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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 16, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Rockets60%96114
16Raptors40%93100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.5
35.9
34.0
8
57%
5
1
1
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
49%
2-6
33%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.6
34.5
34.5
23
82%
8
9
1
1
1
1
0
8
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
41%
5-8
63%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.8
34.5
35.4
24
51%
5
7
1
1
0
2
0
5
2-6
33%
8-16
7-15
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.5
33.1
29.3
23
53%
12
3
0
0
1
3
3
9
7-8
88%
8-18
8-15
44%
53%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.8
28.6
22.8
8
68%
8
1
3
1
0
1
4
4
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
54%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.1
28.9
23.5
10
73%
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
47%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.3
24.4
25.0
9
50%
1
5
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
45%
1-4
25%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.8
9.2
11.7
4
40%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-1
0%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.3
9.1
3.5
5
39%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
45%
0-3
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.8
0.8
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.6
0.8
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.8
5.1
0
0-1
50%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.5
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 34.0
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.0
39.2
36.5
16
39%
19
0
1
1
0
0
2
17
2-3
67%
7-19
7-14
37%
50%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.0
35.8
31.7
18
52%
0
8
2
1
1
6
0
0
8-10
80%
5-12
5-12
42%
45%
0-1
0%
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.2
35.8
23.2
9
52%
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-6
33%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.6
16.9
12.7
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.8
13.1
21.8
2
33%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 21.4
33.3
30.0
16
67%
4
1
1
1
1
3
0
4
7-9
78%
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
1-4
25%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 28.4
30.2
21.2
17
64%
0
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
5-5
100%
6-10
2-5
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 36.0
12.2
2.0
10
71%
0
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
5-7
0-0
71%
34%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.8
11.4
7.4
4
100%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.1
8.8
7.1
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-0
-
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.3
1.7
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Uros Slokar
F · 6'10" 238 · 23.8
1.7
1.5
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.5
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 31.7
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.