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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 26, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Hawks31%8993
17Magic69%9590
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.6
45.3
37.7
39
71%
3
6
0
1
0
3
1
2
9-10
90%
12-18
7-14
67%
49%
2-5
40%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.1
40.0
31.2
24
58%
11
2
4
1
2
5
3
8
4-4
100%
10-17
4-9
59%
46%
0-2
0%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.2
25.0
16.1
2
100%
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.6
23.6
34.6
2
33%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
5-10
33%
44%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.7
19.6
16.8
7
70%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.6
37.6
35.8
12
87%
5
4
0
1
0
1
3
2
1-2
50%
4-5
4-8
80%
53%
1-1
100%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.0
22.8
24.2
6
60%
6
3
2
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
45%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
15.7
18.3
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.3
3.9
8.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 27.8
3.5
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
3.0
3.1
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.1
0.1
14.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.4
Dijon Thompson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.8
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.1
39.4
32.8
19
53%
4
2
0
1
1
3
0
4
9-18
50%
5-10
6-10
50%
57%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 27.9
38.2
29.9
12
55%
3
2
1
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25.0
30.7
32.2
14
58%
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
5-10
57%
51%
2-5
40%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 34.3
29.6
28.8
10
64%
2
5
1
1
1
2
1
1
2-4
50%
4-6
5-9
67%
52%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.0
27.5
22.8
14
70%
8
0
0
0
0
1
4
4
0-0
-
7-10
2-5
70%
51%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.6
29.0
19.3
8
67%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
47%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 26.7
22.1
15.3
6
104%
2
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
1-1
100%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.5
17.4
8.2
7
61%
1
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 22.6
6.2
10.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.9
13.9
0
0-1
48%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.8
7.2
0
1-1
53%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 30.4
5.1
0
0-1
46%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21.6
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.7
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.