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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 22, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Rockets30%8697
3Spurs70%9278
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.1
39.4
36.3
7
58%
1
11
4
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.3
37.2
36.3
10
41%
6
0
3
1
3
1
0
6
2-3
67%
4-7
2-3
57%
49%
0-4
0%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.4
34.9
38.8
12
50%
4
9
1
1
1
4
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
42%
2-7
29%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.3
26.5
37.8
22
62%
7
0
0
0
2
2
2
5
6-6
100%
8-15
10-19
53%
51%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.5
23.4
20.0
8
82%
7
1
0
1
0
1
4
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.2
30.7
21.0
15
57%
7
2
2
1
0
2
1
6
3-5
60%
6-9
3-7
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.9
27.0
25.4
14
69%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
4-5
80%
5-8
3-7
63%
44%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.1
13.1
3.0
9
75%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
40%
1-2
50%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.5
3.9
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.4
1.3
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.7
1.3
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.5
1.3
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.6
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.7
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
35.8
34.6
21
60%
3
3
0
1
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
10-17
8-15
59%
52%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.7
33.5
35.7
14
39%
11
4
5
1
2
4
3
8
6-11
55%
4-13
7-14
31%
51%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.4
28.1
26.5
23
80%
2
3
2
1
1
3
0
2
3-3
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
49%
4-6
67%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.8
21.3
22.3
2
20%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
50%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.5
21.0
31.7
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.0
28.2
17.0
1
35%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-1
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.3
21.3
14.2
5
133%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
40%
1-1
100%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.8
14.8
23.3
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
43%
0-3
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.7
12.3
5.4
7
70%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.9
8.3
7.1
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
43%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.5
7.8
9.1
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.8
7.6
12.7
3
39%
5
1
0
0
1
3
3
2
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.