Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, January 26, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Celtics | 29% | 92 | 90 |
 | 15 | Raptors | 71% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 17 | Magic | 69% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Heat | 55% | 100 | 96 |
 | 24 | Knicks | 45% | 98 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 5 | Pistons | 65% | 103 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 29 | Hornets | 39% | 92 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Bucks | 22% | 101 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Bobcats | 28% | 95 | 106 |
 | 6 | Lakers | 72% | 103 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Timberwolves | 43% | 97 | 100 |
| 19 | SuperSonics | 57% | 99 | 102 | |
Thursday, January 25, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Mavericks | 59% | 94 | 85 |
 | 10 | Bulls | 41% | 92 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 34% | 92 | 101 | |
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Wednesday, January 24, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hornets | 23% | 89 | 88 | |
| 15 | Raptors | 77% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pistons | 57% | 95 | 103 |
| 23 | Bobcats | 43% | 93 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 23% | 89 | 118 |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 77% | 98 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 45% | 94 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 38% | 93 | 82 |
| 29 | Celtics | 62% | 97 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 72% | 109 | 112 |
| 26 | Knicks | 28% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 32% | 86 | 90 |
| 3 | Spurs | 68% | 92 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 28% | 96 | 132 |
| 6 | Jazz | 72% | 104 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 22% | 95 | 106 |
| 12 | Kings | 78% | 105 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 48% | 93 | 98 |
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 52% | 94 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 49% | 100 | 109 | |
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Tuesday, January 23, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hornets | 40% | 90 | 96 | |
| 26 | 76ers | 60% | 93 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 58% | 111 | 127 |
| 8 | Wizards | 42% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 71% | 96 | 111 |
| 18 | Magic | 29% | 89 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 24% | 88 | 86 |
| 9 | Bulls | 76% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 46% | 103 | 117 |
| 20 | SuperSonics | 54% | 105 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 30% | 94 | 96 |
| 14 | Clippers | 70% | 101 | 115 |
Monday, January 22, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bobcats | 35% | 94 | 84 |
| 16 | Raptors | 65% | 99 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 35% | 89 | 90 |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 65% | 94 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bulls | 61% | 95 | 91 |
| 21 | Pacers | 39% | 91 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 75% | 96 | 93 |
| 29 | Celtics | 25% | 88 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 31% | 96 | 83 |
| 9 | Heat | 69% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 34% | 100 | 98 |
| 14 | Nuggets | 66% | 105 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Timberwolves | 22% | 91 | 91 |
| 6 | Jazz | 78% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nets | 40% | 95 | 87 | |
| 11 | Kings | 60% | 98 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 29% | 101 | 103 |
| 8 | Lakers | 71% | 108 | 108 |
Sunday, January 21, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 61% | 97 | 99 |
| 10 | Heat | 39% | 94 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 75% | 97 | 99 |
| 27 | 76ers | 25% | 88 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 17% | 96 | 102 |
| 1 | Suns | 83% | 108 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 43% | 97 | 95 |
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 57% | 99 | 99 |
Saturday, January 20, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 31% | 94 | 91 |
| 11 | Clippers | 69% | 101 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 40% | 93 | 85 |
| 24 | Bobcats | 60% | 96 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 26% | 93 | 108 |
| 15 | Pacers | 74% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Celtics | 21% | 96 | 110 |
| 10 | Wizards | 79% | 106 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kings | 37% | 94 | 74 |
| 6 | Pistons | 63% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 37% | 90 | 94 |
| 14 | Nets | 63% | 94 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 71% | 98 | 103 |
| 30 | Hornets | 29% | 91 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 33% | 94 | 95 |
| 5 | Bulls | 67% | 100 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nuggets | 21% | 90 | 121 |
| 4 | Rockets | 79% | 100 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cavaliers | 47% | 100 | 106 |
| 20 | Warriors | 53% | 101 | 104 |
Friday, January 19, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 48% | 99 | 102 |
| 15 | Raptors | 52% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 53% | 96 | 95 |
| 28 | 76ers | 47% | 95 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wizards | 47% | 99 | 114 |
| 18 | Magic | 53% | 100 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kings | 67% | 100 | 96 |
| 29 | Celtics | 33% | 94 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nets | 54% | 99 | 101 | |
| 24 | Knicks | 46% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bobcats | 45% | 93 | 96 |
| 27 | Hawks | 55% | 95 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hornets | 10% | 80 | 86 | |
| 3 | Spurs | 90% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 48% | 93 | 104 |
| 17 | Timberwolves | 52% | 94 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 10% | 94 | 101 |
| 1 | Suns | 90% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cavaliers | 49% | 97 | 99 |
| 19 | Nuggets | 51% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 39% | 101 | 72 |
| 20 | SuperSonics | 61% | 105 | 99 | |
Thursday, January 18, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 38% | 91 | 101 |
| 11 | Heat | 62% | 95 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 20% | 94 | 95 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 80% | 105 | 114 |
Wednesday, January 17, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kings | 48% | 100 | 85 |
| 16 | Raptors | 52% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 29% | 102 | 98 |
| 12 | Wizards | 71% | 109 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nets | 56% | 98 | 92 | |
| 26 | Bobcats | 44% | 96 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 41% | 95 | 100 |
| 7 | Pistons | 59% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bulls | 60% | 99 | 99 |
| 23 | Bucks | 40% | 96 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 37% | 95 | 102 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 63% | 100 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 25% | 89 | 105 |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 75% | 97 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 61% | 99 | 100 |
| 9 | Rockets | 39% | 95 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | 26% | 92 | 100 |
| 3 | Spurs | 74% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 59% | 94 | 76 |
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 91 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 37% | 98 | 109 |
| 13 | Clippers | 63% | 103 | 115 |
Tuesday, January 16, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Magic | 63% | 91 | 78 |
| 30 | Hornets | 37% | 87 | 84 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 32% | 89 | 96 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 68% | 95 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 52% | 99 | 96 |
| 21 | SuperSonics | 48% | 98 | 101 | |
Monday, January 15, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kings | 58% | 104 | 97 |
| 26 | Knicks | 42% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 44% | 102 | 111 |
| 10 | Wizards | 56% | 104 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 42% | 100 | 99 |
| 25 | Bobcats | 58% | 102 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 44% | 96 | 104 |
| 23 | 76ers | 56% | 98 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Celtics | 43% | 92 | 96 |
| 28 | Hawks | 57% | 94 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 58% | 92 | 87 |
| 6 | Bulls | 42% | 90 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 41% | 93 | 95 |
| 12 | Nets | 59% | 96 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 46% | 91 | 94 |
| 20 | Pistons | 54% | 92 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | 43% | 101 | 93 |
| 17 | Warriors | 57% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 71% | 107 | 137 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 29% | 100 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 36% | 96 | 118 |
| 5 | Lakers | 64% | 101 | 124 |
Sunday, January 14, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 66% | 100 | 97 |
| 16 | Raptors | 34% | 95 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nuggets | 54% | 99 | 109 |
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 97 | 93 |
Saturday, January 13, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 76ers | 42% | 97 | 83 |
| 25 | Bobcats | 58% | 99 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Celtics | 27% | 89 | 73 |
| 19 | Pistons | 73% | 97 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wizards | 20% | 95 | 80 |
| 3 | Spurs | 80% | 106 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nets | 48% | 94 | 98 | |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 52% | 95 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Grizzlies | 26% | 94 | 66 |
| 7 | Bulls | 74% | 103 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 32% | 94 | 119 |
| 6 | Jazz | 68% | 100 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Magic | 16% | 94 | 101 |
| 1 | Suns | 84% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 51% | 95 | 115 |
| 8 | Kings | 49% | 94 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cavaliers | 46% | 93 | 104 |
| 12 | Clippers | 54% | 95 | 92 |