FinalWin Prob.pScore
1829%91
103
971%98
113
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
110.89389.0
TOR logo TOR
120.29498.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLTOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR103
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0ORLNelson Driving Layup (9 PTS)103
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0TORFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)101
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0TORMISS Ford Free Throw 1 of 2101
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)101
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot101
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0TORGarbajosa Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)101
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0TORGarbajosa Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)101
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)101
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0ORLMISS Redick 21' Jump Shot101
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0TORFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)101
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0TORFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)101
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS)101
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0TORParker Driving Dunk (12 PTS) (Ford 11 AST)98
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0ORLTurkoglu 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)98
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 0:56.0TORCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)95
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)95
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0ORLMilicic 9' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS)95
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 1:06ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)93
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06TORMISS Ford Free Throw 2 of 293
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06TORMISS Ford Free Throw 1 of 293
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23TORMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot93
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 1:45TORRAPTORS Rebound93
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 1:47ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 2:07ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)93
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 2:08ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 293
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 2:08ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)93
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 2:23TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (41 PTS)92
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 2:34TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 2:36ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 2:42ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)92
1.1%
101
98.9%
Q4 - 2:44ORLMISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot92
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 3:02ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
1.5%
101
98.5%
Q4 - 3:03TORMISS Ford 15' Jump Shot92
1.2%
101
98.8%
Q4 - 3:15ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)92
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 3:15ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)91
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 3:29ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 3:31TORMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot90
1.0%
101
99.0%
Q4 - 3:46ORLFord STEAL (4 STL)90
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 4:09TORFord Reverse Layup (7 PTS)90
1.0%
101
99.0%
Q4 - 4:17ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)90
1.4%
99
98.6%
Q4 - 4:44TORFord 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)90
2.1%
99
97.9%
Q4 - 4:53TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)90
2.9%
97
97.1%
Q4 - 4:54ORLMISS Arroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
3.3%
97
96.7%
Q4 - 5:00ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
4.3%
97
95.7%
Q4 - 5:02TORMISS Ford Layup90
4.9%
97
95.1%
Q4 - 5:07TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
3.9%
97
96.1%
Q4 - 5:08ORLGarbajosa BLOCK (2 BLK)90
4.3%
97
95.7%
Q4 - 5:11ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
5.4%
97
94.6%
Q4 - 5:12ORLNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)90
4.3%
97
95.7%
Q4 - 5:13ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
5.4%
97
94.6%
Q4 - 5:15ORLMISS Redick 3PT Jump Shot90
4.3%
97
95.7%
Q4 - 5:30TORFord Foul Turnover (P4.T9)90
5.3%
97
94.7%
Q4 - 5:40TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
3.8%
97
96.2%
Q4 - 5:40TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 290
5.1%
97
94.9%
Q4 - 5:40TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (38 PTS)90
4.1%
97
95.9%
Q4 - 5:49TORRAPTORS Rebound90
5.2%
96
94.8%
Q4 - 5:50TORMISS Bosh 9' Jump Shot90
6.6%
96
93.4%
Q4 - 6:17ORLArroyo 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)90
6.0%
96
94.0%
Q4 - 6:30TORBosh Driving Dunk (37 PTS) (Garbajosa 2 AST)88
4.7%
96
95.3%
Q4 - 6:34ORLFord STEAL (3 STL)88
6.0%
94
94.0%
Q4 - 6:49TORGarbajosa 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ford 9 AST)88
8.3%
94
91.7%
Q4 - 7:00ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P5.T15)88
10.5%
92
89.5%
Q4 - 7:08TORBosh Driving Dunk (35 PTS)88
15.2%
92
84.8%
Q4 - 7:27ORLRedick 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bogans 3 AST)88
18.5%
90
81.5%
Q4 - 7:43TORFord Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)85
11.9%
90
88.1%
Q4 - 8:00ORLArroyo 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Outlaw 1 AST)85
8.9%
90
91.1%
Q4 - 8:03ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)83
8.1%
90
91.9%
Q4 - 8:05ORLMISS Bogans Driving Layup83
6.8%
90
93.2%
Q4 - 8:15TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)83
8.0%
90
92.0%
Q4 - 8:15TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)83
8.4%
89
91.6%
Q4 - 8:42ORLHoward Slam Dunk (26 PTS)83
10.0%
88
90.0%
Q4 - 8:56TORBosh 17' Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Ford 8 AST)81
8.0%
88
92.0%
Q4 - 9:13ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)81
10.6%
86
89.4%
Q4 - 9:38TORBosh Alley Oop Layup (29 PTS) (Ford 7 AST)78
6.9%
86
93.1%
Q4 - 9:47TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
8.5%
84
91.5%
Q4 - 9:49ORLMISS Milicic 20' Jump Shot78
9.1%
84
90.9%
Q4 - 10:03TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)78
11.4%
84
88.6%
Q4 - 10:03TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)78
11.8%
83
88.2%
Q4 - 10:19ORLRedick Foul Turnover (P3.T14)78
13.6%
82
86.4%
Q4 - 10:30TORPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)78
16.8%
82
83.2%
Q4 - 10:36TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
23.8%
79
76.2%
Q4 - 10:38TORMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot78
27.0%
79
73.0%
Q4 - 10:58ORLMilicic 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS)78
23.8%
79
76.2%
Q4 - 11:18TORBargnani 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)76
20.7%
79
79.3%
Q4 - 11:38TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)76
24.2%
77
75.8%
Q4 - 11:40ORLMISS Redick 3PT Jump Shot76
25.5%
77
74.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL76
28.7%
77
71.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound76
28.7%
77
71.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Redick 45' 3PT Running Jump Shot76
25.5%
77
74.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
28.3%
77
71.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0TORMISS Ford Driving Layup76
27.1%
77
72.9%
Q3 - 0:25.0ORLGarbajosa STEAL (2 STL)76
24.4%
77
75.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0ORLMagic Rebound76
28.4%
77
71.6%
Q3 - 0:40.0TORMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
27.1%
77
72.9%
Q3 - 0:55.0ORLArroyo 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)76
24.4%
77
75.6%
Q3 - 1:01ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
20.9%
77
79.1%
Q3 - 1:03TORMISS Garbajosa 3PT Jump Shot74
19.9%
77
80.1%
Q3 - 1:33ORLArroyo 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)74
17.7%
77
82.3%
Q3 - 1:50TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)72
15.1%
77
84.9%
Q3 - 1:50TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)72
15.6%
76
84.4%
Q3 - 2:10ORLHoward 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (24 PTS)72
17.7%
75
82.3%
Q3 - 2:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)70
15.3%
75
84.7%
Q3 - 2:40TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
14.6%
75
85.4%
Q3 - 3:00ORLHoward Tip Shot (22 PTS)70
12.9%
75
87.1%
Q3 - 3:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)68
11.6%
75
88.4%
Q3 - 3:04ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
10.3%
75
89.7%
Q3 - 3:27TORBosh 19' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Calderon 11 AST)68
11.5%
75
88.5%
Q3 - 3:41ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)68
13.3%
73
86.7%
Q3 - 3:41ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 267
13.0%
73
87.0%
Q3 - 3:53TORBosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)67
13.5%
73
86.5%
Q3 - 4:02TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
11.5%
73
88.5%
Q3 - 4:04ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot67
12.1%
73
87.9%
Q3 - 4:16TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)67
13.7%
73
86.3%
Q3 - 4:16TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)67
14.1%
72
85.9%
Q3 - 4:20TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
15.5%
71
84.5%
Q3 - 4:21ORLMISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot67
16.3%
71
83.7%
Q3 - 4:27ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
18.3%
71
81.7%
Q3 - 4:29TORMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot67
17.4%
71
82.6%
Q3 - 4:41ORLBogans Foul Turnover (P2.T12)67
15.5%
71
84.5%
Q3 - 4:45ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
18.3%
71
81.7%
Q3 - 4:47TORMISS Bosh 8' Running Jump Shot67
17.4%
71
82.6%
Q3 - 5:06ORLTurkoglu 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)67
15.9%
71
84.1%
Q3 - 5:08ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
14.0%
71
86.0%
Q3 - 5:10ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
12.5%
71
87.5%
Q3 - 5:30TORNesterovic 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 10 AST)65
13.9%
71
86.1%
Q3 - 5:42ORLGarbajosa STEAL (1 STL)65
15.9%
69
84.1%
Q3 - 6:01TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)65
18.5%
69
81.5%
Q3 - 6:01TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)65
18.9%
68
81.1%
Q3 - 6:22ORLTurkoglu 5' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS)65
20.8%
67
79.2%
Q3 - 6:34TORCalderon 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)63
18.5%
67
81.5%
Q3 - 6:47TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
20.9%
65
79.1%
Q3 - 6:48ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
21.7%
65
78.3%
Q3 - 7:14TORBosh Slam Dunk (19 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)63
23.8%
65
76.2%
Q3 - 7:22TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
26.3%
63
73.7%
Q3 - 7:24ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
27.3%
63
72.7%
Q3 - 7:49TORGarbajosa Running Layup (11 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)63
29.9%
63
70.1%
Q3 - 7:54ORLBosh STEAL (1 STL)63
32.7%
61
67.3%
Q3 - 8:00ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
36.7%
61
63.3%
Q3 - 8:02TORMISS Bosh Running Layup63
35.1%
61
64.9%
Q3 - 8:15ORLNelson 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)63
32.5%
61
67.5%
Q3 - 8:37TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)61
29.7%
61
70.3%
Q3 - 8:37TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)61
30.2%
60
69.8%
Q3 - 8:49ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)61
32.5%
59
67.5%
Q3 - 9:07TORParker 6' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)58
25.9%
59
74.1%
Q3 - 9:24ORLBogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Milicic 2 AST)58
28.7%
57
71.3%
Q3 - 9:44TORBosh 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)55
23.2%
57
76.8%
Q3 - 9:56ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)55
25.8%
55
74.2%
Q3 - 10:01ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
20.6%
55
79.4%
Q3 - 10:03TORMISS Garbajosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
19.8%
55
80.2%
Q3 - 10:13TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
18.1%
55
81.9%
Q3 - 10:14ORLMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot52
18.8%
55
81.2%
Q3 - 10:31TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)52
20.6%
55
79.4%
Q3 - 10:50TORRAPTORS Rebound52
25.3%
52
74.7%
Q3 - 10:52ORLBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)52
26.2%
52
73.8%
Q3 - 10:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
28.4%
52
71.6%
Q3 - 10:58TORMISS Nesterovic 5' Hook Shot52
27.5%
52
72.5%
Q3 - 11:15ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)52
25.0%
52
75.0%
Q3 - 11:32ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
27.8%
52
72.2%
Q3 - 11:34TORMISS Garbajosa 3PT Running Jump Shot52
27.0%
52
73.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR52
25.0%
52
75.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLBogans 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Garrity 1 AST)52
25.0%
52
75.0%
Q2 - 0:24.0TORGarbajosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)49
20.1%
52
79.9%
Q2 - 0:26.0TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
25.5%
49
74.5%
Q2 - 0:28.0TORMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot49
26.7%
49
73.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
25.5%
49
74.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0ORLMISS Bogans 13' Jump Shot49
26.0%
49
74.0%
Q2 - 0:50.0TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)49
27.3%
49
72.7%
Q2 - 0:50.0TORMISS Peterson Free Throw 1 of 249
27.8%
48
72.2%
Q2 - 1:02ORLHoward 10' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)49
28.3%
48
71.7%
Q2 - 1:28TORBosh 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)47
24.6%
48
75.4%
Q2 - 1:43ORLNelson 6' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)47
28.3%
46
71.7%
Q2 - 2:01ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
25.0%
46
75.0%
Q2 - 2:02TORMISS Peterson Reverse Layup45
24.3%
46
75.7%
Q2 - 2:16TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)45
22.9%
46
77.1%
Q2 - 2:17ORLMISS Redick 20' Jump Shot45
23.5%
46
76.5%
Q2 - 2:35TORCalderon 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Garbajosa 1 AST)45
25.0%
46
75.0%
Q2 - 2:53ORLRedick Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)45
27.6%
44
72.4%
Q2 - 3:06TORGarbajosa Running Layup (6 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)45
29.6%
44
70.4%
Q2 - 3:16ORLRedick Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)45
31.9%
42
68.1%
Q2 - 3:16ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)44
31.4%
42
68.6%
Q2 - 3:16ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)43
30.8%
42
69.2%
Q2 - 3:31TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)42
27.2%
42
72.8%
Q2 - 3:31TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)42
27.6%
41
72.4%
Q2 - 3:46ORLBogans 6' Driving Hook Shot (9 PTS)42
29.4%
40
70.6%
Q2 - 3:57ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
27.2%
40
72.8%
Q2 - 3:59TORMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot40
26.4%
40
73.6%
Q2 - 4:09TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)40
24.5%
40
75.5%
Q2 - 4:11ORLMISS Garrity 5' Turnaround Hook Shot40
25.1%
40
74.9%
Q2 - 4:28TORParker 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)40
26.7%
40
73.3%
Q2 - 4:36TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)40
31.4%
37
68.6%
Q2 - 4:38ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup40
32.2%
37
67.8%
Q2 - 5:04TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 140
33.3%
37
66.7%
Q2 - 5:04TORBosh Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)40
33.6%
37
66.4%
Q2 - 5:12ORLFord STEAL (2 STL)40
36.0%
35
64.0%
Q2 - 5:30TORMISS Bargnani Free Throw 1 of 140
38.5%
35
61.5%
Q2 - 5:30TORBargnani Lane Violation Turnover (P1.T6)40
38.9%
35
61.1%
Q2 - 5:50ORLRedick 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)40
36.0%
35
64.0%
Q2 - 6:03TORFord Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)38
33.4%
35
66.6%
Q2 - 6:12ORLHoward 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (12 PTS)38
30.5%
35
69.5%
Q2 - 6:31TORFord 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)36
28.7%
35
71.3%
Q2 - 6:55ORLArroyo 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)36
32.9%
32
67.1%
Q2 - 7:13ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
28.3%
32
71.7%
Q2 - 7:15TORMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot33
27.6%
32
72.4%
Q2 - 7:23TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
26.1%
32
73.9%
Q2 - 7:25ORLMISS Redick 19' Jump Shot33
26.8%
32
73.2%
Q2 - 7:45ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
28.4%
32
71.6%
Q2 - 7:47ORLMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
26.8%
32
73.2%
Q2 - 8:09TORBargnani Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)33
28.2%
32
71.8%
Q2 - 8:23TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
30.1%
30
69.9%
Q2 - 8:25TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
31.8%
30
68.2%
Q2 - 8:46ORLBogans Driving Layup (7 PTS)33
30.1%
30
69.9%
Q2 - 9:08TORFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)31
27.8%
30
72.2%
Q2 - 9:12TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
25.6%
30
74.4%
Q2 - 9:14ORLMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot31
26.3%
30
73.7%
Q2 - 9:23ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
27.8%
30
72.2%
Q2 - 9:25ORLMISS Arroyo Layup31
26.3%
30
73.7%
Q2 - 9:28ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
27.9%
30
72.1%
Q2 - 9:30TORMISS Peterson Reverse Layup31
27.2%
30
72.8%
Q2 - 9:36ORLFord STEAL (1 STL)31
25.6%
30
74.4%
Q2 - 9:55TORPeterson Running Layup (2 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)31
27.9%
30
72.1%
Q2 - 10:09ORLHoward Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Redick 3 AST)31
29.7%
28
70.3%
Q2 - 10:21ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
27.9%
28
72.1%
Q2 - 10:23TORMISS Bargnani 21' Jump Shot29
27.2%
28
72.8%
Q2 - 10:36ORLRedick Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)29
25.7%
28
74.3%
Q2 - 10:52TORBargnani 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)29
27.9%
28
72.1%
Q2 - 10:59TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
29.6%
26
70.4%
Q2 - 11:00ORLMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot29
30.4%
26
69.6%
Q2 - 11:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
31.2%
26
68.8%
Q2 - 11:17TORMISS Ford 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
30.6%
26
69.4%
Q2 - 11:26ORLHoward 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)29
29.2%
26
70.8%
Q2 - 11:46TORBargnani Driving Dunk (3 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)27
27.3%
26
72.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR27
29.2%
24
70.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLBogans 30' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)27
29.2%
24
70.8%
Q1 - 0:10.0TORNesterovic 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)24
25.0%
24
75.0%
Q1 - 0:27.0ORLArroyo Foul Turnover (P1.T4)24
27.2%
22
72.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
28.7%
22
71.3%
Q1 - 0:37.0TORMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot24
28.2%
22
71.8%
Q1 - 0:53.0ORLHoward 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)24
27.2%
22
72.8%
Q1 - 1:16TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
25.0%
22
75.0%
Q1 - 1:16TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
25.3%
21
74.7%
Q1 - 1:17TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)22
27.2%
20
72.8%
Q1 - 1:18TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
28.2%
20
71.8%
Q1 - 1:34ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)22
27.2%
20
72.8%
Q1 - 1:49TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)19
23.2%
20
76.8%
Q1 - 1:49TORMISS Bargnani Free Throw 1 of 219
23.5%
19
76.5%
Q1 - 1:54TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
23.6%
19
76.4%
Q1 - 1:55ORLMISS Turkoglu 19' Running Jump Shot19
24.0%
19
76.0%
Q1 - 2:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)19
25.1%
19
74.9%
Q1 - 2:12TORMISS Bosh Reverse Layup19
24.6%
19
75.4%
Q1 - 2:27TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
23.5%
19
76.5%
Q1 - 2:29ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
24.0%
19
76.0%
Q1 - 2:36ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
25.1%
19
74.9%
Q1 - 2:38TORMISS Bargnani 23' Jump Shot19
24.6%
19
75.4%
Q1 - 2:48TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
23.5%
19
76.5%
Q1 - 2:49ORLMISS Bogans 5' Driving Hook Shot19
24.0%
19
76.0%
Q1 - 3:10TORParker 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)19
25.0%
19
75.0%
Q1 - 3:30ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)19
28.3%
16
71.7%
Q1 - 3:40TORNesterovic 4' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)19
30.4%
16
69.6%
Q1 - 4:00ORLMilicic 6' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)19
32.1%
14
67.9%
Q1 - 4:13ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
30.0%
14
70.0%
Q1 - 4:15TORMISS Nesterovic 7' Jump Hook Shot17
29.3%
14
70.7%
Q1 - 4:32TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
27.8%
14
72.2%
Q1 - 4:33ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 117
28.1%
14
71.9%
Q1 - 4:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
26.4%
14
73.6%
Q1 - 4:35ORLMISS Milicic 21' Jump Shot15
25.0%
14
75.0%
Q1 - 4:51ORLMagic Rebound15
26.4%
14
73.6%
Q1 - 4:51TORMISS Garbajosa 21' Jump Shot15
25.8%
14
74.2%
Q1 - 5:10ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
24.0%
14
76.0%
Q1 - 5:10ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
23.8%
14
76.2%
Q1 - 5:33TORGarbajosa 6' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)13
22.7%
14
77.3%
Q1 - 5:42TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
24.0%
12
76.0%
Q1 - 5:44TORMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot13
25.3%
12
74.7%
Q1 - 5:47TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
24.1%
12
75.9%
Q1 - 5:49TORMISS Garbajosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
25.3%
12
74.7%
Q1 - 6:07ORLMilicic 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)13
23.8%
12
76.2%
Q1 - 6:25TORGarbajosa 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)11
22.5%
12
77.5%
Q1 - 6:31TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
23.8%
10
76.2%
Q1 - 6:33ORLMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot11
24.3%
10
75.7%
Q1 - 6:49TORBosh Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)11
25.4%
10
74.6%
Q1 - 6:55TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
26.9%
8
73.1%
Q1 - 6:57ORLMISS Milicic 20' Jump Shot11
27.4%
8
72.6%
Q1 - 7:14TORCalderon 18' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
28.0%
8
72.0%
Q1 - 7:37ORLTurkoglu Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)11
29.4%
6
70.6%
Q1 - 7:41TORGarbajosa Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)9
28.0%
6
72.0%
Q1 - 7:52TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
26.4%
6
73.6%
Q1 - 7:54ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot9
26.9%
6
73.1%
Q1 - 8:26TORBosh Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)9
27.8%
6
72.2%
Q1 - 8:30TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
29.2%
4
70.8%
Q1 - 8:31ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
29.7%
4
70.3%
Q1 - 8:40ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
31.0%
4
69.0%
Q1 - 8:42TORMISS Nesterovic 5' Hook Shot9
30.4%
4
69.6%
Q1 - 8:44TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
29.2%
4
70.8%
Q1 - 8:46TORMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot9
30.4%
4
69.6%
Q1 - 9:01ORLHoward Layup (2 PTS)9
28.8%
4
71.2%
Q1 - 9:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
27.8%
4
72.2%
Q1 - 9:14ORLGarbajosa BLOCK (1 BLK)7
26.4%
4
73.6%
Q1 - 9:14TORParker 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)7
27.8%
4
72.2%
Q1 - 9:27TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
28.9%
2
71.1%
Q1 - 9:29ORLMISS Milicic 7' Turnaround Hook Shot7
29.5%
2
70.5%
Q1 - 9:38TORCalderon Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)7
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 9:42ORLNelson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)7
28.9%
2
71.1%
Q1 - 9:54TORCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
26.3%
2
73.7%
Q1 - 9:54TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
26.5%
1
73.5%
Q1 - 10:02ORLHoward Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)4
27.3%
0
72.7%
Q1 - 10:20TORCalderon Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)4
29.0%
0
71.0%
Q1 - 10:40ORLBogans Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)4
27.3%
0
72.7%
Q1 - 10:45ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.0%
0
74.0%
Q1 - 10:47TORMISS Bosh 11' Jump Bank Shot2
25.5%
0
74.5%
Q1 - 11:04ORLMilicic 4' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)2
24.4%
0
75.6%
Q1 - 11:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.0%
0
77.0%
Q1 - 11:17TORMISS Bosh 16' Fadeaway Jumper0
22.6%
0
77.4%
Q1 - 11:43ORLBogans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
21.8%
0
78.2%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bosh vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson0
23.0%
0
77.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.17 58.5%
TOR
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
14
23
61%
TOR
14
22
64%
Midrange
ORL
18
34
53%
TOR
20
36
56%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
9
13.5
24
38%
56%
TOR
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
ORL
12
15
80%
TOR
30
38
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard32100%16.0 / 16
K. Bogans1563%7.5 / 12
J. Redick1458%7.0 / 12
H. Turkoglu1243%6.0 / 14
C. Arroyo1169%5.5 / 8
D. Milicic1045%5.0 / 11
J. Nelson938%4.5 / 12
P. Garrity0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh4162%20.5 / 33
J. Garbajosa1563%7.5 / 12
A. Parker1267%6.0 / 9
A. Bargnani1150%5.5 / 11
J. Calderon10100%5.0 / 5
T. Ford1050%5.0 / 10
M. Peterson850%4.0 / 8
R. Nesterovic650%3.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
76
+12
-17
88
TOR
85
+10
-9
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.17 58.5%
TOR
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
106.3
ORL 110.8
TOR 120.2 +9.5
Pace
89.8
93.3
ORL 89.0
TOR 98.4 +9.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.3
ORL 16.2
TOR 14.6 +1.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
50.4%
ORL 56.2% +0.9%
TOR 55.3%
TO %
18.0%
13.8%
ORL 17.0%
TOR 8.9% +8.1%
ORB %
29.3%
22.3%
ORL 28.2% +3.9%
TOR 24.3%
FTrt
39.3
30.3
ORL 18.5
TOR 50.7 +32.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.0%
60.1%
ORL 56.1%
TOR 79.5% +23.4%
STL %
7.6%
7.6%
ORL 1.1%
TOR 7.4% +6.3%
BLK %
8.5%
6.3%
ORL 5.2%
TOR 7.0% +1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
53.6%
ORL 58.5% +0.3%
TOR 58.2%
Rim FG%
61.6%
59.5%
ORL 60.9%
TOR 63.6% +2.7%
Mid FG%
38.3%
42.7%
ORL 52.9%
TOR 55.6% +2.7%
3P %
35.6%
36.3%
ORL 37.5% +8.1%
TOR 29.4%
FT %
70.2%
78.8%
ORL 80.0% +1.1%
TOR 78.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.1%
30.1%
ORL 28.4%
TOR 29.3% +0.9%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
47.6%
ORL 42.0% +6.0%
TOR 48.0%
3P Att. %
15.8%
22.4%
ORL 29.6% +7.0%
TOR 22.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLTOR
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points103113
Rebounds3937
Assists2331
Steals17
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)28 (2)
Field Goals41-8139-75
At-the-Rim FG14-2314-22
Midrange FG18-3420-36
2-Point FG32-5734-58
3-Point FG9-245-17
Free Throws12-1530-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 21
42.4
32
100%
9
4
0
2
5
5
3
6
6-8
75%
13-14
93%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 27
40.7
15
63%
3
3
0
0
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
3-6
50%
G · 6'0" 190 · 25
28.3
9
38%
1
5
0
0
0
5
1
0
0-0
-
3-9
33%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 220 · 28
27.0
12
43%
5
2
0
0
4
3
1
4
3-4
75%
3-6
50%
1-6
17%
F · 7'0" 275 · 22
24.2
10
45%
6
2
1
1
0
5
2
4
0-0
-
5-11
45%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23
28.7
14
58%
3
3
0
0
3
4
1
2
3-3
100%
1-4
25%
3-7
43%
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
22.9
0
0%
7
1
0
0
0
4
2
5
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 28
19.7
11
69%
4
2
0
0
3
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
67%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 238 · 30
6.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 31
G · 6'1" 175 · 25
F · 6'10" 235 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
59%
39
23
1
3
17
0
11
28
12-15
80%
32-57
56%
9-24
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.