Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, March 4, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Timberwolves | 51% | 96 | 117 |
 | 22 | Celtics | 49% | 95 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Bulls | 55% | 98 | 126 |
 | 15 | Bucks | 45% | 97 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Lakers | 26% | 101 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 16 | Hornets | 49% | 96 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nets | 45% | 94 | 86 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Bobcats | 30% | 97 | 89 |
| 12 | SuperSonics | 70% | 104 | 96 | |
Saturday, March 3, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Celtics | 33% | 94 | 96 |
| 14 | Nets | 67% | 99 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Knicks | 35% | 94 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Raptors | 33% | 91 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Pistons | 61% | 99 | 92 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Magic | 13% | 86 | 98 |
 | 1 | Mavericks | 87% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, March 2, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 34% | 99 | 94 |
| 12 | Raptors | 66% | 104 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 41% | 97 | 112 |
| 24 | 76ers | 59% | 99 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 37% | 98 | 92 |
| 21 | Wizards | 63% | 103 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Warriors | 49% | 102 | 97 |
| 30 | Knicks | 51% | 103 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 53% | 94 | 82 |
 | 14 | Heat | 47% | 93 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Magic | 22% | 85 | 74 |
| 3 | Spurs | 78% | 95 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 49% | 97 | 109 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 51% | 98 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 32% | 88 | 93 | |
| 6 | Bulls | 68% | 94 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 55% | 97 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 20% | 97 | 90 |
| 2 | Suns | 80% | 108 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kings | 39% | 98 | 116 |
| 7 | Lakers | 61% | 101 | 108 |
Thursday, March 1, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cavaliers | 22% | 88 | 92 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 78% | 98 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bobcats | 39% | 93 | 90 |
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 97 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 37% | 97 | 75 |
| 11 | SuperSonics | 63% | 101 | 77 | |
Wednesday, February 28, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 72% | 106 | 94 |
| 26 | 76ers | 28% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 51% | 100 | 92 |
| 22 | Wizards | 49% | 99 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 38% | 97 | 94 |
| 24 | Celtics | 62% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 55% | 103 | 104 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 45% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 36% | 90 | 100 |
| 16 | Hornets | 64% | 94 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Warriors | 21% | 93 | 83 |
| 6 | Bulls | 79% | 103 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 29% | 89 | 106 |
| 4 | Rockets | 71% | 96 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 39% | 96 | 101 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 61% | 99 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bobcats | 35% | 95 | 120 |
| 20 | Kings | 65% | 100 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | SuperSonics | 39% | 98 | 91 | |
| 9 | Clippers | 61% | 102 | 96 |
Tuesday, February 27, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 39% | 90 | 89 | |
| 10 | Cavaliers | 61% | 93 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 71% | 105 | 103 |
| 20 | Pacers | 29% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 35% | 97 | 101 |
| 14 | Nets | 65% | 102 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 42% | 104 | 101 |
| 21 | Bucks | 58% | 107 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 60% | 97 | 91 |
| 16 | Timberwolves | 40% | 93 | 65 |
Monday, February 26, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kings | 51% | 97 | 82 |
| 29 | 76ers | 49% | 96 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 52% | 98 | 93 |
| 30 | Knicks | 48% | 97 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 51% | 105 | 111 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 49% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 26% | 90 | 91 |
| 3 | Spurs | 74% | 98 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 29% | 86 | 94 |
| 5 | Bulls | 71% | 93 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Celtics | 28% | 86 | 77 |
| 7 | Rockets | 72% | 93 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 10% | 86 | 87 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 90% | 102 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 42% | 97 | 102 |
| 16 | Jazz | 58% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 97 | 73 |
| 14 | SuperSonics | 66% | 102 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bobcats | 32% | 92 | 93 |
| 11 | Clippers | 68% | 98 | 100 |
Sunday, February 25, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bulls | 37% | 88 | 93 |
| 5 | Pistons | 63% | 93 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 73% | 106 | 115 |
| 25 | Hawks | 27% | 98 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 60% | 90 | 97 |
| 16 | Magic | 40% | 87 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 51% | 93 | 81 |
| 18 | Heat | 49% | 92 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 37% | 97 | 94 |
| 15 | Timberwolves | 63% | 101 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 32% | 95 | 92 |
| 19 | Nets | 68% | 101 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 56% | 105 | 102 |
| 21 | Warriors | 44% | 103 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 39% | 94 | 110 |
| 17 | Pacers | 61% | 98 | 93 |
Saturday, February 24, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 38% | 99 | 90 |
| 12 | Clippers | 62% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 51% | 98 | 93 |
| 23 | Bobcats | 49% | 97 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | SuperSonics | 20% | 93 | 71 | |
| 3 | Spurs | 80% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 38% | 97 | 90 |
| 22 | Bucks | 62% | 101 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 16% | 94 | 95 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 84% | 107 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Celtics | 32% | 94 | 87 |
| 19 | Jazz | 68% | 99 | 105 |
Friday, February 23, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 34% | 94 | 88 |
| 8 | Raptors | 66% | 100 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 40% | 93 | 87 |
| 23 | Bobcats | 60% | 96 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 55% | 91 | 94 |
| 18 | Magic | 45% | 89 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kings | 45% | 96 | 96 |
| 21 | Nets | 55% | 98 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 44% | 101 | 93 |
| 29 | Knicks | 56% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 70% | 93 | 99 |
| 30 | Hawks | 30% | 86 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 28% | 93 | 90 |
| 6 | Bulls | 72% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | SuperSonics | 42% | 98 | 97 | |
| 16 | Hornets | 58% | 101 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 63% | 104 | 116 |
| 15 | Timberwolves | 37% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 40% | 97 | 103 |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jazz | 42% | 99 | 114 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 58% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Celtics | 29% | 96 | 96 |
| 7 | Lakers | 71% | 103 | 122 |
Thursday, February 22, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kings | 47% | 101 | 106 |
| 20 | Wizards | 53% | 102 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bulls | 47% | 91 | 84 |
| 8 | Cavaliers | 53% | 92 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 12% | 88 | 100 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 88% | 103 | 112 |
Wednesday, February 21, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cavaliers | 40% | 94 | 86 |
| 8 | Raptors | 60% | 97 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 33% | 96 | 84 |
| 26 | 76ers | 67% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 71% | 94 | 103 |
| 29 | Hawks | 29% | 87 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 31% | 95 | 129 |
| 17 | Pacers | 69% | 101 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 42% | 92 | 111 | |
| 21 | Nets | 58% | 94 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Magic | 26% | 87 | 88 |
| 4 | Pistons | 74% | 95 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bobcats | 33% | 91 | 100 |
| 16 | Timberwolves | 67% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heat | 35% | 88 | 102 |
| 5 | Rockets | 65% | 93 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Celtics | 16% | 96 | 108 |
| 2 | Suns | 84% | 109 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 22% | 92 | 112 |
| 7 | Lakers | 78% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 34% | 102 | 115 |
| 22 | Warriors | 66% | 107 | 118 |
Tuesday, February 20, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Timberwolves | 49% | 98 | 100 |
| 20 | Wizards | 51% | 99 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 51% | 93 | 100 | |
| 29 | Bobcats | 49% | 92 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Magic | 47% | 95 | 94 |
| 23 | Knicks | 53% | 96 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 65% | 100 | 84 |
| 28 | Bucks | 35% | 95 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 23% | 93 | 80 |
| 2 | Spurs | 77% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 26% | 87 | 81 |
| 8 | Bulls | 74% | 96 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Celtics | 35% | 95 | 101 |
| 14 | Kings | 65% | 100 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Jazz | 53% | 95 | 100 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 93 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 33% | 102 | 105 |
| 13 | SuperSonics | 67% | 108 | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 56% | 102 | 115 |
| 11 | Clippers | 44% | 100 | 90 |