Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, March 16, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Timberwolves | 40% | 99 | 86 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Raptors | 40% | 93 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 26 | Bobcats | 46% | 95 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 55% | 96 | 92 | |
 | 28 | Knicks | 45% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Heat | 55% | 96 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Celtics | 15% | 88 | 101 |
 | 3 | Mavericks | 85% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Pistons | 27% | 97 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Lakers | 64% | 99 | 116 |
Thursday, March 15, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Lakers | 39% | 100 | 86 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Bucks | 31% | 94 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 43% | 93 | 93 |
| 12 | Nets | 57% | 95 | 86 | |
Wednesday, March 14, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 59% | 95 | 87 |
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 92 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 28% | 94 | 94 |
| 12 | Raptors | 72% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Bulls | 64% | 93 | 88 |
| 26 | 76ers | 36% | 89 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kings | 48% | 99 | 108 |
| 25 | Bobcats | 52% | 100 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 48% | 96 | 90 |
 | 21 | Magic | 52% | 97 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 24 | Celtics | 64% | 96 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 19% | 84 | 105 |
| 4 | Rockets | 81% | 96 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 42% | 100 | 129 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 58% | 103 | 127 |
Tuesday, March 13, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Celtics | 22% | 87 | 87 |
| 5 | Bulls | 78% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 76ers | 51% | 94 | 92 |
| 29 | Hawks | 49% | 93 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kings | 52% | 94 | 100 |
| 22 | Cavaliers | 48% | 93 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 47% | 95 | 86 |
| 8 | Heat | 53% | 97 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nets | 41% | 93 | 112 | |
| 19 | Hornets | 59% | 96 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pacers | 34% | 90 | 81 |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 66% | 96 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 32% | 96 | 99 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 68% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 51% | 99 | 101 |
| 14 | SuperSonics | 49% | 98 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 20% | 84 | 84 |
| 2 | Spurs | 80% | 95 | 93 |
Monday, March 12, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 65% | 102 | 100 |
| 20 | Warriors | 35% | 97 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 30% | 97 | 82 |
| 1 | Suns | 70% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 53% | 99 | 113 | |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 47% | 98 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 40% | 100 | 108 |
| 18 | Bucks | 60% | 103 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 46% | 93 | 108 |
| 25 | Bobcats | 54% | 94 | 119 |
Sunday, March 11, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 62% | 99 | 108 |
| 11 | Lakers | 38% | 95 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | SuperSonics | 45% | 101 | 119 | |
| 17 | Raptors | 55% | 102 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 53% | 92 | 98 |
| 14 | Clippers | 47% | 91 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bulls | 66% | 95 | 94 |
| 26 | Celtics | 34% | 90 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 22% | 85 | 92 |
| 4 | Rockets | 78% | 94 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nuggets | 38% | 99 | 113 |
| 10 | Kings | 62% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 33% | 96 | 104 |
| 8 | Heat | 67% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pacers | 24% | 86 | 88 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 76% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Warriors | 51% | 103 | 87 |
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 102 | 106 |
Saturday, March 10, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 54% | 93 | 93 |
| 30 | Hawks | 46% | 92 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 27% | 92 | 86 | |
| 7 | Jazz | 73% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 53% | 98 | 94 |
| 21 | Bucks | 47% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 17% | 86 | 77 | |
| 3 | Spurs | 83% | 99 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 76ers | 43% | 92 | 100 |
| 27 | Pacers | 57% | 94 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 34% | 96 | 115 |
| 26 | Bobcats | 66% | 101 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 30% | 99 | 90 |
| 14 | Wizards | 70% | 106 | 89 |
Friday, March 9, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | SuperSonics | 54% | 100 | 103 | |
| 25 | Celtics | 46% | 99 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | 54% | 97 | 92 |
| 23 | 76ers | 46% | 96 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 45% | 95 | 105 |
| 30 | Hawks | 55% | 96 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 37% | 90 | 91 |
| 9 | Heat | 63% | 95 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 24% | 88 | 91 | |
| 4 | Rockets | 76% | 97 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 52% | 98 | 95 |
| 14 | Nuggets | 48% | 97 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 18% | 96 | 103 | |
| 1 | Suns | 82% | 107 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Clippers | 45% | 100 | 89 |
| 16 | Warriors | 55% | 102 | 99 |
Thursday, March 8, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 63% | 97 | 100 |
| 15 | Kings | 37% | 93 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bulls | 49% | 90 | 100 |
| 20 | Magic | 51% | 91 | 76 |
Wednesday, March 7, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 41% | 105 | 96 |
| 21 | Warriors | 59% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 37% | 99 | 87 |
| 22 | Raptors | 63% | 103 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | SuperSonics | 47% | 98 | 89 | |
| 25 | 76ers | 53% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 48% | 98 | 97 |
| 28 | Hawks | 52% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 66% | 96 | 111 |
| 23 | Celtics | 34% | 91 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bulls | 52% | 92 | 70 |
| 10 | Heat | 48% | 91 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 39% | 89 | 101 |
| 7 | Pistons | 61% | 93 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 47% | 102 | 90 |
| 19 | Bucks | 53% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 22% | 92 | 72 |
| 6 | Jazz | 78% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 12% | 96 | 106 |
| 2 | Suns | 88% | 111 | 115 |
Tuesday, March 6, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 39% | 97 | 91 | |
| 12 | Nuggets | 61% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 43% | 102 | 109 |
| 14 | Wizards | 57% | 104 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | SuperSonics | 52% | 101 | 100 | |
| 25 | Knicks | 48% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 51% | 98 | 107 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 49% | 97 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 19% | 90 | 89 | |
| 1 | Mavericks | 81% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 38% | 95 | 98 |
| 15 | Kings | 62% | 98 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 66% | 94 | 99 |
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 89 | 94 |
Monday, March 5, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 61% | 90 | 88 |
| 13 | Clippers | 39% | 87 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 21% | 93 | 95 |
| 7 | Jazz | 79% | 103 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Warriors | 20% | 94 | 111 |
| 5 | Pistons | 80% | 105 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 33% | 92 | 81 |
| 11 | Heat | 67% | 98 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 51% | 91 | 85 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 49% | 90 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 36% | 95 | 81 |
| 18 | Magic | 64% | 100 | 99 |
Sunday, March 4, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 30% | 97 | 89 |
| 12 | SuperSonics | 70% | 103 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 51% | 96 | 117 |
| 22 | Celtics | 49% | 95 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Warriors | 36% | 105 | 106 |
| 20 | Wizards | 64% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bulls | 55% | 98 | 126 |
| 15 | Bucks | 45% | 96 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 26% | 101 | 94 |
| 2 | Suns | 74% | 109 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 51% | 97 | 108 |
| 16 | Hornets | 49% | 96 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nets | 45% | 94 | 86 | |
| 26 | 76ers | 55% | 96 | 99 |
Saturday, March 3, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 36% | 94 | 104 |
| 23 | Hawks | 64% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 32% | 91 | 97 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 68% | 97 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 61% | 99 | 92 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 39% | 96 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 43% | 87 | 97 |
| 4 | Rockets | 57% | 89 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 13% | 86 | 98 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 87% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kings | 52% | 98 | 104 |
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 97 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 35% | 90 | 64 |
| 16 | Clippers | 65% | 95 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Celtics | 33% | 94 | 96 |
| 14 | Nets | 67% | 99 | 88 | |