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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 22, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Bulls65%9892
28Knicks35%94103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.0
38.6
31.5
7
29%
3
6
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-8
3-7
25%
46%
1-4
25%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.7
38.4
37.3
20
52%
6
2
1
1
0
2
2
4
2-3
67%
9-18
7-14
50%
51%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.3
34.6
37.7
11
58%
10
3
2
2
0
2
7
3
5-8
63%
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.1
31.1
22.5
14
42%
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
4-4
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
51%
0-6
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.3
29.3
34.9
7
51%
4
5
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.7
29.4
28.3
27
54%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
8-9
89%
8-17
4-9
47%
45%
1-4
25%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.2
13.3
15.2
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.6
9.3
11.9
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.2
8.7
7.6
2
50%
3
0
2
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.3
6.4
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.5
0.9
11.6
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.5
6.5
0
1-2
47%
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.8
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.8
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.8
46.5
37.8
30
74%
2
4
0
1
0
3
0
2
10-10
100%
4-8
4-10
50%
44%
4-8
50%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.8
41.0
37.6
19
43%
4
8
1
1
0
4
1
3
5-9
56%
4-11
4-9
36%
46%
2-7
29%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 23.6
35.9
36.4
12
61%
14
1
0
1
1
1
6
8
2-2
100%
5-9
5-9
56%
59%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 24.0
35.8
30.8
20
52%
6
0
0
0
0
3
4
2
2-5
40%
9-17
6-12
53%
54%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 23.6
28.6
33.8
15
59%
12
1
0
1
0
1
1
11
3-4
75%
6-11
6-13
55%
46%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.4
28.6
17.2
2
17%
9
1
1
1
1
1
3
6
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
46%
0-1
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 32.1
11.1
8.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 31.1
6.7
2.4
5
46%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
1-1
100%
2-5
0-1
40%
47%
0-0
-
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 32.3
5.8
7.1
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 25.1
15.1
0
1-3
46%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 22.6
11.7
0
1-3
45%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.4
2.8
0
0-1
44%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 26.7
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.