FinalWin Prob.pScore
2831%89
93
1769%95
90
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
110.78486.6
ORL logo ORL
111.18178.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL93
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 293
98.1%
90
1.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (39 PTS)93
99.3%
90
0.7%
Q4 - 0:05.0ORLMAGIC Rebound92
99.5%
88
0.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
98.9%
88
1.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)92
95.3%
88
4.7%
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLMISS Childress Free Throw 1 of 291
94.5%
88
5.5%
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)91
96.0%
88
4.0%
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot91
94.2%
88
5.8%
Q4 - 0:24.0ATLChildress Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T16)91
83.6%
88
16.4%
Q4 - 0:24.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)91
93.6%
88
6.4%
Q4 - 0:25.0ATLMISS Shel. Williams 16' Jump Shot91
87.2%
88
12.8%
Q4 - 0:48.0ORLHill 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS)91
87.9%
88
12.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)91
91.0%
86
9.0%
Q4 - 0:59.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (37 PTS)90
89.9%
86
10.1%
Q4 - 1:13ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
82.4%
86
17.6%
Q4 - 1:15ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
74.4%
86
25.6%
Q4 - 1:32ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
78.7%
86
21.3%
Q4 - 1:34ORLMISS Hill Layup89
75.2%
86
24.8%
Q4 - 1:48ATLJohnson 8' Running Jump Shot (36 PTS)89
65.8%
86
34.2%
Q4 - 2:05ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)87
55.9%
86
44.1%
Q4 - 2:07ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 287
53.8%
86
46.2%
Q4 - 2:07ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 287
47.8%
86
52.2%
Q4 - 2:24ATLJohnson 7' Jump Shot (34 PTS)87
39.2%
86
60.8%
Q4 - 2:35ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
33.6%
86
66.4%
Q4 - 2:38ORLMISS Nelson 7' Jump Shot85
29.0%
86
71.0%
Q4 - 2:50ATLJohnson Traveling Turnover (P3.T15)85
20.0%
86
80.0%
Q4 - 3:06ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)85
33.2%
86
66.8%
Q4 - 3:08ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 285
31.4%
86
68.6%
Q4 - 3:08ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 285
26.9%
86
73.1%
Q4 - 3:29ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
21.1%
86
78.9%
Q4 - 3:31ATLMISS Johnson Layup85
26.3%
86
73.7%
Q4 - 3:49ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)85
31.7%
86
68.3%
Q4 - 3:49ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)85
34.3%
85
65.7%
Q4 - 3:56ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
39.8%
84
60.2%
Q4 - 3:59ATLMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
42.8%
84
57.2%
Q4 - 4:17ATLWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)85
49.8%
84
50.2%
Q4 - 4:19ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
42.9%
84
57.1%
Q4 - 4:45ORLMilicic Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)85
50.0%
84
50.0%
Q4 - 5:04ATLSmith 18' Jump Shot (24 PTS)85
54.7%
82
45.3%
Q4 - 5:22ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)83
46.9%
82
53.1%
Q4 - 5:22ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)83
48.3%
81
51.7%
Q4 - 5:32ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
54.9%
80
45.1%
Q4 - 5:34ATLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot83
57.6%
80
42.4%
Q4 - 5:50ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
63.5%
80
36.5%
Q4 - 5:52ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 283
62.4%
80
37.6%
Q4 - 5:52ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 283
58.0%
80
42.0%
Q4 - 6:05ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)83
51.3%
80
48.7%
Q4 - 6:05ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)82
49.3%
80
50.7%
Q4 - 6:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)81
44.9%
80
55.1%
Q4 - 6:19ORLMISS Bogans Free Throw 2 of 281
43.8%
80
56.2%
Q4 - 6:19ORLBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)81
39.4%
80
60.6%
Q4 - 6:35ATLWright 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)81
43.9%
79
56.1%
Q4 - 6:52ORLHill Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)79
37.7%
79
62.3%
Q4 - 7:21ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (32 PTS)79
29.9%
79
70.1%
Q4 - 7:34ORLMilicic Traveling Turnover (P1.T16)77
25.1%
79
74.9%
Q4 - 7:54ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Childress 4 AST)77
19.6%
79
80.4%
Q4 - 8:12ORLMilicic 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)75
16.9%
79
83.1%
Q4 - 8:29ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)75
20.7%
77
79.3%
Q4 - 8:31ATLMISS Smith Layup75
22.0%
77
78.0%
Q4 - 8:36ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
25.3%
77
74.7%
Q4 - 8:38ATLMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot75
22.0%
77
78.0%
Q4 - 8:58ORLArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)75
25.3%
77
74.7%
Q4 - 9:04ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)75
20.9%
77
79.1%
Q4 - 9:05ORLMISS Arroyo Driving Layup75
24.0%
77
76.0%
Q4 - 9:21ATLSmith 7' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS)75
20.9%
77
79.1%
Q4 - 9:26ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
17.4%
77
82.6%
Q4 - 9:29ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
16.3%
77
83.7%
Q4 - 9:45ATLJones Foul Turnover (P1.T14)73
14.0%
77
86.0%
Q4 - 10:05ORLArroyo 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)73
18.0%
77
82.0%
Q4 - 10:18ATLBogans STEAL (2 STL)73
21.2%
75
78.8%
Q4 - 10:39ORLArroyo Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T14)73
25.6%
75
74.4%
Q4 - 10:46ATLJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)73
21.2%
75
78.8%
Q4 - 10:46ATLMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 272
20.3%
75
79.7%
Q4 - 11:07ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
22.0%
75
78.0%
Q4 - 11:07ORLBogans Tip Shot (5 PTS)72
22.0%
75
78.0%
Q4 - 11:10ORLMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot72
28.9%
73
71.1%
Q4 - 11:30ATLSmith Slam Dunk (18 PTS)72
25.7%
73
74.3%
Q4 - 11:36ORLRedick Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)70
22.0%
73
78.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL70
18.3%
73
81.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound70
22.0%
73
78.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
21.1%
73
78.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
18.8%
73
81.2%
Q3 - 0:25.0ATLMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot70
19.8%
73
80.2%
Q3 - 0:41.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)70
22.1%
73
77.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
30.0%
70
70.0%
Q3 - 0:56.0ATLMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot70
31.4%
70
68.6%
Q3 - 1:14ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)70
34.0%
70
66.0%
Q3 - 1:42ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)70
29.7%
70
70.3%
Q3 - 1:42ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)69
28.9%
70
71.1%
Q3 - 1:42ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
25.9%
70
74.1%
Q3 - 1:43ORLMISS Turkoglu 14' Jump Shot68
24.7%
70
75.3%
Q3 - 2:10ATLChildress Driving Layup (11 PTS)68
22.0%
70
78.0%
Q3 - 2:30ORLNelson 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)66
19.2%
70
80.8%
Q3 - 2:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
22.0%
68
78.0%
Q3 - 2:45ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot66
23.1%
68
76.9%
Q3 - 3:02ORLNelson 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)66
25.9%
68
74.1%
Q3 - 3:14ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P2.T12)66
29.2%
66
70.8%
Q3 - 3:25ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
33.3%
66
66.7%
Q3 - 3:27ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
32.0%
66
68.0%
Q3 - 3:44ATLChildress 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)66
29.2%
66
70.8%
Q3 - 3:58ORLMilicic 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)63
22.5%
66
77.5%
Q3 - 4:16ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)63
25.2%
64
74.8%
Q3 - 4:16ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)62
24.5%
64
75.5%
Q3 - 4:28ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P4.T11)61
22.5%
64
77.5%
Q3 - 4:48ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)61
19.3%
64
80.7%
Q3 - 4:53ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)58
14.7%
64
85.3%
Q3 - 4:56ORLMISS Battie 5' Hook Shot58
14.0%
64
86.0%
Q3 - 5:15ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Childress 3 AST)58
12.9%
64
87.1%
Q3 - 5:38ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hill 5 AST)56
11.2%
64
88.8%
Q3 - 5:58ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)56
14.8%
61
85.2%
Q3 - 6:20ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
13.3%
61
86.7%
Q3 - 6:23ATLMISS Lue 16' Jump Shot54
12.0%
61
88.0%
Q3 - 6:42ORLBattie Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)54
13.3%
61
86.7%
Q3 - 7:08ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)54
11.6%
61
88.4%
Q3 - 7:22ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)52
10.3%
61
89.7%
Q3 - 7:42ATLLue 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)52
8.8%
61
91.2%
Q3 - 7:59ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
6.7%
61
93.3%
Q3 - 8:01ORLMISS Battie 18' Jump Shot49
6.7%
61
93.3%
Q3 - 8:13ATLHill STEAL (1 STL)49
5.9%
61
94.1%
Q3 - 8:33ORLBattie Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)49
7.0%
61
93.0%
Q3 - 8:56ATLJohnson 15' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)49
7.9%
59
92.1%
Q3 - 9:04ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
7.1%
59
92.9%
Q3 - 9:06ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
6.8%
59
93.2%
Q3 - 9:20ATLJohnson 14' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)47
6.2%
59
93.8%
Q3 - 9:35ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)45
5.4%
59
94.6%
Q3 - 9:37ORLMISS Howard 4' Hook Shot45
5.2%
59
94.8%
Q3 - 9:56ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P4.T10)45
4.7%
59
95.3%
Q3 - 10:13ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)45
5.6%
59
94.4%
Q3 - 10:13ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)45
5.8%
58
94.2%
Q3 - 10:24ATLLue 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)45
6.3%
57
93.7%
Q3 - 10:40ORLTurkoglu Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)43
5.6%
57
94.4%
Q3 - 10:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
4.8%
57
95.2%
Q3 - 11:00ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot43
5.1%
57
94.9%
Q3 - 11:21ORLHoward 7' Hook Shot (14 PTS)43
5.8%
57
94.2%
Q3 - 11:38ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)43
6.5%
55
93.5%
Q3 - 11:38ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)42
6.4%
55
93.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL41
5.8%
55
94.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLNelson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)41
5.8%
55
94.2%
Q2 - 0:11.0ATLJohnson Layup (13 PTS) (Pachulia 3 AST)41
7.1%
53
92.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)39
6.1%
53
93.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)39
7.1%
51
92.9%
Q2 - 0:40.0ATLMISS Johnson 12' Fadeaway Jumper39
7.3%
51
92.7%
Q2 - 0:57.0ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)39
7.7%
51
92.3%
Q2 - 1:16ORLMAGIC Rebound39
7.5%
51
92.5%
Q2 - 1:17ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot39
7.7%
51
92.3%
Q2 - 1:36ORLHoward 4' Running Hook Shot (12 PTS)39
8.0%
51
92.0%
Q2 - 1:53ATLJohnson 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)39
9.5%
49
90.5%
Q2 - 2:07ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
8.5%
49
91.5%
Q2 - 2:11ORLMISS Turkoglu 9' Fadeaway Jumper37
8.2%
49
91.8%
Q2 - 2:31ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
7.6%
49
92.4%
Q2 - 2:33ATLMISS Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
7.9%
49
92.1%
Q2 - 2:53ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)37
8.5%
49
91.5%
Q2 - 2:53ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)37
8.8%
48
91.2%
Q2 - 2:54ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
9.6%
47
90.4%
Q2 - 2:56ORLMISS Hill Layup37
10.3%
47
89.7%
Q2 - 3:14ATLChildress 11' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)37
9.9%
47
90.1%
Q2 - 3:30ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)35
9.0%
47
91.0%
Q2 - 3:43ATLTurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)35
11.0%
44
89.0%
Q2 - 4:03ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)35
12.5%
44
87.5%
Q2 - 4:03ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 235
12.9%
43
87.1%
Q2 - 4:19ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)35
12.5%
43
87.5%
Q2 - 4:21ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 235
13.6%
43
86.4%
Q2 - 4:21ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)35
12.9%
43
87.1%
Q2 - 4:39ATLPachulia Layup (6 PTS)35
13.8%
42
86.2%
Q2 - 4:41ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
12.5%
42
87.5%
Q2 - 4:44ATLMISS Smith Layup33
11.6%
42
88.4%
Q2 - 5:02ORLBattie 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)33
12.7%
42
87.3%
Q2 - 5:18ATLSmith Driving Layup (12 PTS)33
13.8%
40
86.2%
Q2 - 5:25ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
12.6%
40
87.4%
Q2 - 5:27ATLMISS Pachulia Layup31
11.7%
40
88.3%
Q2 - 5:32ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)31
12.6%
40
87.4%
Q2 - 5:52ATLWright Foul Turnover (P1.T8)31
11.4%
40
88.6%
Q2 - 6:06ORLArroyo 15' Jump Shot (3 PTS)31
13.0%
40
87.0%
Q2 - 6:25ORLMAGIC Rebound31
14.0%
38
86.0%
Q2 - 6:25ORLMISS Battie 16' Jump Shot31
15.1%
38
84.9%
Q2 - 6:41ATLLue Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)31
14.0%
38
86.0%
Q2 - 6:53ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)31
15.6%
38
84.4%
Q2 - 6:55ORLMISS Arroyo Free Throw 2 of 231
15.4%
38
84.6%
Q2 - 6:55ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
14.4%
38
85.6%
Q2 - 7:09ATLPachulia 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
15.8%
37
84.2%
Q2 - 7:32ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
14.5%
37
85.5%
Q2 - 7:36ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup29
14.1%
37
85.9%
Q2 - 7:53ATLPachulia 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)29
13.2%
37
86.8%
Q2 - 8:09ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
14.7%
37
85.3%
Q2 - 8:09ORLBattie Slam Dunk (10 PTS)29
14.7%
37
85.3%
Q2 - 8:14ORLMISS Arroyo Layup29
16.9%
35
83.1%
Q2 - 8:36ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
15.8%
35
84.2%
Q2 - 8:39ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
16.3%
35
83.7%
Q2 - 8:59ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)29
17.4%
35
82.6%
Q2 - 9:12ATLBogans STEAL (1 STL)29
15.9%
35
84.1%
Q2 - 9:20ORLBattie Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)29
17.5%
35
82.5%
Q2 - 9:25ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
18.8%
33
81.2%
Q2 - 9:28ATLMISS Smith 6' Running Jump Shot29
19.3%
33
80.7%
Q2 - 9:51ORLBattie 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)29
20.6%
33
79.4%
Q2 - 10:11ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
22.2%
31
77.8%
Q2 - 10:13ATLMISS Stoudamire 19' Jump Shot29
22.8%
31
77.2%
Q2 - 10:27ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)29
24.2%
31
75.8%
Q2 - 10:37ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P3.T4)29
27.7%
28
72.3%
Q2 - 10:51ORLBogans 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)29
30.0%
28
70.0%
Q2 - 11:05ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
33.6%
25
66.4%
Q2 - 11:07ATLMISS Childress 10' Running Jump Shot29
34.2%
25
65.8%
Q2 - 11:28ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
35.8%
25
64.2%
Q2 - 11:30ORLMISS Milicic Layup29
35.1%
25
64.9%
Q2 - 11:46ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
33.6%
25
66.4%
Q2 - 11:48ATLMISS Stoudamire 17' Jump Shot29
34.3%
25
65.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL29
35.9%
25
64.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLHill Foul Turnover (P1.T4)29
35.1%
25
64.9%
Q1 - 0:21.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
33.5%
25
66.5%
Q1 - 0:23.0ATLMISS Shel. Williams 14' Jump Shot29
34.0%
25
66.0%
Q1 - 0:42.0ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)29
35.2%
25
64.8%
Q1 - 0:55.0ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
33.5%
25
66.5%
Q1 - 0:57.0ATLMISS Johnson 15' Fadeaway Jumper29
34.0%
25
66.0%
Q1 - 1:11ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
35.1%
25
64.9%
Q1 - 1:11ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 229
35.8%
24
64.2%
Q1 - 1:34ATLPachulia 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Childress 2 AST)29
35.6%
24
64.4%
Q1 - 1:49ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
33.0%
24
67.0%
Q1 - 1:51ORLMISS Nelson 28' 3PT Jump Shot27
32.5%
24
67.5%
Q1 - 2:15ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
31.2%
24
68.8%
Q1 - 2:15ATLChildress Tip Shot (4 PTS)27
31.2%
24
68.8%
Q1 - 2:18ATLMISS Pachulia 15' Jump Shot25
27.9%
24
72.1%
Q1 - 2:38ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)25
29.1%
24
70.9%
Q1 - 2:41ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 225
28.9%
24
71.1%
Q1 - 2:41ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 225
27.5%
24
72.5%
Q1 - 3:01ATLSmith Layup (10 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)25
26.9%
24
73.1%
Q1 - 3:08ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
25.4%
24
74.6%
Q1 - 3:10ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup23
24.8%
24
75.2%
Q1 - 3:20ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)23
23.5%
24
76.5%
Q1 - 3:37ORLTurkoglu 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
20.6%
24
79.4%
Q1 - 3:49ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)20
21.9%
22
78.1%
Q1 - 3:49ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)20
23.7%
22
76.3%
Q1 - 3:52ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot20
23.1%
22
76.9%
Q1 - 4:14ATLChildress Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)20
21.6%
22
78.4%
Q1 - 4:33ORLHill 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)18
20.5%
22
79.5%
Q1 - 4:45ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)18
21.7%
20
78.3%
Q1 - 4:58ORLHoward Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)18
23.5%
20
76.5%
Q1 - 5:01ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
24.6%
18
75.4%
Q1 - 5:04ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
25.8%
18
74.2%
Q1 - 5:16ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)18
24.6%
18
75.4%
Q1 - 5:24ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
26.3%
18
73.7%
Q1 - 5:31ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Shel. Williams 1 AST)18
24.6%
18
75.4%
Q1 - 5:52ORLHill Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
23.2%
18
76.8%
Q1 - 6:17ATLSmith 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)16
24.4%
16
75.6%
Q1 - 6:30ORLHill 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
23.0%
16
77.0%
Q1 - 6:46ATLWilliams 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)14
24.4%
14
75.6%
Q1 - 6:55ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
23.1%
14
77.0%
Q1 - 6:57ORLMISS Milicic 8' Hook Shot12
22.6%
14
77.4%
Q1 - 7:19ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)12
21.5%
14
78.5%
Q1 - 7:38ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
20.4%
14
79.6%
Q1 - 7:38ORLBattie 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS)10
20.4%
14
79.6%
Q1 - 7:42ORLMISS Howard Layup10
22.5%
12
77.5%
Q1 - 7:53ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)10
21.5%
12
78.5%
Q1 - 8:05ORLNelson Driving Layup (8 PTS)8
20.3%
12
79.7%
Q1 - 8:30ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)8
21.4%
10
78.6%
Q1 - 8:30ATLSmith Layup (4 PTS)8
21.4%
10
78.6%
Q1 - 8:32ATLMISS Smith Layup6
19.4%
10
80.6%
Q1 - 9:07ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
20.3%
10
79.7%
Q1 - 9:09ATLHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)6
19.2%
10
80.8%
Q1 - 9:11ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
20.3%
10
79.7%
Q1 - 9:13ATLMISS Smith Reverse Layup6
19.2%
10
80.8%
Q1 - 9:23ORLJump Ball Nelson vs. Smith: Tip to Johnson6
20.3%
10
79.7%
Q1 - 9:30ATLLue 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)6
18.8%
10
81.2%
Q1 - 9:46ORLBattie 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)4
17.9%
10
82.1%
Q1 - 9:51ORLMAGIC Rebound4
18.8%
8
81.2%
Q1 - 9:51ORLMISS Howard Driving Layup4
19.8%
8
80.2%
Q1 - 10:12ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
18.8%
8
81.2%
Q1 - 10:12ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
18.5%
8
81.5%
Q1 - 10:30ORLTurkoglu Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)2
17.8%
8
82.2%
Q1 - 10:35ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.8%
6
81.2%
Q1 - 10:36ATLHill BLOCK (1 BLK)2
19.2%
6
80.8%
Q1 - 10:59ORLNelson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)2
20.2%
6
79.8%
Q1 - 11:13ATLJohnson 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
22.6%
3
77.4%
Q1 - 11:37ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)0
21.3%
3
78.7%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Smith: Tip to Nelson0
23.9%
0
76.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.16 58.1%
ORL
1.22 60.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
9
16
56%
ORL
17
28
61%
Midrange
ATL
24
41
59%
ORL
13
22
59%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
ORL
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
Free Throws
ATL
15
18
83%
ORL
15
28
54%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson3970%19.5 / 28
J. Smith2457%12.0 / 21
J. Childress1286%6.0 / 7
T. Lue770%3.5 / 5
Z. Pachulia660%3.0 / 5
L. Wright2100%1.0 / 1
M. Williams233%1.0 / 3
S. Jones125%0.5 / 2
S. Williams0-0.0 / 2
S. Stoudamire0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard1953%9.5 / 18
J. Nelson1458%7.0 / 12
T. Battie1470%7.0 / 10
H. Turkoglu1255%6.0 / 11
G. Hill1063%5.0 / 8
D. Milicic880%4.0 / 5
C. Arroyo758%3.5 / 6
K. Bogans6100%3.0 / 3
J. Redick0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
68
+11
-16
79
ORL
64
+10
-17
74
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.16 58.1%
ORL
1.22 60.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.9
105.1
ATL 110.7
ORL 111.1 +0.4
Pace
90.2
89.8
ATL 86.6 +8.0
ORL 78.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.2
ATL 16.6 +1.7
ORL 18.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
50.0%
ATL 58.2%
ORL 60.5% +2.3%
TO %
16.7%
18.0%
ATL 17.6% +1.0%
ORL 18.6%
ORB %
29.3%
29.3%
ATL 36.7% +13.4%
ORL 23.3%
FTrt
34.6
39.3
ATL 26.9
ORL 45.2 +18.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.6%
53.0%
ATL 56.8% +5.4%
ORL 51.4%
STL %
8.2%
7.6%
ATL 8.3% +3.4%
ORL 4.9%
BLK %
8.7%
8.5%
ATL 6.0% +2.5%
ORL 3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
53.0%
ATL 58.1%
ORL 60.8% +2.7%
Rim FG%
55.2%
61.6%
ATL 56.3%
ORL 60.7% +4.4%
Mid FG%
39.3%
38.3%
ATL 58.5%
ORL 59.1% +0.6%
3P %
32.9%
35.6%
ATL 40.0%
ORL 41.7% +1.7%
FT %
76.1%
70.2%
ATL 83.3% +29.7%
ORL 53.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.8%
40.1%
ATL 23.9%
ORL 45.2% +21.3%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
44.1%
ATL 61.2%
ORL 35.5% +25.7%
3P Att. %
16.3%
15.8%
ATL 14.9%
ORL 19.4% +4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLORL
Possessions8481
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points9390
Rebounds3426
Assists2118
Steals74
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (0)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (1)19 (1)
Field Goals37-6735-62
At-the-Rim FG9-1617-28
Midrange FG24-4113-22
2-Point FG33-5730-50
3-Point FG4-105-12
Free Throws15-1815-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 26
45.3
39
70%
3
6
0
0
3
1
1
2
9-10
90%
12-18
67%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 225 · 21
40.0
24
57%
11
2
4
2
5
5
3
8
4-4
100%
10-17
59%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
25.0
2
100%
1
1
0
1
1
6
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 21
23.6
2
33%
5
1
1
0
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 30
19.6
7
70%
1
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24
37.6
12
86%
5
4
0
0
1
0
3
2
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 270 · 23
22.8
6
60%
6
3
2
0
2
6
2
4
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23
15.7
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 253 · 28
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 23
3.0
1
25%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 25
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
58%
34
21
7
3
16
0
11
23
15-18
83%
33-57
58%
4-10
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.