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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 1, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Kings31%9490
3Mavericks69%100109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.6
23.9
35.8
9
42%
4
3
4
1
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
3-7
4-9
43%
45%
0-2
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 23.8
20.4
29.2
13
94%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
3-4
4-7
75%
52%
2-2
100%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 29.4
19.8
28.8
4
41%
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-2
0%
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.0
19.6
27.2
4
34%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-2
0%
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
0-0
-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.0
19.4
26.1
5
25%
3
0
1
1
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-8
4-8
25%
50%
0-1
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.1
26.0
34.3
15
59%
5
2
2
2
1
1
0
5
2-4
50%
5-9
5-10
56%
44%
1-2
50%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 33.0
25.4
20.9
10
63%
2
0
0
0
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
46%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.9
24.4
16.1
12
73%
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
1
3-5
60%
3-4
1-2
75%
48%
1-2
50%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.4
24.1
6.4
10
57%
5
3
0
0
0
2
0
5
4-4
100%
3-5
1-1
60%
47%
0-2
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 30.6
18.9
23.4
1
13%
4
0
1
1
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
0-1
3-6
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.6
10.5
3.0
5
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
43%
1-1
100%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.5
7.5
1.1
2
20%
2
0
2
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-0
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 30.1
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.6
35.4
29.7
24
81%
7
0
1
1
2
1
1
6
1-2
50%
7-9
4-9
78%
48%
3-5
60%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.5
27.4
25.8
18
46%
10
2
1
1
0
2
0
10
10-10
100%
4-15
5-9
27%
50%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.4
25.3
26.6
11
64%
9
0
0
0
1
1
3
6
5-6
83%
3-6
3-6
50%
54%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.8
24.5
26.5
13
77%
2
6
2
1
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
6-7
3-7
86%
50%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.2
22.1
31.7
9
75%
3
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
4-8
-
50%
3-6
50%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.1
25.2
25.3
13
67%
2
3
1
1
1
3
0
2
4-4
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.2
23.5
19.2
4
34%
0
10
1
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.8
22.7
18.5
2
33%
10
0
1
1
3
3
4
6
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.3
14.9
12.2
8
100%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
2-2
100%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.2
7.5
15.0
3
75%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
1-2
50%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.6
7.5
14.2
3
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
1-3
33%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 22.8
4.0
3.8
1
17%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.9
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.