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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 4, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Jazz51%97108
16Hornets49%9694
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.7
36.7
31.7
20
60%
2
6
1
1
0
4
2
0
4-4
100%
5-10
5-9
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.8
33.9
28.3
28
67%
9
2
1
0
0
0
3
6
7-9
78%
9-12
4-9
75%
49%
1-5
20%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 32.6
32.1
30.2
6
37%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4-7
57%
1-4
3-7
25%
42%
0-1
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 25.3
31.6
26.6
17
54%
12
1
2
1
0
0
4
8
3-4
75%
7-14
6-11
50%
55%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.0
20.6
19.9
3
28%
6
1
0
1
1
1
0
6
1-3
33%
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.8
27.4
28.4
9
47%
9
2
1
1
0
0
4
5
5-6
83%
2-7
4-9
29%
50%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.7
27.2
26.0
13
73%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
2-2
100%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 22.1
16.4
22.5
8
84%
4
0
0
1
3
3
1
3
4-4
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.3
14.2
14.1
4
106%
3
2
0
0
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.6
7.5
0
1-2
42%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.0
6.8
0
1-2
50%
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.5
3.9
0
0-1
41%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 29.4
40.1
32.0
17
51%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-4
25%
8-15
6-12
53%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 21.8
38.5
34.6
14
50%
2
13
3
2
0
1
0
2
5-7
71%
3-8
5-11
38%
47%
1-3
33%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 24.4
38.0
33.2
20
74%
19
0
1
1
2
1
8
11
0-1
0%
10-13
4-8
77%
57%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.5
37.5
34.1
10
39%
7
3
1
1
0
3
2
5
2-2
100%
4-12
7-14
33%
50%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
29.5
24.4
10
42%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
44%
1-5
20%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.0
29.0
22.6
13
45%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
43%
2-6
33%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 26.7
13.6
14.5
4
52%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.4
6.9
12.6
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 32.1
6.9
7.9
6
60%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
44%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.8
13.0
0
1-3
43%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.3
4.6
0
1-1
51%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.2
2.1
0
0-1
48%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 29.7
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.8
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.