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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 1, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Cavaliers57%96106
26Hawks43%9495
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 21.9
42.9
39.7
31
57%
7
8
3
2
2
4
2
5
6-10
60%
11-20
8-15
55%
51%
1-3
33%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.5
29.6
30.6
9
65%
7
1
4
1
0
5
3
4
1-2
50%
4-6
5-11
67%
48%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.2
29.4
24.4
10
58%
7
0
0
1
1
0
5
2
4-6
67%
3-6
4-9
50%
50%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.6
28.9
33.8
13
51%
3
8
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
5-11
3-6
45%
43%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.0
12.9
10.1
4
33%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.3
32.6
30.4
15
94%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
47%
3-4
75%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.5
20.6
12.6
9
65%
7
0
0
0
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 20.8
18.0
4.7
8
67%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.2
16.2
23.3
7
56%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-5
20%
3-4
3-5
75%
55%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.0
5.1
20.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.9
3.8
1.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-2
0%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.0
7.7
0
0-1
42%
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.5
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 31.8
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.4
44.4
39.7
31
58%
5
4
0
1
1
1
0
5
6-8
75%
11-18
6-13
61%
49%
1-5
20%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.8
37.8
28.2
20
74%
11
2
2
1
1
0
3
8
6-8
75%
7-10
4-8
70%
46%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.6
22.8
18.3
5
43%
2
4
3
1
1
4
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.0
17.4
38.1
8
65%
4
0
0
1
0
2
3
1
4-5
80%
2-4
4-9
50%
46%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
14.8
23.7
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
49%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.6
34.2
31.4
17
66%
3
5
0
1
0
0
0
3
10-11
91%
2-7
4-8
29%
48%
1-1
100%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.1
25.2
23.2
10
56%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
43%
2-4
50%
Matt Freije
F · 6'9" 249 · 25.2
21.6
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
0-1
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.1
16.9
14.1
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
4.8
12.2
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Cedric Bozeman
G · 6'6" 207 · 23.7
5.4
0
0-1
44%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.9
3.0
0
0-1
44%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.4
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.5
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.