Final Win Prob. pScore
530%86
97
370%93
78
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo Rockets
110.28881.0
SAS logo Spurs
90.78694.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU97
100%
78
0%
Q4 - 0:17.0HOULucas III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASMISS Vaughn 5' Jump Shot97
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0HOUPadgett P.FOUL (P1.T4)97
78
Q4 - 0:32.0SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0HOUMISS Novak 20' Jump Shot97
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0SASBonner 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)97
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05HOUUdrih STEAL (1 STL)97
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17HOUSUB: Novak FOR Head97
76
Q4 - 1:17HOUSUB: Padgett FOR Howard97
76
Q4 - 1:17HOUSUB: Spanoulis FOR Alston97
76
Q4 - 1:17HOUSUB: Lucas III FOR Battier97
76
Q4 - 1:17HOURockets Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 1)97
76
Q4 - 1:22HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:24SASMISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:28SASOberto REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)97
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:29SASMISS Oberto 14' Jump Bank Shot97
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40HOUAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wells 2 AST)97
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:57HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:59SASMISS Bonner 6' Jump Shot94
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:03SASSPURS Rebound94
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:04SASMISS Vaughn 20' Jump Shot94
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:07SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)94
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:08SASMISS Bonner 9' Jump Shot94
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:33HOUHoward 2' Dunk (14 PTS) (Wells 1 AST)94
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:52SASOberto Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T17)92
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:59SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 3:01HOUMISS Howard 5' Turnaround Jump Shot92
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 3:17SASOberto Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)92
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 3:19SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)92
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 3:21HOUOberto BLOCK (1 BLK)92
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 3:40SASOberto Foul Turnover (P1.T15)92
99.7%
76
0.3%
Q4 - 3:40SASOberto OFF.Foul (P4)92
76
Q4 - 3:51SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Horry92
76
Q4 - 3:51SASSUB: Oberto FOR Ginobili92
76
Q4 - 3:51SASSUB: Bonner FOR Duncan92
76
Q4 - 3:51SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)92
76
Q4 - 3:59HOUAlston 7' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)92
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 4:15SASDuncan 7' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)90
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 4:26HOUBattier 7' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Alston 9 AST)90
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 4:44SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)88
99.5%
74
0.5%
Q4 - 4:44SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)88
99.5%
73
0.5%
Q4 - 4:44HOUBattier S.FOUL (P1.T3)88
72
Q4 - 4:53SASSUB: Udrih FOR Parker88
72
Q4 - 4:53HOUSUB: Battier FOR Hayes88
72
Q4 - 4:53HOUHayes Foul Turnover (P1.T12)88
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 4:53HOUHayes OFF.Foul (P6)88
72
Q4 - 4:53HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)88
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 4:56HOUGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)88
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 5:22SASParker 2' Layup (21 PTS)88
99.4%
72
0.6%
Q4 - 5:33HOUHoward 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Head 11 AST)88
99.6%
70
0.4%
Q4 - 5:47SASParker 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)86
99.5%
70
0.5%
Q4 - 6:04HOUAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)86
99.2%
68
0.8%
Q4 - 6:25SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)83
98.7%
68
1.3%
Q4 - 6:33HOUAlston P.FOUL (P2.T2)83
65
Q4 - 6:43HOUHoward 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Head 10 AST)83
99.3%
65
0.7%
Q4 - 6:50SASGinobili P.FOUL (P3.T2)81
65
Q4 - 7:08SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)81
98.5%
65
1.5%
Q4 - 7:23HOUHead 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)81
98.0%
65
2.0%
Q4 - 7:27HOUSUB: Hayes FOR Mutombo79
65
Q4 - 7:27HOURockets Rebound79
97.4%
65
2.6%
Q4 - 7:28HOUDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)79
96.8%
65
3.2%
Q4 - 7:41SASSUB: Horry FOR Oberto79
65
Q4 - 7:41HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)79
65
Q4 - 7:46SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)79
97.4%
65
2.6%
Q4 - 7:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)79
98.5%
62
1.5%
Q4 - 7:53SASMISS Oberto Free Throw 2 of 279
98.8%
62
1.2%
Q4 - 7:53HOUSUB: Mutombo FOR Yao79
62
Q4 - 7:53HOUSUB: Alston FOR Lucas III79
62
Q4 - 7:53SASOberto Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)79
98.6%
62
1.4%
Q4 - 7:53HOUYao S.FOUL (P5.T1)79
61
Q4 - 7:53SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
98.8%
61
1.2%
Q4 - 7:54SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot79
99.1%
61
0.9%
Q4 - 8:01HOUGinobili STEAL (2 STL)79
98.3%
61
1.7%
Q4 - 8:18HOUSUB: Howard FOR Battier79
61
Q4 - 8:18SASParker Foul Turnover (P3.T13)79
98.7%
61
1.3%
Q4 - 8:18SASParker OFF.Foul (P2)79
61
Q4 - 8:33SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
98.3%
61
1.7%
Q4 - 8:35HOUMISS Lucas III 18' Jump Shot79
98.4%
61
1.6%
Q4 - 8:50SASSUB: Duncan FOR Horry79
61
Q4 - 8:50SASSUB: Oberto FOR Elson79
61
Q4 - 8:50SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Finley79
61
Q4 - 8:50HOUSUB: Yao FOR Mutombo79
61
Q4 - 8:5079
61
Q4 - 8:50SASHorry P.FOUL (P1.T1)79
61
Q4 - 9:05HOUWells REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
98.1%
61
1.9%
Q4 - 9:07SASMISS Elson 14' Jump Shot79
98.0%
61
2.0%
Q4 - 9:20SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
97.7%
61
2.3%
Q4 - 9:22HOUMISS Head 18' Fadeaway Jumper79
97.8%
61
2.2%
Q4 - 9:46HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
98.2%
61
1.8%
Q4 - 9:47SASMISS Parker 6' Running Jump Shot79
98.0%
61
2.0%
Q4 - 10:04HOULucas III 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Head 9 AST)79
96.9%
61
3.1%
Q4 - 10:18SASElson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)76
95.3%
61
4.7%
Q4 - 10:32SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
94.2%
61
5.8%
Q4 - 10:34HOUMISS Lucas III 3PT Jump Shot76
94.6%
61
5.4%
Q4 - 10:59SASParker 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Barry 4 AST)76
95.3%
61
4.7%
Q4 - 11:17HOUWells 1' Dunk (15 PTS)76
95.3%
59
4.7%
Q4 - 11:30HOULucas III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
94.2%
59
5.8%
Q4 - 11:32SASMISS Finley 6' Jump Shot74
93.9%
59
6.1%
Q4 - 11:44SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
93.0%
59
7.0%
Q4 - 11:46SASMISS Barry 3PT Jump Shot74
93.9%
59
6.1%
Q4 - 12:0074
59
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU74
93.0%
59
7.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
93.0%
59
7.0%
Q3 - 0:03.0SASMISS Udrih 8' Running Jump Shot74
92.7%
59
7.3%
Q3 - 0:18.0HOUWells Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)74
91.8%
59
8.2%
Q3 - 0:18.0HOUSUB: Mutombo FOR Howard73
59
Q3 - 0:18.0HOUWells Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)73
91.4%
59
8.6%
Q3 - 0:18.0HOUHoward Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)72
90.0%
59
10.0%
Q3 - 0:18.0SASDuncan T.FOUL (P3.PN)71
59
Q3 - 0:18.0SASDuncan S.FOUL (P3.PN)71
59
Q3 - 0:33.0SASHorry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)71
88.0%
59
12.0%
Q3 - 0:43.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)71
91.9%
56
8.1%
Q3 - 0:46.0HOUDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)71
92.3%
56
7.7%
Q3 - 1:06HOUWells REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
92.2%
56
7.8%
Q3 - 1:08SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot71
91.8%
56
8.2%
Q3 - 1:23HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)71
90.8%
56
9.2%
Q3 - 1:23HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)70
90.6%
56
9.4%
Q3 - 1:23SASDuncan S.FOUL (P2.PN)69
56
Q3 - 1:25HOUWells REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
88.9%
56
11.1%
Q3 - 1:27HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
87.6%
56
12.4%
Q3 - 1:39HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
88.9%
56
11.1%
Q3 - 1:41SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
88.4%
56
11.6%
Q3 - 2:00SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
87.1%
56
12.9%
Q3 - 2:01HOUMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot69
85.7%
56
14.3%
Q3 - 2:20HOUWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
87.4%
56
12.6%
Q3 - 2:22SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot69
86.7%
56
13.3%
Q3 - 2:31HOUDuncan STEAL (5 STL)69
85.2%
56
14.8%
Q3 - 2:44SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)69
87.4%
56
12.6%
Q3 - 2:44SASSPURS Rebound69
55
Q3 - 2:44SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 269
88.0%
55
12.0%
Q3 - 2:44HOUHoward P.FOUL (P3.PN)69
55
Q3 - 2:54HOUBattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)69
87.5%
55
12.5%
Q3 - 2:54HOUBattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)68
87.0%
55
13.0%
Q3 - 2:54SASSUB: Udrih FOR Parker67
55
Q3 - 2:54SASSUB: Finley FOR Ginobili67
55
Q3 - 2:54HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)67
55
Q3 - 2:54SASBarry L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)67
55
Q3 - 2:55HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
85.2%
55
14.8%
Q3 - 2:56SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
84.5%
55
15.5%
Q3 - 2:59SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
82.8%
55
17.2%
Q3 - 3:01SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot67
82.6%
55
17.4%
Q3 - 3:14SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
80.7%
55
19.3%
Q3 - 3:17HOUMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot67
81.6%
55
18.4%
Q3 - 3:37SASParker 3' Layup (15 PTS)67
83.6%
55
16.4%
Q3 - 3:57HOUBattier 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 8 AST)67
85.8%
53
14.2%
Q3 - 4:12SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P3.T11)65
82.5%
53
17.5%
Q3 - 4:12SASDuncan OFF.Foul (P1)65
53
Q3 - 4:18HOUDuncan STEAL (4 STL)65
79.4%
53
20.6%
Q3 - 4:35SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)65
82.6%
53
17.4%
Q3 - 4:35SASSPURS Rebound65
52
Q3 - 4:35SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 265
83.3%
52
16.7%
Q3 - 4:35HOUHoward S.FOUL (P2.PN)65
52
Q3 - 4:49HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)65
82.2%
52
17.8%
Q3 - 4:49HOURockets Rebound64
52
Q3 - 4:49HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 264
81.8%
52
18.2%
Q3 - 4:49SASBarry S.FOUL (P2.T4)64
52
Q3 - 5:02SASDuncan Violation:Kicked Ball64
52
Q3 - 5:16SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)64
80.6%
52
19.4%
Q3 - 5:16HOUSUB: Wells FOR Hayes64
51
Q3 - 5:16SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)64
81.4%
51
18.6%
Q3 - 5:16HOUHayes P.FOUL (P5.PN)64
50
Q3 - 5:31HOUAlston Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)64
82.9%
50
17.1%
Q3 - 5:38SASParker P.FOUL (P1.T3)64
50
Q3 - 5:44SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)64
85.4%
50
14.6%
Q3 - 5:44HOUSUB: Howard FOR Yao64
49
Q3 - 5:44HOUYao S.FOUL (P4.PN)64
49
Q3 - 5:44SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)64
49
Q3 - 5:48SASSUB: Horry FOR Elson64
47
Q3 - 5:48SASSUB: Barry FOR Bowen64
47
Q3 - 5:48SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)64
47
Q3 - 5:48HOUHayes P.FOUL (P4.T4)64
47
Q3 - 6:11HOUHead 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)64
87.7%
47
12.3%
Q3 - 6:36SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)61
84.0%
47
16.0%
Q3 - 6:52HOUHayes 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Head 8 AST)61
87.7%
44
12.3%
Q3 - 6:57HOURockets Rebound59
86.0%
44
14.0%
Q3 - 6:59HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
84.5%
44
15.5%
Q3 - 7:13SASElson P.FOUL (P3.T2)59
44
Q3 - 7:23SASElson P.FOUL (P2.T1)59
44
Q3 - 7:23HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
84.3%
44
15.7%
Q3 - 7:24SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Bank Shot59
83.6%
44
16.4%
Q3 - 7:44HOUBattier 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Head 7 AST)59
82.1%
44
17.9%
Q3 - 8:02SASParker 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)57
78.8%
44
21.2%
Q3 - 8:26HOUYao 7' Jump Hook Shot (22 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)57
81.0%
42
19.0%
Q3 - 8:38SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)55
78.8%
42
21.2%
Q3 - 8:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)55
75.9%
42
24.1%
Q3 - 8:48HOUMISS Hayes 2' Driving Layup55
76.8%
42
23.2%
Q3 - 8:56SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)55
78.8%
42
21.2%
Q3 - 8:56SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
79.5%
41
20.5%
Q3 - 8:56HOUYao S.FOUL (P3.T3)55
40
Q3 - 8:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
81.0%
40
19.0%
Q3 - 8:58SASMISS Parker 22' Jump Shot55
82.7%
40
17.3%
Q3 - 9:15SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
80.1%
40
19.9%
Q3 - 9:16HOUMISS Battier 7' Jump Hook Shot55
80.8%
40
19.2%
Q3 - 9:31HOURockets Rebound55
82.5%
40
17.5%
Q3 - 9:33SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot55
81.8%
40
18.2%
Q3 - 9:50SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
80.2%
40
19.8%
Q3 - 9:52HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
80.9%
40
19.1%
Q3 - 10:13HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)55
81.0%
40
19.0%
Q3 - 10:14SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 155
80.7%
40
19.3%
Q3 - 10:14HOUHayes S.FOUL (P3.T2)55
40
Q3 - 10:14SASDuncan 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)55
40
Q3 - 10:20HOUDuncan STEAL (3 STL)55
83.1%
38
16.9%
Q3 - 10:38SASDuncan 2' Dunk (6 PTS)55
85.1%
38
14.9%
Q3 - 10:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
86.8%
36
13.2%
Q3 - 10:41SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot55
87.9%
36
12.1%
Q3 - 10:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
86.8%
36
13.2%
Q3 - 10:56HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
87.3%
36
12.7%
Q3 - 11:15HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
87.3%
36
12.7%
Q3 - 11:17SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 255
87.1%
36
12.9%
Q3 - 11:17SASSUB: Elson FOR Oberto55
36
Q3 - 11:17SASSPURS Rebound55
36
Q3 - 11:17SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 255
86.2%
36
13.8%
Q3 - 11:17HOUHayes S.FOUL (P2.T1)55
36
Q3 - 11:27SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Battier: Tip to Parker55
36
Q3 - 11:27SASSPURS Rebound55
85.6%
36
14.4%
Q3 - 11:27SASSUB: Oberto FOR Elson55
36
Q3 - 11:27SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot55
86.8%
36
13.2%
Q3 - 11:44HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
85.6%
36
14.4%
Q3 - 11:44HOUYao 2' Layup (20 PTS)55
85.6%
36
14.4%
Q3 - 11:46HOUMISS Alston 7' Running Jump Shot53
82.5%
36
17.5%
Q3 - 12:0053
36
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU53
84.0%
36
16.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound53
84.0%
36
16.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Head 29' 3PT Jump Shot53
82.6%
36
17.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
82.5%
36
17.5%
Q2 - 0:05.0SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot53
82.0%
36
18.0%
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUHoward 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Head 6 AST)53
81.1%
36
18.9%
Q2 - 0:48.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)51
78.4%
36
21.6%
Q2 - 0:48.0HOUSUB: Hayes FOR Yao51
35
Q2 - 0:48.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)51
79.1%
35
20.9%
Q2 - 0:48.0HOUYao S.FOUL (P2.PN)51
34
Q2 - 1:08HOUHead 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)51
80.1%
34
19.9%
Q2 - 1:11SASSUB: Bowen FOR Ginobili49
34
Q2 - 1:11HOUSUB: Head FOR Wells49
34
Q2 - 1:11HOURockets Rebound49
77.3%
34
22.7%
Q2 - 1:11HOUMISS Wells 2' Layup49
76.1%
34
23.9%
Q2 - 1:23HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
77.3%
34
22.7%
Q2 - 1:26SASMISS Parker 2' Layup49
76.8%
34
23.2%
Q2 - 1:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
75.6%
34
24.4%
Q2 - 1:32HOUMISS Yao 8' Jump Shot49
76.1%
34
23.9%
Q2 - 1:48SASGinobili 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)49
77.3%
34
22.7%
Q2 - 1:50SASSPURS Rebound49
80.1%
32
19.9%
Q2 - 1:50SASMISS Parker 2' Layup49
81.2%
32
18.8%
Q2 - 2:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
78.3%
32
21.7%
Q2 - 2:04HOUMISS Wells Free Throw 1 of 149
78.6%
32
21.4%
Q2 - 2:04SASBarry S.FOUL (P1.PN)49
32
Q2 - 2:04HOUWells 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)49
32
Q2 - 2:07SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)47
76.2%
32
23.8%
Q2 - 2:22HOUWells Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)47
73.8%
32
26.2%
Q2 - 2:22HOURockets Rebound46
32
Q2 - 2:22HOUMISS Wells Free Throw 1 of 246
73.2%
32
26.8%
Q2 - 2:22SASGinobili P.FOUL (P2.PN)46
32
Q2 - 2:32SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)46
73.9%
32
26.1%
Q2 - 2:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
71.3%
32
28.7%
Q2 - 2:39HOUMISS Yao 1' Layup46
72.1%
32
27.9%
Q2 - 2:58SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Finley46
32
Q2 - 2:58SASSUB: Barry FOR Bowen46
32
Q2 - 2:58HOUSUB: Alston FOR Lucas III46
32
Q2 - 2:58HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)46
32
Q2 - 3:07SASBonner 6' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)46
73.0%
32
27.0%
Q2 - 3:17SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
75.0%
30
25.0%
Q2 - 3:19HOUMISS Battier 27' 3PT Jump Shot46
75.9%
30
24.1%
Q2 - 3:41HOUWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
77.7%
30
22.3%
Q2 - 3:43SASMISS Bowen 3' Layup46
76.9%
30
23.1%
Q2 - 3:48HOUDuncan STEAL (2 STL)46
75.1%
30
24.9%
Q2 - 4:02HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
76.3%
30
23.7%
Q2 - 4:05SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup46
75.6%
30
24.4%
Q2 - 4:25HOUYao 7' Hook Shot (18 PTS)46
73.9%
30
26.1%
Q2 - 4:42HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
71.7%
30
28.3%
Q2 - 4:44SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
70.9%
30
29.1%
Q2 - 5:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
68.0%
30
32.0%
Q2 - 5:05HOUMISS Battier Free Throw 1 of 144
68.3%
30
31.7%
Q2 - 5:05SASFinley S.FOUL (P1.T4)44
30
Q2 - 5:05HOUBattier 2' Layup (2 PTS)44
30
Q2 - 5:19SASBonner L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)42
30
Q2 - 5:19HOURockets Rebound42
65.3%
30
34.7%
Q2 - 5:21SASMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot42
64.5%
30
35.5%
Q2 - 5:32SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)42
30
Q2 - 5:42HOUWells 1' Layup (8 PTS)42
62.7%
30
37.3%
Q2 - 5:54HOUWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
59.8%
30
40.2%
Q2 - 5:56SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
59.0%
30
41.0%
Q2 - 6:13SASSUB: Finley FOR Ginobili40
30
Q2 - 6:13HOUHoward L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)40
30
Q2 - 6:13SASSPURS Rebound40
55.7%
30
44.3%
Q2 - 6:13HOUMISS Yao 13' Turnaround Jump Shot40
56.8%
30
43.2%
Q2 - 6:32SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)40
59.1%
30
40.9%
Q2 - 6:48HOULucas III 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)40
55.8%
30
44.2%
Q2 - 6:56SASBowen P.FOUL (P1.T2)38
30
Q2 - 7:12SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)38
52.3%
30
47.7%
Q2 - 7:32SASSUB: Parker FOR Vaughn38
27
Q2 - 7:32HOULucas III P.FOUL (P2.T3)38
27
Q2 - 7:32HOUGinobili STEAL (1 STL)38
57.9%
27
42.1%
Q2 - 7:47HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
60.8%
27
39.2%
Q2 - 7:49SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
59.9%
27
40.1%
Q2 - 7:55HOUDuncan STEAL (1 STL)38
57.9%
27
42.1%
Q2 - 8:18SASGinobili 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)38
59.4%
27
40.6%
Q2 - 8:22HOUWells P.FOUL (P1.T2)38
25
Q2 - 8:28HOUSUB: Battier FOR Head38
25
Q2 - 8:28SASSUB: Bonner FOR Horry38
25
Q2 - 8:28SASSUB: Duncan FOR Elson38
25
Q2 - 8:2838
25
Q2 - 8:28HOULucas III P.FOUL (P1.T1)38
25
Q2 - 8:46HOULucas III 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Head 5 AST)38
62.2%
25
37.8%
Q2 - 8:50HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
59.5%
25
40.5%
Q2 - 8:52SASMISS Ginobili 3' Layup36
58.7%
25
41.3%
Q2 - 8:59SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
56.9%
25
43.1%
Q2 - 9:00HOUMISS Yao 11' Hook Shot36
57.7%
25
42.3%
Q2 - 9:24SASVaughn 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)36
58.4%
25
41.6%
Q2 - 9:45HOULucas III 1' Layup (2 PTS)36
61.0%
23
39.0%
Q2 - 9:49SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)34
58.5%
23
41.5%
Q2 - 10:05HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)34
55.0%
23
45.0%
Q2 - 10:05HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)33
54.6%
23
45.4%
Q2 - 10:05SASElson S.FOUL (P1.T1)32
23
Q2 - 10:18HOUWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
52.5%
23
47.5%
Q2 - 10:19SASMISS Elson 16' Jump Shot32
51.7%
23
48.3%
Q2 - 10:37HOUWells 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Head 4 AST)32
49.8%
23
50.2%
Q2 - 10:40HOUSUB: Yao FOR Hayes30
23
Q2 - 10:40HOUSUB: Lucas III FOR Alston30
23
Q2 - 10:57SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)30
47.3%
23
52.7%
Q2 - 11:00HOUHorry STEAL (1 STL)30
44.6%
23
55.4%
Q2 - 11:18SASGinobili 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)30
46.7%
23
53.3%
Q2 - 11:39SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
49.3%
21
50.7%
Q2 - 11:41HOUMISS Wells 16' Jump Shot30
50.1%
21
49.9%
Q2 - 12:0030
21
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU30
51.9%
21
48.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound30
51.9%
21
48.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Wells 72' 3PT Jump Shot30
50.1%
21
49.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)30
50.1%
21
49.9%
Q1 - 0:14.0HOUWells 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)30
48.3%
21
51.7%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASParker 2' Layup (11 PTS)28
45.3%
21
54.7%
Q1 - 0:38.0HOUWells 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)28
48.4%
19
51.6%
Q1 - 0:41.0HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)26
45.4%
19
54.6%
Q1 - 0:43.0HOUMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
44.1%
19
55.9%
Q1 - 1:02SASParker 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)26
44.4%
19
55.6%
Q1 - 1:05HOUBarry STEAL (1 STL)26
47.5%
17
52.5%
Q1 - 1:12HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
49.1%
17
50.9%
Q1 - 1:15SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
48.6%
17
51.4%
Q1 - 1:39HOUHoward 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Head 3 AST)26
47.5%
17
52.5%
Q1 - 1:56SASParker 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)24
44.4%
17
55.6%
Q1 - 2:16HOUAlston 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)24
46.7%
15
53.3%
Q1 - 2:36HOUSUB: Wells FOR Battier22
15
Q1 - 2:36HOUSUB: Howard FOR Yao22
15
Q1 - 2:36HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)22
15
Q1 - 2:36SASBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)22
44.1%
15
55.9%
Q1 - 2:59HOUYao 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)22
42.2%
15
57.8%
Q1 - 3:19SASParker 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Elson 1 AST)20
39.4%
15
60.6%
Q1 - 3:29SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
41.7%
13
58.3%
Q1 - 3:31HOUMISS Alston 14' Jump Shot20
42.3%
13
57.7%
Q1 - 3:36HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
43.9%
13
56.1%
Q1 - 3:38SASMISS Elson 13' Jump Shot20
43.2%
13
56.8%
Q1 - 3:58SASSUB: Elson FOR Duncan20
13
Q1 - 3:58HOUYao Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)20
41.7%
13
58.3%
Q1 - 4:02HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)20
42.0%
13
58.0%
Q1 - 4:05HOUMISS Yao 7' Jump Shot20
40.6%
13
59.4%
Q1 - 4:06HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
42.0%
13
58.0%
Q1 - 4:08HOUMISS Head 14' Jump Shot20
40.6%
13
59.4%
Q1 - 4:22HOURockets Rebound20
42.0%
13
58.0%
Q1 - 4:24SASMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot20
41.3%
13
58.7%
Q1 - 4:36SASBarry Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)20
39.9%
13
60.1%
Q1 - 4:36HOURockets T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Alston )20
12
Q1 - 4:47SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
41.8%
12
58.2%
Q1 - 4:48HOUMISS Yao 5' Hook Shot20
42.4%
12
57.6%
Q1 - 4:58SASSUB: Horry FOR Oberto20
12
Q1 - 4:58SASOberto P.FOUL (P3.T4)20
12
Q1 - 5:19SASOberto 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)20
43.2%
12
56.8%
Q1 - 5:31HOUHayes Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
44.8%
10
55.2%
Q1 - 5:31SASSUB: Finley FOR Ginobili19
10
Q1 - 5:31HOUHayes Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
44.1%
10
55.9%
Q1 - 5:31SASOberto S.FOUL (P2.T3)18
10
Q1 - 5:45HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
43.0%
10
57.0%
Q1 - 5:47SASMISS Oberto 14' Jump Shot18
42.3%
10
57.7%
Q1 - 6:04HOUHayes 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Head 2 AST)18
40.2%
10
59.8%
Q1 - 6:22HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
38.4%
10
61.6%
Q1 - 6:24SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup16
37.8%
10
62.2%
Q1 - 6:35HOUAlston 1' Layup (2 PTS)16
36.5%
10
63.5%
Q1 - 6:50HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
34.9%
10
65.1%
Q1 - 6:52SASMISS Ginobili 16' Jump Shot14
34.4%
10
65.6%
Q1 - 6:59HOUHayes P.FOUL (P1.T3)14
10
Q1 - 7:12HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)14
32.8%
10
67.2%
Q1 - 7:12HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)13
32.6%
10
67.4%
Q1 - 7:12SASSPURS Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)12
10
Q1 - 7:12SASOberto S.FOUL (P1.T2)12
10
Q1 - 7:25SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)12
31.5%
10
68.5%
Q1 - 7:25SASSUB: Oberto FOR Elson12
9
Q1 - 7:25SASSUB: Barry FOR Bowen12
9
Q1 - 7:25HOUAlston S.FOUL (P1.T2)12
9
Q1 - 7:25SASParker 1' Layup (2 PTS)12
9
Q1 - 7:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
34.2%
7
65.8%
Q1 - 7:31HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
34.7%
7
65.3%
Q1 - 7:46HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
35.8%
7
64.2%
Q1 - 7:48SASMISS Ginobili 3' Layup12
35.2%
7
64.8%
Q1 - 8:02HOUYao 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)12
33.8%
7
66.2%
Q1 - 8:19SASDuncan 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
32.3%
7
67.7%
Q1 - 8:35HOUYao 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)10
33.6%
5
66.4%
Q1 - 8:42HOURockets Rebound8
32.2%
5
67.8%
Q1 - 8:43SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot8
31.9%
5
68.1%
Q1 - 8:55HOUYao P.FOUL (P1.T1)8
5
Q1 - 8:59SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
31.0%
5
69.0%
Q1 - 9:01HOUMISS Yao 12' Jump Shot8
31.1%
5
68.9%
Q1 - 9:15SASElson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)8
31.8%
5
68.2%
Q1 - 9:29HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
30.8%
5
69.2%
Q1 - 9:29HOUHayes 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)8
30.8%
5
69.2%
Q1 - 9:31HOUMISS Battier 9' Jump Shot6
29.2%
5
70.8%
Q1 - 9:49SASElson 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS)6
29.8%
5
70.2%
Q1 - 10:01SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)6
3
Q1 - 10:08HOUYao 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Head 1 AST)6
30.3%
3
69.7%
Q1 - 10:20HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
29.7%
3
70.3%
Q1 - 10:22SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup4
29.5%
3
70.5%
Q1 - 10:35HOUYao 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)4
29.2%
3
70.8%
Q1 - 10:53SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
28.9%
3
71.1%
Q1 - 10:59SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
29.8%
0
70.2%
Q1 - 11:01HOUMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
29.8%
0
70.2%
Q1 - 11:12HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.1%
0
69.9%
Q1 - 11:14SASMISS Elson 13' Jump Shot2
30.0%
0
70.0%
Q1 - 11:29HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
29.9%
0
70.1%
Q1 - 11:29HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
29.8%
0
70.2%
Q1 - 11:29SASGinobili S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:45SASElson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
29.9%
0
70.1%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Yao: Tip to Parker0
30.1%
0
69.9%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventHOUSAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.11 55.7%
SAS
0.97 48.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
19
27
70%
SAS
12
23
52%
Midrange
HOU
15
30
50%
SAS
11
34
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
SAS
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
Free Throws
HOU
17
21
81%
SAS
14
20
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Yao2261%11.0 / 18
B. Wells1558%7.5 / 13
J. Howard1470%7.0 / 10
R. Alston1250%6.0 / 12
S. Battier1042%5.0 / 12
J. Lucas III975%4.5 / 6
C. Hayes880%4.0 / 5
L. Head758%3.5 / 6
S. Novak0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2382%11.5 / 14
T. Parker2162%10.5 / 17
T. Duncan1439%7.0 / 18
M. Bonner770%3.5 / 5
R. Horry5250%2.5 / 1
F. Oberto350%1.5 / 3
F. Elson220%1.0 / 5
J. Vaughn233%1.0 / 3
B. Barry150%0.5 / 1
B. Bowen0-0.0 / 3
M. Finley0-0.0 / 6
B. Udrih0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
75
+12
-13
87
SAS
69
+11
-17
80
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.11 55.7%
SAS
0.97 48.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.6
109.2
HOU 110.2 +19.5
SAS 90.7
Pace
91.1
89.8
HOU 81.0
SAS 94.2 +13.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.5
HOU 17.8
SAS 15.3 −2.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.9%
52.1%
HOU 54.1% +9.7%
SAS 44.4%
TO %
14.8%
14.7%
HOU 13.5% −3.9%
SAS 17.4%
ORB %
25.7%
24.5%
HOU 21.9% +1.4%
SAS 20.5%
FTrt
29.2
31.3
HOU 28.4 +0.6
SAS 27.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.6%
60.5%
HOU 63.2% +1.1%
SAS 62.1%
STL %
7.8%
8.0%
HOU 11.4%
SAS 11.6% +0.2%
BLK %
6.5%
7.8%
HOU 12.3% +5.3%
SAS 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.3%
54.7%
HOU 55.7% +6.9%
SAS 48.8%
Rim FG%
56.2%
62.1%
HOU 70.4% +18.2%
SAS 52.2%
Mid FG%
41.0%
40.4%
HOU 50.0% +17.6%
SAS 32.4%
3P %
37.2%
38.1%
HOU 23.5%
SAS 40.0% +16.5%
FT %
75.3%
75.1%
HOU 81.0% +11.0%
SAS 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
34.9%
HOU 36.5% +4.5%
SAS 31.9%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
40.5%
HOU 40.5% −6.7%
SAS 47.2%
3P Att. %
29.0%
24.7%
HOU 23.0% +2.1%
SAS 20.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsHOUSAS
Possessions8886
Possession Minutes26.121.9
Points9778
Rebounds3833
Assists2418
Steals1010
Blocks74
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (5)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (4)25 (1)
Field Goals38-7429-72
At-the-Rim FG19-2712-23
Midrange FG15-3011-34
2-Point FG34-5723-57
3-Point FG4-176-15
Free Throws17-2114-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 185 · 24
39.4
7
58%
1
11
4
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 220 · 28
37.2
10
42%
6
0
3
3
1
1
0
6
2-3
67%
4-7
57%
0-4
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 30
34.9
12
50%
4
9
1
1
4
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-7
29%
C · 7'6" 310 · 26
26.5
22
61%
7
0
0
2
2
5
2
5
6-6
100%
8-15
53%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 240 · 24
23.4
8
80%
7
1
0
0
1
6
4
3
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30
30.7
15
58%
7
2
2
0
2
1
1
6
3-5
60%
6-9
67%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 34
27.0
14
70%
4
1
0
0
0
3
0
4
4-5
80%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 166 · 24
13.1
9
75%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
C · 7'2" 260 · 40
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 195 · 24
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 31
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 24
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#1 · G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'5" 200 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
56%
38
24
10
7
13
0
7
31
17-21
81%
34-57
60%
4-17
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.