Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, December 14, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Magic | 43% | 90 | 89 |
 | 25 | Bobcats | 57% | 92 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 26 | Hornets | 31% | 87 | 77 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, December 13, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Celtics | 49% | 96 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Raptors | 39% | 90 | 91 |
| 21 | Magic | 61% | 94 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 23 | Heat | 27% | 97 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bobcats | 24% | 89 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Pistons | 55% | 94 | 90 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Bucks | 29% | 98 | 95 |
| 12 | Nets | 71% | 105 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Knicks | 69% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Timberwolves | 25% | 88 | 82 |
| 3 | Spurs | 75% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | SuperSonics | 21% | 92 | 84 | |
 | 4 | Bulls | 79% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Lakers | 23% | 93 | 101 |
 | 2 | Mavericks | 77% | 102 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, December 12, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 63% | 103 | 100 |
| 30 | Hawks | 37% | 99 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | SuperSonics | 40% | 102 | 93 | |
| 16 | Bucks | 60% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 37% | 90 | 102 |
| 6 | Rockets | 63% | 95 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 15 | Warriors | 55% | 102 | 126 |
Monday, December 11, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 92 | 81 |
| 27 | 76ers | 64% | 96 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 56% | 101 | 103 |
| 16 | Magic | 44% | 100 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 30% | 91 | 92 |
| 12 | Nets | 70% | 98 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Celtics | 44% | 100 | 97 |
| 22 | Knicks | 56% | 102 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 27% | 91 | 77 |
| 11 | Heat | 73% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 62% | 92 | 89 |
| 28 | Hornets | 38% | 88 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pacers | 24% | 89 | 91 |
| 7 | Bulls | 76% | 98 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 55% | 99 | 79 |
| 4 | Jazz | 45% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 56% | 94 | 103 |
| 18 | Clippers | 44% | 92 | 81 |
Sunday, December 10, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 92 | 93 |
| 21 | Raptors | 69% | 98 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 75% | 107 | 114 |
| 29 | Bobcats | 25% | 99 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 26% | 91 | 92 |
| 9 | Kings | 74% | 99 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 42% | 101 | 115 |
| 20 | SuperSonics | 58% | 103 | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 56% | 97 | 99 |
| 11 | Lakers | 44% | 95 | 106 |
Saturday, December 9, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 55% | 96 | 114 |
| 14 | Wizards | 45% | 94 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 28% | 88 | 84 |
| 16 | Magic | 72% | 96 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Celtics | 27% | 95 | 92 |
| 13 | Nets | 73% | 103 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 40% | 102 | 107 |
| 22 | Knicks | 60% | 105 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 27% | 91 | 75 |
| 10 | Cavaliers | 73% | 98 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 51% | 93 | 89 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 49% | 92 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Timberwolves | 32% | 91 | 91 |
| 7 | Bulls | 68% | 97 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 19% | 97 | 90 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 81% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 30% | 93 | 80 | |
| 18 | Warriors | 70% | 100 | 101 |
Friday, December 8, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 70% | 94 | 92 |
| 28 | Bobcats | 30% | 87 | 62 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 45% | 92 | 87 |
| 15 | Magic | 55% | 94 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 35% | 92 | 95 |
| 24 | Pacers | 65% | 97 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 65% | 109 | 116 |
| 22 | Celtics | 35% | 104 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 54% | 99 | 113 |
| 29 | 76ers | 46% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | 27% | 89 | 82 |
| 3 | Spurs | 73% | 97 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 49% | 97 | 103 |
| 17 | Timberwolves | 51% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 32% | 94 | 90 |
| 9 | Bulls | 68% | 100 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 41% | 98 | 94 |
| 20 | Bucks | 59% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 33% | 97 | 107 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 67% | 103 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 27% | 94 | 95 |
| 8 | Lakers | 73% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 40% | 94 | 74 | |
| 21 | SuperSonics | 60% | 97 | 94 | |
Thursday, December 7, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 58% | 104 | 161 |
| 12 | Nets | 42% | 102 | 157 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 28% | 92 | 92 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 72% | 99 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 44% | 94 | 93 |
| 15 | Kings | 56% | 96 | 91 |
Wednesday, December 6, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 67% | 96 | 96 |
| 26 | Bobcats | 33% | 91 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 32% | 94 | 91 |
| 10 | Cavaliers | 68% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | 49% | 93 | 80 |
| 21 | Pacers | 51% | 94 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 39% | 95 | 98 |
| 23 | Celtics | 61% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 46% | 102 | 113 |
| 25 | Knicks | 54% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 27% | 97 | 94 |
| 22 | Bucks | 73% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 53% | 90 | 84 |
| 16 | Timberwolves | 47% | 89 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 33% | 94 | 94 |
| 12 | Bulls | 67% | 99 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 22% | 99 | 98 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 78% | 109 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hornets | 26% | 90 | 105 | |
| 8 | Lakers | 74% | 99 | 89 |
Tuesday, December 5, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 49% | 96 | 92 |
| 9 | Nets | 51% | 97 | 75 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 19% | 90 | 88 |
| 5 | Pistons | 81% | 101 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Warriors | 20% | 90 | 90 |
| 4 | Rockets | 80% | 101 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 16% | 99 | 102 |
| 1 | Suns | 84% | 111 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 41% | 97 | 87 |
| 24 | SuperSonics | 59% | 100 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 41% | 92 | 97 |
| 12 | Clippers | 59% | 95 | 101 |
Monday, December 4, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 64% | 101 | 97 |
| 20 | Wizards | 36% | 97 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 43% | 96 | 90 |
| 27 | Knicks | 57% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warriors | 27% | 95 | 89 |
| 2 | Spurs | 73% | 103 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 31% | 94 | 82 |
| 11 | Bulls | 69% | 100 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 30% | 101 | 88 |
| 7 | Jazz | 70% | 108 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 39% | 94 | 92 |
| 17 | Kings | 61% | 97 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 31% | 95 | 87 |
| 6 | Lakers | 69% | 101 | 101 |
Sunday, December 3, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Timberwolves | 48% | 95 | 95 |
| 18 | 76ers | 52% | 96 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 59% | 97 | 89 |
| 25 | Bobcats | 41% | 94 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 49% | 95 | 107 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | 47% | 92 | 91 |
| 15 | Clippers | 53% | 93 | 116 |
Saturday, December 2, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 35% | 95 | 107 |
| 14 | Nets | 65% | 99 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 44% | 100 | 103 |
| 26 | Knicks | 56% | 102 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 54% | 92 | 98 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 46% | 90 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 25% | 90 | 98 |
| 4 | Spurs | 75% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 32% | 96 | 94 |
| 11 | Bulls | 68% | 102 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cavaliers | 25% | 87 | 63 |
| 3 | Rockets | 75% | 96 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 31% | 99 | 101 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 69% | 106 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | SuperSonics | 29% | 100 | 107 | |
| 8 | Jazz | 71% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 48% | 98 | 97 |
| 16 | Clippers | 52% | 99 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 27% | 102 | 115 |
| 12 | Warriors | 73% | 110 | 110 |
Friday, December 1, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Celtics | 45% | 101 | 102 |
| 23 | Raptors | 55% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bobcats | 35% | 97 | 109 |
| 18 | Wizards | 65% | 101 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cavaliers | 57% | 96 | 106 |
| 26 | Hawks | 43% | 94 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 28% | 94 | 100 |
| 5 | Pistons | 72% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bulls | 60% | 92 | 111 |
| 29 | Hornets | 40% | 89 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 47% | 101 | 106 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 53% | 102 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kings | 31% | 94 | 90 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 69% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 16% | 101 | 116 |
| 1 | Suns | 84% | 114 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 63% | 95 | 91 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 91 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 39% | 98 | 103 |
| 16 | SuperSonics | 61% | 102 | 105 | |