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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 1, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Bulls60%92111
29Hornets40%89108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.0
39.2
26.4
31
65%
13
2
1
1
0
1
4
9
2-2
100%
7-14
4-7
50%
48%
5-9
56%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.6
38.9
33.1
21
52%
6
4
2
1
1
0
2
4
3-3
100%
9-19
6-13
47%
50%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.2
32.9
32.3
1
10%
4
2
0
2
1
1
1
3
1-2
50%
0-4
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.9
32.0
34.3
17
72%
4
5
1
1
2
2
0
4
2-4
50%
3-6
4-9
50%
45%
3-4
75%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.3
19.3
32.1
5
53%
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-4
50%
0-0
2-4
-
43%
1-3
33%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.7
28.2
30.2
17
64%
1
5
1
1
0
4
0
1
4-5
80%
2-6
4-9
33%
43%
3-5
60%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.1
12.5
5.2
7
60%
6
3
0
0
2
1
2
4
1-2
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
46%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.1
12.4
17.5
3
22%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-6
2-5
17%
45%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.3
12.3
5.4
5
73%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.6
12.3
6.1
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.4
6.8
0
1-1
46%
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.3
2.7
0
0-1
45%
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.8
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.7
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 21.6
48.0
35.0
25
64%
11
18
5
2
1
7
2
9
12-15
80%
5-11
6-12
45%
47%
1-2
50%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.5
45.6
28.0
33
68%
1
2
1
1
0
3
1
0
2-3
67%
5-11
2-5
45%
42%
7-12
58%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 29.1
38.6
33.3
11
40%
3
4
0
1
1
3
1
2
1-4
25%
5-12
4-10
42%
43%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 24.2
31.3
33.5
2
35%
17
1
0
1
3
2
3
14
0-2
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 31.9
28.1
15.9
15
46%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
3-3
100%
6-15
3-6
40%
44%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.1
28.3
20.5
18
65%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
9-11
82%
3-6
2-6
50%
41%
1-3
33%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
12.1
16.2
2
35%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-2
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 26.5
6.5
6.8
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.6
1.4
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.5
0.0
6.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.7
19.9
1
2-6
44%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.0
5.8
0
1-1
49%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 29.5
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.