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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 3, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Suns67%108100
22Raptors33%10398
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 28.7
39.9
40.6
13
55%
9
2
4
2
1
2
0
9
3-4
75%
2-6
6-11
33%
55%
2-4
50%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.3
39.8
35.7
17
61%
8
5
0
1
2
2
0
8
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
3-8
38%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 32.9
36.3
35.7
15
52%
4
9
1
1
0
7
1
3
3-3
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
53%
2-7
29%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.1
35.3
35.1
15
61%
8
2
3
1
6
3
2
6
3-3
100%
6-11
7-13
55%
55%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 24.7
34.5
28.8
15
72%
6
6
0
1
1
2
4
2
1-1
100%
7-9
4-7
78%
53%
0-1
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 24.1
32.2
29.6
12
38%
3
4
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-12
4-8
25%
51%
2-4
50%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 34.2
15.8
13.0
6
60%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
48%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.2
6.2
8.0
7
83%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
4-5
80%
0-1
1-2
0%
39%
1-1
100%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.9
6.6
0
1-1
45%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 25.1
4.9
0
1-1
46%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 33.9
2.0
0
0-0
44%
Pat Burke
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.1
1.6
0
0-1
47%
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 36.3
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 31.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.8
41.3
35.9
26
54%
14
4
1
1
2
6
4
10
4-5
80%
11-20
7-14
55%
49%
0-2
0%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 31.5
38.2
31.8
16
66%
4
4
4
1
0
1
3
1
4-5
80%
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
2-3
67%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
24.8
18.8
6
27%
3
6
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-11
2-5
27%
50%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.6
21.4
30.4
6
38%
7
1
2
1
2
2
6
1
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
49%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.6
7.4
20.0
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 21.2
36.2
25.9
17
78%
4
1
4
0
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
48%
4-4
100%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.4
32.3
21.2
8
35%
6
1
1
1
0
1
1
5
2-3
67%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
0-4
0%
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 35.8
23.2
11.1
14
58%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
1-2
17%
40%
4-6
67%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 27.8
11.6
19.3
3
31%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-0
-
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 21.7
3.6
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.9
8.4
0
1-3
43%
Uros Slokar
F · 6'10" 238 · 23.6
1.1
0
0-0
47%
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.1
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.8
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.