Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, December 1, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Celtics | 45% | 101 | 102 |
 | 23 | Raptors | 55% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Bobcats | 35% | 97 | 109 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Knicks | 28% | 94 | 100 |
 | 5 | Pistons | 72% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Bulls | 61% | 92 | 111 |
| 29 | Hornets | 39% | 89 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 19 | Timberwolves | 53% | 102 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 3 | Mavericks | 69% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Bucks | 16% | 101 | 116 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Magic | 62% | 95 | 91 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 16 | SuperSonics | 61% | 102 | 105 | |
Thursday, November 30, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 48% | 93 | 87 |
 | 13 | Heat | 52% | 94 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Lakers | 64% | 103 | 132 |
Wednesday, November 29, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bobcats | 42% | 95 | 90 |
| 27 | Hawks | 58% | 97 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 23% | 93 | 101 |
| 8 | Cavaliers | 77% | 103 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nets | 42% | 98 | 106 | |
| 20 | Celtics | 58% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 16% | 91 | 98 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 84% | 104 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 7 | Jazz | 52% | 98 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 1 | Suns | 69% | 102 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 43% | 98 | 94 |
| 16 | SuperSonics | 57% | 101 | 84 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 30% | 96 | 108 |
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Tuesday, November 28, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 32% | 96 | 95 |
| 18 | Wizards | 68% | 102 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bobcats | 31% | 91 | 96 |
| 16 | Nets | 69% | 97 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 44% | 93 | 94 |
| 27 | Hornets | 56% | 95 | 77 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 32% | 96 | 85 |
| 10 | Bulls | 68% | 102 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 19% | 85 | 75 |
| 3 | Rockets | 81% | 96 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 29% | 98 | 108 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 71% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 43% | 97 | 80 |
| 14 | Kings | 57% | 99 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 58% | 95 | 105 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 42% | 92 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 29% | 98 | 109 |
| 6 | Lakers | 71% | 106 | 105 |
Monday, November 27, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 15 | Heat | 61% | 96 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 25% | 91 | 87 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 75% | 99 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 34% | 96 | 88 |
| 6 | Jazz | 66% | 101 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 47% | 98 | 102 |
| 14 | Warriors | 53% | 99 | 111 |
Sunday, November 26, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 43% | 97 | 83 |
| 23 | Raptors | 57% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 39% | 105 | 88 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 61% | 108 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 80% | 107 | 119 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 20% | 96 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 51% | 101 | 98 |
| 11 | SuperSonics | 49% | 100 | 78 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 38% | 95 | 93 | |
| 9 | Lakers | 62% | 99 | 99 |
Saturday, November 25, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 51% | 99 | 115 |
| 17 | Wizards | 49% | 98 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 44% | 91 | 102 |
| 25 | Bobcats | 56% | 93 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 33% | 93 | 79 |
| 14 | Magic | 67% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 54% | 99 | 106 |
| 28 | Knicks | 46% | 98 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 32% | 92 | 95 |
| 8 | Cavaliers | 68% | 98 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 57% | 98 | 96 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 43% | 96 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 14% | 83 | 76 |
| 3 | Rockets | 86% | 97 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 16% | 87 | 73 | |
| 2 | Mavericks | 84% | 100 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 37% | 102 | 111 |
| 24 | Bucks | 63% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 27% | 93 | 85 |
| 12 | Kings | 73% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 46% | 104 | 78 |
| 15 | Warriors | 54% | 105 | 91 |
Friday, November 24, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 31% | 100 | 101 |
| 17 | Celtics | 69% | 106 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 51% | 95 | 108 |
| 20 | 76ers | 49% | 94 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 46% | 99 | 93 |
| 26 | Hawks | 54% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 47% | 91 | 107 |
| 23 | Heat | 53% | 93 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bobcats | 25% | 89 | 95 |
| 5 | Pistons | 75% | 97 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cavaliers | 52% | 95 | 87 |
| 22 | Pacers | 48% | 94 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 51% | 98 | 80 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 49% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 40% | 93 | 86 |
| 18 | Hornets | 60% | 96 | 79 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 40% | 94 | 95 |
| 3 | Spurs | 60% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Warriors | 44% | 107 | 129 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 56% | 109 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 40% | 100 | 108 |
| 8 | Jazz | 60% | 103 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nets | 25% | 98 | 93 | |
| 1 | Suns | 75% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 31% | 101 | 109 |
| 9 | SuperSonics | 69% | 107 | 100 | |
Wednesday, November 22, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 46% | 98 | 87 |
| 19 | Raptors | 54% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Celtics | 51% | 99 | 83 |
| 29 | Bobcats | 49% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 32% | 91 | 91 |
| 14 | Magic | 68% | 97 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hawks | 28% | 90 | 98 |
| 5 | Pistons | 72% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 20% | 86 | 86 |
| 3 | Spurs | 80% | 96 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 38% | 95 | 94 |
| 25 | Bucks | 62% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 34% | 97 | 89 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 66% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 19% | 91 | 82 |
| 4 | Rockets | 81% | 102 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 18% | 98 | 83 | |
| 2 | Suns | 82% | 110 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Jazz | 40% | 100 | 110 |
| 13 | Kings | 60% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 62% | 96 | 97 | |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 92 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SuperSonics | 38% | 101 | 95 | |
| 6 | Clippers | 62% | 105 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 35% | 104 | 115 |
| 11 | Warriors | 65% | 109 | 112 |
Tuesday, November 21, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 61% | 94 | 97 |
| 26 | 76ers | 39% | 90 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 21% | 88 | 94 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 79% | 98 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 43% | 98 | 88 |
| 23 | Pacers | 57% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Heat | 48% | 92 | 86 |
| 19 | Hornets | 52% | 93 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 31% | 98 | 80 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 69% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 45% | 100 | 109 |
| 15 | Nuggets | 55% | 101 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 44% | 98 | 101 |
| 7 | Lakers | 56% | 100 | 105 |
Monday, November 20, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 65% | 99 | 93 |
| 26 | Bobcats | 35% | 94 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 67% | 100 | 97 |
| 28 | Knicks | 33% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 54% | 94 | 86 |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 46% | 93 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 32% | 103 | 96 |
| 16 | Jazz | 68% | 109 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 71% | 96 | 107 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 29% | 89 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 39% | 100 | 87 | |
| 10 | SuperSonics | 61% | 104 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 54% | 107 | 113 |
| 11 | Warriors | 46% | 106 | 110 |
Sunday, November 19, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 41% | 96 | 72 |
| 8 | Lakers | 59% | 99 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 54% | 97 | 108 |
| 7 | Kings | 46% | 96 | 99 |
Saturday, November 18, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 46% | 99 | 99 |
| 16 | Wizards | 54% | 100 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 46% | 94 | 93 |
| 25 | Hawks | 54% | 95 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bobcats | 30% | 93 | 83 |
| 17 | Magic | 70% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 18% | 89 | 86 |
| 13 | Nets | 82% | 101 | 68 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Celtics | 51% | 102 | 122 |
| 27 | Knicks | 49% | 101 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 52% | 92 | 92 |
| 5 | Pistons | 48% | 91 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 48% | 94 | 99 | |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 52% | 95 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 39% | 96 | 102 |
| 24 | Bucks | 61% | 100 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 16% | 90 | 84 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 84% | 102 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 26% | 103 | 109 |
| 15 | Nuggets | 74% | 111 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 47% | 106 | 117 |
| 18 | Jazz | 53% | 107 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 26% | 94 | 97 |
| 6 | Clippers | 74% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | SuperSonics | 33% | 102 | 95 | |
| 10 | Warriors | 67% | 108 | 107 |