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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 16, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Timberwolves40%9986
18Warriors60%102106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.8
40.9
39.9
19
50%
13
1
2
1
1
6
3
10
7-9
78%
6-14
10-19
43%
51%
0-1
0%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 27.5
33.3
31.3
10
34%
8
3
2
1
0
3
4
4
2-2
100%
1-6
4-9
17%
49%
2-8
25%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 28.3
29.4
32.5
3
32%
4
4
2
2
1
1
1
3
3-4
75%
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 31.3
16.6
25.9
5
60%
3
0
0
0
0
6
2
1
3-5
60%
1-2
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 31.0
14.8
18.0
4
33%
0
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
42%
0-1
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 23.5
33.2
25.0
20
66%
4
7
2
1
0
3
0
4
14-14
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.5
19.9
20.0
9
57%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-2
0%
3-3
2-4
100%
48%
1-4
25%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 23.3
19.9
22.1
10
51%
5
0
2
1
0
1
3
2
2-2
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
52%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 31.7
11.4
10.7
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 28.0
10.8
17.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 31.1
7.1
5.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.2
2.6
1.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
43%
0-0
-
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 24.8
2.0
0
0-0
40%
Bracey Wright
G · 6'3" 201 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 26.1
37.5
31.0
14
44%
7
8
2
1
0
2
0
7
2-2
100%
3-7
4-9
43%
49%
2-8
25%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.0
35.4
28.1
9
67%
12
0
1
1
2
2
4
8
3-4
75%
3-5
4-7
60%
61%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 28.9
28.4
28.6
15
63%
1
1
0
1
0
5
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
3-6
50%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 27.9
23.6
20.6
15
60%
5
4
3
1
0
2
1
4
1-1
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.1
21.8
25.7
10
67%
5
3
0
1
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
48%
1-3
33%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.4
34.2
30.3
24
64%
2
6
3
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
11-17
5-9
65%
51%
0-1
0%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 25.1
20.3
20.1
13
82%
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
53%
3-3
100%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 27.0
16.6
24.8
2
35%
2
4
1
1
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.1
12.2
8.2
2
114%
2
1
0
0
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.2
7.1
11.1
2
35%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Sarunas Jasikevicius
· 6'4" 197 · 31.0
2.9
7.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 32.0
10.3
0
1-2
53%
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.8
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.