Final Win Prob. pScore
1121%104
144
279%115
139
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo Wizards
126.3114107.6
PHX logo Suns
124.111297.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

SunsWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

SunsWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASPHX
OT1 - 0:00.0WAS144
139
OT1 - 0:00.0WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)144
139
OT1 - 0:01.0PHXMISS Nash 30' 3PT Jump Shot144
139
OT1 - 0:05.0WASButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)144
139
OT1 - 0:05.0WASButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)143
139
OT1 - 0:05.0PHXStoudemire P.FOUL (P3.PN)142
139
OT1 - 0:07.0WASWizards Timeout: Short (Reg.7 Short 3)142
139
OT1 - 0:07.0PHXNash 26' 3PT Jump Shot (42 PTS) (Bell 4 AST)142
139
OT1 - 0:10.0PHXSUNS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 3)142
136
OT1 - 0:10.0PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)142
136
OT1 - 0:10.0WASMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 2142
136
OT1 - 0:10.0WASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)142
136
OT1 - 0:10.0PHXNash P.FOUL (P2.PN)141
136
OT1 - 0:11.0WASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)141
136
OT1 - 0:12.0PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)141
136
OT1 - 0:12.0PHXMISS Stoudemire Layup141
136
OT1 - 0:15.0PHXMISS Barbosa 28' 3PT Jump Shot141
136
OT1 - 0:21.0PHXSUNS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)141
136
OT1 - 0:21.0WASButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)141
136
OT1 - 0:21.0WASButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)140
136
OT1 - 0:21.0PHXSUB: Stoudemire FOR Diaw139
136
OT1 - 0:21.0PHXDiaw P.FOUL (P6.PN)139
136
OT1 - 0:22.0PHXDiaw P.FOUL (P5.T2)139
136
OT1 - 0:22.0WASSUB: Daniels FOR Hayes139
136
OT1 - 0:22.0PHXSUB: Barbosa FOR Stoudemire139
136
OT1 - 0:22.0WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.7 Short 2)139
136
OT1 - 0:22.0PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)139
136
OT1 - 0:22.0PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)139
135
OT1 - 0:22.0WASArenas S.FOUL (P5.T2)139
134
OT1 - 0:30.0WASArenas 27' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (54 PTS)139
134
OT1 - 0:51.0WASButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)136
134
OT1 - 0:53.0PHXMISS Nash 26' 3PT Jump Shot136
134
OT1 - 1:04WASButler Driving Layup (30 PTS)136
134
OT1 - 1:20PHXNash 26' 3PT Jump Shot (39 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)134
134
OT1 - 1:24PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)134
131
OT1 - 1:26PHXMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot134
131
OT1 - 1:40WASButler Reverse Layup (28 PTS)134
131
OT1 - 1:44WASButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)132
131
OT1 - 1:49PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)132
131
OT1 - 1:49PHXMISS Marion Tip Shot132
131
OT1 - 1:51PHXMISS Marion Layup132
131
OT1 - 1:55PHXSUNS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)132
131
OT1 - 2:17WASButler 8' Jump Shot (26 PTS)132
131
OT1 - 2:22WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)130
131
OT1 - 2:24PHXMISS Nash Reverse Layup130
131
OT1 - 2:49WASArenas 22' Jump Shot (51 PTS)130
131
OT1 - 3:04PHXStoudemire 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T12)128
131
OT1 - 3:22PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)128
131
OT1 - 3:24WASMISS Jamison 6' Jump Shot128
131
OT1 - 3:43WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)128
131
OT1 - 3:44PHXMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 1128
131
OT1 - 3:44WASJamison S.FOUL (P2.T1)128
131
OT1 - 3:44PHXStoudemire Layup (14 PTS)128
131
OT1 - 3:57WASJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)128
129
OT1 - 3:57WASWizards Rebound127
129
OT1 - 3:57WASMISS Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2127
129
OT1 - 3:57PHXDiaw S.FOUL (P4.T1)127
129
OT1 - 4:17PHXDiaw Layup (17 PTS) (Nash 12 AST)127
129
OT1 - 4:22PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)127
127
OT1 - 4:24WASMISS Hayes 10' Jump Shot127
127
OT1 - 4:37WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)127
127
OT1 - 4:39PHXMISS Nash 26' 3PT Jump Shot127
127
OT1 - 5:00PHXJump Ball Stoudemire vs. Jamison: Tip to Bell127
127
OT1 - 5:00127
127
Q4 - 0:00.0PHX127
127
Q4 - 0:00.0WASHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)127
127
Q4 - 0:00.0PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)127
127
Q4 - 0:00.0PHXMISS Stoudemire Layup127
127
Q4 - 0:00.0PHXMISS Marion Layup127
127
Q4 - 0:01.0PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)127
127
Q4 - 0:03.0PHXMISS Nash 27' 3PT Jump Shot127
127
Q4 - 0:20.0WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 1 (49 PTS)127
127
Q4 - 0:20.0PHXSUB: Stoudemire FOR Bell126
127
Q4 - 0:20.0PHXMarion S.FOUL (P4.PN)126
127
Q4 - 0:20.0WASArenas 9' Jump Bank Shot (48 PTS)126
127
Q4 - 0:23.0PHXSUB: Bell FOR Stoudemire124
127
Q4 - 0:23.0WASWizards Timeout: Short (Reg.6 Short 2)124
127
Q4 - 0:23.0PHXNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (36 PTS)124
127
Q4 - 0:23.0PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (35 PTS)124
126
Q4 - 0:23.0WASStevenson P.FOUL (P5.PN)124
125
Q4 - 0:26.0PHXSUNS Rebound124
125
Q4 - 0:26.0PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)124
125
Q4 - 0:26.0PHXMISS Stoudemire Tip Shot124
125
Q4 - 0:28.0PHXMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot124
125
Q4 - 0:36.0PHXSUNS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)124
125
Q4 - 0:36.0WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (46 PTS)124
125
Q4 - 0:36.0WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (45 PTS)123
125
Q4 - 0:36.0PHXMarion S.FOUL (P3.T3)122
125
Q4 - 0:41.0WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)122
125
Q4 - 0:41.0PHXStoudemire Reverse Dunk (12 PTS)122
125
Q4 - 1:04PHXSUNS Rebound122
123
Q4 - 1:04PHXMISS Nash Free Throw Technical122
123
Q4 - 1:04WASWizards Foul122
123
Q4 - 1:04WASHayes 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)122
123
Q4 - 1:07WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)119
123
Q4 - 1:09WASMISS Arenas 20' Jump Shot119
123
Q4 - 1:24PHXDiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)119
123
Q4 - 1:24PHXDiaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)119
122
Q4 - 1:24WASSUB: Hayes FOR Haywood119
121
Q4 - 1:24WASHaywood S.FOUL (P6.PN)119
121
Q4 - 1:46WASWizards Violation: Delay of game Violation119
121
Q4 - 1:46WASArenas 19' Jump Shot (44 PTS)119
121
Q4 - 1:59PHXNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)117
121
Q4 - 1:59PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)117
120
Q4 - 1:59WASButler P.FOUL (P4.PN)117
119
Q4 - 1:59PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)117
119
Q4 - 1:59WASStoudemire BLOCK (2 BLK)117
119
Q4 - 2:16PHXMarion 12' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Nash 11 AST)117
119
Q4 - 2:40WASArenas 18' Jump Shot (42 PTS)117
117
Q4 - 2:55PHXNash 26' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Diaw 11 AST)115
117
Q4 - 2:59PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)115
114
Q4 - 3:01PHXMISS Diaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot115
114
Q4 - 3:19WASStevenson Driving Layup (18 PTS)115
114
Q4 - 3:37PHXNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)113
114
Q4 - 3:37PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)113
113
Q4 - 3:37WASHaywood P.FOUL (P5.PN)113
112
Q4 - 3:43WASJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)113
112
Q4 - 3:43WASJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)112
112
Q4 - 3:43PHXBarbosa P.FOUL (P4.T2)111
112
Q4 - 3:47PHXNash Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T11)111
112
Q4 - 3:56PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)111
112
Q4 - 3:59WASStoudemire BLOCK (1 BLK)111
112
Q4 - 4:11PHXMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)111
112
Q4 - 4:11PHXMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)111
111
Q4 - 4:11WASHaywood S.FOUL (P4.PN)111
110
Q4 - 4:17PHXBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)111
110
Q4 - 4:19WASMISS Arenas 18' Jump Shot111
110
Q4 - 4:23WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)111
110
Q4 - 4:25PHXMISS Barbosa Layup111
110
Q4 - 4:29WASButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)111
110
Q4 - 4:29WASButler Layup (24 PTS)111
110
Q4 - 4:37WASDiaw BLOCK (1 BLK)109
110
Q4 - 4:39PHXStoudemire Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)109
110
Q4 - 4:40PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)109
110
Q4 - 4:44WASMarion BLOCK (2 BLK)109
110
Q4 - 4:59PHXMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)109
110
Q4 - 4:59PHXMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)109
109
Q4 - 4:59WASStevenson S.FOUL (P4.T4)109
108
Q4 - 5:14WASStevenson Driving Layup (16 PTS)109
108
Q4 - 5:39WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)107
108
Q4 - 5:43PHXStoudemire Dunk (10 PTS) (Nash 10 AST)107
108
Q4 - 5:52WASArenas L.B.FOUL (P4.T3)107
106
Q4 - 5:52PHXSUNS Rebound107
106
Q4 - 5:53WASMarion BLOCK (1 BLK)107
106
Q4 - 5:57PHXNash Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)107
106
Q4 - 6:12WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)107
106
Q4 - 6:12WASStevenson Reverse Layup (14 PTS)107
106
Q4 - 6:14WASMISS Arenas 20' Jump Shot105
106
Q4 - 6:32WASSUB: Butler FOR Daniels105
106
Q4 - 6:32WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)105
106
Q4 - 6:34PHXStoudemire Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)105
106
Q4 - 6:43PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)105
104
Q4 - 6:45WASMISS Jamison 27' 3PT Jump Shot105
104
Q4 - 7:06PHXNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)105
104
Q4 - 7:16PHXBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)105
101
Q4 - 7:19WASMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot105
101
Q4 - 7:38PHXBarbosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Diaw 10 AST)105
101
Q4 - 7:51WASArenas Driving Layup (40 PTS)105
98
Q4 - 8:04WASSUB: Haywood FOR Hayes103
98
Q4 - 8:04PHXDiaw Foul Turnover (P2.T8)103
98
Q4 - 8:04PHXDiaw OFF.Foul (P3)103
98
Q4 - 8:09PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
98
Q4 - 8:10WASMISS Jamison Layup103
98
Q4 - 8:28PHXDiaw Alley Oop Layup (13 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)103
98
Q4 - 8:39PHXSUB: Stoudemire FOR Jones103
96
Q4 - 8:39103
96
Q4 - 8:39WASStevenson P.FOUL (P3.T2)103
96
Q4 - 8:46PHXBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
96
Q4 - 8:47WASMISS Daniels 17' Jump Shot103
96
Q4 - 9:04PHXMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)103
96
Q4 - 9:04PHXMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)103
95
Q4 - 9:04WASSUB: Arenas FOR Booth103
94
Q4 - 9:04WASBooth S.FOUL (P2.T1)103
94
Q4 - 9:15WASHayes 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Daniels 4 AST)103
94
Q4 - 9:37PHXDiaw 9' Hook Shot (11 PTS)101
94
Q4 - 9:50WASJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)101
92
Q4 - 9:50PHXSUB: Nash FOR Bell100
92
Q4 - 9:50WASJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)100
92
Q4 - 9:50PHXMarion S.FOUL (P2.T1)99
92
Q4 - 10:13PHXBarbosa Foul Turnover (P1.T7)99
92
Q4 - 10:13PHXBarbosa OFF.Foul (P3)99
92
Q4 - 10:21WASStevenson Foul Turnover (P2.T11)99
92
Q4 - 10:21WASStevenson OFF.Foul (P2)99
92
Q4 - 10:25WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)99
92
Q4 - 10:28PHXMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot99
92
Q4 - 10:46WASBooth Foul Turnover (P1.T10)99
92
Q4 - 10:46WASBooth OFF.Foul (P1)99
92
Q4 - 11:03PHXMarion 9' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Barbosa 5 AST)99
92
Q4 - 11:21WASJamison 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)99
90
Q4 - 11:35WASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
90
Q4 - 11:37PHXMISS Barbosa Driving Layup97
90
Q4 - 12:0097
90
Q3 - 0:00.0PHX97
90
Q3 - 0:00.0PHXSUNS Rebound97
90
Q3 - 0:00.0PHXMISS Bell 56' 3PT Jump Shot97
90
Q3 - 0:00.0WASArenas 19' Jump Shot (38 PTS)97
90
Q3 - 0:20.0PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)95
90
Q3 - 0:20.0PHXMarion Tip Shot (18 PTS)95
90
Q3 - 0:20.0PHXMISS Diaw Layup95
88
Q3 - 0:32.0WASButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)95
88
Q3 - 0:32.0WASSUB: Booth FOR Jamison94
88
Q3 - 0:32.0WASSUB: Stevenson FOR Hayes94
88
Q3 - 0:32.0WASButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)94
88
Q3 - 0:32.0PHXBarbosa S.FOUL (P2.PN)93
88
Q3 - 0:52.0PHXDiaw Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)93
88
Q3 - 0:52.0WASHayes S.FOUL (P2.PN)93
87
Q3 - 0:52.0PHXDiaw 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bell 3 AST)93
87
Q3 - 1:01WASArenas Foul Turnover (P4.T9)93
85
Q3 - 1:01WASArenas OFF.Foul (P3)93
85
Q3 - 1:07WASButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)93
85
Q3 - 1:09PHXMISS Barbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
85
Q3 - 1:15PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
85
Q3 - 1:18WASMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot93
85
Q3 - 1:38PHXMarion Dunk (16 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)93
85
Q3 - 1:50WASButler 27' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)93
83
Q3 - 2:19PHXBarbosa 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS)90
83
Q3 - 2:31PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)90
81
Q3 - 2:33WASMISS Arenas 16' Jump Shot90
81
Q3 - 2:51WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)90
81
Q3 - 2:53PHXMISS Marion Free Throw 2 of 290
81
Q3 - 2:53WASSUB: Daniels FOR Stevenson90
81
Q3 - 2:53PHXMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)90
81
Q3 - 2:53WASArenas S.FOUL (P2.T4)90
80
Q3 - 3:01WASArenas 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (36 PTS)90
80
Q3 - 3:23PHXMarion Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)88
80
Q3 - 3:33WASHayes Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)88
78
Q3 - 3:33WASWizards Rebound87
78
Q3 - 3:33WASMISS Hayes Free Throw 1 of 287
78
Q3 - 3:33PHXDiaw S.FOUL (P2.T4)87
78
Q3 - 3:51WASSUB: Hayes FOR Haywood87
78
Q3 - 3:51WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)87
78
Q3 - 4:00PHXBarbosa 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Diaw 9 AST)87
78
Q3 - 4:11WASButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)87
75
Q3 - 4:13WASButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
75
Q3 - 4:16PHXMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
75
Q3 - 4:25WASStevenson Foul Turnover (P1.T7)87
75
Q3 - 4:25WASStevenson OFF.Foul (P1)87
75
Q3 - 4:37PHXSUB: Barbosa FOR Thomas87
75
Q3 - 4:37PHXDiaw L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)87
75
Q3 - 4:37WASWizards Rebound87
75
Q3 - 4:37PHXMISS Bell 19' Jump Shot87
75
Q3 - 4:50PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
75
Q3 - 4:52WASMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
75
Q3 - 5:10PHXMarion 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Diaw 8 AST)87
75
Q3 - 5:23WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 1 (34 PTS)87
72
Q3 - 5:23PHXBell S.FOUL (P2.T2)86
72
Q3 - 5:23WASArenas Driving Layup (33 PTS)86
72
Q3 - 5:33WASButler Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)84
72
Q3 - 5:33PHXNash T.FOUL (P1.T1)83
72
Q3 - 5:33PHXNash P.FOUL (P1.T1)83
72
Q3 - 5:33WASButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
72
Q3 - 5:35PHXMISS Nash 17' Jump Shot83
72
Q3 - 5:39PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
72
Q3 - 5:41WASMISS Jamison 12' Jump Shot83
72
Q3 - 5:48PHXNash Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)83
72
Q3 - 6:04WASButler L.B.FOUL (P3.T3)83
72
Q3 - 6:08PHXSUNS Rebound83
72
Q3 - 6:10PHXMISS Marion Alley Oop Layup83
72
Q3 - 6:16WASJamison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)83
72
Q3 - 6:22PHXBell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)83
72
Q3 - 6:30PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
72
Q3 - 6:32WASMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot83
72
Q3 - 6:49PHXNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)83
72
Q3 - 7:04WASArenas 27' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS)83
69
Q3 - 7:28PHXNash 10' Jump Shot (21 PTS)80
69
Q3 - 7:32PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
67
Q3 - 7:35PHXMISS Nash 18' Jump Shot80
67
Q3 - 7:43WASArenas 19' Jump Shot (28 PTS)80
67
Q3 - 7:56PHXNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Diaw 7 AST)78
67
Q3 - 8:06PHXSUB: Thomas FOR Stoudemire78
64
Q3 - 8:06PHXSUNS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)78
64
Q3 - 8:07WASStevenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Arenas 4 AST)78
64
Q3 - 8:13PHXStoudemire Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)75
64
Q3 - 8:26PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
64
Q3 - 8:28WASMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot75
64
Q3 - 8:39WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)75
64
Q3 - 8:42PHXMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot75
64
Q3 - 9:00WASButler 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)75
64
Q3 - 9:11WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)73
64
Q3 - 9:14PHXMISS Nash 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
64
Q3 - 9:29WASButler Layup (14 PTS)73
64
Q3 - 9:33WASButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
64
Q3 - 9:35WASMISS Arenas Layup71
64
Q3 - 9:50PHXNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)71
64
Q3 - 9:50PHXSUNS Rebound71
63
Q3 - 9:50PHXMISS Nash Free Throw 1 of 271
63
Q3 - 9:50WASHaywood S.FOUL (P3.T2)71
63
Q3 - 9:59WASStevenson 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)71
63
Q3 - 10:15PHXDiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)69
63
Q3 - 10:27WASButler L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)69
63
Q3 - 10:27PHXSUNS Rebound69
63
Q3 - 10:27WASMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
63
Q3 - 10:41PHXNash 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)69
63
Q3 - 10:50WASStevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)69
60
Q3 - 10:57WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
60
Q3 - 10:59PHXMISS Stoudemire 20' Jump Shot66
60
Q3 - 11:11WASHaywood Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)66
60
Q3 - 11:28PHXNash 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Diaw 6 AST)66
60
Q3 - 11:39PHXStoudemire Violation:Defensive Goaltending66
58
Q3 - 11:39WASArenas 13' Jump Shot (26 PTS)66
58
Q3 - 12:0064
58
Q2 - 0:00.0PHX64
58
Q2 - 0:00.0PHXSUNS Rebound64
58
Q2 - 0:00.0PHXMISS Marion 59' 3PT Jump Shot64
58
Q2 - 0:01.0WASJamison 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arenas 3 AST)64
58
Q2 - 0:24.0PHXNash 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)62
58
Q2 - 0:30.0WASArenas Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T4)62
56
Q2 - 0:36.0WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)62
56
Q2 - 0:38.0PHXMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
56
Q2 - 0:49.0WASArenas P.FOUL (P1.T3)62
56
Q2 - 0:54.0WASBarbosa STEAL (1 STL)62
56
Q2 - 0:57.0WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
56
Q2 - 0:59.0PHXMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
56
Q2 - 1:13WASHaywood Layup (14 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)62
56
Q2 - 1:35PHXNash 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)60
56
Q2 - 1:47PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
54
Q2 - 1:48WASMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
54
Q2 - 1:53WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)60
54
Q2 - 1:56PHXMISS Barbosa 27' 3PT Jump Shot60
54
Q2 - 2:18WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)60
54
Q2 - 2:18PHXMarion S.FOUL (P1.T3)59
54
Q2 - 2:18WASArenas 8' Jump Shot (23 PTS)59
54
Q2 - 2:40PHXStoudemire 8' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)57
54
Q2 - 2:55WASHayes Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)57
52
Q2 - 2:55WASHayes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)56
52
Q2 - 2:55PHXSUNS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)55
52
Q2 - 2:55PHXBarbosa S.FOUL (P1.T2)55
52
Q2 - 3:08WASHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
52
Q2 - 3:11PHXMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
52
Q2 - 3:15PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
52
Q2 - 3:18WASMISS Daniels 16' Jump Shot55
52
Q2 - 3:27WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)55
52
Q2 - 3:28PHXMISS Barbosa 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
52
Q2 - 3:43WASSUB: Hayes FOR Butler55
52
Q2 - 3:43WASHaywood L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)55
52
Q2 - 3:43PHXSUNS Rebound55
52
Q2 - 3:43WASMISS Arenas Layup55
52
Q2 - 3:49WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
52
Q2 - 3:52PHXMISS Barbosa Reverse Layup55
52
Q2 - 4:01WASButler 8' Jump Shot (12 PTS)55
52
Q2 - 4:07WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
52
Q2 - 4:09PHXMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
52
Q2 - 4:19WASButler Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)53
52
Q2 - 4:25PHXNash Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)51
52
Q2 - 4:27PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
52
Q2 - 4:28WASMISS Butler Layup51
52
Q2 - 4:31WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)51
52
Q2 - 4:37WASMISS Jamison 14' Turnaround Jump Shot51
52
Q2 - 4:47PHXBell 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barbosa 4 AST)51
52
Q2 - 5:01WASArenas 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS)51
50
Q2 - 5:19PHXSUB: Nash FOR Jones49
50
Q2 - 5:19PHXSUB: Stoudemire FOR Thomas49
50
Q2 - 5:19PHXSUB: Marion FOR Diaw49
50
Q2 - 5:1949
50
Q2 - 5:19WASWizards Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)49
50
Q2 - 5:20PHXBell Layup (4 PTS) (Barbosa 3 AST)49
50
Q2 - 5:24WASThomas STEAL (1 STL)49
48
Q2 - 5:41PHXBell 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)49
48
Q2 - 5:58WASHaywood Dunk (12 PTS)49
46
Q2 - 6:21PHXBarbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Diaw 5 AST)47
46
Q2 - 6:24PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
43
Q2 - 6:26PHXMISS Barbosa 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
43
Q2 - 6:44PHXBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
43
Q2 - 6:46WASMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot47
43
Q2 - 7:03PHXThomas Driving Layup (10 PTS)47
43
Q2 - 7:14PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
41
Q2 - 7:16PHXMISS Barbosa 3PT Jump Shot47
41
Q2 - 7:39WASArenas Layup (19 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)47
41
Q2 - 7:41WASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
41
Q2 - 7:43PHXMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
41
Q2 - 8:00PHXBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
41
Q2 - 8:01WASMISS Jamison 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
41
Q2 - 8:14WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
41
Q2 - 8:16PHXMISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot45
41
Q2 - 8:31WASButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)45
41
Q2 - 8:31WASButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)44
41
Q2 - 8:31PHXJones S.FOUL (P1.T1)43
41
Q2 - 8:50PHXBarbosa 10' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)43
41
Q2 - 9:12PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
39
Q2 - 9:13WASMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot43
39
Q2 - 9:30WASSUB: Arenas FOR Hayes43
39
Q2 - 9:30WASSUB: Haywood FOR Stevenson43
39
Q2 - 9:30WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)43
39
Q2 - 9:31PHXDiaw Reverse Dunk (6 PTS) (Barbosa 2 AST)43
39
Q2 - 9:35PHXJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
37
Q2 - 9:37WASJones BLOCK (1 BLK)43
37
Q2 - 9:48PHXBarbosa Driving Layup (4 PTS)43
37
Q2 - 10:05WASStevenson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jamison 2 AST)43
35
Q2 - 10:18PHXDiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
35
Q2 - 10:18PHXDiaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
34
Q2 - 10:18WASHayes S.FOUL (P1.T1)41
33
Q2 - 10:26WASButler Foul Turnover (P1.T1)41
33
Q2 - 10:26WASButler OFF.Foul (P1)41
33
Q2 - 10:30WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
33
Q2 - 10:31PHXMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
33
Q2 - 10:37PHXBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
33
Q2 - 10:40WASMISS Hayes 18' Jump Shot41
33
Q2 - 10:59PHXJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)41
33
Q2 - 11:06PHXBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
30
Q2 - 11:08WASMISS Hayes 16' Jump Shot41
30
Q2 - 11:26PHXBarbosa 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)41
30
Q2 - 11:44WASJamison 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)41
28
Q2 - 12:0039
28
Q1 - 0:00.0PHX39
28
Q1 - 0:00.0WASArenas 37' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)39
28
Q1 - 0:05.0PHXMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)36
28
Q1 - 0:05.0PHXSUNS Rebound36
27
Q1 - 0:05.0PHXMISS Marion Free Throw 1 of 236
27
Q1 - 0:05.0WASJamison S.FOUL (P1.T2)36
27
Q1 - 0:23.0PHXSUNS Rebound36
27
Q1 - 0:24.0WASMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
27
Q1 - 0:42.0PHXThomas Layup (8 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)36
27
Q1 - 0:52.0WASArenas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)36
25
Q1 - 1:05PHXMarion 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Barbosa 1 AST)33
25
Q1 - 1:16WASArenas Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)33
22
Q1 - 1:1632
22
Q1 - 1:16WASButler Dunk (6 PTS)32
22
Q1 - 1:18WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
22
Q1 - 1:19WASMISS Butler Layup30
22
Q1 - 1:23WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
22
Q1 - 1:26PHXMISS Thomas 15' Jump Shot30
22
Q1 - 1:45WASArenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST)30
22
Q1 - 1:56PHXSUB: Bell FOR Nash27
22
Q1 - 1:56WASSUB: Hayes FOR Haywood27
22
Q1 - 2:13PHXThomas 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)27
22
Q1 - 2:31PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
20
Q1 - 2:33WASMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
20
Q1 - 2:41PHXNash Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)27
20
Q1 - 2:46PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
20
Q1 - 2:48PHXMISS Diaw 8' Running Jump Shot27
20
Q1 - 3:16WASJamison 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST)27
20
Q1 - 3:23WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)25
20
Q1 - 3:26PHXMISS Diaw 7' Jump Shot25
20
Q1 - 3:40WASButler 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
20
Q1 - 3:56PHXMarion Layup (4 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)23
20
Q1 - 4:04WASArenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)23
18
Q1 - 4:13PHXSUB: Barbosa FOR Bell20
18
Q1 - 4:13PHXSUNS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)20
18
Q1 - 4:13PHXBell P.FOUL (P1.T3)20
18
Q1 - 4:13WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)20
18
Q1 - 4:15PHXMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
18
Q1 - 4:22WASHaywood Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST)20
18
Q1 - 4:31WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)18
18
Q1 - 4:32PHXMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
18
Q1 - 4:57WASHaywood Layup (8 PTS)18
18
Q1 - 4:59WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)16
18
Q1 - 5:03WASThomas BLOCK (1 BLK)16
18
Q1 - 5:24PHXThomas Layup (4 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)16
18
Q1 - 5:33PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
16
Q1 - 5:35WASMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot16
16
Q1 - 5:50PHXMarion Driving Layup (2 PTS)16
16
Q1 - 6:07WASStevenson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
14
Q1 - 6:08WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
14
Q1 - 6:09WASMISS Arenas 22' Jump Shot14
14
Q1 - 6:15WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
14
Q1 - 6:17PHXMISS Marion 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
14
Q1 - 6:29WASArenas 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)14
14
Q1 - 6:46PHXThomas 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)12
14
Q1 - 6:55PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
12
Q1 - 6:56WASMISS Stevenson 8' Jump Shot12
12
Q1 - 7:05WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
12
Q1 - 7:07PHXMISS Diaw 10' Jump Shot12
12
Q1 - 7:24WASArenas 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
12
Q1 - 7:34WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
12
Q1 - 7:36PHXMISS Nash 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
12
Q1 - 7:47WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)10
12
Q1 - 7:47PHXSUB: Thomas FOR Stoudemire9
12
Q1 - 7:47PHXStoudemire S.FOUL (P2.T2)9
12
Q1 - 7:47WASHaywood 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
12
Q1 - 8:01WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)7
12
Q1 - 8:08PHXDiaw 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)7
12
Q1 - 8:24PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
10
Q1 - 8:26WASMISS Jamison 21' Jump Shot7
10
Q1 - 8:42PHXNash 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)7
10
Q1 - 8:50PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
8
Q1 - 8:52WASMISS Arenas 19' Jump Shot7
8
Q1 - 8:57WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
8
Q1 - 8:59PHXMISS Stoudemire 16' Jump Shot7
8
Q1 - 9:11PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
8
Q1 - 9:14WASMISS Jamison 8' Jump Bank Shot7
8
Q1 - 9:35PHXNash 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
8
Q1 - 9:49PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
6
Q1 - 9:51WASMISS Stevenson 21' Jump Shot7
6
Q1 - 10:00WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
6
Q1 - 10:02PHXMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 17
6
Q1 - 10:02WASHaywood S.FOUL (P1.T1)7
6
Q1 - 10:02PHXStoudemire Layup (4 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)7
6
Q1 - 10:13WASJamison 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)7
4
Q1 - 10:33PHXStoudemire Dunk (2 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)5
4
Q1 - 10:43PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
2
Q1 - 10:45WASMISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
2
Q1 - 10:56PHXNash Layup (2 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)5
2
Q1 - 11:05WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
0
Q1 - 11:05PHXStoudemire S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
0
Q1 - 11:05WASHaywood Reverse Layup (2 PTS)4
0
Q1 - 11:07WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
0
Q1 - 11:08WASMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:15WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:19PHXMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:31WASButler 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 11:40WASWizards Rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:42WASMISS Arenas 19' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:45WASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:48PHXMISS Marion Alley Oop Layup0
0
Q1 - 12:00PHXJump Ball Stoudemire vs. Haywood: Tip to Nash0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventWASPHX
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.27 63.7%
PHX
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
17
28
61%
PHX
18
31
58%
Midrange
WAS
27
54
50%
PHX
21
31
68%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
10
15.0
19
53%
79%
PHX
13
19.5
43
30%
45%
Free Throws
WAS
26
29
90%
PHX
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Arenas5471%27.0 / 38
C. Butler3461%17.0 / 28
D. Stevenson1875%9.0 / 12
A. Jamison1544%7.5 / 17
B. Haywood14117%7.0 / 6
J. Hayes857%4.0 / 7
A. Daniels113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
PHX logo Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Nash4272%21.0 / 29
S. Marion2861%14.0 / 23
B. Diaw1765%8.5 / 13
L. Barbosa1753%8.5 / 16
A. Stoudemire1662%8.0 / 13
K. Thomas1071%5.0 / 7
R. Bell625%3.0 / 12
J. Jones338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
103
+10
-11
113
PHX
100
+16
-12
116
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.27 63.7%
PHX
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.6
114.1
WAS 126.3 +2.2
PHX 124.1
Pace
94.6
95.5
WAS 107.6 +10.1
PHX 97.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
14.3
WAS 13.4 −1.4
PHX 14.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
55.1%
WAS 58.4% +2.7%
PHX 55.7%
TO %
13.9%
14.5%
WAS 8.8% −0.5%
PHX 9.3%
ORB %
28.1%
22.8%
WAS 20.9%
PHX 23.5% +2.6%
FTrt
35.6
26.7
WAS 28.7 +2.0
PHX 26.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
62.6%
WAS 24.1%
PHX 65.4% +41.3%
STL %
8.1%
7.0%
WAS 7.9% +6.1%
PHX 1.8%
BLK %
7.3%
6.9%
WAS 0.0%
PHX 8.5% +8.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.4 and 3.4.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.1%
57.8%
WAS 63.7% +6.3%
PHX 57.4%
Rim FG%
57.8%
63.5%
WAS 60.7% +2.6%
PHX 58.1%
Mid FG%
39.9%
45.1%
WAS 50.0%
PHX 67.7% +17.7%
3P %
34.8%
39.9%
WAS 52.6% +22.4%
PHX 30.2%
FT %
76.5%
80.8%
WAS 89.7% +11.1%
PHX 78.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.3%
31.5%
WAS 27.7%
PHX 29.5% +1.8%
Mid Att. %
41.0%
39.8%
WAS 53.5%
PHX 29.5% −23.9%
3P Att. %
23.7%
28.7%
WAS 18.8%
PHX 41.0% +22.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.45 and 3.45.
Game TotalsWASPHX
Possessions114112
Possession Minutes25.427.6
Points144139
Rebounds4846
Assists1334
Steals92
Blocks07
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (1)34 (4)
Field Goals54-10152-105
At-the-Rim FG17-2818-31
Midrange FG27-5421-31
2-Point FG44-8239-62
3-Point FG10-1913-43
Free Throws26-2922-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 235 · 31
52.5
15
44%
12
2
1
0
1
2
0
12
5-6
83%
5-11
45%
0-3
0%
G · 6'4" 215 · 25
47.6
54
71%
3
4
1
0
4
5
0
3
6-6
100%
15-25
60%
6-12
50%
F · 6'7" 228 · 27
43.8
34
61%
10
2
3
0
2
4
3
7
9-9
100%
11-23
48%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 218 · 26
41.1
18
75%
6
1
1
0
2
5
3
3
0-0
-
6-10
60%
2-2
100%
C · 7'0" 263 · 27
34.4
14
117%
12
0
2
0
1
6
3
9
2-2
100%
6-6
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 228 · 25
21.4
8
57%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
1-1
100%
G · 6'4" 205 · 32
20.7
1
13%
3
4
1
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 230 · 31
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 193 · 24
G · 6'5" 205 · 26
C · 6'10" 305 · 23
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 20
#9 · F · 6'9" 248 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#36 · C · 6'10" 260 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#51 · F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
144
64%
48
13
9
0
11
0
9
39
26-29
90%
44-82
54%
10-19
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.