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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 22, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Bucks39%97113
16Timberwolves61%100107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.8
42.2
27.2
28
63%
1
2
4
1
0
0
0
1
6-7
86%
8-14
2-5
57%
46%
2-5
40%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.3
38.0
34.8
29
52%
3
4
2
1
0
2
3
0
5-7
71%
9-19
6-12
47%
48%
2-6
33%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.1
38.0
29.3
7
39%
10
7
0
1
2
2
2
8
1-2
50%
3-8
4-7
38%
53%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.0
32.4
35.6
26
55%
7
2
1
1
0
3
2
5
5-6
83%
9-18
5-11
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30.6
25.2
22.2
6
50%
10
0
0
1
0
0
4
6
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22.3
18.5
24.7
9
46%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
51%
1-3
33%
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22.8
15.8
11.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 26.8
15.7
12.7
6
50%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
43%
0-1
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.9
14.3
10.9
2
50%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.6
4.0
0
0-1
45%
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.0
2.2
0
0-1
46%
Chris McCray
G · 6'5" 192 · 22.6
0.8
0
0-0
44%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.6
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 31.4
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 27.2
45.0
37.7
23
61%
5
6
0
1
0
3
1
4
7-9
78%
5-11
5-10
45%
50%
2-4
50%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 31.5
44.3
31.1
28
65%
3
8
0
1
0
3
0
3
6-6
100%
8-12
4-8
67%
49%
2-7
29%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.6
42.0
37.6
24
53%
14
5
2
1
4
3
1
13
8-11
73%
8-17
8-15
47%
53%
0-1
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 31.1
33.5
34.3
11
47%
9
1
0
1
3
3
4
5
3-6
50%
4-9
6-11
44%
53%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 27.8
31.3
30.9
6
60%
4
1
0
0
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 28.0
16.8
14.4
2
50%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 23.1
16.5
14.4
11
95%
6
0
0
1
0
2
2
4
3-4
75%
4-4
2-4
100%
53%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 23.2
6.7
21.0
2
25%
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
50%
0-3
0%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 30.9
4.0
5.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.9
6.9
0
1-2
45%
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 30.8
3.0
0
0-1
43%
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 24.6
1.5
0
0-0
40%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.2
Bracey Wright
G · 6'3" 201 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.