Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, January 3, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Knicks | 34% | 94 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | SuperSonics | 17% | 87 | 96 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 14 | Timberwolves | 42% | 92 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Heat | 59% | 94 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Celtics | 47% | 94 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Bucks | 39% | 107 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Raptors | 32% | 103 | 98 |
Tuesday, January 2, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 29% | 97 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 41% | 90 | 86 |
 | 16 | Magic | 59% | 93 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 56% | 94 | 78 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 44% | 92 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warriors | 67% | 100 | 97 |
| 30 | Hornets | 33% | 95 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 60% | 104 | 97 |
 | 8 | Bulls | 40% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | SuperSonics | 17% | 90 | 88 | |
 | 2 | Mavericks | 83% | 103 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 24% | 95 | 100 |
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Monday, January 1, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Celtics | 39% | 93 | 89 |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 97 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Timberwolves | 58% | 97 | 102 |
 | 27 | Bobcats | 42% | 94 | 96 |
Sunday, December 31, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 3 | Spurs | 87% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 31% | 93 | 80 |
| 18 | Clippers | 69% | 99 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 67% | 103 | 108 |
 | 19 | Pistons | 33% | 97 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 18% | 83 | 109 |
| 4 | Rockets | 82% | 95 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 24% | 93 | 94 |
 | 5 | Lakers | 76% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Celtics | 42% | 97 | 95 |
| 23 | SuperSonics | 58% | 100 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 58% | 102 | 89 |
| 14 | Nuggets | 42% | 100 | 85 |
Saturday, December 30, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 37% | 93 | 104 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 63% | 97 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Heat | 30% | 88 | 68 |
| 13 | Magic | 70% | 95 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bobcats | 30% | 90 | 113 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 40% | 92 | 92 |
| 15 | Nets | 60% | 95 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 39% | 91 | 96 |
| 8 | Bulls | 61% | 94 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wizards | 41% | 106 | 102 |
| 12 | Bucks | 59% | 109 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hornets | 7% | 80 | 80 | |
| 2 | Mavericks | 93% | 99 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 20% | 90 | 86 |
| 11 | Jazz | 80% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | 36% | 101 | 96 |
| 5 | Kings | 64% | 106 | 119 |
Friday, December 29, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kings | 47% | 96 | 93 |
| 19 | Clippers | 53% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 34% | 97 | 111 |
| 8 | Wizards | 66% | 102 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bulls | 62% | 97 | 107 |
| 22 | Raptors | 38% | 93 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 65% | 100 | 124 |
| 29 | Bobcats | 35% | 95 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 53% | 94 | 91 | |
| 24 | Heat | 47% | 93 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bucks | 39% | 97 | 99 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 61% | 101 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 32% | 90 | 93 |
| 5 | Pistons | 68% | 96 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | 60% | 99 | 89 |
| 30 | Hornets | 40% | 96 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | SuperSonics | 28% | 92 | 82 | |
| 15 | Timberwolves | 72% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 18% | 84 | 68 |
| 4 | Rockets | 82% | 96 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 14% | 99 | 86 |
| 1 | Suns | 86% | 112 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 76ers | 45% | 93 | 98 |
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 94 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Celtics | 28% | 98 | 100 |
| 12 | Warriors | 72% | 106 | 110 |
Thursday, December 28, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 38% | 100 | 99 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 62% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | SuperSonics | 34% | 103 | 98 | |
| 13 | Nuggets | 66% | 108 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 30% | 93 | 83 |
| 3 | Spurs | 70% | 100 | 106 |
Wednesday, December 27, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Celtics | 32% | 91 | 77 |
| 21 | Clippers | 68% | 97 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 45% | 92 | 97 |
| 24 | Raptors | 55% | 94 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wizards | 60% | 102 | 114 |
| 28 | Bobcats | 40% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cavaliers | 64% | 96 | 89 |
| 29 | Hawks | 36% | 92 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 52% | 96 | 106 |
| 19 | Magic | 48% | 95 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 48% | 91 | 96 |
| 15 | Nets | 52% | 92 | 71 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 59% | 96 | 145 |
| 27 | Knicks | 41% | 94 | 151 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 48% | 99 | 112 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 52% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 39% | 92 | 103 |
| 7 | Bulls | 61% | 96 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 76ers | 23% | 92 | 76 |
| 12 | Kings | 77% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hornets | 37% | 89 | 85 | |
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 63% | 93 | 100 |
Tuesday, December 26, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 12% | 95 | 87 |
| 1 | Suns | 88% | 110 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 32% | 99 | 101 |
| 7 | Wizards | 68% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 60% | 93 | 76 |
| 23 | Pacers | 40% | 90 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nets | 40% | 92 | 91 | |
| 12 | Pistons | 60% | 96 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 31% | 93 | 114 |
| 5 | Spurs | 69% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bulls | 52% | 93 | 98 |
| 17 | Timberwolves | 48% | 92 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bobcats | 12% | 86 | 84 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 88% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Celtics | 29% | 99 | 105 |
| 13 | Nuggets | 71% | 106 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Clippers | 26% | 93 | 92 |
| 3 | Jazz | 74% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hornets | 33% | 92 | 94 | |
| 22 | SuperSonics | 67% | 98 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 36% | 98 | 97 |
| 15 | Warriors | 64% | 102 | 116 |
Monday, December 25, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | 48% | 98 | 85 |
| 12 | Heat | 52% | 99 | 101 |
Saturday, December 23, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 35% | 96 | 97 |
| 22 | SuperSonics | 65% | 101 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 44% | 93 | 78 |
| 17 | Pacers | 56% | 95 | 71 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 42% | 95 | 77 |
| 25 | 76ers | 58% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Warriors | 38% | 99 | 92 |
| 15 | Heat | 62% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hawks | 18% | 90 | 81 |
| 9 | Pistons | 82% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Magic | 27% | 87 | 83 |
| 8 | Cavaliers | 73% | 95 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 75% | 94 | 112 |
| 29 | Hornets | 25% | 86 | 77 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bobcats | 21% | 89 | 76 |
| 6 | Bulls | 79% | 99 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nets | 46% | 100 | 104 | |
| 18 | Bucks | 54% | 102 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Clippers | 25% | 85 | 98 |
| 4 | Rockets | 75% | 94 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 53% | 97 | 100 |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 47% | 96 | 97 |
Friday, December 22, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 40% | 97 | 113 |
| 16 | Timberwolves | 60% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jazz | 63% | 99 | 89 |
| 25 | Bobcats | 37% | 95 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Warriors | 49% | 98 | 117 |
| 20 | Magic | 51% | 99 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 44% | 98 | 99 |
| 12 | Nets | 56% | 100 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bulls | 64% | 99 | 92 |
| 28 | Knicks | 36% | 94 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 51% | 95 | 100 |
| 22 | Hawks | 49% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 36% | 92 | 98 |
| 24 | Celtics | 64% | 96 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 51% | 91 | 97 |
| 29 | Hornets | 49% | 90 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 30% | 86 | 97 |
| 3 | Spurs | 70% | 93 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 21% | 89 | 83 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 79% | 100 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 28% | 102 | 101 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 72% | 109 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 47% | 95 | 101 |
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 96 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wizards | 21% | 104 | 144 |
| 2 | Suns | 79% | 115 | 139 |
Thursday, December 21, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pistons | 41% | 91 | 87 |
| 8 | Cavaliers | 59% | 94 | 71 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 40% | 101 | 126 |
| 12 | Kings | 60% | 104 | 119 |