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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 4, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Lakers44%99132
11Kings56%101128
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 28.4
48.1
37.8
42
70%
10
9
0
1
0
4
3
7
17-20
85%
8-16
8-16
50%
49%
3-5
60%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.1
34.7
13.4
26
59%
4
2
1
0
0
1
2
2
4-7
57%
8-16
2-4
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 19.2
33.5
15.7
15
79%
11
2
0
0
3
4
4
7
5-8
63%
5-6
2-4
83%
51%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.8
32.8
33.1
16
60%
8
2
0
1
0
2
1
7
2-3
67%
7-11
3-7
64%
48%
0-1
0%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.6
30.4
28.5
10
46%
2
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
1-5
20%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 28.2
30.1
29.0
5
36%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-2
0%
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.1
17.3
12.6
0
0%
4
2
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-2
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.8
15.4
15.6
7
70%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
38%
1-3
33%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.1
12.2
16.4
5
63%
4
1
0
1
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
1-1
100%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 24.0
10.5
7.7
6
77%
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
0-0
-
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 31.8
3.0
0
0-1
39%
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 34.3
2.7
0
0-0
44%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 24.8
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.5
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.6
48.3
35.4
38
68%
7
6
0
1
0
3
2
5
12-16
75%
10-16
4-10
63%
47%
2-5
40%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 23.9
39.7
28.7
21
58%
4
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
9-14
64%
6-9
4-7
67%
53%
0-3
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.1
35.3
31.9
19
61%
3
2
3
2
0
2
2
1
6-8
75%
5-9
4-9
56%
46%
1-3
33%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 29.4
25.1
23.9
6
60%
8
2
1
1
1
0
2
6
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
50%
0-0
-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.1
23.8
26.3
11
56%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
5-9
4-8
56%
51%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.1
35.4
26.4
12
60%
5
5
1
1
0
2
1
4
8-9
89%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 33.1
33.0
15.9
18
60%
4
1
2
0
0
1
2
2
6-7
86%
6-12
3-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.0
18.4
15.6
2
20%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-4
0%
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 30.2
3.9
2.3
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.6
2.1
13.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.5
0.0
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.7
0.0
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 30.7
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.