4:29NOKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
35.9%
35
64.1%
Q2 - 4:31NOKMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
38.0%
35
62.0%
Q2 - 4:40NOKStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
35.9%
35
64.1%
Q2 - 4:42MINMISS Foye 6' Jump Shot34
36.8%
35
63.2%
Q2 - 4:48MINHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
39.0%
35
61.0%
Q2 - 4:50NOKMISS Stojakovic 22' Jump Shot34
38.0%
35
62.0%
Q2 - 4:56MINPargo STEAL (1 STL)34
35.9%
35
64.1%
Q2 - 5:17MINJaric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
38.9%
35
61.1%
Q2 - 5:19NOKMISS Butler 5' Jump Shot34
38.0%
35
62.0%
Q2 - 5:34NOKSUB: Chandler FOR Jackson34
35
Q2 - 5:3434
35
Q2 - 5:34MINSmith P.FOUL (P1.T2)34
35
Q2 - 5:34NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
36.2%
35
63.8%
Q2 - 5:35MINMISS Foye 9' Jump Shot34
37.0%
35
63.0%
Q2 - 5:55NOKJackson Layup (6 PTS) (Pargo 3 AST)34
38.9%
35
61.1%
Q2 - 6:03MINJackson STEAL (1 STL)34
41.3%
33
58.7%
Q2 - 6:13MINFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
44.7%
33
55.3%
Q2 - 6:14NOKMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot34
43.6%
33
56.4%
Q2 - 6:21NOKSUB: Paul FOR Jackson34
33
Q2 - 6:21MINJaric Violation:Kicked Ball34
33
Q2 - 6:24NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
41.3%
33
58.7%
Q2 - 6:25MINMISS Hudson 17' Jump Shot34
42.4%
33
57.6%
Q2 - 6:41NOKButler 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)34
44.7%
33
55.3%
Q2 - 6:56MINFoye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)34
50.0%
30
50.0%
Q2 - 6:58MINFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
53.3%
30
46.7%
Q2 - 7:00NOKMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot34
52.3%
30
47.7%
Q2 - 7:17MINHudson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)34
49.8%
30
50.2%
Q2 - 7:23MINSUB: Foye FOR Davis31
30
Q2 - 7:23MINSUB: Garnett FOR Blount31
30
Q2 - 7:23NOKSUB: Stojakovic FOR Simmons31
30
Q2 - 7:23NOKPargo P.FOUL (P1.T3)31
30
Q2 - 7:40NOKJackson Driving Layup (10 PTS)31
44.2%
30
55.8%
Q2 - 7:47MINBlount Layup (10 PTS)31
46.9%
28
53.1%
Q2 - 7:48MINBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
44.2%
28
55.8%
Q2 - 7:52MINJackson BLOCK (1 BLK)29
42.2%
28
57.8%
Q2 - 8:13NOKJackson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)29
43.9%
28
56.1%
Q2 - 8:22NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
46.7%
26
53.3%
Q2 - 8:23MINMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot29
47.5%
26
52.5%
Q2 - 8:26MINTimberwolves Rebound29
49.3%
26
50.7%
Q2 - 8:26MINPargo BLOCK (1 BLK)29
47.5%
26
52.5%
Q2 - 8:42NOKJackson P.FOUL (P1.T2)29
26
Q2 - 8:45MINHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
49.3%
26
50.7%
Q2 - 8:47NOKMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot29
48.5%
26
51.5%
Q2 - 9:03NOKHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)29
26
Q2 - 9:10MINBlount 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)29
46.1%
26
53.9%
Q2 - 9:18MINDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
43.5%
26
56.5%
Q2 - 9:19NOKMISS Pargo 3PT Jump Shot27
42.7%
26
57.3%
Q2 - 9:33NOKSimmons REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)27
40.9%
26
59.1%
Q2 - 9:34MINMISS Jaric Free Throw 1 of 127
41.2%
26
58.8%
Q2 - 9:34NOKSimmons S.FOUL (P2.T1)27
26
Q2 - 9:34MINJaric Driving Layup (2 PTS)27
26
Q2 - 9:47MINHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
38.3%
26
61.7%
Q2 - 9:50NOKMISS Jackson Layup25
37.6%
26
62.4%
Q2 - 9:52NOKSimmons REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)25
35.8%
26
64.2%
Q2 - 9:54NOKMISS Simmons 5' Jump Shot25
37.6%
26
62.4%
Q2 - 10:05MINJaric P.FOUL (P1.T1)25
26
Q2 - 10:21NOKHORNETS Rebound25
35.8%
26
64.2%
Q2 - 10:24MINMISS Blount 16' Jump Shot25
36.6%
26
63.4%
Q2 - 10:42MINSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
38.4%
26
61.6%
Q2 - 10:44NOKMISS Jackson 15' Jump Shot25
37.6%
26
62.4%
Q2 - 11:02NOKSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
35.9%
26
64.1%
Q2 - 11:03NOKMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot25
37.6%
26
62.4%
Q2 - 11:27MINBlount 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)25
35.9%
26
64.1%
Q2 - 11:43NOKJackson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)23
33.6%
26
66.4%
Q2 - 12:0023
26
Q1 - 0:00.0MIN23
31.4%
26
68.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MINDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
33.6%
26
66.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0NOKMISS Paul 6' Jump Shot23
32.8%
26
67.2%
Q1 - 0:05.0MINMadsen 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jaric 1 AST)23
31.6%
26
68.4%
Q1 - 0:20.0NOKSimmons P.FOUL (P1.T2)21
26
Q1 - 0:30.0NOKJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)21
29.1%
26
70.9%
Q1 - 0:52.0MINSUB: Madsen FOR Garnett21
23
Q1 - 0:52.0MINJames Foul Turnover (P2.T4)21
33.8%
23
66.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0MINJames OFF.Foul (P1)21
23
Q1 - 1:04NOKJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)21
35.5%
23
64.5%
Q1 - 1:04MINDavis S.FOUL (P1.T4)21
22
Q1 - 1:04NOKJackson Layup (4 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)21
22
Q1 - 1:07NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
40.7%
20
59.3%
Q1 - 1:09MINMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot21
41.2%
20
58.8%
Q1 - 1:19NOKSimmons Layup (4 PTS)21
42.3%
20
57.7%
Q1 - 1:20NOKSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
45.3%
18
54.7%
Q1 - 1:23NOKMISS Mason Dunk21
46.4%
18
53.6%
Q1 - 1:42MINDavis 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 4 AST)21
45.3%
18
54.7%
Q1 - 2:13NOKJackson Driving Layup (2 PTS)19
42.3%
18
57.7%
Q1 - 2:26NOKHORNETS Rebound19
45.0%
16
55.0%
Q1 - 2:27NOKMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot19
46.3%
16
53.7%
Q1 - 2:45MINSUB: Jaric FOR Hassell19
16
Q1 - 2:45MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)19
16
Q1 - 2:45MINHassell 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)19
45.0%
16
55.0%
Q1 - 2:59MINSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
46.9%
16
53.1%
Q1 - 3:01NOKMISS Simmons 17' Jump Shot19
46.3%
16
53.7%
Q1 - 3:22NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
44.7%
16
55.3%
Q1 - 3:24MINMISS Hassell 19' Jump Shot19
45.4%
16
54.6%
Q1 - 3:33NOKSimmons Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)19
46.9%
16
53.1%
Q1 - 3:51NOKSUB: Jackson FOR Stojakovic19
16
Q1 - 3:51MINSUB: Smith FOR Blount19
16
Q1 - 3:51MINGarnett Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)19
44.7%
16
55.3%
Q1 - 4:10MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
46.0%
16
54.0%
Q1 - 4:11NOKMISS Paul 16' Jump Shot19
45.3%
16
54.7%
Q1 - 4:25NOKStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
43.8%
16
56.2%
Q1 - 4:26MINMISS Garnett 10' Turnaround Jump Shot19
44.5%
16
55.5%
Q1 - 4:40NOKSimmons 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)19
45.9%
16
54.1%
Q1 - 5:05MINDavis Dunk (8 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)19
47.3%
14
52.7%
Q1 - 5:15MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
45.6%
14
54.4%
Q1 - 5:16NOKMISS Mason 4' Hook Shot17
44.9%
14
55.1%
Q1 - 5:33MINDavis 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)17
43.4%
14
56.6%
Q1 - 5:49NOKStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
41.7%
14
58.3%
Q1 - 5:49NOKStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
41.9%
13
58.1%
Q1 - 5:49MINGarnett S.FOUL (P1.T3)15
12
Q1 - 5:49NOKHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)15
12
Q1 - 5:49NOKStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
43.3%
12
56.7%
Q1 - 5:50NOKMISS Stojakovic 5' Hook Shot15
44.8%
12
55.2%
Q1 - 5:59NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
43.3%
12
56.7%
Q1 - 6:00MINMISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot15
43.9%
12
56.1%
Q1 - 6:15NOKChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
44.9%
12
55.1%
Q1 - 6:15NOKSUB: Simmons FOR Jackson15
11
Q1 - 6:15NOKChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
45.6%
11
54.4%
Q1 - 6:15MINBlount S.FOUL (P1.T2)15
10
Q1 - 6:20MINDavis 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)15
46.6%
10
53.4%
Q1 - 6:28NOKMason Dunk (4 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)13
44.9%
10
55.1%
Q1 - 6:30NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
46.6%
8
53.4%
Q1 - 6:33NOKMISS Paul 5' Jump Shot13
47.8%
8
52.2%
Q1 - 6:54MINHassell 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)13
46.4%
8
53.6%
Q1 - 7:19NOKStojakovic Dunk (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)11
44.5%
8
55.5%
Q1 - 7:31MINGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)11
45.8%
6
54.2%
Q1 - 7:31MINTimberwolves Rebound10
6
Q1 - 7:31MINMISS Garnett Free Throw 1 of 210
45.6%
6
54.4%
Q1 - 7:31NOKChandler S.FOUL (P1.T1)10
6
Q1 - 7:43NOKMason Foul Turnover (P1.T2)10
45.9%
6
54.1%
Q1 - 7:43NOKMason OFF.Foul (P1)10
6
Q1 - 7:46NOKStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
44.1%
6
55.9%
Q1 - 7:47MINMISS Blount 8' Turnaround Jump Shot10
44.6%
6
55.4%
Q1 - 8:04NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
45.4%
6
54.6%
Q1 - 8:04NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
45.7%
5
54.3%
Q1 - 8:04MINHassell S.FOUL (P1.T1)10
4
Q1 - 8:20MINDavis 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
46.7%
4
53.3%
Q1 - 8:21MINDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
45.2%
4
54.8%
Q1 - 8:23MINMISS James 5' Jump Shot8
44.2%
4
55.8%
Q1 - 8:38MINBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
45.0%
4
55.0%
Q1 - 8:40NOKMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot8
44.5%
4
55.5%
Q1 - 8:54MINGarnett Finger Roll (4 PTS) (Hassell 2 AST)8
43.4%
4
56.6%
Q1 - 9:05NOKPaul 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
41.9%
4
58.1%
Q1 - 9:08NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
43.2%
2
56.8%
Q1 - 9:09NOKMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot6
43.9%
2
56.1%
Q1 - 9:24MINGarnett Driving Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)6
43.0%
2
57.0%
Q1 - 9:30MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
41.7%
2
58.3%
Q1 - 9:31NOKMISS Stojakovic 15' Jump Shot4
41.4%
2
58.6%
Q1 - 9:47MINBlount 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hassell 1 AST)4
40.6%
2
59.4%
Q1 - 10:01NOKJackson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)2
39.5%
2
60.5%
Q1 - 10:10NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
40.3%
0
59.7%
Q1 - 10:11MINMISS James 3PT Jump Shot2
40.6%
0
59.4%
Q1 - 10:16MINHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
41.1%
0
58.9%
Q1 - 10:18NOKMISS Mason Dunk2
40.8%
0
59.2%
Q1 - 10:23MINStojakovic STEAL (1 STL)2
40.3%
0
59.7%
Q1 - 10:42NOKChandler 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)2
40.9%
0
59.1%
Q1 - 11:07MINBlount Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)2
40.0%
0
60.0%
Q1 - 11:16MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.6%
0
60.4%
Q1 - 11:17NOKMISS Mason 4' Hook Shot0
39.5%
0
60.5%
Q1 - 11:38NOKStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.5%
0
60.5%
Q1 - 11:40MINMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot0
39.6%
0
60.4%
Q1 - 12:00NOKJump Ball Chandler vs. Garnett: Tip to Blount0
39.9%
0
60.1%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMINNOK
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.01 50.6%
NOK
0.85 42.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIN
13
21
62%
NOK
13
29
45%
Midrange
MIN
20
41
49%
NOK
11
34
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIN
2
3.0
11
18%
27%
NOK
3
4.5
17
18%
26%
Free Throws
MIN
14
21
67%
NOK
22
26
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Davis2364%11.5 / 18
K. Garnett1869%9.0 / 13
M. Blount1155%5.5 / 10
M. Jaric1161%5.5 / 9
T. Hudson950%4.5 / 9
C. Smith638%3.0 / 8
R. Foye433%2.0 / 6
T. Hassell233%1.0 / 3
M. Madsen2100%1.0 / 1
M. James0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul1856%9.0 / 16
J. Pargo1354%6.5 / 12
B. Jackson1343%6.5 / 15
P. Stojakovic825%4.0 / 16
M. Jackson833%4.0 / 12
D. Mason630%3.0 / 10
T. Chandler6100%3.0 / 3
C. Simmons450%2.0 / 4
R. Butler338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIN
75
+9
-16
84
NOK
83
+10
-8
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.01 50.6%
NOK
0.85 42.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.5
104.6
MIN 94.5 +7.7
NOK 86.8
Pace
91.4
90.4
MIN 90.1
NOK 91.9 +1.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.1
MIN 16.0
NOK 15.7 −0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.0%
47.9%
MIN 49.3% +13.7%
NOK 35.6%
TO %
16.2%
14.9%
MIN 16.3%
NOK 8.0% −8.3%
ORB %
25.2%
29.2%
MIN 19.5% +2.5%
NOK 17.0%
FTrt
29.1
29.1
MIN 28.8
NOK 32.5 +3.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.7%
51.7%
MIN 57.1% +9.0%
NOK 48.1%
STL %
7.0%
7.0%
MIN 2.2%
NOK 7.7% +5.5%
BLK %
6.2%
6.9%
MIN 7.9%
NOK 8.1% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
50.7%
MIN 50.6% +8.1%
NOK 42.5%
Rim FG%
58.7%
56.2%
MIN 61.9% +17.1%
NOK 44.8%
Mid FG%
42.4%
38.2%
MIN 48.8% +16.4%
NOK 32.4%
3P %
35.3%
36.2%
MIN 18.2% +0.6%
NOK 17.6%
FT %
79.2%
74.0%
MIN 66.7%
NOK 84.6% +17.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.1%
37.2%
MIN 28.8%
NOK 36.3% +7.5%
Mid Att. %
53.1%
44.0%
MIN 56.2%
NOK 42.5% −13.7%
3P Att. %
16.7%
18.8%
MIN 15.1%
NOK 21.3% +6.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMINNOK
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points8679
Rebounds5242
Assists2013
Steals27
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)44 (1)33 (2)
Field Goals35-7327-80
At-the-Rim FG13-2113-29
Midrange FG20-4111-34
2-Point FG33-6224-63
3-Point FG2-113-17
Free Throws14-2122-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 195 · 27
37.6
23
64%
3
4
0
0
1
3
1
2
5-6
83%
9-14
64%
0-2
0%
F · 6'11" 240 · 31
36.5
18
69%
16
3
1
3
4
1
0
16
2-4
50%
8-11
73%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 250 · 31
34.7
11
55%
7
1
0
1
1
4
2
5
1-2
50%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 31
26.5
0
0%
0
5
0
0
3
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 227 · 28
15.7
2
33%
1
2
0
0
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 224 · 28
32.3
11
61%
7
4
1
1
2
3
1
6
3-5
60%
4-5
80%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 265 · 23
22.7
6
38%
10
1
0
0
1
1
4
6
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 178 · 31
21.5
9
50%
5
0
0
0
1
1
0
5
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
2-4
50%
G · 6'4" 218 · 23
10.4
4
33%
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 255 · 31
2.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 222 · 24
F · 6'8" 240 · 25
#1 · G · 6'4" 215 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · G · 6'3" 201 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
51%
52
20
2
5
16
0
8
44
14-21
67%
33-62
53%
2-11
18%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.