Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, March 30, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Celtics | 47% | 93 | 82 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Raptors | 42% | 102 | 123 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Bucks | 43% | 99 | 81 |
 | 26 | Bobcats | 57% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 17 | Magic | 63% | 93 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nets | 33% | 89 | 105 | |
 | 5 | Pistons | 67% | 95 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Heat | 47% | 93 | 92 |
 | 19 | Timberwolves | 53% | 94 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Knicks | 12% | 86 | 103 |
 | 2 | Mavericks | 88% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Lakers | 42% | 95 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 22 | SuperSonics | 71% | 101 | 120 | |
Thursday, March 29, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 42% | 89 | 81 |
 | 6 | Bulls | 58% | 91 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Grizzlies | 35% | 93 | 96 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 60% | 111 | 119 |
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Wednesday, March 28, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 42% | 94 | 83 |
| 16 | Raptors | 58% | 97 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 29% | 97 | 108 |
| 14 | Wizards | 71% | 104 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 26 | Bobcats | 58% | 96 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 48% | 93 | 96 |
| 20 | Celtics | 52% | 94 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 27% | 91 | 94 |
| 11 | Nets | 73% | 99 | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23BC945C;}%20.st1{fill:%23860038;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M356.2,121.3V98.4l-5.6-5.7c-72-68.5-226.2,21.4-278.6,64.8l-25.9,40.1l32.2-8c-49.4,62-31.8,102.7-29.7,106.9%20c5.2,14.6,17.1,26.3,36.3,34c14.6,5.8,31.2,6.6,45.4,5.9c61.4-2.9,134-41.2,180.9-81.9l1.1-0.9l9.3-47.1l-18.2,10.1%20c-63.3,27.8-114.2,43.2-114.2,43.2c-33.3,10.4-48.6,12.1-59.5,9.5l-1.3-0.4c-3-1.2-3.5-3.9-3.5-4.6c-0.5-20.8,35.4-65.6,53.4-85%20c16.8-18.1,43.3-37.9,65.7-47.3c15-6.3,24.7-8.8,29.2-8.4c-1.2,3.9-3.3,8.7-6.2,14.5c0,0-24,47.3-25,49.2L356.2,121.3z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M213.9,118c-20.6,10.9-44.3,32.8-51.7,40.7C101.8,223,59.5,309,191.7,267.8c0,0,51.4-15.6,115.2-43.6%20C126.3,376.8-44.2,313,123.6,152.5c-15.3,3.5-30.7,6.8-45.8,11c53.7-44.5,201.1-127.4,266.9-64.8l-70.3,43.1%20C304.6,82.7,250.2,96.6,213.9,118'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 8 | Cavaliers | 61% | 94 | 93 |
| 28 | Knicks | 39% | 90 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 13% | 84 | 88 | |
| 2 | Spurs | 87% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 15% | 91 | 103 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 85% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | SuperSonics | 24% | 97 | 100 | |
| 10 | Nuggets | 76% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 25% | 92 | 102 |
| 7 | Jazz | 75% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 59% | 92 | 92 |
| 12 | Clippers | 41% | 89 | 87 |
Tuesday, March 27, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 57% | 92 | 105 |
| 22 | Pacers | 43% | 90 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 71% | 98 | 105 |
| 20 | Hornets | 29% | 91 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | SuperSonics | 37% | 94 | 114 | |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 63% | 98 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Grizzlies | 16% | 95 | 88 |
| 8 | Lakers | 84% | 107 | 86 |
Monday, March 26, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 55% | 97 | 87 |
| 24 | Celtics | 45% | 95 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 55% | 93 | 94 |
| 26 | Knicks | 45% | 91 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 24% | 87 | 89 |
| 15 | Heat | 76% | 96 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 35% | 94 | 109 |
| 5 | Pistons | 65% | 99 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 21% | 87 | 89 |
| 7 | Bulls | 79% | 97 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 14% | 90 | 87 |
| 4 | Rockets | 86% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 33% | 100 | 97 |
| 8 | Jazz | 67% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Grizzlies | 13% | 98 | 87 |
| 2 | Suns | 87% | 112 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 57% | 101 | 126 |
| 11 | Warriors | 43% | 98 | 89 |
Sunday, March 25, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 78% | 98 | 104 |
| 28 | Hawks | 22% | 89 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bulls | 62% | 93 | 92 |
| 25 | Pacers | 38% | 90 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 58% | 97 | 121 |
| 21 | Bucks | 42% | 94 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 67% | 95 | 94 |
| 19 | Hornets | 33% | 90 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 35% | 91 | 93 |
| 17 | Timberwolves | 65% | 96 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 65% | 107 | 100 |
| 22 | Kings | 35% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | 35% | 96 | 105 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 65% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 69% | 97 | 120 |
| 20 | SuperSonics | 31% | 91 | 79 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 37% | 103 | 113 |
| 7 | Lakers | 63% | 108 | 115 |
Saturday, March 24, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nets | 58% | 98 | 113 | |
| 29 | Bobcats | 42% | 96 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 29% | 88 | 93 |
| 18 | Heat | 71% | 95 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 25% | 96 | 108 |
| 9 | Jazz | 75% | 105 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 36% | 97 | 105 |
| 12 | Clippers | 64% | 101 | 111 |
Friday, March 23, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 43% | 100 | 94 |
| 16 | Raptors | 57% | 102 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 43% | 94 | 97 |
| 29 | 76ers | 57% | 96 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nets | 46% | 93 | 82 | |
| 18 | Magic | 54% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 53% | 93 | 70 |
| 26 | Pacers | 47% | 92 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 76% | 99 | 109 |
| 24 | Celtics | 24% | 90 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 42% | 92 | 102 |
| 28 | Hawks | 58% | 95 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 21% | 88 | 68 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 79% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 45% | 97 | 111 |
| 20 | Hornets | 55% | 99 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 24% | 85 | 89 |
| 2 | Spurs | 76% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 53% | 96 | 72 |
| 13 | Clippers | 47% | 95 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 39% | 106 | 128 |
| 11 | Warriors | 61% | 109 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 44% | 96 | 82 |
| 19 | SuperSonics | 56% | 98 | 85 | |
Thursday, March 22, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 93 | 92 |
| 23 | Knicks | 59% | 96 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 62% | 103 | 121 |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 38% | 99 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 37% | 95 | 108 |
| 6 | Bulls | 63% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pistons | 30% | 87 | 85 |
| 3 | Rockets | 70% | 93 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 20% | 99 | 100 |
| 4 | Suns | 80% | 110 | 118 |
Wednesday, March 21, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Magic | 41% | 93 | 85 |
| 17 | Raptors | 59% | 96 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 58% | 94 | 91 |
| 27 | Hawks | 42% | 91 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 30% | 93 | 92 |
| 23 | Celtics | 70% | 99 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 56% | 94 | 98 |
| 8 | Cavaliers | 44% | 92 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 42% | 96 | 104 |
| 18 | Bucks | 58% | 99 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 12% | 84 | 72 |
| 2 | Spurs | 88% | 99 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 32% | 93 | 95 |
| 12 | Kings | 68% | 99 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 40% | 101 | 108 |
| 19 | SuperSonics | 60% | 104 | 106 | |
Tuesday, March 20, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 43% | 100 | 94 |
| 9 | Nets | 57% | 102 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 64% | 97 | 100 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 36% | 92 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 76% | 100 | 92 |
| 26 | Knicks | 24% | 91 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 76ers | 26% | 86 | 75 |
| 11 | Pistons | 74% | 94 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 45% | 97 | 114 | |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 55% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 30% | 87 | 103 |
| 6 | Bulls | 70% | 94 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Warriors | 30% | 101 | 100 |
| 5 | Jazz | 70% | 107 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 17% | 86 | 76 |
| 4 | Rockets | 83% | 98 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 21% | 96 | 90 |
| 3 | Suns | 79% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 48% | 101 | 98 |
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 52% | 102 | 100 |
Monday, March 19, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kings | 63% | 99 | 76 |
| 30 | Hawks | 37% | 94 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 40% | 92 | 88 |
| 22 | Hornets | 60% | 96 | 106 | |
Sunday, March 18, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 57% | 99 | 74 |
| 28 | Knicks | 43% | 96 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 60% | 93 | 92 |
| 13 | Pistons | 40% | 90 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 38% | 93 | 95 |
| 11 | Nets | 62% | 97 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 29% | 87 | 97 |
| 7 | Heat | 71% | 94 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 70% | 95 | 124 |
| 25 | 76ers | 30% | 88 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | SuperSonics | 44% | 100 | 95 | |
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 101 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 36% | 94 | 102 |
| 12 | Lakers | 64% | 99 | 109 |
Saturday, March 17, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 36% | 98 | 103 | |
| 16 | Wizards | 64% | 103 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kings | 44% | 95 | 95 |
| 20 | Magic | 56% | 96 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hawks | 40% | 91 | 90 |
| 26 | Pacers | 60% | 94 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 41% | 94 | 73 |
| 8 | Cavaliers | 59% | 97 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bulls | 69% | 99 | 103 |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 31% | 92 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Celtics | 11% | 84 | 91 |
| 1 | Spurs | 89% | 99 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bobcats | 30% | 97 | 91 |
| 21 | Bucks | 70% | 104 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 54% | 107 | 107 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 46% | 106 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 35% | 104 | 99 |
| 14 | SuperSonics | 65% | 108 | 98 | |