Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, April 5, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Heat | 36% | 90 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, April 4, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Bobcats | 33% | 100 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Raptors | 40% | 93 | 111 |
 | 18 | Magic | 60% | 96 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 15 | Nets | 73% | 97 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Knicks | 49% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Bulls | 43% | 90 | 106 |
 | 5 | Pistons | 57% | 92 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Celtics | 51% | 99 | 89 |
 | 26 | Bucks | 49% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | SuperSonics | 35% | 94 | 92 | |
| 19 | Hornets | 65% | 99 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Lakers | 40% | 95 | 82 |
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Tuesday, April 3, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 52% | 99 | 119 | |
| 27 | Bucks | 48% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 51% | 103 | 102 |
| 23 | Bobcats | 49% | 102 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 66% | 94 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 39% | 94 | 89 |
| 11 | Heat | 61% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 77% | 110 | 116 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | SuperSonics | 17% | 88 | 91 | |
| 2 | Spurs | 83% | 100 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 55% | 93 | 101 |
 | 19 | Timberwolves | 45% | 91 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Mavericks | 62% | 100 | 97 |
| 16 | Kings | 38% | 96 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 42% | 102 | 111 |
| 10 | Lakers | 58% | 105 | 105 |
Sunday, April 1, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 32% | 88 | 88 |
| 5 | Pistons | 68% | 94 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bulls | 64% | 94 | 105 |
| 29 | Hawks | 36% | 90 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 75% | 95 | 99 |
| 26 | Pacers | 25% | 87 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 52% | 106 | 121 |
| 25 | Bucks | 48% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 42% | 101 | 104 |
| 4 | Suns | 58% | 103 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Grizzlies | 22% | 99 | 117 |
| 11 | Warriors | 78% | 109 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Cavaliers | 48% | 90 | 96 |
| 24 | Celtics | 52% | 91 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bobcats | 32% | 95 | 94 |
| 16 | Raptors | 68% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 40% | 90 | 105 |
| 18 | Magic | 60% | 93 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 25% | 90 | 86 |
| 1 | Rockets | 75% | 99 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 55% | 102 | 114 |
| 22 | SuperSonics | 45% | 101 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kings | 40% | 100 | 103 |
| 8 | Lakers | 60% | 103 | 126 |
Saturday, March 31, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 40% | 90 | 112 |
| 6 | Bulls | 60% | 93 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 31% | 91 | 82 |
| 14 | Nets | 69% | 98 | 86 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 28% | 90 | 94 |
| 19 | Hornets | 72% | 97 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 47% | 92 | 99 |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 93 | 86 |
Friday, March 30, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Celtics | 47% | 93 | 82 |
| 25 | 76ers | 53% | 94 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 42% | 102 | 123 |
| 14 | Wizards | 58% | 105 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 43% | 99 | 81 |
| 26 | Bobcats | 57% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 37% | 89 | 87 |
| 17 | Magic | 63% | 93 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nets | 33% | 89 | 105 | |
| 5 | Pistons | 67% | 95 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 26% | 89 | 93 |
| 3 | Spurs | 74% | 98 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 47% | 93 | 92 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 53% | 94 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 12% | 86 | 103 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 88% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 31% | 104 | 108 |
| 4 | Suns | 69% | 110 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rockets | 58% | 98 | 107 |
| 7 | Lakers | 42% | 95 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 48% | 95 | 105 |
| 18 | Kings | 52% | 96 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Grizzlies | 29% | 94 | 93 |
| 22 | SuperSonics | 71% | 101 | 120 | |
Thursday, March 29, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 42% | 89 | 81 |
| 6 | Bulls | 58% | 91 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Grizzlies | 35% | 93 | 96 |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 65% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 60% | 111 | 119 |
| 13 | Warriors | 40% | 107 | 124 |
Wednesday, March 28, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 42% | 94 | 83 |
| 16 | Raptors | 58% | 97 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 29% | 97 | 108 |
| 14 | Wizards | 71% | 104 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 42% | 93 | 87 |
| 26 | Bobcats | 58% | 96 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 48% | 93 | 96 |
| 20 | Celtics | 52% | 94 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 27% | 91 | 94 |
| 11 | Nets | 73% | 99 | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 61% | 94 | 93 |
| 28 | Knicks | 39% | 90 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 13% | 84 | 88 | |
| 2 | Spurs | 87% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 15% | 91 | 103 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 85% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | SuperSonics | 24% | 97 | 100 | |
| 10 | Nuggets | 76% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 25% | 92 | 102 |
| 7 | Jazz | 75% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 59% | 92 | 92 |
| 12 | Clippers | 41% | 89 | 87 |
Tuesday, March 27, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 57% | 92 | 105 |
| 22 | Pacers | 43% | 90 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 71% | 98 | 105 |
| 20 | Hornets | 29% | 91 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | SuperSonics | 37% | 94 | 114 | |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 63% | 98 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Grizzlies | 16% | 95 | 88 |
| 8 | Lakers | 84% | 107 | 86 |
Monday, March 26, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 55% | 97 | 87 |
| 24 | Celtics | 45% | 95 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 55% | 93 | 94 |
| 26 | Knicks | 45% | 91 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 24% | 87 | 89 |
| 15 | Heat | 76% | 96 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 35% | 94 | 109 |
| 5 | Pistons | 65% | 99 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 21% | 87 | 89 |
| 7 | Bulls | 79% | 97 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 14% | 90 | 87 |
| 4 | Rockets | 86% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 33% | 100 | 97 |
| 8 | Jazz | 67% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Grizzlies | 13% | 98 | 87 |
| 2 | Suns | 87% | 112 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 57% | 101 | 126 |
| 11 | Warriors | 43% | 98 | 89 |
Sunday, March 25, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 78% | 98 | 104 |
| 28 | Hawks | 22% | 89 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bulls | 62% | 93 | 92 |
| 25 | Pacers | 38% | 90 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 58% | 97 | 121 |
| 21 | Bucks | 42% | 94 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 67% | 95 | 94 |
| 19 | Hornets | 33% | 90 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 35% | 91 | 93 |
| 17 | Timberwolves | 65% | 96 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 65% | 107 | 100 |
| 22 | Kings | 35% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | 35% | 96 | 105 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 65% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 69% | 97 | 120 |
| 20 | SuperSonics | 31% | 91 | 79 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 37% | 103 | 113 |
| 7 | Lakers | 63% | 108 | 115 |
Saturday, March 24, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nets | 58% | 98 | 113 | |
| 29 | Bobcats | 42% | 96 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 29% | 88 | 93 |
| 18 | Heat | 71% | 95 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 25% | 96 | 108 |
| 9 | Jazz | 75% | 105 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 36% | 97 | 105 |
| 12 | Clippers | 64% | 101 | 111 |
Friday, March 23, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 43% | 100 | 94 |
| 16 | Raptors | 57% | 102 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 43% | 94 | 97 |
| 29 | 76ers | 57% | 96 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nets | 46% | 93 | 82 | |
| 18 | Magic | 54% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 53% | 93 | 70 |
| 26 | Pacers | 47% | 92 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 76% | 99 | 109 |
| 24 | Celtics | 24% | 90 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 42% | 92 | 102 |
| 28 | Hawks | 58% | 95 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 21% | 88 | 68 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 79% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 45% | 97 | 111 |
| 20 | Hornets | 55% | 99 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 24% | 85 | 89 |
| 2 | Spurs | 76% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 53% | 96 | 72 |
| 13 | Clippers | 47% | 95 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 39% | 106 | 128 |
| 11 | Warriors | 61% | 109 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 44% | 96 | 82 |
| 19 | SuperSonics | 56% | 98 | 85 | |