Final Win Prob. pScore
634%88
84
266%93
90
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo Rockets
96.68784.0
SAS logo Spurs
104.78689.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS84
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)84
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0HOUMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0SASSUB: Washington FOR Oberto84
90
Q4 - 0:08.0HOUSUB: James FOR Scola84
90
Q4 - 0:08.0HOURockets Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)84
90
Q4 - 0:08.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)84
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 0:08.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)84
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 0:08.0HOUAlston P.FOUL (P2.PN)84
88
Q4 - 0:08.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 0:09.0HOUDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)84
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 0:09.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)84
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0HOUMISS Alston 7' Running Jump Shot84
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 0:24.0HOURockets Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 1)84
88
Q4 - 0:24.0HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
3.6%
88
96.4%
Q4 - 0:25.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 284
3.3%
88
96.7%
Q4 - 0:25.0SASSUB: Oberto FOR Finley84
88
Q4 - 0:25.0SASSUB: Bowen FOR Barry84
88
Q4 - 0:25.0HOUSUB: Scola FOR James84
88
Q4 - 0:25.0SASSPURS Rebound84
88
Q4 - 0:25.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 284
2.0%
88
98.0%
Q4 - 0:25.0HOUYao P.FOUL (P3.PN)84
88
Q4 - 0:26.0HOUSUB: James FOR Scola84
88
Q4 - 0:26.0HOUAlston P.FOUL (P1.T3)84
88
Q4 - 0:28.0SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q4 - 0:28.0SASMISS Ginobili 15' Jump Bank Shot84
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q4 - 0:46.0SASSPURS Rebound84
3.1%
88
96.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0HOUMISS Yao 11' Turnaround Jump Shot84
3.9%
88
96.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)84
88
Q4 - 0:57.0SASGinobili 4' Driving Layup (19 PTS)84
8.0%
88
92.0%
Q4 - 1:15SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
16.4%
86
83.6%
Q4 - 1:16HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
19.4%
86
80.6%
Q4 - 1:38HOURockets Rebound84
28.9%
86
71.1%
Q4 - 1:39SASMISS Barry 3PT Jump Shot84
25.4%
86
74.6%
Q4 - 1:54HOUYao 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS)84
19.1%
86
80.9%
Q4 - 2:12SASParker 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)82
14.5%
86
85.5%
Q4 - 2:26HOUYao 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)82
18.5%
84
81.5%
Q4 - 2:46SASFinley 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)80
14.7%
84
85.3%
Q4 - 2:54HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)80
82
Q4 - 2:54HOUYao Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P7.T16)80
20.2%
82
79.8%
Q4 - 2:55HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)80
31.3%
82
68.7%
Q4 - 2:56SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
27.6%
82
72.4%
Q4 - 3:11HOUSUB: Battier FOR James80
82
Q4 - 3:11SASSPURS Rebound80
19.9%
82
80.1%
Q4 - 3:12HOUMISS James 9' Jump Shot80
23.1%
82
76.9%
Q4 - 3:28SASParker 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)80
32.0%
82
68.0%
Q4 - 3:48HOUScola 16' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Head 3 AST)80
39.3%
80
60.7%
Q4 - 4:04HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
31.2%
80
68.8%
Q4 - 4:05SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot78
28.5%
80
71.5%
Q4 - 4:25HOUScola P.FOUL (P3.T2)78
80
Q4 - 4:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)78
22.8%
80
77.2%
Q4 - 4:26HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
25.1%
80
74.9%
Q4 - 4:48SASSUB: Finley FOR Bonner78
80
Q4 - 4:48SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen78
80
Q4 - 4:4878
80
Q4 - 4:48SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P4.T16)78
31.0%
80
69.0%
Q4 - 4:48SASDuncan OFF.Foul (P3)78
80
Q4 - 5:06HOUScola 10' Jump Shot (18 PTS)78
24.9%
80
75.1%
Q4 - 5:31SASBarry 13' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)76
19.2%
80
80.8%
Q4 - 5:52HOUYao 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS)76
24.7%
78
75.3%
Q4 - 6:08HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
20.7%
78
79.3%
Q4 - 6:10SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot74
19.2%
78
80.8%
Q4 - 6:24SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
16.0%
78
84.0%
Q4 - 6:25HOUMISS Head 3' Layup74
17.3%
78
82.7%
Q4 - 6:39SASSUB: Bonner FOR Oberto74
78
Q4 - 6:39SASSUB: Parker FOR Vaughn74
78
Q4 - 6:39SASOberto P.FOUL (P4.T3)74
78
Q4 - 6:54HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
20.6%
78
79.4%
Q4 - 6:55SASMISS Vaughn 17' Jump Shot74
19.1%
78
80.9%
Q4 - 7:12HOUHead 2' Layup (7 PTS)74
16.9%
78
83.1%
Q4 - 7:34HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
13.5%
78
86.5%
Q4 - 7:34SASMISS Duncan 4' Running Bank Shot72
12.5%
78
87.5%
Q4 - 8:00HOUYao 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Head 2 AST)72
10.3%
78
89.7%
Q4 - 8:10HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
9.2%
78
90.8%
Q4 - 8:11SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot70
8.6%
78
91.4%
Q4 - 8:31SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
7.3%
78
92.7%
Q4 - 8:32HOUMISS Yao 8' Turnaround Hook Shot70
7.8%
78
92.2%
Q4 - 8:53SASSUB: Bowen FOR Ginobili70
78
Q4 - 8:53SASGinobili P.FOUL (P4.T2)70
78
Q4 - 8:53SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T15)70
9.1%
78
90.9%
Q4 - 9:05SASSUB: Oberto FOR Finley70
78
Q4 - 9:05SASSUB: Duncan FOR Elson70
78
Q4 - 9:05HOUSUB: Yao FOR Battier70
78
Q4 - 9:05SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)70
78
Q4 - 9:05HOUHead Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T15)70
8.4%
78
91.6%
Q4 - 9:18SASBarry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Finley 5 AST)70
10.3%
78
89.7%
Q4 - 9:32HOUAlston 4' Driving Layup (9 PTS)70
15.8%
75
84.2%
Q4 - 9:54SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)68
12.7%
75
87.3%
Q4 - 9:54SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)68
13.1%
74
86.9%
Q4 - 9:54HOUBattier S.FOUL (P2.T1)68
73
Q4 - 10:11HOUAlston 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)68
16.5%
73
83.5%
Q4 - 10:23HOURockets Rebound66
13.6%
73
86.4%
Q4 - 10:24SASMISS Ginobili 17' Jump Shot66
12.8%
73
87.2%
Q4 - 10:40SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)66
11.1%
73
88.9%
Q4 - 10:43HOUGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)66
11.8%
73
88.2%
Q4 - 10:57SASElson 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Finley 4 AST)66
13.5%
73
86.5%
Q4 - 11:05SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
17.3%
71
82.7%
Q4 - 11:06HOUMISS James 6' Jump Shot66
18.2%
71
81.8%
Q4 - 11:23SASGinobili 5' Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)66
20.4%
71
79.6%
Q4 - 11:48SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)66
24.3%
69
75.7%
Q4 - 11:49HOUMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 166
24.8%
69
75.2%
Q4 - 11:49SASFinley S.FOUL (P2.T1)66
69
Q4 - 11:49HOUAlston Driving Layup (5 PTS)66
69
Q4 - 12:0064
69
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS64
20.3%
69
79.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS64
69
Q3 - 0:00.0SASElson Violation:Defensive Goaltending64
69
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUJames 5' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)64
17.2%
69
82.8%
Q3 - 0:15.0HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
14.9%
69
85.1%
Q3 - 0:16.0SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
14.2%
69
85.8%
Q3 - 0:31.0HOUScola P.FOUL (P2.T3)62
69
Q3 - 0:45.0HOUBattier 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS)62
12.7%
69
87.3%
Q3 - 0:53.0SASSUB: Barry FOR Oberto60
69
Q3 - 0:53.0HOUSUB: Head FOR Yao60
69
Q3 - 0:53.0HOUSUB: James FOR Wells60
69
Q3 - 0:53.0SASGinobili P.FOUL (P3.T4)60
69
Q3 - 1:06SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Elson 1 AST)60
10.8%
69
89.2%
Q3 - 1:26SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
15.5%
66
84.5%
Q3 - 1:27SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
17.2%
66
82.8%
Q3 - 1:34HOUGinobili STEAL (1 STL)60
15.5%
66
84.5%
Q3 - 1:48SASElson 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)60
18.0%
66
82.0%
Q3 - 2:06SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
21.5%
64
78.5%
Q3 - 2:07HOUMISS Scola 16' Jump Shot60
22.5%
64
77.5%
Q3 - 2:34SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)60
24.8%
64
75.2%
Q3 - 2:43SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
32.5%
61
67.5%
Q3 - 2:44HOUMISS Yao 3' Finger Roll Layup60
33.8%
61
66.2%
Q3 - 3:03SASSUB: Elson FOR Duncan60
61
Q3 - 3:03HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)60
61
Q3 - 3:03SASDuncan P.FOUL (P2.T3)60
61
Q3 - 3:03HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
36.4%
61
63.6%
Q3 - 3:03SASMISS Duncan 7' Turnaround Jump Shot60
35.1%
61
64.9%
Q3 - 3:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)60
32.1%
61
67.9%
Q3 - 3:22HOUMISS Alston 8' Running Jump Shot60
33.4%
61
66.6%
Q3 - 3:33SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P5.T14)60
36.4%
61
63.6%
Q3 - 3:33SASGinobili OFF.Foul (P2)60
61
Q3 - 3:47HOUScola 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)60
32.1%
61
67.9%
Q3 - 3:57HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
28.6%
61
71.4%
Q3 - 3:58SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot58
27.4%
61
72.6%
Q3 - 4:12SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Parker58
61
Q3 - 4:12HOUYao Traveling Turnover (P6.T13)58
24.8%
61
75.2%
Q3 - 4:24HOUWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
28.8%
61
71.2%
Q3 - 4:25SASMISS Parker Layup58
27.5%
61
72.5%
Q3 - 4:28SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
24.8%
61
75.2%
Q3 - 4:30SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup58
27.5%
61
72.5%
Q3 - 4:52HOUAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Yao 2 AST)58
24.8%
61
75.2%
Q3 - 5:09HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
19.5%
61
80.5%
Q3 - 5:10SASMISS Ginobili 20' Jump Shot55
18.6%
61
81.4%
Q3 - 5:25HOUScola 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)55
16.7%
61
83.3%
Q3 - 5:41SASDuncan 14' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)53
14.7%
61
85.3%
Q3 - 5:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)53
16.7%
59
83.3%
Q3 - 5:50SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot53
18.6%
59
81.4%
Q3 - 5:58HOUOberto STEAL (1 STL)53
16.7%
59
83.3%
Q3 - 6:09SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)53
19.7%
59
80.3%
Q3 - 6:09SASSPURS Rebound53
58
Q3 - 6:09SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 253
20.4%
58
79.6%
Q3 - 6:09SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Finley53
58
Q3 - 6:09HOUSUB: Scola FOR Hayes53
58
Q3 - 6:09HOUHayes S.FOUL (P4.T2)53
58
Q3 - 6:20SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
19.5%
58
80.5%
Q3 - 6:22HOUMISS Wells 8' Jump Shot53
20.3%
58
79.7%
Q3 - 6:33HOUWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
22.3%
58
77.7%
Q3 - 6:36SASMISS Oberto 11' Jump Shot53
21.4%
58
78.6%
Q3 - 6:58SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
19.4%
58
80.6%
Q3 - 7:00HOUMISS Battier 6' Jump Shot53
20.3%
58
79.7%
Q3 - 7:21HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
22.4%
58
77.6%
Q3 - 7:22SASMISS Duncan 5' Hook Shot53
21.5%
58
78.5%
Q3 - 7:40SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)53
58
Q3 - 7:41SASSPURS Rebound53
19.7%
58
80.3%
Q3 - 7:42HOUMISS Wells 21' Jump Shot53
20.5%
58
79.5%
Q3 - 8:02HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
22.5%
58
77.5%
Q3 - 8:03SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 253
22.1%
58
77.9%
Q3 - 8:03SASSPURS Rebound53
58
Q3 - 8:03SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 253
20.5%
58
79.5%
Q3 - 8:03HOUHayes S.FOUL (P3.T1)53
58
Q3 - 8:18SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
19.8%
58
80.2%
Q3 - 8:20HOUMISS Yao 10' Jump Shot53
20.6%
58
79.4%
Q3 - 8:29SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)53
22.5%
58
77.5%
Q3 - 8:49HOUBattier 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS)53
19.8%
58
80.2%
Q3 - 8:51HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)51
17.7%
58
82.3%
Q3 - 8:53HOUMISS Wells 1' Layup51
16.1%
58
83.9%
Q3 - 9:12SASParker 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
17.8%
58
82.2%
Q3 - 9:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)51
20.0%
56
80.0%
Q3 - 9:29HOUMISS Wells 19' Jump Shot51
20.8%
56
79.2%
Q3 - 9:35HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
22.5%
56
77.5%
Q3 - 9:36HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
20.8%
56
79.2%
Q3 - 9:45SASBowen P.FOUL (P2.T2)51
56
Q3 - 9:53SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)51
22.5%
56
77.5%
Q3 - 10:10HOUBattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)51
28.0%
53
72.0%
Q3 - 10:23SASDuncan 3' Layup (22 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)48
22.6%
53
77.4%
Q3 - 10:40HOUYao Offensive Foul Turnover (P4.T11)48
25.2%
51
74.8%
Q3 - 10:40HOUYao OFF.Foul (P2)48
51
Q3 - 10:44SASOberto P.FOUL (P3.T1)48
51
Q3 - 10:52HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
28.0%
51
72.0%
Q3 - 10:53SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot48
27.2%
51
72.8%
Q3 - 11:08SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
25.2%
51
74.8%
Q3 - 11:09SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot48
27.2%
51
72.8%
Q3 - 11:26HOUYao 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)48
25.2%
51
74.8%
Q3 - 11:44SASParker 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)46
22.9%
51
77.1%
Q3 - 12:0046
49
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS46
25.2%
49
74.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
25.2%
49
74.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Battier 28' 3PT Jump Shot46
26.1%
49
73.9%
Q2 - 0:12.0SASParker 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)46
27.8%
49
72.2%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)46
31.3%
47
68.7%
Q2 - 0:32.0HOUMISS James 16' Jump Shot46
32.0%
47
68.0%
Q2 - 0:45.0SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)46
33.6%
47
66.4%
Q2 - 1:00HOUJames 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)46
40.5%
44
59.5%
Q2 - 1:15SASFinley 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)44
36.4%
44
63.6%
Q2 - 1:37HOUJames 4' Driving Layup (6 PTS)44
40.3%
42
59.7%
Q2 - 1:52SASDuncan 14' Turnaround Bank Shot (20 PTS)42
36.4%
42
63.6%
Q2 - 2:13HOUDuncan STEAL (2 STL)42
39.3%
40
60.7%
Q2 - 2:21HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)42
40
Q2 - 2:30SASDuncan 2' Running Dunk (18 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)42
42.5%
40
57.5%
Q2 - 2:36HOUFinley STEAL (1 STL)42
45.6%
38
54.4%
Q2 - 2:48SASDuncan Layup (16 PTS)42
48.8%
38
51.2%
Q2 - 2:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)42
52.0%
36
48.0%
Q2 - 2:52SASMISS Ginobili 3' Jump Shot42
54.2%
36
45.8%
Q2 - 3:01HOUYao Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)42
51.1%
36
48.9%
Q2 - 3:14SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)42
54.7%
36
45.3%
Q2 - 3:29HOUBattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)42
60.3%
33
39.7%
Q2 - 3:29HOUBattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)41
59.7%
33
40.3%
Q2 - 3:29SASBarry S.FOUL (P2.T2)40
33
Q2 - 3:44SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)40
57.8%
33
42.2%
Q2 - 4:02HOUHead 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)40
53.5%
33
46.5%
Q2 - 4:15HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
50.6%
33
49.4%
Q2 - 4:16SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
49.6%
33
50.4%
Q2 - 4:21SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
47.4%
33
52.6%
Q2 - 4:23HOUMISS Head 5' Running Jump Shot38
48.4%
33
51.6%
Q2 - 4:39SASFinley 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS)38
50.7%
33
49.3%
Q2 - 4:41SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
53.5%
31
46.5%
Q2 - 4:42SASMISS Duncan 3' Jump Shot38
55.8%
31
44.2%
Q2 - 4:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
53.5%
31
46.5%
Q2 - 4:44SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
55.8%
31
44.2%
Q2 - 5:06HOUJames 6' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
53.1%
31
46.9%
Q2 - 5:18SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)36
50.0%
31
50.0%
Q2 - 5:19SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
47.1%
31
52.9%
Q2 - 5:20HOUMISS Yao 21' Jump Shot36
48.0%
31
52.0%
Q2 - 5:43SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen36
31
Q2 - 5:43SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)36
31
Q2 - 5:43SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)36
50.0%
31
50.0%
Q2 - 5:57HOUYao 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
47.1%
31
52.9%
Q2 - 6:08HOUSUB: Yao FOR Scola34
31
Q2 - 6:08SASBarry P.FOUL (P1.T1)34
31
Q2 - 6:14HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
44.0%
31
56.0%
Q2 - 6:15SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot34
43.0%
31
57.0%
Q2 - 6:34HOUScola 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)34
40.7%
31
59.3%
Q2 - 7:00SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)32
38.4%
31
61.6%
Q2 - 7:11SASSUB: Barry FOR Bonner32
28
Q2 - 7:11HOUScola P.FOUL (P1.T1)32
28
Q2 - 7:20HOUScola 3' Layup (10 PTS) (James 2 AST)32
43.2%
28
56.8%
Q2 - 7:36HOUJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
40.6%
28
59.4%
Q2 - 7:37HOUMISS Battier 27' 3PT Jump Shot30
38.6%
28
61.4%
Q2 - 7:53HOUJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
40.6%
28
59.4%
Q2 - 7:54SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot30
39.7%
28
60.3%
Q2 - 8:17HOUBattier 10' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS) (Head 1 AST)30
37.5%
28
62.5%
Q2 - 8:26HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
34.9%
28
65.1%
Q2 - 8:28HOUMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
33.3%
28
66.7%
Q2 - 8:46SASSUB: Parker FOR Vaughn28
28
Q2 - 8:46SASSUB: Duncan FOR Elson28
28
Q2 - 8:46SASSUB: Bowen FOR Ginobili28
28
Q2 - 8:4628
28
Q2 - 8:46HOURockets Rebound28
34.9%
28
65.1%
Q2 - 8:47SASMISS Vaughn 17' Jump Shot28
34.2%
28
65.8%
Q2 - 8:53SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
32.5%
28
67.5%
Q2 - 8:54HOUMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
33.3%
28
66.7%
Q2 - 9:04HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
34.6%
28
65.4%
Q2 - 9:05SASMISS Bonner 10' Jump Shot28
33.8%
28
66.2%
Q2 - 9:23HOUScola 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)28
32.2%
28
67.8%
Q2 - 9:34HOUSUB: Alston FOR Yao26
28
Q2 - 9:34SASBonner Foul Turnover (P2.T9)26
29.9%
28
70.1%
Q2 - 9:34SASBonner OFF.Foul (P1)26
28
Q2 - 9:51HOUScola 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)26
27.7%
28
72.3%
Q2 - 10:03SASElson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)24
25.8%
28
74.2%
Q2 - 10:21HOUBattier Foul Turnover (P1.T7)24
23.8%
28
76.2%
Q2 - 10:21HOUBattier OFF.Foul (P1)24
28
Q2 - 10:37SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)24
25.8%
28
74.2%
Q2 - 10:52SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
29.9%
25
70.1%
Q2 - 10:53HOUMISS Yao 10' Turnaround Jump Shot24
30.6%
25
69.4%
Q2 - 11:13SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P3.T7)24
32.3%
25
67.7%
Q2 - 11:13SASGinobili OFF.Foul (P1)24
25
Q2 - 11:23HOUBonner STEAL (1 STL)24
30.0%
25
70.0%
Q2 - 11:46SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)24
32.3%
25
67.7%
Q2 - 12:0024
25
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU24
30.0%
25
70.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
32.3%
25
67.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili 8' Turnaround Jump Shot24
31.2%
25
68.8%
Q1 - 0:22.0HOUJames 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
30.1%
25
69.9%
Q1 - 0:34.0SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (14 PTS)22
27.6%
25
72.4%
Q1 - 0:34.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
30.1%
23
69.9%
Q1 - 0:36.0SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Bank Shot22
31.2%
23
68.8%
Q1 - 0:51.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
30.1%
23
69.9%
Q1 - 0:52.0HOUMISS Yao 9' Jump Hook Shot22
30.6%
23
69.4%
Q1 - 1:09SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
31.6%
23
68.4%
Q1 - 1:09SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
31.9%
22
68.1%
Q1 - 1:09HOUYao S.FOUL (P1.T4)22
21
Q1 - 1:17SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
34.3%
21
65.7%
Q1 - 1:19HOUMISS Wells 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
34.8%
21
65.2%
Q1 - 1:38SASBonner Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)22
35.8%
21
64.2%
Q1 - 2:01HOUHead 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)22
34.1%
21
65.9%
Q1 - 2:20SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
29.7%
21
70.3%
Q1 - 2:20SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
30.0%
20
70.0%
Q1 - 2:20SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Parker19
19
Q1 - 2:20SASSUB: Bonner FOR Elson19
19
Q1 - 2:20HOUSUB: Head FOR Battier19
19
Q1 - 2:20HOUSUB: James FOR Alston19
19
Q1 - 2:20HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)19
19
Q1 - 2:20HOUWells S.FOUL (P1.T3)19
19
Q1 - 2:22HOUBowen STEAL (1 STL)19
32.1%
19
67.9%
Q1 - 2:33HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
33.7%
19
66.3%
Q1 - 2:34SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot19
33.2%
19
66.8%
Q1 - 2:50SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
32.1%
19
67.9%
Q1 - 2:51HOUMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
32.6%
19
67.4%
Q1 - 3:11SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS)19
33.8%
19
66.2%
Q1 - 3:31HOUWells 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
35.9%
17
64.1%
Q1 - 3:48SASDuncan 3' Dunk (10 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)17
33.8%
17
66.2%
Q1 - 3:50SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
35.9%
15
64.1%
Q1 - 3:52SASMISS Elson 3' Layup17
37.3%
15
62.7%
Q1 - 3:54SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
35.9%
15
64.1%
Q1 - 3:55SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup17
37.3%
15
62.7%
Q1 - 4:11HOUYao 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)17
35.2%
15
64.8%
Q1 - 4:25HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
37.3%
15
62.7%
Q1 - 4:26SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot17
36.6%
15
63.4%
Q1 - 4:35HOUSUB: Yao FOR Hayes17
15
Q1 - 4:35HOUHayes P.FOUL (P2.T2)17
15
Q1 - 4:42HOUScola 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)17
35.3%
15
64.7%
Q1 - 5:04SASDuncan 14' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)15
33.6%
15
66.4%
Q1 - 5:21SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)15
13
Q1 - 5:26HOUScola 3' Layup (2 PTS)15
35.1%
13
64.9%
Q1 - 5:43SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)13
33.6%
13
66.4%
Q1 - 5:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
31.7%
13
68.3%
Q1 - 5:50HOUMISS Wells 3' Reverse Layup13
32.3%
13
67.7%
Q1 - 6:07SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)13
33.2%
13
66.8%
Q1 - 6:07HOUSUB: Scola FOR Yao13
12
Q1 - 6:07SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)13
33.7%
12
66.3%
Q1 - 6:07HOUHayes S.FOUL (P1.T1)13
11
Q1 - 6:23HOUWells Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
34.8%
11
65.2%
Q1 - 6:23HOUWells Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
34.4%
11
65.6%
Q1 - 6:23SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Finley11
11
Q1 - 6:23SASBowen S.FOUL (P1.PN)11
11
Q1 - 6:27SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)11
33.3%
11
66.7%
Q1 - 6:36SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
31.7%
11
68.3%
Q1 - 6:37HOUMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
32.2%
11
67.8%
Q1 - 6:54SASDuncan 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)11
33.3%
11
66.7%
Q1 - 7:08HOUHayes 4' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)11
34.5%
9
65.5%
Q1 - 7:28SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)9
33.2%
9
66.8%
Q1 - 7:45HOUBattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
36.0%
6
64.0%
Q1 - 7:49HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
33.3%
6
66.7%
Q1 - 7:50HOUMISS Wells 7' Jump Shot6
32.2%
6
67.8%
Q1 - 7:59SASSUB: Elson FOR Oberto6
6
Q1 - 7:59SASOberto P.FOUL (P2.T4)6
6
Q1 - 8:16SASParker 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
33.1%
6
66.9%
Q1 - 8:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
34.4%
4
65.6%
Q1 - 8:30HOUMISS Battier Free Throw 1 of 16
34.6%
4
65.4%
Q1 - 8:30SASOberto S.FOUL (P1.T3)6
4
Q1 - 8:30HOUBattier 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)6
4
Q1 - 8:42SASDuncan L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)4
4
Q1 - 8:42HOURockets Rebound4
33.2%
4
66.8%
Q1 - 8:42SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot4
32.8%
4
67.2%
Q1 - 9:01HOUYao 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)4
32.2%
4
67.8%
Q1 - 9:19SASBowen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)2
31.3%
4
68.7%
Q1 - 9:23HOUDuncan STEAL (1 STL)2
30.4%
4
69.6%
Q1 - 9:27HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
31.3%
4
68.7%
Q1 - 9:28HOUMISS Wells 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
30.8%
4
69.2%
Q1 - 9:44SASFinley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
31.6%
4
68.4%
Q1 - 10:10HOUAlston Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)2
32.7%
2
67.3%
Q1 - 10:32SASDuncan 9' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
33.6%
2
66.4%
Q1 - 10:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.2%
0
65.8%
Q1 - 10:51HOUMISS Yao 11' Turnaround Jump Shot2
34.4%
0
65.6%
Q1 - 11:05SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
34.5%
0
65.5%
Q1 - 11:20HOUHayes 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)2
34.1%
0
65.9%
Q1 - 11:28HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.0%
0
66.0%
Q1 - 11:29SASMISS Oberto 16' Jump Shot0
33.9%
0
66.1%
Q1 - 11:46HOUWells Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
34.1%
0
65.9%
Q1 - 11:51SASFinley P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Yao: Tip to Hayes0
34.3%
0
65.7%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventHOUSAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.08 53.8%
SAS
1.08 54.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
16
23
70%
SAS
12
21
57%
Midrange
HOU
18
36
50%
SAS
14
35
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
SAS
9
13.5
16
56%
84%
Free Throws
HOU
4
6
67%
SAS
11
16
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Scola2091%10.0 / 11
S. Battier1667%8.0 / 12
Yao1444%7.0 / 16
M. James1050%5.0 / 10
R. Alston945%4.5 / 10
L. Head758%3.5 / 6
B. Wells420%2.0 / 10
C. Hayes4100%2.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2550%12.5 / 25
M. Ginobili1956%9.5 / 17
M. Finley17106%8.5 / 8
T. Parker1447%7.0 / 15
B. Bowen6100%3.0 / 3
B. Barry563%2.5 / 4
F. Elson467%2.0 / 3
F. Oberto0-0.0 / 2
J. Vaughn0-0.0 / 2
M. Bonner0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
71
+7
-16
78
SAS
70
+11
-16
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.08 53.8%
SAS
1.08 54.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.4
106.5
HOU 96.6
SAS 104.7 +8.1
Pace
90.7
89.5
HOU 84.0
SAS 89.2 +5.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.5
HOU 17.1
SAS 16.1 −1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
50.4%
HOU 53.3%
SAS 54.9% +1.6%
TO %
14.4%
13.4%
HOU 17.1%
SAS 16.8% −0.3%
ORB %
29.1%
23.4%
HOU 19.4%
SAS 31.4% +12.0%
FTrt
27.6
27.6
HOU 8.0
SAS 22.2 +14.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
58.5%
HOU 44.7%
SAS 57.1% +12.4%
STL %
8.0%
7.1%
HOU 10.3% +2.2%
SAS 8.1%
BLK %
7.8%
6.5%
HOU 5.4% +2.0%
SAS 3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.2%
52.8%
HOU 53.8%
SAS 54.2% +0.4%
Rim FG%
57.9%
60.6%
HOU 69.6% +12.5%
SAS 57.1%
Mid FG%
40.6%
40.4%
HOU 50.0% +10.0%
SAS 40.0%
3P %
34.2%
36.9%
HOU 25.0%
SAS 56.3% +31.3%
FT %
72.6%
76.1%
HOU 66.7%
SAS 68.8% +2.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
30.8%
HOU 30.7% +1.5%
SAS 29.2%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
44.1%
HOU 48.0% −0.6%
SAS 48.6%
3P Att. %
25.5%
25.1%
HOU 21.3%
SAS 22.2% +0.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsHOUSAS
Possessions8786
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points8490
Rebounds3140
Assists1720
Steals97
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (0)11 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (4)29 (3)
Field Goals38-7535-72
At-the-Rim FG16-2312-21
Midrange FG18-3614-35
2-Point FG34-5926-56
3-Point FG4-169-16
Free Throws4-611-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 175 · 31
43.2
9
45%
4
7
2
0
2
2
0
4
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
1-5
20%
F · 6'8" 220 · 29
39.8
16
67%
5
2
2
0
1
2
2
3
2-3
67%
4-5
80%
2-6
33%
C · 7'6" 310 · 27
39.2
14
44%
9
2
0
3
7
3
2
7
0-0
-
7-16
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 31
23.1
4
20%
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-7
14%
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 240 · 24
13.3
4
100%
1
1
1
0
1
4
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 241 · 28
30.0
20
91%
4
0
0
0
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
10-11
91%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 25
27.2
7
58%
4
3
2
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 188 · 32
24.2
10
50%
2
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
5-9
56%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 210 · 31
C · 7'2" 260 · 41
F · 6'9" 248 · 24
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24
#0 · G · 6'0" 161 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F · 6'10" 225 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
54%
31
17
9
3
16
0
7
24
4-6
67%
34-59
58%
4-16
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.