Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, February 7, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Magic | 29% | 91 | 103 |
 | 9 | Raptors | 71% | 98 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Bobcats | 41% | 94 | 83 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 47% | 94 | 87 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | SuperSonics | 41% | 98 | 103 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Heat | 67% | 97 | 91 |
 | 30 | Celtics | 33% | 92 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Timberwolves | 61% | 101 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Mavericks | 89% | 107 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 38% | 96 | 114 | |
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Tuesday, February 6, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 58% | 100 | 90 |
 | 27 | Knicks | 42% | 98 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Celtics | 18% | 87 | 102 |
 | 4 | Pistons | 82% | 99 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 53% | 96 | 111 |
 | 29 | Bucks | 47% | 95 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 25 | Grizzlies | 39% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Monday, February 5, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 64% | 110 | 113 |
| 13 | Nuggets | 36% | 105 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 41% | 94 | 98 | |
| 23 | 76ers | 59% | 97 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | SuperSonics | 38% | 103 | 108 | |
| 17 | Wizards | 62% | 107 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Lakers | 62% | 99 | 90 |
| 25 | Hawks | 38% | 95 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 35% | 97 | 113 |
| 14 | Pacers | 65% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bobcats | 27% | 91 | 93 |
| 6 | Heat | 73% | 99 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Timberwolves | 30% | 87 | 77 |
| 5 | Rockets | 70% | 94 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Bulls | 48% | 95 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 34% | 91 | 99 | |
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Sunday, February 4, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 42% | 96 | 110 |
| 11 | Raptors | 58% | 99 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 38% | 92 | 101 |
| 22 | Nets | 62% | 96 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 51% | 94 | 90 |
| 15 | Cavaliers | 49% | 93 | 78 |
Saturday, February 3, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 42% | 101 | 118 |
| 16 | Wizards | 58% | 104 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 47% | 101 | 90 |
| 28 | Bobcats | 53% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 37% | 93 | 94 |
| 18 | Magic | 63% | 97 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 48% | 96 | 116 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 52% | 97 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 60% | 99 | 117 |
| 27 | Bucks | 40% | 96 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 18% | 82 | 87 | |
| 4 | Rockets | 82% | 94 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 18% | 88 | 93 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 82% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jazz | 17% | 99 | 108 |
| 1 | Suns | 83% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 35% | 100 | 87 |
| 8 | Kings | 65% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bulls | 63% | 95 | 88 |
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 91 | 86 |
Friday, February 2, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 45% | 100 | 102 |
| 23 | 76ers | 55% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 43% | 90 | 86 | |
| 19 | Magic | 57% | 93 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 45% | 96 | 84 |
| 14 | Pacers | 55% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 63% | 97 | 100 |
| 30 | Celtics | 37% | 93 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 57% | 97 | 103 |
| 26 | Hawks | 43% | 95 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bobcats | 37% | 92 | 81 |
| 15 | Cavaliers | 63% | 96 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bucks | 20% | 92 | 86 |
| 5 | Pistons | 80% | 102 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 51% | 92 | 83 |
| 25 | Hornets | 49% | 91 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 24% | 95 | 107 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 76% | 104 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bulls | 55% | 99 | 107 |
| 18 | SuperSonics | 45% | 97 | 101 | |
Thursday, February 1, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Cavaliers | 43% | 92 | 89 |
| 12 | Heat | 57% | 94 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 29% | 97 | 87 |
| 1 | Suns | 71% | 104 | 103 |
Wednesday, January 31, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wizards | 36% | 100 | 109 |
| 11 | Raptors | 64% | 104 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 36% | 97 | 87 |
| 24 | Bobcats | 64% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 44% | 100 | 94 |
| 29 | Hawks | 56% | 102 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 28% | 92 | 73 |
| 19 | Magic | 72% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 61% | 99 | 111 |
| 30 | Celtics | 39% | 95 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 49% | 93 | 113 |
| 18 | Nets | 51% | 94 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 63% | 101 | 95 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 37% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 40% | 90 | 89 |
| 23 | Hornets | 60% | 93 | 78 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | SuperSonics | 18% | 89 | 102 | |
| 4 | Rockets | 82% | 100 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kings | 47% | 96 | 100 |
| 17 | Timberwolves | 53% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 61% | 96 | 93 |
| 12 | Jazz | 39% | 93 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 62% | 103 | 91 |
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 47% | 94 | 98 |
| 13 | Clippers | 53% | 95 | 110 |
Tuesday, January 30, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 46% | 100 | 99 |
| 8 | Wizards | 54% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Warriors | 45% | 98 | 97 |
| 22 | Cavaliers | 55% | 100 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Celtics | 26% | 90 | 96 |
| 15 | Pacers | 74% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 60% | 103 | 94 |
| 26 | Knicks | 40% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 30% | 96 | 80 |
| 10 | Heat | 70% | 102 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | SuperSonics | 17% | 91 | 102 | |
| 3 | Mavericks | 83% | 104 | 122 |
Monday, January 29, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 58% | 94 | 83 |
| 28 | Hawks | 42% | 91 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kings | 53% | 101 | 117 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 47% | 100 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 42% | 89 | 91 |
| 29 | Hornets | 58% | 92 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 63% | 104 | 112 |
| 16 | Timberwolves | 37% | 100 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 20% | 85 | 84 |
| 4 | Rockets | 80% | 96 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bobcats | 25% | 97 | 105 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 75% | 106 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 38% | 94 | 116 | |
| 12 | Jazz | 62% | 98 | 115 |
Sunday, January 28, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 64% | 104 | 115 |
| 16 | Cavaliers | 36% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 39% | 100 | 105 |
| 24 | Bucks | 61% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 55% | 97 | 96 |
| 6 | Lakers | 45% | 95 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wizards | 64% | 104 | 105 |
| 30 | Celtics | 36% | 99 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 27% | 89 | 87 |
| 5 | Pistons | 73% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Clippers | 41% | 99 | 98 |
| 18 | SuperSonics | 59% | 102 | 76 | |
Saturday, January 27, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 44% | 94 | 104 |
| 27 | Hawks | 56% | 96 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 38% | 94 | 84 |
| 16 | Pacers | 62% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 33% | 95 | 135 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 67% | 100 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 59% | 97 | 83 |
| 29 | Hornets | 41% | 94 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 32% | 90 | 97 |
| 9 | Bulls | 68% | 96 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kings | 19% | 92 | 104 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 81% | 103 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 36% | 98 | 112 | |
| 7 | Nuggets | 64% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 31% | 91 | 101 |
| 12 | Clippers | 69% | 97 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bobcats | 35% | 99 | 105 |
| 19 | Warriors | 65% | 104 | 131 |
Friday, January 26, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Celtics | 29% | 92 | 90 |
| 15 | Raptors | 71% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Cavaliers | 51% | 94 | 105 |
| 25 | 76ers | 49% | 93 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 31% | 89 | 93 |
| 17 | Magic | 69% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 55% | 100 | 96 |
| 24 | Knicks | 45% | 98 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wizards | 35% | 98 | 99 |
| 5 | Pistons | 65% | 103 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kings | 61% | 96 | 84 |
| 29 | Hornets | 39% | 92 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 15% | 88 | 96 |
| 3 | Spurs | 85% | 101 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 78% | 111 | 98 |
| 27 | Bucks | 22% | 101 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 17% | 84 | 69 |
| 4 | Rockets | 83% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 39% | 102 | 111 |
| 7 | Jazz | 61% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bobcats | 28% | 95 | 106 |
| 6 | Lakers | 72% | 103 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 43% | 97 | 100 |
| 19 | SuperSonics | 57% | 99 | 102 | |
Thursday, January 25, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 59% | 94 | 85 |
| 10 | Bulls | 41% | 92 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 34% | 92 | 101 | |
| 13 | Clippers | 66% | 97 | 102 |