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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 3, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25SuperSonics17%8796
4Rockets83%99103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.5
42.9
34.6
32
66%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
4-5
80%
11-15
4-10
73%
45%
2-7
29%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
39.6
24.0
13
45%
4
2
1
1
1
0
2
2
3-8
38%
5-11
4-8
45%
50%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 27.0
35.9
34.8
19
68%
4
2
0
2
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
4-9
33%
45%
5-10
50%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.9
29.6
31.4
7
40%
2
8
3
1
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
2-6
4-9
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 30.8
9.0
11.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27.6
26.1
30.2
3
28%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
3-7
50%
42%
0-3
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.9
23.7
20.3
11
81%
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
6
3-4
75%
4-5
3-6
80%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.2
19.7
21.5
7
54%
7
0
0
0
1
0
1
6
1-1
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
12.8
15.6
4
67%
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
0-0
-
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 20.6
0.5
8.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 27.7
0.2
5.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-0
-
Andreas Glyniadakis
C · 7'1" 280 · 25.4
2.4
0
0-1
43%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 21.1
Desmon Farmer
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.2
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.9
39.8
32.6
18
60%
4
3
0
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
8-14
4-9
57%
48%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.6
36.7
33.5
31
63%
6
7
1
1
0
2
2
4
6-8
75%
8-15
6-13
53%
49%
3-6
50%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.4
36.3
33.8
13
41%
2
3
1
1
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
5-12
3-7
42%
45%
1-4
25%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.3
36.0
38.6
12
60%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
53%
2-5
40%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.5
28.2
19.1
8
75%
12
0
1
0
1
1
5
7
2-3
67%
3-4
1-2
75%
50%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.1
23.7
28.3
9
51%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.6
19.4
23.6
4
50%
8
0
0
1
0
0
3
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
56%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.1
11.7
8.0
8
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
4-8
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.6
8.2
3.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
54%
0-2
0%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.3
12.5
1
2-4
49%
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.4
3.1
0
0-0
48%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.7
2.3
0
0-0
43%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.6
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.8
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.