FinalWin Prob.pScore
369%93
103
2631%87
77
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
115.78988.1
NOK
88.58787.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASNOK
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS103
100%
77
0%
Q4 - 0:07.0SASElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)103
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0NOKMISS Pargo 19' Jump Shot103
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)103
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASMISS Vaughn 21' Jump Shot103
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0NOKPargo 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)103
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0SASButler Offensive Foul Turnover (P3.T14)103
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03SASBonner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)103
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04NOKMISS Bass 8' Jump Shot103
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:19SASUdrih 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)103
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:31SASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)100
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:32NOKMISS Pargo 22' Jump Shot100
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36NOKHORNETS Rebound100
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:38NOKMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot100
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:02SASButler Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T13)100
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:24NOKPargo 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)100
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:39NOKHORNETS Rebound100
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:41NOKMISS Armstrong 12' Jump Shot100
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:58SASBonner Tip Shot (9 PTS)100
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:59SASBonner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:00SASMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:24SASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:26NOKMISS Pargo 18' Jump Shot98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:48SASButler Layup (4 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:52SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:53NOKMISS Pargo 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 4:18SASUdrih 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)96
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 4:44NOKPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)94
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 4:49SASJohnson STEAL (2 STL)94
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 5:06NOKBass Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)94
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 5:17SASButler Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)94
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 5:29SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 5:30NOKMISS Pargo Layup94
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 5:36NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)94
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 5:37NOKMISS Armstrong 17' Jump Shot94
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 5:56SASButler Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)94
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 6:18NOKArmstrong Dunk (4 PTS) (Vinicius 1 AST)92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 6:23NOKBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 6:24SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot92
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 6:29NOKPargo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)92
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 6:42SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)92
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 6:56NOKPargo Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T12)89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 7:09SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)89
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 7:09SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)88
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 7:30SASElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 7:31NOKMISS Armstrong 9' Jump Shot87
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 7:43NOKHORNETS Rebound87
99.7%
68
0.3%
Q4 - 7:44SASMISS Barry 22' Jump Shot87
99.7%
68
0.3%
Q4 - 7:56NOKPargo Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T11)87
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 7:58NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
99.7%
68
0.3%
Q4 - 7:59SASMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot87
99.7%
68
0.3%
Q4 - 8:21SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
99.7%
68
0.3%
Q4 - 8:22NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)87
99.6%
68
0.4%
Q4 - 8:22NOKMISS Johnson Tip Shot87
99.7%
68
0.3%
Q4 - 8:23NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
99.6%
68
0.4%
Q4 - 8:23NOKMISS Armstrong Tip Shot87
99.7%
68
0.3%
Q4 - 8:24NOKMISS Armstrong Layup87
99.7%
68
0.3%
Q4 - 8:28NOKBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
99.6%
68
0.4%
Q4 - 8:30SASMISS Bonner 12' Jump Shot87
99.6%
68
0.4%
Q4 - 8:33SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)87
99.7%
68
0.3%
Q4 - 8:34SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot87
99.6%
68
0.4%
Q4 - 8:51NOKArmstrong Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)87
99.7%
68
0.3%
Q4 - 9:04NOKBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
99.5%
68
0.5%
Q4 - 9:06SASMISS Bonner 6' Running Jump Shot87
99.5%
68
0.5%
Q4 - 9:32NOKButler 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS)87
99.6%
68
0.4%
Q4 - 9:45NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 9:47SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 10:02SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 10:05NOKMISS Pargo 17' Jump Shot87
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 10:20NOKHORNETS Rebound87
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 10:21SASMISS Ginobili Layup87
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 10:25SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 10:27NOKMISS Pargo 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 10:32NOKBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 10:34SASMISS Oberto 16' Jump Shot87
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 10:48NOKJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)87
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 10:48NOKJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)87
99.7%
65
0.3%
Q4 - 11:02NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
99.6%
64
0.4%
Q4 - 11:03SASMISS Ginobili 11' Jump Shot87
99.7%
64
0.3%
Q4 - 11:23NOKBass Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)87
99.7%
64
0.3%
Q4 - 11:45SASUdrih 12' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)87
99.8%
62
0.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS85
99.7%
62
0.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOKMason Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)85
99.7%
62
0.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASOberto Layup (7 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)85
99.6%
62
0.4%
Q3 - 0:16.0NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)83
99.5%
62
0.5%
Q3 - 0:16.0NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)83
99.5%
61
0.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0SASElson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)83
99.6%
60
0.4%
Q3 - 0:34.0SASElson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)82
99.5%
60
0.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0SASSpurs Rebound81
99.5%
60
0.5%
Q3 - 0:36.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
99.4%
60
0.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0SASSpurs Rebound81
99.5%
60
0.5%
Q3 - 0:41.0SASMISS Udrih Free Throw 2 of 281
99.4%
60
0.6%
Q3 - 0:41.0SASUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)81
99.4%
60
0.6%
Q3 - 0:44.0SASElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
99.3%
60
0.7%
Q3 - 0:45.0NOKMISS Mason Layup80
99.3%
60
0.7%
Q3 - 1:05SASOberto Layup (5 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)80
99.0%
60
1.0%
Q3 - 1:24SASElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
98.8%
60
1.2%
Q3 - 1:25NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 178
98.8%
60
1.2%
Q3 - 1:45SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)78
99.0%
58
1.0%
Q3 - 1:50SASSpurs Rebound75
98.6%
58
1.4%
Q3 - 1:52SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
98.4%
58
1.6%
Q3 - 1:59SASOberto REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
98.6%
58
1.4%
Q3 - 2:01SASMISS Ginobili Layup75
98.1%
58
1.9%
Q3 - 2:22NOKButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)75
98.3%
58
1.7%
Q3 - 2:33SASButler STEAL (1 STL)75
98.8%
55
1.2%
Q3 - 2:52NOKPaul Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T8)75
99.1%
55
0.9%
Q3 - 3:04SASBarry Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)75
98.7%
55
1.3%
Q3 - 3:23NOKButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)72
98.2%
55
1.8%
Q3 - 3:24NOKHORNETS Rebound72
97.8%
55
2.2%
Q3 - 3:25NOKMISS Paul Layup72
98.1%
55
1.9%
Q3 - 3:35NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
97.8%
55
2.2%
Q3 - 3:36SASMISS Parker Layup72
97.9%
55
2.1%
Q3 - 3:42NOKJump Ball Armstrong vs. Duncan: Tip to Barry72
98.2%
55
1.8%
Q3 - 3:48NOKMason REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)72
97.8%
55
2.2%
Q3 - 3:50SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot72
97.9%
55
2.1%
Q3 - 4:17NOKJackson Layup (8 PTS) (Paul 12 AST)72
98.0%
55
2.0%
Q3 - 4:30SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)72
98.3%
53
1.7%
Q3 - 4:30SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)71
98.2%
53
1.8%
Q3 - 4:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)70
98.0%
53
2.0%
Q3 - 4:49NOKMISS Mason Layup70
97.9%
53
2.1%
Q3 - 5:01SASParker Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)70
97.3%
53
2.7%
Q3 - 5:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)70
97.7%
53
2.3%
Q3 - 5:05NOKMISS Jackson 10' Jump Shot70
97.6%
53
2.4%
Q3 - 5:16NOKMason REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)70
97.3%
53
2.7%
Q3 - 5:17NOKMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot70
97.6%
53
2.4%
Q3 - 5:32SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)70
97.3%
53
2.7%
Q3 - 5:32SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 269
97.2%
53
2.8%
Q3 - 5:35NOKPaul Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)69
97.4%
53
2.6%
Q3 - 5:46NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
96.9%
53
3.1%
Q3 - 5:48SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot69
97.0%
53
3.0%
Q3 - 5:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
97.4%
53
2.6%
Q3 - 5:57NOKMISS Jackson 13' Jump Shot69
97.2%
53
2.8%
Q3 - 6:19NOKMason REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)69
96.6%
53
3.4%
Q3 - 6:20SASMISS Elson Layup69
96.7%
53
3.3%
Q3 - 6:22SASElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
97.1%
53
2.9%
Q3 - 6:24SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot69
96.8%
53
3.2%
Q3 - 6:38NOKMason Foul Turnover (P2.T4)69
97.1%
53
2.9%
Q3 - 6:48SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)69
96.6%
53
3.4%
Q3 - 6:48SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P2.T8)68
96.0%
53
4.0%
Q3 - 6:59NOKSimmons Layup (7 PTS) (Paul 11 AST)68
96.6%
53
3.4%
Q3 - 7:10SASDuncan 4' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)68
96.7%
51
3.3%
Q3 - 7:27NOKButler Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Paul 10 AST)66
96.3%
51
3.7%
Q3 - 7:39SASParker 7' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)66
96.8%
49
3.2%
Q3 - 7:50SASSpurs Rebound64
96.3%
49
3.7%
Q3 - 7:52NOKMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot64
96.1%
49
3.9%
Q3 - 8:09SASParker 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)64
95.5%
49
4.5%
Q3 - 8:25NOKSimmons Layup (5 PTS)62
94.9%
49
5.1%
Q3 - 8:27NOKSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)62
95.5%
47
4.5%
Q3 - 8:28NOKMISS Paul 16' Jump Bank Shot62
96.0%
47
4.0%
Q3 - 8:53SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)62
95.5%
47
4.5%
Q3 - 8:53SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 261
95.3%
47
4.7%
Q3 - 9:10NOKSimmons 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)61
95.3%
47
4.7%
Q3 - 9:29SASGinobili Layup (20 PTS)61
95.9%
45
4.1%
Q3 - 9:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
95.3%
45
4.7%
Q3 - 9:37NOKMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot59
95.1%
45
4.9%
Q3 - 9:58SASParker Alley Oop Layup (14 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)59
94.6%
45
5.4%
Q3 - 10:07NOKJackson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)57
93.7%
45
6.3%
Q3 - 10:19SASParker Layup (12 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)57
94.4%
43
5.6%
Q3 - 10:35SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
93.7%
43
6.3%
Q3 - 10:37NOKMISS Mason 7' Jump Shot55
93.4%
43
6.6%
Q3 - 10:52NOKMason REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)55
92.7%
43
7.3%
Q3 - 10:53SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 255
92.9%
43
7.1%
Q3 - 10:53SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 255
93.4%
43
6.6%
Q3 - 11:06SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
93.6%
43
6.4%
Q3 - 11:07NOKMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 255
93.5%
43
6.5%
Q3 - 11:07NOKMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 255
92.9%
43
7.1%
Q3 - 11:28SASGinobili 6' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)55
92.7%
43
7.3%
Q3 - 11:37NOKSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)53
91.7%
43
8.3%
Q3 - 11:37NOKMISS Simmons Free Throw 1 of 253
92.1%
42
7.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS53
91.7%
42
8.3%
Q2 - 0:03.0NOKPaul 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)53
92.2%
42
7.8%
Q2 - 0:25.0NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
93.4%
40
6.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0SASMISS Udrih 21' Jump Shot53
93.5%
40
6.5%
Q2 - 0:38.0NOKMason 9' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS)53
93.9%
40
6.1%
Q2 - 0:39.0NOKMason REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)53
94.8%
38
5.2%
Q2 - 0:41.0NOKMISS Simmons Layup53
95.1%
38
4.9%
Q2 - 1:06SASDuncan Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)53
94.6%
38
5.4%
Q2 - 1:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
93.6%
38
6.4%
Q2 - 1:24NOKMISS Simmons 11' Jump Shot51
93.4%
38
6.6%
Q2 - 1:41SASElson Layup (2 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)51
93.1%
38
6.9%
Q2 - 1:58NOKButler 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS)49
91.8%
38
8.2%
Q2 - 2:13NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
92.6%
36
7.4%
Q2 - 2:14SASMISS Udrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
92.9%
36
7.1%
Q2 - 2:33NOKPaul Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)49
93.4%
36
6.6%
Q2 - 2:55SASParker Driving Layup (10 PTS)49
92.7%
36
7.3%
Q2 - 3:03SASSpurs Rebound47
91.4%
36
8.6%
Q2 - 3:05SASMISS Ginobili 19' Jump Shot47
90.7%
36
9.3%
Q2 - 3:15SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
91.4%
36
8.6%
Q2 - 3:17SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot47
90.7%
36
9.3%
Q2 - 3:30SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
91.4%
36
8.6%
Q2 - 3:32NOKMISS Paul 18' Jump Shot47
91.1%
36
8.9%
Q2 - 3:57SASGinobili Finger Roll (16 PTS)47
90.3%
36
9.7%
Q2 - 4:05SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)45
89.0%
36
11.0%
Q2 - 4:16SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
87.9%
36
12.1%
Q2 - 4:18NOKMISS Jackson 11' Hook Shot44
87.5%
36
12.5%
Q2 - 4:35NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
86.6%
36
13.4%
Q2 - 4:36SASMISS Bowen 14' Jump Bank Shot44
87.0%
36
13.0%
Q2 - 5:03NOKButler 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)44
87.9%
36
12.1%
Q2 - 5:23NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
88.9%
34
11.1%
Q2 - 5:25SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
89.3%
34
10.7%
Q2 - 5:32SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
90.1%
34
9.9%
Q2 - 5:33NOKMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
89.7%
34
10.3%
Q2 - 5:40NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
88.9%
34
11.1%
Q2 - 5:42SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
89.3%
34
10.7%
Q2 - 5:59NOKPaul Reverse Layup (2 PTS)44
90.1%
34
9.9%
Q2 - 6:18SASOberto Foul Turnover (P1.T7)44
90.7%
32
9.3%
Q2 - 6:25SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
91.8%
32
8.2%
Q2 - 6:27NOKMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot44
91.5%
32
8.5%
Q2 - 6:46SASParker 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)44
90.7%
32
9.3%
Q2 - 7:02SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
89.5%
32
10.5%
Q2 - 7:03NOKMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
89.2%
32
10.8%
Q2 - 7:29SASBonner 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)42
88.5%
32
11.5%
Q2 - 7:45NOKButler 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)40
87.4%
32
12.6%
Q2 - 8:01SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)40
88.2%
30
11.8%
Q2 - 8:07SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
89.4%
30
10.6%
Q2 - 8:08NOKMISS Paul Layup40
89.0%
30
11.0%
Q2 - 8:14SASPaul STEAL (1 STL)40
88.2%
30
11.8%
Q2 - 8:20SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
89.4%
30
10.6%
Q2 - 8:21NOKMISS Pargo Layup40
89.0%
30
11.0%
Q2 - 8:29SASFinley 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)40
88.2%
30
11.8%
Q2 - 8:45NOKButler 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
87.2%
30
12.8%
Q2 - 8:59SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)38
88.2%
28
11.8%
Q2 - 9:15NOKJohnson Layup (6 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)35
85.8%
28
14.2%
Q2 - 9:37SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
86.9%
26
13.1%
Q2 - 9:37SASGinobili Tip Shot (13 PTS)35
86.9%
26
13.1%
Q2 - 9:38SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot33
84.9%
26
15.1%
Q2 - 9:52SASSpurs Rebound33
85.8%
26
14.2%
Q2 - 9:53NOKMISS Paul Layup33
85.4%
26
14.6%
Q2 - 10:00SASBonner Layup (2 PTS)33
84.4%
26
15.6%
Q2 - 10:01SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
82.9%
26
17.1%
Q2 - 10:03SASMISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
81.8%
26
18.2%
Q2 - 10:19NOKJackson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)31
82.9%
26
17.1%
Q2 - 10:39SASOberto 11' Jump Shot (3 PTS)31
84.1%
24
15.9%
Q2 - 11:01NOKJohnson Layup (4 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)29
82.8%
24
17.2%
Q2 - 11:06SASJohnson STEAL (1 STL)29
84.1%
22
15.9%
Q2 - 11:12SASSpurs Rebound29
85.4%
22
14.6%
Q2 - 11:13SASMISS Oberto Layup29
84.5%
22
15.5%
Q2 - 11:16SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
85.4%
22
14.6%
Q2 - 11:17SASMISS Udrih 16' Jump Shot29
84.5%
22
15.5%
Q2 - 11:35SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
85.4%
22
14.6%
Q2 - 11:37NOKMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot29
85.0%
22
15.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOK29
84.1%
22
15.9%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASPargo STEAL (1 STL)29
84.0%
22
16.0%
Q1 - 0:19.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
85.0%
22
15.0%
Q1 - 0:21.0NOKMISS Pargo 18' Jump Bank Shot29
84.7%
22
15.3%
Q1 - 0:34.0SASUdrih 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)29
84.0%
22
16.0%
Q1 - 0:36.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
82.4%
22
17.6%
Q1 - 0:39.0SASMISS Barry 3PT Jump Shot27
81.7%
22
18.3%
Q1 - 0:52.0NOKPargo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
82.4%
22
17.6%
Q1 - 1:04SASBarry 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
84.0%
20
16.0%
Q1 - 1:24NOKJohnson 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
82.4%
20
17.6%
Q1 - 1:45SASArmstrong STEAL (1 STL)25
84.0%
18
16.0%
Q1 - 2:04NOKArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
85.2%
18
14.8%
Q1 - 2:04NOKArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
85.6%
17
14.4%
Q1 - 2:20NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
86.4%
16
13.6%
Q1 - 2:22SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
86.7%
16
13.3%
Q1 - 2:44SASSpurs Rebound25
87.4%
16
12.6%
Q1 - 2:45NOKMISS Paul 15' Jump Shot25
87.1%
16
12.9%
Q1 - 2:51NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
86.4%
16
13.6%
Q1 - 2:52SASMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot25
86.7%
16
13.3%
Q1 - 3:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
87.2%
16
12.8%
Q1 - 3:10NOKMISS Armstrong Free Throw 2 of 225
87.0%
16
13.0%
Q1 - 3:10NOKMISS Armstrong Free Throw 1 of 225
86.4%
16
13.6%
Q1 - 3:20SASBarry Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)25
86.0%
16
14.0%
Q1 - 3:26NOKMason Layup (12 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)25
87.2%
16
12.8%
Q1 - 3:39SASOberto Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)25
88.0%
14
12.0%
Q1 - 3:39SASMISS Oberto Free Throw 1 of 224
87.7%
14
12.3%
Q1 - 3:46NOKMason 11' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)24
88.2%
14
11.8%
Q1 - 4:03SASDuncan Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)24
88.9%
12
11.1%
Q1 - 4:24NOKPaul Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T2)22
88.1%
12
11.9%
Q1 - 4:29NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
87.0%
12
13.0%
Q1 - 4:30SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
87.3%
12
12.7%
Q1 - 4:33SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
88.1%
12
11.9%
Q1 - 4:35SASMISS Udrih 19' Jump Shot22
87.3%
12
12.7%
Q1 - 4:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
88.1%
12
11.9%
Q1 - 4:41NOKMISS Pargo 14' Jump Shot22
87.8%
12
12.2%
Q1 - 5:03SASGinobili Free Throw 3 of 3 (11 PTS)22
86.7%
12
13.3%
Q1 - 5:03SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 3 (10 PTS)21
86.6%
12
13.4%
Q1 - 5:03SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 3 (9 PTS)20
86.4%
12
13.6%
Q1 - 5:18NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)19
84.8%
12
15.2%
Q1 - 5:18NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)19
85.1%
11
14.9%
Q1 - 5:27SASDuncan Layup (2 PTS)19
85.8%
10
14.2%
Q1 - 5:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
84.8%
10
15.2%
Q1 - 5:29SASSimmons BLOCK (1 BLK)17
84.0%
10
16.0%
Q1 - 5:52NOKMason Layup (6 PTS)17
84.8%
10
15.2%
Q1 - 5:54NOKMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)17
85.8%
8
14.2%
Q1 - 5:55NOKMISS Simmons Dunk17
86.6%
8
13.4%
Q1 - 6:02NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
85.4%
8
14.6%
Q1 - 6:04SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot17
85.7%
8
14.3%
Q1 - 6:17SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
86.5%
8
13.5%
Q1 - 6:19NOKMISS Armstrong 16' Jump Shot17
86.1%
8
13.9%
Q1 - 6:41NOKHORNETS Rebound17
85.4%
8
14.6%
Q1 - 6:41SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
85.8%
8
14.2%
Q1 - 7:01NOKButler Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)17
86.1%
8
13.9%
Q1 - 7:21SASParker Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)17
86.9%
6
13.1%
Q1 - 7:33NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
86.1%
6
13.9%
Q1 - 7:33NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
86.3%
5
13.7%
Q1 - 7:34NOKMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
86.9%
4
13.1%
Q1 - 7:35NOKMISS Paul 3PT Jump Shot15
87.6%
4
12.4%
Q1 - 7:51NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
86.9%
4
13.1%
Q1 - 7:52NOKMISS Paul 14' Jump Shot15
87.6%
4
12.4%
Q1 - 8:02SASParker 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
87.2%
4
12.8%
Q1 - 8:16NOKJackson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)13
86.4%
4
13.6%
Q1 - 8:34SASGinobili Layup (8 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)13
87.2%
2
12.8%
Q1 - 8:47SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
86.4%
2
13.6%
Q1 - 8:49NOKMISS Simmons 17' Jump Shot11
86.1%
2
13.9%
Q1 - 9:09SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)11
85.3%
2
14.7%
Q1 - 9:26NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
83.6%
2
16.4%
Q1 - 9:26NOKMason Tip Shot (2 PTS)8
83.6%
2
16.4%
Q1 - 9:28NOKMISS Jackson Layup8
85.2%
0
14.8%
Q1 - 9:49SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)8
84.3%
0
15.7%
Q1 - 10:14SASSpurs Rebound5
82.3%
0
17.7%
Q1 - 10:16NOKMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot5
82.0%
0
18.0%
Q1 - 10:37SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)5
81.1%
0
18.9%
Q1 - 10:43NOKMason Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
78.8%
0
21.2%
Q1 - 10:57NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
77.4%
0
22.6%
Q1 - 10:59SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Bank Shot2
77.8%
0
22.2%
Q1 - 11:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
78.7%
0
21.3%
Q1 - 11:23NOKMISS Jackson 8' Jump Shot2
78.3%
0
21.7%
Q1 - 11:46SASParker 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Elson 1 AST)2
77.5%
0
22.5%
Q1 - 12:00NOKJump Ball Simmons vs. Elson: Tip to Parker0
76.1%
0
23.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.12 56.0%
NOK
0.88 43.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
20
25
80%
NOK
11
24
46%
Midrange
SAS
13
36
36%
NOK
19
48
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
NOK
2
3.0
7
29%
43%
Free Throws
SAS
16
22
73%
NOK
11
17
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2471%12.0 / 17
T. Parker1959%9.5 / 16
T. Duncan1155%5.5 / 10
B. Udrih1050%5.0 / 10
M. Bonner975%4.5 / 6
M. Finley744%3.5 / 8
F. Oberto758%3.5 / 6
B. Barry542%2.5 / 6
F. Elson450%2.0 / 4
J. Butler467%2.0 / 3
B. Bowen375%1.5 / 2
J. Vaughn0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Butler1777%8.5 / 11
D. Mason1662%8.0 / 13
J. Pargo932%4.5 / 14
M. Jackson836%4.0 / 11
L. Johnson857%4.0 / 7
C. Simmons744%3.5 / 8
C. Paul625%3.0 / 12
H. Armstrong422%2.0 / 9
B. Bass250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
75
+16
-14
91
NOK
73
+13
-14
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.12 56.0%
NOK
0.88 43.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
104.6
SAS 115.7
NOK 88.5 +27.2
Pace
89.8
90.4
SAS 88.1 +0.3
NOK 87.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.1
SAS 16.3 +0.1
NOK 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.1%
47.9%
SAS 54.4% +12.6%
NOK 41.8%
TO %
14.7%
14.9%
SAS 13.5% +0.4%
NOK 13.9%
ORB %
24.5%
29.2%
SAS 32.4% +9.1%
NOK 23.3%
FTrt
31.3
29.1
SAS 27.5 +6.0
NOK 21.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.5%
51.7%
SAS 65.0% +11.9%
NOK 53.1%
STL %
8.0%
7.0%
SAS 6.7%
NOK 6.9% +0.2%
BLK %
7.8%
6.9%
SAS 8.3% +6.7%
NOK 1.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.7%
50.7%
SAS 56.0% +12.2%
NOK 43.8%
Rim FG%
62.1%
56.2%
SAS 80.0% +34.2%
NOK 45.8%
Mid FG%
40.4%
38.2%
SAS 36.1%
NOK 39.6% +3.5%
3P %
38.1%
36.2%
SAS 36.8% +8.2%
NOK 28.6%
FT %
75.1%
74.0%
SAS 72.7% +8.0%
NOK 64.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
37.2%
SAS 31.3% +0.9%
NOK 30.4%
Mid Att. %
40.5%
44.0%
SAS 45.0% +15.8%
NOK 60.8%
3P Att. %
24.7%
18.8%
SAS 23.8% +14.9%
NOK 8.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASNOK
Possessions8987
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points10377
Rebounds4433
Assists2617
Steals66
Blocks61
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (5)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (4)23 (3)
Field Goals40-8032-79
At-the-Rim FG20-2511-24
Midrange FG13-3619-48
2-Point FG33-6130-72
3-Point FG7-192-7
Free Throws16-2211-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 25
30.7
19
59%
3
8
1
0
2
2
0
3
1-2
50%
9-15
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 29
26.5
24
71%
3
6
0
0
2
1
1
2
5-5
100%
5-9
56%
3-7
43%
C · 7'0" 240 · 31
26.3
4
50%
7
2
0
3
0
3
2
5
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 250 · 31
24.4
11
55%
9
4
2
2
0
3
1
8
3-6
50%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 36
21.0
3
75%
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34
22.5
7
44%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 205 · 24
21.8
10
50%
2
0
0
0
3
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
1-3
33%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27
21.5
9
75%
5
0
2
0
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-1
100%
C · 6'10" 245 · 32
16.8
7
58%
7
1
0
0
1
5
3
4
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 35
15.8
5
42%
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
0-3
0%
C · 6'10" 260 · 22
6.8
4
67%
2
0
0
0
3
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 32
5.3
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#5 · F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#0 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#55 · G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
239
103
56%
44
26
6
6
14
0
11
33
16-22
73%
33-61
54%
7-19
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.