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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 22, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Grizzlies49%9097
29Hornets51%91100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.8
45.3
40.1
18
60%
8
6
2
1
0
0
0
8
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
50%
4-9
44%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.3
35.5
23.7
9
64%
1
3
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
41%
3-6
50%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.9
29.5
18.9
4
69%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.5
27.5
21.5
28
57%
9
1
0
0
3
3
1
8
4-6
67%
12-20
4-9
60%
49%
0-2
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.0
23.7
29.3
8
57%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
46%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.4
27.7
22.3
5
28%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
44%
1-4
25%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.2
21.5
18.7
2
20%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.6
20.0
4.0
9
85%
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
3
3-3
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
2-3
67%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.1
14.9
20.4
5
36%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.5
11.3
25.1
8
61%
4
2
0
1
0
0
2
2
8-8
100%
0-3
4-9
0%
48%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.3
8.0
18.7
1
57%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
3-6
-
44%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.5
6.4
0
1-1
50%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.2
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 20.7
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 21.6
47.6
40.9
15
45%
1
14
0
2
0
3
0
1
8-11
73%
2-8
7-14
25%
49%
1-4
25%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 29.2
45.3
36.8
17
60%
12
0
1
1
0
5
3
9
3-5
60%
7-12
5-11
58%
44%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.6
39.7
36.0
12
67%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-8
75%
44%
2-5
40%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 24.2
27.1
30.0
6
44%
17
1
1
1
1
2
10
7
2-4
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
56%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.1
26.6
13.4
14
49%
5
0
2
0
0
1
3
2
2-3
67%
6-13
2-3
46%
51%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 31.9
28.0
19.7
19
48%
10
3
2
0
0
1
2
8
3-4
75%
8-18
3-8
44%
45%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.2
27.7
31.7
17
86%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
4-9
50%
42%
3-3
100%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.0
10.2
12.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-4
0%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 26.5
8.9
11.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-2
0%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
3.9
8.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.6
5.8
0
1-2
47%
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.6
1.9
0
0-0
47%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.8
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 29.5
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.