Final Win Prob. pScore
2831%89
93
1769%95
90
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo Hawks
110.78486.6
ORL logo Magic
111.18178.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL93
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
90
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 293
98.6%
90
1.4%
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLSUB: Ivey FOR Shel. Williams93
90
Q4 - 0:03.0ORLSUB: Arroyo FOR Howard93
90
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (39 PTS)93
99.5%
90
0.5%
Q4 - 0:03.0ORLRedick P.FOUL (P1.PN)92
90
Q4 - 0:03.0ORLMilicic Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)92
90
Q4 - 0:05.0ORLMAGIC Rebound92
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.5%
88
0.5%
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLSUB: Redick FOR Hill92
88
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLMAGIC Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 3)92
88
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)92
97.0%
88
3.0%
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLHawks Rebound91
88
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLMISS Childress Free Throw 1 of 291
96.5%
88
3.5%
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLHill P.FOUL (P5.PN)91
88
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)91
97.8%
88
2.2%
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot91
96.7%
88
3.3%
Q4 - 0:24.0ORLMAGIC Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 2)91
88
Q4 - 0:24.0ATLChildress Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T16)91
89.2%
88
10.8%
Q4 - 0:24.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)91
95.8%
88
4.2%
Q4 - 0:25.0ATLMISS Shel. Williams 16' Jump Shot91
91.6%
88
8.4%
Q4 - 0:48.0ORLHill 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS)91
90.7%
88
9.3%
Q4 - 0:59.0ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)91
86
Q4 - 0:59.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)91
93.6%
86
6.4%
Q4 - 0:59.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (37 PTS)90
92.8%
86
7.2%
Q4 - 0:59.0ORLHoward S.FOUL (P4.T3)89
86
Q4 - 1:13ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
86.9%
86
13.1%
Q4 - 1:15ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
80.7%
86
19.3%
Q4 - 1:32ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
84.8%
86
15.2%
Q4 - 1:34ORLMISS Hill Layup89
81.9%
86
18.1%
Q4 - 1:48ATLJohnson 8' Running Jump Shot (36 PTS)89
72.3%
86
27.7%
Q4 - 2:05ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)87
65.4%
86
34.6%
Q4 - 2:07ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 287
63.5%
86
36.5%
Q4 - 2:07ORLMAGIC Rebound87
86
Q4 - 2:07ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 287
57.4%
86
42.6%
Q4 - 2:07ATLSUB: Shel. Williams FOR Pachulia87
86
Q4 - 2:07ATLPachulia S.FOUL (P6.PN)87
86
Q4 - 2:24ATLJohnson 7' Jump Shot (34 PTS)87
49.2%
86
50.8%
Q4 - 2:35ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
42.3%
86
57.7%
Q4 - 2:38ORLMISS Nelson 7' Jump Shot85
37.0%
86
63.0%
Q4 - 2:50ATLJohnson Traveling Turnover (P3.T15)85
26.1%
86
73.9%
Q4 - 3:06ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)85
40.7%
86
59.3%
Q4 - 3:08ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 285
38.8%
86
61.2%
Q4 - 3:08ORLMAGIC Rebound85
86
Q4 - 3:08ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 285
33.3%
86
66.7%
Q4 - 3:08ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Wright85
86
Q4 - 3:08ATLWright S.FOUL (P6.PN)85
86
Q4 - 3:29ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
26.9%
86
73.1%
Q4 - 3:31ATLMISS Johnson Layup85
31.9%
86
68.1%
Q4 - 3:49ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)85
38.2%
86
61.8%
Q4 - 3:49ATLWright Violation:Lane85
85
Q4 - 3:49ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)85
41.2%
85
58.8%
Q4 - 3:49ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)85
84
Q4 - 3:49ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Arroyo85
84
Q4 - 3:49ATLWright P.FOUL (P5.PN)85
84
Q4 - 3:56ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
46.9%
84
53.1%
Q4 - 3:59ATLMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
50.1%
84
49.9%
Q4 - 4:17ATLWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)85
57.5%
84
42.5%
Q4 - 4:19ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
50.2%
84
49.8%
Q4 - 4:45ORLMilicic Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)85
57.6%
84
42.4%
Q4 - 5:04ATLSmith 18' Jump Shot (24 PTS)85
62.3%
82
37.7%
Q4 - 5:22ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)83
54.6%
82
45.4%
Q4 - 5:22ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)83
56.0%
81
44.0%
Q4 - 5:22ATLSmith S.FOUL (P5.T4)83
80
Q4 - 5:32ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
62.5%
80
37.5%
Q4 - 5:34ATLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot83
65.0%
80
35.0%
Q4 - 5:50ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
70.5%
80
29.5%
Q4 - 5:52ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 283
69.5%
80
30.5%
Q4 - 5:52ORLMAGIC Rebound83
80
Q4 - 5:52ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 283
65.5%
80
34.5%
Q4 - 5:52ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)83
80
Q4 - 5:52ATLSmith S.FOUL (P4.T3)83
80
Q4 - 6:05ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)83
59.2%
80
40.8%
Q4 - 6:05ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)82
57.3%
80
42.7%
Q4 - 6:05ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Bogans81
80
Q4 - 6:05ORLMilicic S.FOUL (P2.T2)81
80
Q4 - 6:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)81
52.2%
80
47.8%
Q4 - 6:19ORLMISS Bogans Free Throw 2 of 281
51.1%
80
48.9%
Q4 - 6:19ORLSUB: Howard FOR Battie81
80
Q4 - 6:19ORLBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)81
46.5%
80
53.5%
Q4 - 6:19ATLWright S.FOUL (P4.T2)81
79
Q4 - 6:35ATLWright 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)81
51.9%
79
48.1%
Q4 - 6:52ORLHill Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)79
44.7%
79
55.3%
Q4 - 7:05ATLSUB: Wright FOR Pachulia79
79
Q4 - 7:05ORLSUB: Hill FOR Redick79
79
Q4 - 7:05ATLPachulia P.FOUL (P5.T1)79
79
Q4 - 7:21ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (32 PTS)79
36.1%
79
63.9%
Q4 - 7:34ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Wright77
79
Q4 - 7:34ORLMilicic Traveling Turnover (P1.T16)77
30.4%
79
69.6%
Q4 - 7:54ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Childress 4 AST)77
24.4%
79
75.6%
Q4 - 8:12ORLMilicic 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)75
20.5%
79
79.5%
Q4 - 8:29ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)75
25.2%
77
74.8%
Q4 - 8:31ATLMISS Smith Layup75
26.7%
77
73.3%
Q4 - 8:36ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
30.2%
77
69.8%
Q4 - 8:38ATLMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot75
26.7%
77
73.3%
Q4 - 8:5875
77
Q4 - 8:58ORLArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)75
30.2%
77
69.8%
Q4 - 9:04ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)75
25.9%
77
74.1%
Q4 - 9:05ORLMISS Arroyo Driving Layup75
29.1%
77
70.9%
Q4 - 9:21ATLSmith 7' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS)75
25.9%
77
74.1%
Q4 - 9:26ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
21.3%
77
78.7%
Q4 - 9:29ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
20.2%
77
79.8%
Q4 - 9:45ORLSUB: Battie FOR Howard73
77
Q4 - 9:45ATLSUB: Williams FOR Jones73
77
Q4 - 9:45ATLJones Foul Turnover (P1.T14)73
17.7%
77
82.3%
Q4 - 9:45ATLJones OFF.Foul (P1)73
77
Q4 - 10:05ORLArroyo 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)73
21.8%
77
78.2%
Q4 - 10:18ATLBogans STEAL (2 STL)73
26.0%
75
74.0%
Q4 - 10:39ORLArroyo Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T14)73
30.5%
75
69.5%
Q4 - 10:46ATLJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)73
26.0%
75
74.0%
Q4 - 10:46ATLHawks Rebound72
75
Q4 - 10:46ATLMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 272
25.0%
75
75.0%
Q4 - 10:46ORLMilicic S.FOUL (P1.T1)72
75
Q4 - 11:07ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
26.1%
75
73.9%
Q4 - 11:07ORLBogans Tip Shot (5 PTS)72
26.1%
75
73.9%
Q4 - 11:10ORLMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot72
33.7%
73
66.3%
Q4 - 11:30ATLSmith Slam Dunk (18 PTS)72
30.7%
73
69.3%
Q4 - 11:36ORLRedick Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)70
26.0%
73
74.0%
Q4 - 12:0070
73
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL70
22.3%
73
77.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound70
26.0%
73
74.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
25.1%
73
74.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
22.8%
73
77.2%
Q3 - 0:25.0ATLMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot70
23.8%
73
76.2%
Q3 - 0:41.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)70
26.2%
73
73.8%
Q3 - 0:41.0ATLSUB: Jones FOR Shel. Williams70
72
Q3 - 0:41.0ATLShel. Williams S.FOUL (P4.PN)70
72
Q3 - 0:41.0ORLHoward Slam Dunk (16 PTS)70
72
Q3 - 0:53.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
35.3%
70
64.7%
Q3 - 0:56.0ATLMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot70
36.6%
70
63.4%
Q3 - 0:59.0ATLHawks Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)70
70
Q3 - 0:59.0ORLSUB: Redick FOR Turkoglu70
70
Q3 - 1:14ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)70
39.0%
70
61.0%
Q3 - 1:24ATLSUB: Wright FOR Pachulia70
70
Q3 - 1:24ATLPachulia P.FOUL (P4.T2)70
70
Q3 - 1:42ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)70
34.8%
70
65.2%
Q3 - 1:42ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)69
33.9%
70
66.1%
Q3 - 1:42ORLHoward P.FOUL (P3.PN)68
70
Q3 - 1:42ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
30.1%
70
69.9%
Q3 - 1:43ORLMISS Turkoglu 14' Jump Shot68
29.0%
70
71.0%
Q3 - 2:10ATLChildress Driving Layup (11 PTS)68
26.2%
70
73.8%
Q3 - 2:22ATLSUB: Shel. Williams FOR Wright66
70
Q3 - 2:22ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)66
70
Q3 - 2:30ORLNelson 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)66
22.7%
70
77.3%
Q3 - 2:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
26.2%
68
73.8%
Q3 - 2:45ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot66
27.4%
68
72.6%
Q3 - 3:02ORLNelson 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)66
29.7%
68
70.3%
Q3 - 3:14ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P2.T12)66
33.4%
66
66.6%
Q3 - 3:14ATLPachulia OFF.Foul (P3)66
66
Q3 - 3:25ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
37.8%
66
62.2%
Q3 - 3:27ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
36.4%
66
63.6%
Q3 - 3:44ATLChildress 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)66
33.4%
66
66.6%
Q3 - 3:58ORLMilicic 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)63
26.1%
66
73.9%
Q3 - 4:16ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)63
29.2%
64
70.8%
Q3 - 4:16ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Williams62
64
Q3 - 4:16ORLSUB: Bogans FOR Hill62
64
Q3 - 4:16ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)62
28.5%
64
71.5%
Q3 - 4:16ORLHill P.FOUL (P4.PN)61
64
Q3 - 4:28ORLSUB: Milicic FOR Battie61
64
Q3 - 4:28ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P4.T11)61
26.3%
64
73.7%
Q3 - 4:48ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)61
22.6%
64
77.4%
Q3 - 4:53ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)58
17.4%
64
82.6%
Q3 - 4:56ORLMISS Battie 5' Hook Shot58
16.6%
64
83.4%
Q3 - 5:15ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Childress 3 AST)58
15.0%
64
85.0%
Q3 - 5:38ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hill 5 AST)56
13.2%
64
86.8%
Q3 - 5:58ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)56
17.2%
61
82.8%
Q3 - 6:07ATLSUB: Childress FOR Lue54
61
Q3 - 6:07ORLHoward P.FOUL (P2.T4)54
61
Q3 - 6:20ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
15.5%
61
84.5%
Q3 - 6:23ATLMISS Lue 16' Jump Shot54
13.9%
61
86.1%
Q3 - 6:42ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)54
61
Q3 - 6:42ORLBattie Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)54
15.5%
61
84.5%
Q3 - 7:08ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)54
13.7%
61
86.3%
Q3 - 7:22ORLNelson P.FOUL (P2.T3)52
61
Q3 - 7:22ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)52
12.0%
61
88.0%
Q3 - 7:42ATLLue 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)52
10.4%
61
89.6%
Q3 - 7:59ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
7.9%
61
92.1%
Q3 - 8:01ORLMISS Battie 18' Jump Shot49
7.8%
61
92.2%
Q3 - 8:13ATLHill STEAL (1 STL)49
7.0%
61
93.0%
Q3 - 8:33ORLBattie Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)49
8.1%
61
91.9%
Q3 - 8:56ATLJohnson 15' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)49
9.2%
59
90.8%
Q3 - 9:04ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
8.3%
59
91.7%
Q3 - 9:06ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
8.0%
59
92.0%
Q3 - 9:20ATLJohnson 14' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)47
7.2%
59
92.8%
Q3 - 9:35ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)45
6.3%
59
93.7%
Q3 - 9:37ORLMISS Howard 4' Hook Shot45
6.0%
59
94.0%
Q3 - 9:56ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P4.T10)45
5.5%
59
94.5%
Q3 - 10:13ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)45
6.6%
59
93.4%
Q3 - 10:13ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)45
6.8%
58
93.2%
Q3 - 10:13ATLSmith S.FOUL (P3.T1)45
57
Q3 - 10:24ATLLue 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)45
7.5%
57
92.5%
Q3 - 10:31ORLTurkoglu P.FOUL (P2.T2)43
57
Q3 - 10:40ORLTurkoglu Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)43
6.6%
57
93.4%
Q3 - 10:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
5.7%
57
94.3%
Q3 - 11:00ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot43
6.0%
57
94.0%
Q3 - 11:21ORLHoward 7' Hook Shot (14 PTS)43
6.9%
57
93.1%
Q3 - 11:38ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)43
7.8%
55
92.2%
Q3 - 11:38ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)42
7.6%
55
92.4%
Q3 - 11:38ORLHill S.FOUL (P3.T1)41
55
Q3 - 12:0041
55
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL41
6.9%
55
93.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL41
55
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLNelson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)41
6.9%
55
93.1%
Q2 - 0:11.0ATLJohnson Layup (13 PTS) (Pachulia 3 AST)41
8.3%
53
91.7%
Q2 - 0:35.0ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)39
7.1%
53
92.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)39
8.2%
51
91.8%
Q2 - 0:40.0ATLMISS Johnson 12' Fadeaway Jumper39
8.5%
51
91.5%
Q2 - 0:57.0ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)39
9.1%
51
90.9%
Q2 - 1:16ORLMAGIC Rebound39
8.5%
51
91.5%
Q2 - 1:17ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot39
8.7%
51
91.3%
Q2 - 1:36ORLHoward 4' Running Hook Shot (12 PTS)39
9.3%
51
90.7%
Q2 - 1:53ATLJohnson 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)39
10.8%
49
89.2%
Q2 - 2:07ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
9.6%
49
90.4%
Q2 - 2:11ORLMISS Turkoglu 9' Fadeaway Jumper37
9.3%
49
90.7%
Q2 - 2:31ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
8.5%
49
91.5%
Q2 - 2:33ATLMISS Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
8.9%
49
91.1%
Q2 - 2:53ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)37
9.6%
49
90.4%
Q2 - 2:53ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)37
10.0%
48
90.0%
Q2 - 2:53ORLSUB: Bogans FOR Hill37
47
Q2 - 2:53ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)37
47
Q2 - 2:53ATLPachulia S.FOUL (P2.PN)37
47
Q2 - 2:54ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
10.8%
47
89.2%
Q2 - 2:56ORLMISS Hill Layup37
11.7%
47
88.3%
Q2 - 3:14ATLChildress 11' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)37
10.8%
47
89.2%
Q2 - 3:30ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)35
9.8%
47
90.2%
Q2 - 3:30ATLSUB: Medvedenko FOR Shel. Williams35
46
Q2 - 3:30ATLShel. Williams S.FOUL (P3.PN)35
46
Q2 - 3:30ORLHoward Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)35
46
Q2 - 3:43ATLTurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)35
12.1%
44
87.9%
Q2 - 3:49ORLHill P.FOUL (P2.T3)35
44
Q2 - 4:03ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)35
13.7%
44
86.3%
Q2 - 4:03ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Arroyo35
43
Q2 - 4:03ORLMAGIC Rebound35
43
Q2 - 4:03ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 235
14.2%
43
85.8%
Q2 - 4:03ATLJohnson S.FOUL (P1.PN)35
43
Q2 - 4:19ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)35
13.7%
43
86.3%
Q2 - 4:21ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 235
15.0%
43
85.0%
Q2 - 4:21ATLSUB: Shel. Williams FOR Smith35
43
Q2 - 4:21ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)35
14.2%
43
85.8%
Q2 - 4:21ATLSmith P.FOUL (P2.PN)35
42
Q2 - 4:39ATLPachulia Layup (6 PTS)35
15.1%
42
84.9%
Q2 - 4:41ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
13.8%
42
86.2%
Q2 - 4:44ATLMISS Smith Layup33
12.7%
42
87.3%
Q2 - 5:02ORLBattie 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)33
14.0%
42
86.0%
Q2 - 5:18ATLSmith Driving Layup (12 PTS)33
15.5%
40
84.5%
Q2 - 5:25ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
14.0%
40
86.0%
Q2 - 5:27ATLMISS Pachulia Layup31
13.0%
40
87.0%
Q2 - 5:32ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)31
14.0%
40
86.0%
Q2 - 5:52ORLSUB: Hill FOR Bogans31
40
Q2 - 5:52ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Wright31
40
Q2 - 5:5231
40
Q2 - 5:52ATLWright Foul Turnover (P1.T8)31
12.6%
40
87.4%
Q2 - 5:52ATLWright OFF.Foul (P3)31
40
Q2 - 6:06ORLArroyo 15' Jump Shot (3 PTS)31
14.4%
40
85.6%
Q2 - 6:16ATLLue P.FOUL (P1.T4)31
38
Q2 - 6:25ATLWright P.FOUL (P2.T3)31
38
Q2 - 6:25ORLMAGIC Rebound31
15.6%
38
84.4%
Q2 - 6:25ORLMISS Battie 16' Jump Shot31
16.9%
38
83.1%
Q2 - 6:41ATLLue Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)31
15.6%
38
84.4%
Q2 - 6:53ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)31
17.4%
38
82.6%
Q2 - 6:55ORLMISS Arroyo Free Throw 2 of 231
17.2%
38
82.8%
Q2 - 6:55ATLSUB: Wright FOR Pachulia31
38
Q2 - 6:55ORLSUB: Howard FOR Milicic31
38
Q2 - 6:55ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
16.1%
38
83.9%
Q2 - 6:55ATLSUB: Smith FOR Shel. Williams31
37
Q2 - 6:55ATLShel. Williams S.FOUL (P2.T2)31
37
Q2 - 7:09ATLPachulia 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
17.3%
37
82.7%
Q2 - 7:32ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
15.8%
37
84.2%
Q2 - 7:36ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup29
15.3%
37
84.7%
Q2 - 7:53ATLPachulia 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)29
14.3%
37
85.7%
Q2 - 8:09ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
16.0%
37
84.0%
Q2 - 8:09ORLBattie Slam Dunk (10 PTS)29
16.0%
37
84.0%
Q2 - 8:14ORLMISS Arroyo Layup29
18.6%
35
81.4%
Q2 - 8:36ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
17.5%
35
82.5%
Q2 - 8:39ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
18.0%
35
82.0%
Q2 - 8:59ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)29
19.1%
35
80.9%
Q2 - 9:12ATLSUB: Lue FOR Williams29
35
Q2 - 9:12ATLWilliams P.FOUL (P3.T1)29
35
Q2 - 9:12ATLBogans STEAL (1 STL)29
17.5%
35
82.5%
Q2 - 9:20ATLSUB: Johnson FOR Stoudamire29
35
Q2 - 9:20ATLSUB: Williams FOR Smith29
35
Q2 - 9:20ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)29
35
Q2 - 9:20ORLBattie Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)29
19.1%
35
80.9%
Q2 - 9:25ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
20.8%
33
79.2%
Q2 - 9:28ATLMISS Smith 6' Running Jump Shot29
21.4%
33
78.6%
Q2 - 9:51ORLBattie 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)29
22.7%
33
77.3%
Q2 - 10:11ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
24.7%
31
75.3%
Q2 - 10:13ATLMISS Stoudamire 19' Jump Shot29
25.3%
31
74.7%
Q2 - 10:27ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)29
26.7%
31
73.3%
Q2 - 10:37ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P3.T4)29
31.0%
28
69.0%
Q2 - 10:51ORLBogans 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)29
33.3%
28
66.7%
Q2 - 11:05ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
37.8%
25
62.2%
Q2 - 11:07ATLMISS Childress 10' Running Jump Shot29
38.6%
25
61.4%
Q2 - 11:17ORLBattie P.FOUL (P1.T2)29
25
Q2 - 11:25ORLTurkoglu P.FOUL (P1.T1)29
25
Q2 - 11:28ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
40.3%
25
59.7%
Q2 - 11:30ORLMISS Milicic Layup29
39.6%
25
60.4%
Q2 - 11:46ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
37.9%
25
62.1%
Q2 - 11:48ATLMISS Stoudamire 17' Jump Shot29
38.6%
25
61.4%
Q2 - 12:0029
25
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL29
40.4%
25
59.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLHill Foul Turnover (P1.T4)29
39.1%
25
60.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLHill OFF.Foul (P1)29
25
Q1 - 0:21.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
37.4%
25
62.6%
Q1 - 0:23.0ATLMISS Shel. Williams 14' Jump Shot29
38.0%
25
62.0%
Q1 - 0:42.0ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)29
39.3%
25
60.7%
Q1 - 0:55.0ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
37.5%
25
62.5%
Q1 - 0:57.0ATLMISS Johnson 15' Fadeaway Jumper29
38.0%
25
62.0%
Q1 - 1:11ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
38.6%
25
61.4%
Q1 - 1:11ORLMAGIC Rebound29
24
Q1 - 1:11ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 229
39.4%
24
60.6%
Q1 - 1:11ORLSUB: Arroyo FOR Nelson29
24
Q1 - 1:11ATLSUB: Stoudamire FOR Smith29
24
Q1 - 1:11ATLPachulia P.FOUL (P1.PN)29
24
Q1 - 1:34ATLPachulia 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Childress 2 AST)29
39.3%
24
60.7%
Q1 - 1:49ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
36.4%
24
63.6%
Q1 - 1:51ORLMISS Nelson 28' 3PT Jump Shot27
35.9%
24
64.1%
Q1 - 2:15ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
34.6%
24
65.4%
Q1 - 2:15ATLChildress Tip Shot (4 PTS)27
34.6%
24
65.4%
Q1 - 2:18ATLMISS Pachulia 15' Jump Shot25
31.0%
24
69.0%
Q1 - 2:38ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)25
32.1%
24
67.9%
Q1 - 2:41ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 225
31.9%
24
68.1%
Q1 - 2:41ORLMAGIC Rebound25
24
Q1 - 2:41ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 225
30.5%
24
69.5%
Q1 - 2:41ATLShel. Williams S.FOUL (P1.PN)25
24
Q1 - 2:53ORLSUB: Bogans FOR Turkoglu25
24
Q1 - 2:53ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)25
24
Q1 - 2:53ORLMAGIC Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)25
24
Q1 - 3:01ATLSmith Layup (10 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)25
30.1%
24
69.9%
Q1 - 3:08ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
28.3%
24
71.7%
Q1 - 3:10ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup23
27.7%
24
72.3%
Q1 - 3:20ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)23
26.5%
24
73.5%
Q1 - 3:37ORLTurkoglu 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
23.1%
24
76.9%
Q1 - 3:49ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)20
24.7%
22
75.3%
Q1 - 3:49ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)20
26.5%
22
73.5%
Q1 - 3:52ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot20
25.9%
22
74.1%
Q1 - 4:14ATLChildress Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)20
25.0%
22
75.0%
Q1 - 4:33ORLHill 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)18
23.6%
22
76.4%
Q1 - 4:45ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)18
25.1%
20
74.9%
Q1 - 4:58ORLHoward Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)18
26.7%
20
73.3%
Q1 - 5:01ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
28.2%
18
71.8%
Q1 - 5:04ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
29.5%
18
70.5%
Q1 - 5:16ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)18
18
Q1 - 5:16ATLSmith L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)18
18
Q1 - 5:16ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)18
28.2%
18
71.8%
Q1 - 5:24ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
30.0%
18
70.0%
Q1 - 5:31ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Shel. Williams 1 AST)18
28.2%
18
71.8%
Q1 - 5:52ORLHill Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
27.0%
18
73.0%
Q1 - 6:02ATLSUB: Shel. Williams FOR Williams16
16
Q1 - 6:02ATLWilliams P.FOUL (P2.T3)16
16
Q1 - 6:17ATLSmith 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)16
28.1%
16
71.9%
Q1 - 6:30ORLHill 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
26.8%
16
73.2%
Q1 - 6:46ATLWilliams 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)14
28.2%
14
71.8%
Q1 - 6:55ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
27.0%
14
73.0%
Q1 - 6:57ORLMISS Milicic 8' Hook Shot12
26.6%
14
73.4%
Q1 - 7:19ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)12
25.5%
14
74.5%
Q1 - 7:28ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Wright10
14
Q1 - 7:28ATLSUB: Childress FOR Lue10
14
Q1 - 7:28ORLSUB: Milicic FOR Battie10
14
Q1 - 7:38ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
24.7%
14
75.3%
Q1 - 7:38ORLBattie 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS)10
24.7%
14
75.3%
Q1 - 7:42ORLMISS Howard Layup10
26.7%
12
73.3%
Q1 - 7:53ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)10
25.9%
12
74.1%
Q1 - 8:05ORLNelson Driving Layup (8 PTS)8
24.8%
12
75.2%
Q1 - 8:11ATLWright P.FOUL (P1.T2)8
10
Q1 - 8:30ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)8
26.2%
10
73.8%
Q1 - 8:30ATLSmith Layup (4 PTS)8
26.2%
10
73.8%
Q1 - 8:32ATLMISS Smith Layup6
24.5%
10
75.5%
Q1 - 8:48ORLNelson P.FOUL (P1.T2)6
10
Q1 - 9:07ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
25.9%
10
74.1%
Q1 - 9:09ATLHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)6
25.4%
10
74.6%
Q1 - 9:11ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
26.0%
10
74.0%
Q1 - 9:13ATLMISS Smith Reverse Layup6
25.5%
10
74.5%
Q1 - 9:23ORLNelson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
10
Q1 - 9:23ORLJump Ball Nelson vs. Smith: Tip to Johnson6
26.2%
10
73.8%
Q1 - 9:30ATLLue 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)6
25.6%
10
74.4%
Q1 - 9:46ORLBattie 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)4
25.2%
10
74.8%
Q1 - 9:51ORLMAGIC Rebound4
26.1%
8
73.9%
Q1 - 9:51ORLMISS Howard Driving Layup4
26.6%
8
73.4%
Q1 - 10:01ATLWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
8
Q1 - 10:12ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
26.8%
8
73.2%
Q1 - 10:12ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
26.7%
8
73.3%
Q1 - 10:12ORLHoward S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
8
Q1 - 10:30ORLTurkoglu Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)2
26.9%
8
73.1%
Q1 - 10:35ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.5%
6
72.5%
Q1 - 10:36ATLHill BLOCK (1 BLK)2
27.7%
6
72.3%
Q1 - 10:59ORLNelson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)2
28.7%
6
71.3%
Q1 - 11:13ATLJohnson 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
29.8%
3
70.2%
Q1 - 11:37ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)0
30.2%
3
69.8%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Smith: Tip to Nelson0
31.0%
0
69.0%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventATLORL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.16 58.1%
ORL
1.22 60.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
9
16
56%
ORL
17
28
61%
Midrange
ATL
24
41
59%
ORL
13
22
59%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
ORL
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
Free Throws
ATL
15
18
83%
ORL
15
28
54%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson3970%19.5 / 28
J. Smith2457%12.0 / 21
J. Childress1286%6.0 / 7
T. Lue770%3.5 / 5
Z. Pachulia660%3.0 / 5
L. Wright2100%1.0 / 1
M. Williams233%1.0 / 3
S. Jones125%0.5 / 2
S. Williams0-0.0 / 2
S. Stoudamire0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard1953%9.5 / 18
J. Nelson1458%7.0 / 12
T. Battie1470%7.0 / 10
H. Turkoglu1255%6.0 / 11
G. Hill1063%5.0 / 8
D. Milicic880%4.0 / 5
C. Arroyo758%3.5 / 6
K. Bogans6100%3.0 / 3
J. Redick0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
68
+11
-16
79
ORL
64
+10
-17
74
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.16 58.1%
ORL
1.22 60.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.9
105.1
ATL 110.7
ORL 111.1 +0.4
Pace
90.2
89.8
ATL 86.6 +8.0
ORL 78.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.2
ATL 16.6 −1.7
ORL 18.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
50.0%
ATL 58.2%
ORL 60.5% +2.3%
TO %
16.7%
18.0%
ATL 17.6% −1.0%
ORL 18.6%
ORB %
29.3%
29.3%
ATL 36.7% +13.4%
ORL 23.3%
FTrt
34.6
39.3
ATL 26.9
ORL 45.2 +18.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.6%
53.0%
ATL 56.8% +5.4%
ORL 51.4%
STL %
8.2%
7.6%
ATL 8.3% +3.4%
ORL 4.9%
BLK %
8.7%
8.5%
ATL 6.0% +2.5%
ORL 3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
53.0%
ATL 58.1%
ORL 60.8% +2.7%
Rim FG%
55.2%
61.6%
ATL 56.3%
ORL 60.7% +4.4%
Mid FG%
39.3%
38.3%
ATL 58.5%
ORL 59.1% +0.6%
3P %
32.9%
35.6%
ATL 40.0%
ORL 41.7% +1.7%
FT %
76.1%
70.2%
ATL 83.3% +29.7%
ORL 53.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.8%
40.1%
ATL 23.9%
ORL 45.2% +21.3%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
44.1%
ATL 61.2%
ORL 35.5% −25.7%
3P Att. %
16.3%
15.8%
ATL 14.9%
ORL 19.4% +4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLORL
Possessions8481
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points9390
Rebounds3426
Assists2118
Steals74
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (0)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (1)19 (1)
Field Goals37-6735-62
At-the-Rim FG9-1617-28
Midrange FG24-4113-22
2-Point FG33-5730-50
3-Point FG4-105-12
Free Throws15-1815-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 26
45.3
39
70%
3
6
0
0
3
1
1
2
9-10
90%
12-18
67%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 225 · 21
40.0
24
57%
11
2
4
2
5
5
3
8
4-4
100%
10-17
59%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
25.0
2
100%
1
1
0
1
1
6
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 21
23.6
2
33%
5
1
1
0
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 30
19.6
7
70%
1
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24
37.6
12
86%
5
4
0
0
1
0
3
2
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 270 · 23
22.8
6
60%
6
3
2
0
2
6
2
4
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23
15.7
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 253 · 28
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 23
3.0
1
25%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 25
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
58%
34
21
7
3
16
0
11
23
15-18
83%
33-57
58%
4-10
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.