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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Thursday
April 5, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Heat36%9094
5Cavaliers64%9590
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.5
42.4
33.5
13
47%
3
8
2
1
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
2-8
25%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.1
41.9
30.5
20
66%
8
2
1
0
1
4
1
7
2-5
40%
9-13
7-12
69%
57%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.8
36.0
34.0
15
55%
6
0
1
1
1
0
4
2
3-4
75%
6-12
5-10
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.4
32.4
33.0
5
26%
4
3
1
1
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
1-5
3-5
20%
49%
0-3
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.2
28.0
35.7
5
27%
5
1
3
1
0
2
2
3
1-5
20%
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
0-2
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.2
28.0
24.7
11
50%
4
5
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-7
2-5
14%
45%
3-4
75%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.6
25.0
18.9
20
91%
6
2
0
0
0
4
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
6-8
75%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.7
20.6
13.0
4
50%
4
8
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.2
10.8
14.2
1
28%
1
0
0
0
2
2
0
1
1-4
25%
0-0
2-4
-
54%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.3
7.1
0
1-2
47%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.5
6.8
0
1-1
42%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.8
4.0
0
0-1
45%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.2
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.6
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 22.3
48.6
39.5
35
65%
9
5
0
2
0
4
2
7
11-13
85%
9-16
9-17
56%
53%
2-5
40%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.4
46.5
32.1
14
47%
4
1
1
1
0
2
2
2
3-4
75%
4-8
4-8
50%
48%
1-5
20%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.2
40.9
35.9
14
56%
6
3
1
1
0
3
1
5
6-8
75%
4-8
4-10
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.5
33.4
28.2
14
47%
14
2
1
1
0
3
6
8
0-0
-
7-15
5-9
47%
51%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.8
25.3
26.5
6
28%
8
1
2
1
1
3
3
5
2-2
100%
2-10
5-10
20%
50%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.5
23.9
26.2
2
15%
3
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
0-5
2-4
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 21.1
13.1
16.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.9
12.5
9.4
3
30%
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
1-4
25%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.9
10.6
18.1
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 32.1
10.3
5.3
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32.2
5.5
0
0-1
44%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.6
5.4
0
0-1
45%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.4
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.3
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.