Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, March 30, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Celtics | 46% | 93 | 82 | |
| 25 | 76ers | 54% | 95 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 42% | 102 | 123 | |
| 14 | Wizards | 58% | 105 | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 43% | 99 | 81 | |
| 26 | Bobcats | 57% | 101 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 37% | 89 | 87 | |
| 17 | Magic | 63% | 93 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nets | 33% | 89 | 105 | |
| 5 | Pistons | 67% | 94 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 26% | 89 | 93 | |
| 3 | Spurs | 74% | 97 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 48% | 93 | 92 | |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 52% | 94 | 77 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 12% | 86 | 103 | |
| 2 | Mavericks | 88% | 101 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 31% | 104 | 108 | |
| 4 | Suns | 69% | 110 | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rockets | 58% | 98 | 107 | |
| 7 | Lakers | 42% | 95 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 48% | 95 | 105 | |
| 18 | Kings | 52% | 96 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Grizzlies | 29% | 94 | 93 | |
| 22 | SuperSonics | 71% | 102 | 120 | |
Thursday, March 29, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 42% | 88 | 81 | |
| 6 | Bulls | 58% | 91 | 83 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Grizzlies | 35% | 93 | 96 | |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 65% | 98 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 60% | 111 | 119 | |
| 13 | Warriors | 40% | 107 | 124 | |
Wednesday, March 28, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 42% | 94 | 83 | |
| 16 | Raptors | 58% | 97 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 29% | 97 | 108 | |
| 14 | Wizards | 71% | 104 | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 42% | 93 | 87 | |
| 26 | Bobcats | 58% | 96 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 48% | 92 | 96 | |
| 20 | Celtics | 52% | 93 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 27% | 91 | 94 | |
| 11 | Nets | 73% | 99 | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 61% | 94 | 93 | |
| 28 | Knicks | 39% | 90 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 14% | 84 | 88 | |
| 2 | Spurs | 86% | 98 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 15% | 91 | 103 | |
| 1 | Mavericks | 85% | 105 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | SuperSonics | 24% | 98 | 100 | |
| 10 | Nuggets | 76% | 107 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 25% | 92 | 102 | |
| 7 | Jazz | 75% | 101 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 59% | 92 | 92 | |
| 12 | Clippers | 41% | 89 | 87 | |
Tuesday, March 27, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 57% | 92 | 105 | |
| 22 | Pacers | 43% | 90 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 71% | 98 | 105 | |
| 20 | Hornets | 29% | 91 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | SuperSonics | 37% | 94 | 114 | |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 63% | 98 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Grizzlies | 17% | 95 | 88 | |
| 8 | Lakers | 83% | 107 | 86 | |
Monday, March 26, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 55% | 97 | 87 | |
| 24 | Celtics | 45% | 95 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 55% | 93 | 94 | |
| 26 | Knicks | 45% | 91 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 24% | 88 | 89 | |
| 15 | Heat | 76% | 96 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 35% | 94 | 109 | |
| 5 | Pistons | 65% | 99 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 21% | 86 | 89 | |
| 7 | Bulls | 79% | 97 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 14% | 90 | 87 | |
| 4 | Rockets | 86% | 104 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 33% | 100 | 97 | |
| 8 | Jazz | 67% | 106 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Grizzlies | 14% | 98 | 87 | |
| 2 | Suns | 86% | 113 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 57% | 100 | 126 | |
| 11 | Warriors | 43% | 98 | 89 | |
Sunday, March 25, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 79% | 99 | 104 | |
| 28 | Hawks | 21% | 88 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bulls | 62% | 94 | 92 | |
| 25 | Pacers | 38% | 90 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 58% | 97 | 121 | |
| 21 | Bucks | 42% | 94 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 67% | 95 | 94 | |
| 19 | Hornets | 33% | 90 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 35% | 91 | 93 | |
| 17 | Timberwolves | 65% | 96 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 65% | 107 | 100 | |
| 22 | Kings | 35% | 102 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | 35% | 96 | 105 | |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 65% | 100 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 70% | 97 | 120 | |
| 20 | SuperSonics | 30% | 91 | 79 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 37% | 103 | 113 | |
| 7 | Lakers | 63% | 107 | 115 | |
Saturday, March 24, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nets | 57% | 98 | 113 | |
| 29 | Bobcats | 43% | 96 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 29% | 88 | 93 | |
| 18 | Heat | 71% | 95 | 85 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 26% | 96 | 108 | |
| 9 | Jazz | 74% | 104 | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 36% | 97 | 105 | |
| 12 | Clippers | 64% | 101 | 111 | |
Friday, March 23, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 43% | 100 | 94 | |
| 16 | Raptors | 57% | 102 | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 43% | 94 | 97 | |
| 29 | 76ers | 57% | 96 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nets | 46% | 93 | 82 | |
| 18 | Magic | 54% | 94 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 53% | 93 | 70 | |
| 26 | Pacers | 47% | 92 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 76% | 99 | 109 | |
| 24 | Celtics | 24% | 90 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 42% | 92 | 102 | |
| 28 | Hawks | 58% | 94 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 22% | 88 | 68 | |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 78% | 98 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 46% | 97 | 111 | |
| 20 | Hornets | 54% | 99 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 25% | 85 | 89 | |
| 2 | Spurs | 75% | 94 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 53% | 95 | 72 | |
| 13 | Clippers | 47% | 94 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 39% | 106 | 128 | |
| 11 | Warriors | 61% | 110 | 135 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 44% | 96 | 82 | |
| 19 | SuperSonics | 56% | 98 | 85 | |
Thursday, March 22, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 93 | 92 | |
| 23 | Knicks | 59% | 96 | 86 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 62% | 103 | 121 | |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 38% | 99 | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 37% | 95 | 108 | |
| 6 | Bulls | 63% | 99 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pistons | 30% | 86 | 85 | |
| 3 | Rockets | 70% | 93 | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 20% | 99 | 100 | |
| 4 | Suns | 80% | 110 | 118 | |
Wednesday, March 21, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Magic | 42% | 93 | 85 | |
| 17 | Raptors | 58% | 96 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 58% | 94 | 91 | |
| 27 | Hawks | 42% | 91 | 83 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 30% | 93 | 92 | |
| 23 | Celtics | 70% | 99 | 84 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 56% | 93 | 98 | |
| 8 | Cavaliers | 44% | 92 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 41% | 96 | 104 | |
| 18 | Bucks | 59% | 99 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 12% | 83 | 72 | |
| 2 | Spurs | 88% | 99 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 32% | 93 | 95 | |
| 12 | Kings | 68% | 99 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 40% | 101 | 108 | |
| 19 | SuperSonics | 60% | 104 | 106 | |
Tuesday, March 20, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 42% | 100 | 94 | |
| 9 | Nets | 58% | 102 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 65% | 97 | 100 | |
| 30 | Bobcats | 35% | 92 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 77% | 100 | 92 | |
| 26 | Knicks | 23% | 91 | 77 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 76ers | 26% | 86 | 75 | |
| 11 | Pistons | 74% | 94 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 46% | 97 | 114 | |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 54% | 98 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 31% | 87 | 103 | |
| 6 | Bulls | 69% | 94 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Warriors | 30% | 101 | 100 | |
| 5 | Jazz | 70% | 107 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 17% | 86 | 76 | |
| 4 | Rockets | 83% | 98 | 86 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 21% | 96 | 90 | |
| 3 | Suns | 79% | 107 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 49% | 101 | 98 | |
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 102 | 100 | |
Monday, March 19, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kings | 63% | 99 | 76 | |
| 30 | Hawks | 37% | 94 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 40% | 92 | 88 | |
| 22 | Hornets | 60% | 96 | 106 | |
Sunday, March 18, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 57% | 98 | 74 | |
| 28 | Knicks | 43% | 96 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 61% | 93 | 92 | |
| 13 | Pistons | 39% | 90 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 38% | 93 | 95 | |
| 11 | Nets | 62% | 97 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 29% | 87 | 97 | |
| 7 | Heat | 71% | 94 | 83 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 70% | 95 | 124 | |
| 25 | 76ers | 30% | 88 | 74 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | SuperSonics | 44% | 99 | 95 | |
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 101 | 77 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 36% | 94 | 102 | |
| 12 | Lakers | 64% | 99 | 109 | |
Saturday, March 17, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 36% | 98 | 103 | |
| 16 | Wizards | 64% | 103 | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kings | 44% | 94 | 95 | |
| 20 | Magic | 56% | 96 | 83 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hawks | 40% | 91 | 90 | |
| 26 | Pacers | 60% | 94 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 41% | 95 | 73 | |
| 8 | Cavaliers | 59% | 97 | 82 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bulls | 69% | 99 | 103 | |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 31% | 92 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Celtics | 11% | 84 | 91 | |
| 1 | Spurs | 89% | 99 | 85 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bobcats | 30% | 97 | 91 | |
| 21 | Bucks | 70% | 104 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 54% | 107 | 107 | |
| 11 | Nuggets | 46% | 106 | 131 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 35% | 104 | 99 | |
| 14 | SuperSonics | 65% | 109 | 98 | |