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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 16, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Jazz62%9988
2576ers38%9589
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.7
41.6
37.3
18
70%
2
16
0
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
5-7
5-10
71%
50%
2-5
40%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.8
40.2
34.4
15
41%
10
6
2
1
0
2
1
9
0-1
0%
6-15
5-10
40%
51%
1-3
33%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 25.3
26.9
36.1
14
50%
8
1
1
1
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
7-14
9-16
50%
55%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 32.6
26.0
28.7
4
33%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
43%
0-3
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.1
24.0
20.0
8
43%
0
0
0
1
4
5
0
0
0-3
0%
4-8
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.8
28.5
25.1
14
66%
9
1
2
1
1
3
3
6
6-6
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
50%
0-1
0%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.7
25.8
23.6
10
83%
3
1
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
47%
2-2
100%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 22.1
21.5
11.2
5
51%
5
1
2
0
2
1
3
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.3
5.5
10.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.0
7.1
0
1-2
47%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.0
3.4
0
0-1
51%
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.6
2.0
0
0-0
41%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.1
44.3
37.9
23
46%
9
3
4
2
0
5
2
7
3-5
60%
10-22
6-12
45%
50%
0-1
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 26.8
39.6
33.8
17
84%
7
1
0
1
0
1
1
6
7-7
100%
5-7
5-8
71%
53%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.0
37.4
34.4
16
73%
7
7
2
1
0
5
2
5
0-0
-
8-11
5-10
73%
48%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.4
37.4
26.4
7
39%
11
0
0
0
3
2
5
6
1-2
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
58%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.6
21.3
24.9
8
36%
1
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
4-8
4-10
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 26.0
30.4
26.8
9
44%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-3
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
0-4
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 31.6
19.0
24.2
7
31%
5
0
1
1
0
0
3
2
1-3
33%
3-10
3-7
30%
48%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.4
10.6
10.2
2
35%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 22.9
8.6
0
1-2
49%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 34.2
5.7
0
1-1
43%
Bobby Jones
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.2
3.2
0
0-1
47%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.3
1.8
0
0-0
47%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.