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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 4, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats30%9789
12SuperSonics70%10496
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.6
41.9
31.8
19
58%
9
2
3
2
0
2
3
6
3-3
100%
8-14
6-11
57%
53%
0-1
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.7
34.3
30.1
10
45%
4
4
1
1
0
3
0
4
4-5
80%
3-5
3-8
60%
42%
0-4
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 26.5
32.0
29.3
12
47%
6
3
0
1
0
3
0
6
3-4
75%
3-7
3-6
43%
45%
1-4
25%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 32.6
25.9
18.6
9
65%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.4
17.9
16.1
3
31%
8
1
1
0
0
2
3
5
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 22.6
33.2
29.7
17
60%
2
5
0
0
0
2
0
2
5-5
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
43%
2-4
50%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 31.3
28.5
21.5
10
56%
1
3
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
4-7
2-6
57%
43%
0-1
0%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.3
20.2
15.8
7
44%
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.7
6.2
9.6
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.4
11.4
0
1-3
45%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.4
10.9
0
1-2
51%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.6
6.1
0
0-1
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.6
42.4
39.7
28
74%
8
3
0
1
0
1
2
6
7-9
78%
6-10
6-11
60%
52%
3-5
60%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.6
40.7
26.1
34
65%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
8-13
4-9
62%
50%
5-12
42%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.4
30.3
34.0
6
77%
10
2
1
1
1
3
3
7
2-2
100%
2-3
5-9
67%
53%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
19.9
33.0
4
29%
6
0
0
1
1
1
1
5
2-2
100%
1-5
5-9
20%
55%
0-1
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.1
7.1
31.2
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
4-8
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27.7
35.2
26.2
10
47%
6
10
3
1
2
5
1
5
6-6
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 27.1
28.4
16.1
6
34%
4
3
3
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-8
2-4
25%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 27.8
16.7
3.1
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 21.1
9.7
11.3
6
80%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
4-4
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.8
5.3
9.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.8
4.2
6.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 20.8
2.9
0
0-1
51%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.