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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 3, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Cavaliers53%95107
24Celtics47%94104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.9
45.1
35.7
14
55%
3
5
2
2
1
1
0
3
6-6
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
44%
0-2
0%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.0
44.8
39.8
32
66%
6
4
3
1
1
3
1
5
8-10
80%
9-17
9-17
53%
51%
2-3
67%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.6
42.1
28.8
27
65%
11
2
1
1
1
4
4
7
3-4
75%
12-19
5-11
63%
48%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.3
33.1
26.3
13
56%
12
1
0
1
0
3
3
9
7-8
88%
3-8
5-9
38%
49%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.7
29.1
29.8
8
35%
2
6
2
1
0
3
1
1
0-1
0%
4-11
2-5
36%
42%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.4
25.5
18.4
9
46%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-2
0%
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
3-7
43%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
17.2
21.0
4
72%
3
1
2
1
1
0
2
1
2-4
50%
1-1
3-5
100%
51%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 20.8
3.1
11.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-1
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.1
6.9
0
1-1
43%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32.0
2.1
0
0-0
43%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.1
1.2
0
0-0
43%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 31.9
1.0
0
0-0
44%
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.6
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.6
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 25.0
40.7
33.5
22
70%
5
4
2
2
0
3
2
3
5-6
83%
7-10
5-9
70%
51%
1-3
33%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 22.0
33.7
33.4
18
68%
12
0
1
1
0
4
2
10
2-3
67%
8-12
6-12
67%
51%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 23.4
32.4
25.8
10
53%
1
8
2
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.8
29.1
27.7
13
44%
5
0
0
0
1
3
0
5
4-4
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
51%
1-5
20%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.3
23.1
27.5
6
43%
4
1
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
50%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 21.6
23.9
22.5
10
54%
4
5
1
1
0
0
0
4
2-3
67%
4-6
2-5
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.9
19.1
20.8
21
71%
2
0
0
1
0
2
2
0
3-4
75%
6-8
2-5
75%
48%
2-5
40%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 22.1
13.8
13.3
4
41%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
52%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
13.3
14.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 20.9
7.1
15.3
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 31.8
4.0
2.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.9
2.9
0
0-1
47%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 33.7
Allan Ray
· 6'2" 205 · 22.5
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 29.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.