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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 3, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs58%95101
14Timberwolves42%92103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.7
44.7
33.3
24
60%
13
5
1
1
5
1
6
7
2-2
100%
11-19
7-13
58%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
39.7
33.9
19
54%
4
4
1
1
0
0
0
4
5-6
83%
7-15
8-15
47%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.4
37.3
26.1
26
60%
7
1
1
1
0
0
1
6
10-11
91%
5-13
3-7
38%
49%
2-4
50%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.4
25.7
21.8
2
25%
1
0
2
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.6
22.4
29.7
2
15%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
42%
0-3
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.8
31.2
15.0
8
67%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
2-5
40%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.7
23.8
20.8
10
46%
5
0
0
1
0
1
3
2
0-2
0%
2-6
2-4
33%
49%
2-4
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.5
15.5
11.7
6
60%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
45%
0-1
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.0
13.4
23.8
2
35%
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-2
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.8
9.4
14.7
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.5
2.0
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.9
6.2
0
1-1
42%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.8
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.8
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 27.3
46.6
36.4
8
31%
4
7
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
3-7
5-10
43%
48%
0-5
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.6
46.5
37.6
27
49%
17
7
0
1
3
4
2
15
9-10
90%
9-23
8-15
39%
51%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 27.8
44.1
28.1
11
89%
8
4
0
0
2
3
4
4
5-5
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 31.1
42.0
32.5
28
89%
4
2
1
1
1
1
0
4
4-4
100%
12-14
5-10
86%
51%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 31.5
16.4
27.3
6
77%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
47%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 23.3
41.2
21.5
19
46%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
6-6
100%
5-15
3-6
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 30.8
10.6
7.2
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 23.1
9.6
15.4
4
100%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.0
5.3
6.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 30.9
2.5
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Bracey Wright
G · 6'3" 201 · 22.5
0.1
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 24.6
1.3
0
0-0
38%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 28.1
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.