FinalWin Prob.pScore
767%97
91
3033%92
79
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
97.89395.0
BOS logo BOS
85.99290.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA91
100%
79
0%
Q4 - 0:07.0BOSGomes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ray 1 AST)91
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0BOSRay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0BOSTelfair 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)91
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0BOSCELTICS Rebound91
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)91
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0BOSMISS Ray 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:08MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)91
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:32MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)91
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:34BOSMISS Gomes 16' Jump Shot91
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:38BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:39BOSMISS Telfair 12' Jump Shot91
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:50MIADoleac 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)91
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:10BOSPowe Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)89
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:10BOSMISS Powe Free Throw 1 of 289
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:13BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:14MIAGomes BLOCK (1 BLK)89
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:33BOSTelfair 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)89
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:50MIAPayton 4' Finger Roll (10 PTS)89
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:02MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)87
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:04BOSMISS Powe 1' Layup87
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:13MIAPosey Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)87
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:34BOSPowe Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)87
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:34BOSPowe Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)87
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 3:54BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 2 of 287
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 287
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)87
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:07BOSMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:25MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)87
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:25MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 286
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:44BOSGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Telfair 1 AST)86
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:01MIAPosey Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)86
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:20MIAHeat Rebound86
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:21BOSMISS West Tip Shot86
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:21BOSWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)86
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:22BOSMISS Gomes 1' Layup86
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:26BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)86
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:28MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:36BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)86
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:58MIAWade 1' Alley Oop Dunk (30 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)86
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 6:05BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)84
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 6:08MIARondo STEAL (2 STL)84
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 6:21BOSWest Finger Roll (10 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)84
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 6:32MIAWade Backcourt Turnover (P5.T13)84
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 6:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 6:47BOSMISS Gomes 19' Jump Shot84
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 6:55BOSRay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 6:57MIAMISS Walker 6' Fadeaway Jumper84
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 7:14BOSRay Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)84
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 7:18BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)84
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 7:20MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot84
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 7:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)84
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 7:35BOSMISS West 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 7:37BOSRay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 7:39BOSMISS Gomes 17' Jump Shot84
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 7:58MIAPayton 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)84
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 8:14MIAHeat Rebound82
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 8:15BOSMISS Ray 21' Jump Shot82
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 8:29MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)82
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q4 - 8:35BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)82
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 8:38BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)82
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q4 - 8:40MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 8:51MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 8:53BOSMISS Gomes 19' Jump Shot82
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 9:03MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)82
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q4 - 9:07MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
99.4%
61
0.6%
Q4 - 9:09BOSMISS West 4' Jump Shot79
99.4%
61
0.6%
Q4 - 9:16MIAPayton 5' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)79
99.3%
61
0.7%
Q4 - 9:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)77
99.1%
61
0.9%
Q4 - 9:31BOSMISS Green 19' Jump Shot77
99.0%
61
1.0%
Q4 - 9:50MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)77
98.9%
61
1.1%
Q4 - 10:09BOSScalabrine 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (West 7 AST)74
97.8%
61
2.2%
Q4 - 10:25MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)74
98.6%
58
1.4%
Q4 - 10:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
98.9%
58
1.1%
Q4 - 10:40BOSMISS Scalabrine 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
98.8%
58
1.2%
Q4 - 10:52MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)74
98.6%
58
1.4%
Q4 - 10:52MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)73
98.6%
58
1.4%
Q4 - 11:07MIAHeat Rebound72
97.9%
58
2.1%
Q4 - 11:08BOSMISS Jefferson 11' Hook Shot72
97.8%
58
2.2%
Q4 - 11:25MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)72
97.4%
58
2.6%
Q4 - 11:44MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
96.8%
58
3.2%
Q4 - 11:46BOSMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
96.6%
58
3.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
96.1%
58
3.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound70
96.9%
58
3.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Posey 40' 3PT Jump Shot70
96.3%
58
3.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0BOSTelfair Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)70
96.5%
58
3.5%
Q3 - 0:33.0BOSRay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
95.7%
58
4.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot70
96.0%
58
4.0%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)70
96.5%
58
3.5%
Q3 - 0:48.0BOSMISS Ray 3PT Jump Shot70
96.3%
58
3.7%
Q3 - 1:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)70
95.7%
58
4.3%
Q3 - 1:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)69
95.6%
58
4.4%
Q3 - 1:14MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
94.3%
58
5.7%
Q3 - 1:16BOSMISS Ray 3PT Jump Shot68
94.0%
58
6.0%
Q3 - 1:26MIAJefferson STEAL (1 STL)68
93.2%
58
6.8%
Q3 - 1:50BOSJefferson 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)68
94.4%
58
5.6%
Q3 - 2:04BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
94.7%
56
5.3%
Q3 - 2:07BOSMISS Green 1' Dunk68
95.4%
56
4.6%
Q3 - 2:23MIAMourning Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)68
94.7%
56
5.3%
Q3 - 2:32BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)66
93.8%
56
6.2%
Q3 - 2:57MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)66
92.6%
56
7.4%
Q3 - 3:10MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
90.9%
56
9.1%
Q3 - 3:12BOSMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
90.4%
56
9.6%
Q3 - 3:32MIAKapono 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)64
89.2%
56
10.8%
Q3 - 3:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
85.3%
56
14.7%
Q3 - 3:43BOSMISS Szczerbiak 5' Running Jump Shot61
84.6%
56
15.4%
Q3 - 3:53BOSCELTICS Rebound61
82.7%
56
17.3%
Q3 - 3:55BOSMISS Rondo 4' Jump Shot61
84.6%
56
15.4%
Q3 - 3:57BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)61
82.7%
56
17.3%
Q3 - 3:59MIAPerkins BLOCK (2 BLK)61
83.6%
56
16.4%
Q3 - 4:19BOSSzczerbiak 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)61
85.1%
56
14.9%
Q3 - 4:27BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
86.9%
54
13.1%
Q3 - 4:29MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot61
87.6%
54
12.4%
Q3 - 4:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
89.0%
54
11.0%
Q3 - 4:44BOSMISS Szczerbiak 19' Jump Shot61
88.4%
54
11.6%
Q3 - 5:00MIAWade 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (26 PTS)61
86.9%
54
13.1%
Q3 - 5:20BOSSzczerbiak 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)59
84.7%
54
15.3%
Q3 - 5:24BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
88.4%
51
11.6%
Q3 - 5:26MIAJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)59
89.0%
51
11.0%
Q3 - 5:42BOSSzczerbiak 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Perkins 1 AST)59
90.1%
51
9.9%
Q3 - 5:59BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)59
92.6%
48
7.4%
Q3 - 6:01BOSMISS Szczerbiak 15' Jump Shot59
93.0%
48
7.0%
Q3 - 6:19MIAKapono Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)59
92.2%
48
7.8%
Q3 - 6:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
93.4%
48
6.6%
Q3 - 6:22BOSMISS Perkins 1' Layup59
93.0%
48
7.0%
Q3 - 6:25BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
92.2%
48
7.8%
Q3 - 6:26BOSMISS Gomes 18' Jump Shot59
93.0%
48
7.0%
Q3 - 6:40BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)59
92.2%
48
7.8%
Q3 - 6:42MIAMISS Payton 23' Jump Shot59
92.6%
48
7.4%
Q3 - 6:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
93.4%
48
6.6%
Q3 - 6:51MIAMISS Kapono 5' Jump Shot59
92.6%
48
7.4%
Q3 - 7:08BOSRondo 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)59
92.9%
48
7.1%
Q3 - 7:23MIAO'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)59
93.7%
46
6.3%
Q3 - 7:46BOSJefferson 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Szczerbiak 1 AST)57
92.9%
46
7.1%
Q3 - 8:02MIAWade 1' Dunk (24 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)57
93.6%
44
6.4%
Q3 - 8:05MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
92.8%
44
7.2%
Q3 - 8:06BOSMISS West 15' Jump Shot55
92.4%
44
7.6%
Q3 - 8:27MIAWade 6' Hook Shot (22 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)55
91.5%
44
8.5%
Q3 - 8:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
90.5%
44
9.5%
Q3 - 8:46BOSMISS Gomes 9' Jump Shot53
90.0%
44
10.0%
Q3 - 9:03MIAHaslem 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)53
88.7%
44
11.3%
Q3 - 9:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
87.2%
44
12.8%
Q3 - 9:22BOSMISS West 11' Jump Shot51
86.7%
44
13.3%
Q3 - 9:27BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)51
85.4%
44
14.6%
Q3 - 9:29MIAMISS Payton 1' Layup51
86.0%
44
14.0%
Q3 - 9:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
87.2%
44
12.8%
Q3 - 9:36BOSMISS Rondo 2' Layup51
86.7%
44
13.3%
Q3 - 9:42BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)51
85.4%
44
14.6%
Q3 - 9:43MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup51
86.0%
44
14.0%
Q3 - 9:59BOSGomes Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)51
87.2%
44
12.8%
Q3 - 9:59BOSGomes Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)51
87.5%
43
12.5%
Q3 - 10:00BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)51
88.7%
42
11.3%
Q3 - 10:01BOSMISS Perkins 4' Hook Shot51
89.6%
42
10.4%
Q3 - 10:24MIAPayton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)51
88.6%
42
11.4%
Q3 - 10:41MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
85.5%
42
14.5%
Q3 - 10:45BOSMISS Gomes 16' Jump Shot48
84.9%
42
15.1%
Q3 - 11:11MIAO'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)48
83.7%
42
16.3%
Q3 - 11:32BOSRondo 10' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (West 6 AST)46
81.8%
42
18.2%
Q3 - 11:53MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)46
83.7%
40
16.3%
Q3 - 11:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)45
83.4%
40
16.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA44
81.8%
40
18.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSScalabrine 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)44
81.8%
40
18.2%
Q2 - 0:06.0BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)44
85.5%
37
14.5%
Q2 - 0:08.0BOSMISS Scalabrine 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
86.2%
37
13.8%
Q2 - 0:13.0BOSCELTICS Rebound44
85.5%
37
14.5%
Q2 - 0:15.0BOSMISS Jefferson 2' Layup44
86.2%
37
13.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)44
85.5%
37
14.5%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)43
84.9%
37
15.1%
Q2 - 0:47.0BOSScalabrine Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)42
83.2%
37
16.8%
Q2 - 1:01BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)42
81.8%
37
18.2%
Q2 - 1:03MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot42
82.1%
37
17.9%
Q2 - 1:13BOSWest Foul Turnover (P2.T7)42
82.8%
37
17.2%
Q2 - 1:22MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T8)42
81.8%
37
18.2%
Q2 - 1:24MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
82.8%
37
17.2%
Q2 - 1:27BOSMISS Rondo 2' Reverse Layup42
82.5%
37
17.5%
Q2 - 1:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)42
81.8%
37
18.2%
Q2 - 1:56BOSRondo Dunk (4 PTS)39
76.5%
37
23.5%
Q2 - 2:00BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)39
79.8%
35
20.2%
Q2 - 2:02MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
79.7%
35
20.3%
Q2 - 2:10MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
81.0%
35
19.0%
Q2 - 2:12BOSMISS Gomes 19' Jump Shot39
80.5%
35
19.5%
Q2 - 2:23MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)39
79.2%
35
20.8%
Q2 - 2:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)38
78.8%
35
21.2%
Q2 - 2:30BOSRondo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)37
76.9%
35
23.1%
Q2 - 2:49BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)37
74.8%
35
25.2%
Q2 - 2:51BOSMISS Jefferson 6' Jump Shot37
76.2%
35
23.8%
Q2 - 3:06BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)37
74.7%
35
25.3%
Q2 - 3:08BOSMISS Rondo 19' Jump Shot37
76.4%
35
23.6%
Q2 - 3:20BOSOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
74.7%
35
25.3%
Q2 - 3:22MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
75.4%
35
24.6%
Q2 - 3:33BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)37
77.1%
35
22.9%
Q2 - 3:35BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)37
74.7%
35
25.3%
Q2 - 3:36BOSMISS Jefferson 13' Jump Shot37
76.4%
35
23.6%
Q2 - 3:58MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P4.T7)37
74.7%
35
25.3%
Q2 - 4:09BOSJefferson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)37
77.1%
35
22.9%
Q2 - 4:34MIAO'Neal 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)37
75.0%
35
25.0%
Q2 - 4:52BOSWest 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)35
72.7%
35
27.3%
Q2 - 4:58BOSOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
75.0%
33
25.0%
Q2 - 5:00MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot35
75.6%
33
24.4%
Q2 - 5:17BOSGomes 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (West 5 AST)35
77.3%
33
22.7%
Q2 - 5:22MIAWest STEAL (1 STL)35
79.0%
31
21.0%
Q2 - 5:24MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
81.0%
31
19.0%
Q2 - 5:25BOSMISS West 7' Jump Shot35
80.4%
31
19.6%
Q2 - 5:38MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)35
79.0%
31
21.0%
Q2 - 5:38MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 234
78.2%
31
21.8%
Q2 - 5:50MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
79.2%
31
20.8%
Q2 - 5:52BOSMISS Gomes 11' Jump Shot34
78.6%
31
21.4%
Q2 - 6:02BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)34
77.1%
31
22.9%
Q2 - 6:04MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
77.8%
31
22.2%
Q2 - 6:20BOSGomes 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)34
79.3%
31
20.7%
Q2 - 6:37MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)34
80.7%
29
19.3%
Q2 - 6:48MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
79.3%
29
20.7%
Q2 - 6:49BOSMISS Jefferson 15' Jump Shot32
78.7%
29
21.3%
Q2 - 7:04MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T5)32
77.2%
29
22.8%
Q2 - 7:19MIAKapono Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)32
79.1%
29
20.9%
Q2 - 7:22MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
77.3%
29
22.7%
Q2 - 7:23BOSMISS West 2' Reverse Layup31
76.7%
29
23.3%
Q2 - 7:25BOSCELTICS Rebound31
75.3%
29
24.7%
Q2 - 7:26BOSMISS Gomes 2' Layup31
76.7%
29
23.3%
Q2 - 7:35BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
75.3%
29
24.7%
Q2 - 7:37BOSMISS Szczerbiak 23' Jump Shot31
76.7%
29
23.3%
Q2 - 7:54MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)31
75.3%
29
24.7%
Q2 - 8:03MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
77.2%
29
22.8%
Q2 - 8:05BOSMISS Szczerbiak 22' Jump Shot31
76.5%
29
23.5%
Q2 - 8:20MIAKapono 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)31
75.1%
29
24.9%
Q2 - 8:25BOSGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)29
73.3%
29
26.7%
Q2 - 8:26BOSSzczerbiak Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)29
71.0%
29
29.0%
Q2 - 8:42MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)29
73.1%
28
26.9%
Q2 - 8:55MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
71.3%
28
28.7%
Q2 - 8:56BOSMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 227
70.9%
28
29.1%
Q2 - 8:56BOSJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)27
69.7%
28
30.3%
Q2 - 9:10BOSSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
71.2%
27
28.8%
Q2 - 9:11MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 227
71.5%
27
28.5%
Q2 - 9:11MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 227
72.6%
27
27.4%
Q2 - 9:26MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
73.4%
27
26.6%
Q2 - 9:27BOSMISS Jefferson 10' Jump Shot27
72.7%
27
27.3%
Q2 - 9:48MIAWade 16' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)27
71.1%
27
28.9%
Q2 - 10:07MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
69.1%
27
30.9%
Q2 - 10:09BOSMISS Olowokandi 7' Jump Shot25
68.4%
27
31.6%
Q2 - 10:29MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)25
66.7%
27
33.3%
Q2 - 10:36MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
62.4%
27
37.6%
Q2 - 10:37BOSMISS Olowokandi 10' Jump Shot22
61.6%
27
38.4%
Q2 - 11:02MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)22
60.5%
27
39.5%
Q2 - 11:18MIAHeat Rebound19
55.7%
27
44.3%
Q2 - 11:20BOSMISS Szczerbiak 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
54.9%
27
45.1%
Q2 - 11:46MIAWalker 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)19
53.2%
27
46.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA17
50.8%
27
49.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
50.9%
27
49.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0BOSMISS Rondo 1' Layup17
50.3%
27
49.7%
Q1 - 0:19.0BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
49.1%
27
50.9%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
49.6%
27
50.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
50.9%
27
49.1%
Q1 - 0:30.0BOSMISS West 1' Layup17
50.4%
27
49.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)17
49.1%
27
50.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0BOSRondo Reverse Layup (2 PTS)15
46.2%
27
53.8%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)15
49.1%
25
50.9%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
48.6%
25
51.4%
Q1 - 1:10BOSWest 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)13
46.5%
25
53.5%
Q1 - 1:19MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)13
49.3%
23
50.7%
Q1 - 1:28BOSWest Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)13
51.1%
23
48.9%
Q1 - 1:30MIARondo STEAL (1 STL)13
49.3%
23
50.7%
Q1 - 1:48BOSSzczerbiak 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (West 4 AST)13
51.1%
23
48.9%
Q1 - 1:57BOSCELTICS Rebound13
56.4%
20
43.6%
Q1 - 1:59BOSMISS West 3' Layup13
57.6%
20
42.4%
Q1 - 2:04BOSOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
56.7%
20
43.3%
Q1 - 2:05MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup13
57.4%
20
42.6%
Q1 - 2:12MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
58.9%
20
41.1%
Q1 - 2:14MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
57.4%
20
42.6%
Q1 - 2:29BOSSzczerbiak 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
58.9%
20
41.1%
Q1 - 2:52MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)13
61.2%
18
38.8%
Q1 - 3:12BOSJefferson 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)11
59.7%
18
40.3%
Q1 - 3:25BOSCELTICS Rebound11
61.6%
16
38.4%
Q1 - 3:26BOSMISS Gomes 2' Layup11
63.2%
16
36.8%
Q1 - 3:27BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
61.6%
16
38.4%
Q1 - 3:29BOSMISS West 3PT Jump Shot11
63.2%
16
36.8%
Q1 - 3:48MIAPayton Foul Turnover (P1.T1)11
61.6%
16
38.4%
Q1 - 3:57BOSJefferson 2' Layup (6 PTS) (West 3 AST)11
63.9%
16
36.1%
Q1 - 4:08BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
66.1%
14
33.9%
Q1 - 4:10BOSMISS West 8' Jump Shot11
67.8%
14
32.2%
Q1 - 4:20BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
66.1%
14
33.9%
Q1 - 4:22MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
66.8%
14
33.2%
Q1 - 4:49BOSWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
68.5%
14
31.5%
Q1 - 4:49BOSWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
68.7%
13
31.3%
Q1 - 4:59BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
69.9%
12
30.1%
Q1 - 5:00MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot11
70.6%
12
29.4%
Q1 - 5:16BOSJefferson 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)11
72.4%
12
27.6%
Q1 - 5:25BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)11
73.8%
10
26.2%
Q1 - 5:28MIAPerkins BLOCK (1 BLK)11
74.4%
10
25.6%
Q1 - 5:50BOSGomes 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (West 2 AST)11
75.6%
10
24.4%
Q1 - 6:11MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)11
76.8%
8
23.2%
Q1 - 6:38BOSJefferson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)8
73.9%
8
26.1%
Q1 - 6:43BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)8
75.4%
6
24.6%
Q1 - 6:44MIAMISS O'Neal 3' Jump Shot8
75.9%
6
24.1%
Q1 - 7:01MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
77.0%
6
23.0%
Q1 - 7:03BOSMISS Jefferson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot8
76.5%
6
23.5%
Q1 - 7:25MIAKapono 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)8
75.4%
6
24.6%
Q1 - 7:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
74.1%
6
25.9%
Q1 - 7:37BOSMISS West 20' Jump Shot6
73.6%
6
26.4%
Q1 - 7:53BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
72.5%
6
27.5%
Q1 - 7:55MIAMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot6
73.0%
6
27.0%
Q1 - 8:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
74.7%
6
25.3%
Q1 - 8:06BOSMISS West 16' Jump Shot6
74.3%
6
25.7%
Q1 - 8:13BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
73.1%
6
26.9%
Q1 - 8:15MIAMISS O'Neal 2' Dunk6
73.6%
6
26.4%
Q1 - 8:33BOSWest 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)6
74.7%
6
25.3%
Q1 - 8:37BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)6
75.9%
4
24.1%
Q1 - 8:39BOSMISS Rondo 13' Jump Shot6
77.0%
4
23.0%
Q1 - 8:48BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
75.9%
4
24.1%
Q1 - 8:50MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot6
76.4%
4
23.6%
Q1 - 9:17BOSGomes 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)6
77.5%
4
22.5%
Q1 - 9:35MIAO'Neal 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)6
78.4%
2
21.6%
Q1 - 9:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
77.5%
2
22.5%
Q1 - 9:45BOSMISS Jefferson 4' Hook Shot4
77.0%
2
23.0%
Q1 - 9:47BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
75.8%
2
24.2%
Q1 - 9:51BOSMISS Gomes 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
77.0%
2
23.0%
Q1 - 9:53BOSWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
75.8%
2
24.2%
Q1 - 9:55BOSMISS Jefferson 9' Jump Shot4
77.0%
2
23.0%
Q1 - 9:59BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
75.8%
2
24.2%
Q1 - 10:01BOSMISS Jefferson 6' Jump Shot4
76.9%
2
23.1%
Q1 - 10:16BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
75.8%
2
24.2%
Q1 - 10:18MIAMISS Payton 21' Jump Shot4
76.3%
2
23.7%
Q1 - 10:42MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
77.3%
2
22.7%
Q1 - 10:44BOSMISS Jefferson 8' Jump Shot4
76.9%
2
23.1%
Q1 - 11:03MIAKapono 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
76.0%
2
24.0%
Q1 - 11:22BOSGomes 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)2
74.5%
2
25.5%
Q1 - 11:41MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
76.0%
0
24.0%
Q1 - 11:45BOSGomes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
74.5%
0
25.5%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Perkins vs. O'Neal: Tip to0
73.2%
0
26.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.12 56.2%
BOS
0.76 38.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
29
62%
BOS
13
32
41%
Midrange
MIA
10
20
50%
BOS
11
46
24%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
BOS
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
Free Throws
MIA
17
23
74%
BOS
10
12
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3071%15.0 / 21
J. Kapono1979%9.5 / 12
G. Payton1056%5.0 / 9
U. Haslem975%4.5 / 6
S. O'Neal945%4.5 / 10
J. Posey660%3.0 / 5
A. Mourning467%2.0 / 3
A. Walker214%1.0 / 7
M. Doleac250%1.0 / 2
E. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Gomes1538%7.5 / 20
W. Szczerbiak1464%7.0 / 11
A. Jefferson1336%6.5 / 18
D. West1028%5.0 / 18
R. Rondo840%4.0 / 10
B. Scalabrine675%3.0 / 4
S. Telfair467%2.0 / 3
G. Green325%1.5 / 6
A. Ray330%1.5 / 5
L. Powe375%1.5 / 2
K. Perkins0-0.0 / 2
M. Olowokandi0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+3
-16
80
BOS
81
+23
-11
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.12 56.2%
BOS
0.76 38.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
102.9
MIA 97.8 +12.0
BOS 85.9
Pace
90.1
92.3
MIA 95.0 +5.0
BOS 90.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.4
MIA 15.2 +0.8
BOS 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
47.9%
MIA 56.1% +20.5%
BOS 35.6%
TO %
15.3%
16.8%
MIA 18.3%
BOS 11.3% +7.0%
ORB %
24.9%
27.2%
MIA 6.3%
BOS 31.0% +24.7%
FTrt
32.1
33.7
MIA 34.8 +22.4
BOS 12.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
57.0%
MIA 61.8%
BOS 71.0% +9.2%
STL %
7.6%
7.7%
MIA 5.4% +1.1%
BOS 4.3%
BLK %
8.8%
7.5%
MIA 11.5% +3.3%
BOS 8.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
51.7%
MIA 56.2% +18.2%
BOS 38.0%
Rim FG%
61.8%
54.8%
MIA 62.1% +21.5%
BOS 40.6%
Mid FG%
40.5%
38.6%
MIA 50.0% +26.1%
BOS 23.9%
3P %
34.3%
36.7%
MIA 35.3%
BOS 36.8% +1.5%
FT %
69.0%
76.7%
MIA 73.9%
BOS 83.3% +9.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
37.4%
MIA 43.9% +10.9%
BOS 33.0%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
42.7%
MIA 30.3% +17.1%
BOS 47.4%
3P Att. %
24.5%
19.9%
MIA 25.8% +6.2%
BOS 19.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points9179
Rebounds4248
Assists2122
Steals54
Blocks94
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)11 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)2 (1)18 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (4)30 (1)
Field Goals34-6631-97
At-the-Rim FG18-2913-32
Midrange FG10-2011-46
2-Point FG28-4924-78
3-Point FG6-177-19
Free Throws17-2310-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
38.1
19
79%
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
3-3
100%
5-7
71%
2-4
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 25
37.7
30
71%
6
9
1
3
5
2
0
6
9-9
100%
9-16
56%
1-1
100%
G · 6'4" 190 · 39
31.8
10
56%
3
5
1
0
2
3
0
3
1-4
25%
3-6
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
27.6
9
75%
10
3
0
0
1
4
1
9
1-1
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 325 · 35
24.1
9
45%
4
0
0
4
4
1
0
4
1-2
50%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
27.4
2
14%
5
1
1
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-5
0%
F · 6'8" 217 · 30
26.5
6
60%
8
0
1
0
2
2
0
8
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-5
40%
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
13.3
4
67%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 262 · 30
3.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#55 · G · 6'1" 180 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
56%
42
21
5
9
16
0
2
40
17-23
74%
28-49
57%
6-17
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.