Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, November 16, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 15 | Raptors | 68% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Heat | 17% | 88 | 91 |
 | 1 | Celtics | 83% | 100 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Magic | 55% | 97 | 95 |
| 19 | Nets | 45% | 96 | 70 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | SuperSonics | 37% | 102 | 126 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hornets | 61% | 103 | 120 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 30 | Timberwolves | 40% | 100 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Knicks | 38% | 99 | 118 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Pistons | 38% | 100 | 91 |
 | 10 | Lakers | 62% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Thursday, November 15, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 45% | 95 | 92 |
 | 3 | Mavericks | 55% | 96 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Bulls | 28% | 97 | 102 |
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Wednesday, November 14, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 53% | 103 | 92 |
| 15 | Raptors | 47% | 102 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pacers | 29% | 102 | 90 |
| 18 | Wizards | 71% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Bobcats | 37% | 93 | 109 |
| 25 | Hawks | 63% | 98 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Magic | 42% | 100 | 117 |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 58% | 103 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 21% | 89 | 69 | |
| 1 | Celtics | 79% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | SuperSonics | 24% | 95 | 104 | |
| 16 | Heat | 76% | 104 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 35% | 101 | 99 |
 | 21 | Bucks | 65% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 24% | 91 | 76 |
| 7 | Hornets | 76% | 100 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 53% | 97 | 103 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 47% | 96 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 28% | 96 | 93 |
| 3 | Rockets | 72% | 103 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 22% | 98 | 93 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 28% | 100 | 81 |
| 17 | Clippers | 72% | 108 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 41% | 103 | 111 |
| 14 | Warriors | 59% | 106 | 104 |
Tuesday, November 13, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 48% | 92 | 76 |
| 22 | Bobcats | 52% | 93 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | SuperSonics | 22% | 102 | 76 | |
| 8 | Magic | 78% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 72% | 105 | 101 |
| 25 | Pacers | 28% | 98 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 76% | 104 | 99 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 24% | 95 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 21% | 91 | 84 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 79% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 28% | 95 | 92 |
| 2 | Spurs | 72% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 16% | 98 | 102 |
| 3 | Suns | 84% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 65% | 99 | 94 |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 35% | 94 | 102 |
Monday, November 12, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 42% | 95 | 84 | |
| 13 | Nets | 58% | 97 | 82 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 36% | 103 | 100 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 64% | 107 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 24% | 99 | 93 |
| 7 | Jazz | 76% | 108 | 117 |
Sunday, November 11, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 47% | 103 | 101 |
| 24 | Hawks | 53% | 104 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Heat | 44% | 99 | 75 |
| 21 | Knicks | 56% | 101 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 54% | 98 | 93 | |
| 19 | 76ers | 46% | 97 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 71% | 97 | 85 |
| 23 | Bobcats | 29% | 90 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 16% | 88 | 88 |
| 1 | Spurs | 84% | 101 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 68% | 105 | 107 |
| 29 | SuperSonics | 32% | 99 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 51% | 102 | 103 |
| 18 | Clippers | 49% | 101 | 95 |
Saturday, November 10, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 48% | 107 | 106 |
| 8 | Magic | 52% | 108 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 57% | 106 | 113 |
| 27 | Pacers | 43% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 55% | 96 | 112 |
| 14 | Nets | 45% | 94 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 29% | 89 | 101 |
| 9 | Bulls | 71% | 97 | 71 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 23% | 104 | 94 |
| 7 | Jazz | 77% | 113 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 32% | 93 | 93 |
| 26 | Kings | 68% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 72% | 103 | 82 |
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 28% | 95 | 91 |
Friday, November 9, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 45% | 93 | 105 |
| 19 | 76ers | 55% | 95 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pacers | 44% | 98 | 87 |
| 24 | Bobcats | 56% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 20% | 93 | 83 |
| 4 | Celtics | 80% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 56% | 104 | 112 |
| 20 | Knicks | 44% | 102 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 66% | 103 | 106 |
| 25 | Heat | 34% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 48% | 107 | 118 |
| 15 | Wizards | 52% | 108 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 31% | 96 | 79 |
| 5 | Pistons | 69% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 54% | 98 | 97 |
| 9 | Hornets | 46% | 97 | 85 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 17% | 89 | 88 |
| 2 | Rockets | 83% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 46% | 102 | 98 |
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 18% | 95 | 93 |
| 10 | Lakers | 82% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 60% | 100 | 93 |
| 23 | Kings | 40% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 66% | 114 | 103 |
| 28 | SuperSonics | 34% | 108 | 101 | |
Thursday, November 8, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 40% | 99 | 85 |
| 16 | Nets | 60% | 102 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 48% | 92 | 93 |
| 12 | Bulls | 52% | 93 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 58% | 106 | 120 |
| 14 | Warriors | 42% | 103 | 115 |
Wednesday, November 7, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | 47% | 96 | 105 |
| 18 | Raptors | 53% | 97 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bobcats | 36% | 94 | 63 |
| 20 | 76ers | 64% | 99 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 61% | 105 | 96 |
| 27 | Hawks | 39% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | 45% | 104 | 104 |
| 25 | Pacers | 55% | 105 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 26% | 97 | 93 |
| 2 | Celtics | 74% | 105 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Heat | 21% | 88 | 78 |
| 1 | Spurs | 79% | 98 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cavaliers | 36% | 103 | 101 |
| 8 | Jazz | 64% | 108 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 51% | 112 | 105 |
| 28 | SuperSonics | 49% | 111 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hornets | 59% | 101 | 90 | |
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 98 | 93 |
Tuesday, November 6, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 57% | 106 | 115 |
| 15 | Bobcats | 43% | 104 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 35% | 93 | 82 |
| 17 | Nets | 65% | 98 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 56% | 105 | 112 |
| 21 | Knicks | 44% | 103 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 54% | 96 | 85 |
| 26 | Bucks | 46% | 94 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | 67% | 97 | 111 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 33% | 91 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 34% | 97 | 97 |
| 9 | Bulls | 66% | 102 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 46% | 95 | 81 |
| 3 | Rockets | 54% | 96 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | SuperSonics | 39% | 101 | 98 | |
| 25 | Kings | 61% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 40% | 102 | 118 | |
| 10 | Lakers | 60% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cavaliers | 52% | 104 | 108 |
| 19 | Warriors | 48% | 103 | 104 |
Monday, November 5, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 48% | 95 | 98 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 52% | 96 | 107 |
Sunday, November 4, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 57% | 97 | 98 |
| 14 | Raptors | 43% | 95 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | SuperSonics | 30% | 106 | 101 | |
| 17 | Clippers | 70% | 113 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 28% | 97 | 93 |
| 21 | Knicks | 72% | 105 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bobcats | 47% | 97 | 90 |
| 22 | Heat | 53% | 98 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 23% | 93 | 91 |
| 5 | Pistons | 77% | 103 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 36% | 100 | 93 | |
| 8 | Nuggets | 64% | 105 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cavaliers | 37% | 101 | 92 |
| 6 | Suns | 63% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 41% | 105 | 109 |
| 11 | Lakers | 59% | 108 | 119 |
Saturday, November 3, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 46% | 93 | 93 | |
| 20 | 76ers | 54% | 95 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | 43% | 102 | 94 |
| 15 | Wizards | 57% | 105 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 39% | 97 | 121 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 61% | 101 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bulls | 62% | 98 | 72 |
| 26 | Bucks | 38% | 94 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 10% | 88 | 80 |
| 2 | Rockets | 90% | 105 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 20% | 90 | 102 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 80% | 101 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Warriors | 28% | 104 | 110 |
| 8 | Jazz | 72% | 112 | 133 |