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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 30, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Pacers37%8987
17Magic63%9395
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.1
42.0
31.8
27
52%
10
3
1
2
0
3
3
7
11-13
85%
8-19
4-10
42%
43%
0-1
0%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 23.9
36.7
33.7
13
66%
0
1
1
1
2
2
0
0
2-2
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
50%
1-3
33%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 26.5
35.1
31.6
8
42%
8
2
4
1
0
3
1
7
1-1
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.5
33.8
35.6
10
25%
3
2
0
1
2
8
1
2
2-4
50%
4-17
8-17
24%
46%
0-1
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 30.2
26.7
19.8
7
90%
7
0
1
1
1
1
2
5
1-2
50%
3-3
1-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 26.9
22.1
28.3
11
69%
1
1
1
1
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
4-5
3-7
80%
46%
1-3
33%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 38.8
20.5
16.5
5
43%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
1-4
25%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 21.1
19.4
15.8
4
67%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.8
2.3
8.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 25.1
1.4
5.4
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.4
0.1
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
37%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.5
11.8
0
2-4
49%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 26.2
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.6
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.3
42.6
39.0
10
43%
8
2
1
1
5
7
1
7
2-4
50%
4-10
6-10
40%
58%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 34.5
28.8
32.0
22
65%
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
4
14-16
88%
4-10
5-10
40%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.1
28.6
27.9
9
57%
10
2
0
1
0
1
1
9
1-2
50%
4-7
4-7
57%
51%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25.1
26.8
32.3
7
52%
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
2-3
5-10
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 28.0
23.0
33.7
10
34%
5
4
1
1
0
2
3
2
4-4
100%
3-11
4-9
27%
47%
0-2
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21.7
26.2
17.8
17
84%
2
0
4
1
0
3
1
1
5-7
71%
6-7
3-5
86%
52%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.8
19.7
11.8
2
100%
6
1
1
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 22.8
19.1
13.7
7
72%
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.9
12.7
18.0
3
80%
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
2-5
100%
46%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.7
12.6
7.3
8
84%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 36.0
3.1
0
0-0
55%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 30.6
3.1
0
0-0
44%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 26.9
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.1
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.