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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 16, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Wizards60%103105
30Timberwolves40%10089
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 27.7
46.2
37.6
29
74%
8
1
2
2
0
1
2
6
6-8
75%
10-15
7-14
67%
48%
1-1
100%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.9
38.3
36.4
27
62%
4
8
4
2
0
7
0
4
6-6
100%
6-11
5-10
55%
48%
3-8
38%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.4
34.6
38.1
14
44%
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-9
5-11
44%
48%
2-7
29%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.0
33.1
31.0
8
48%
11
1
1
1
1
2
4
7
0-3
0%
4-7
4-7
57%
54%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 26.6
24.6
22.1
7
61%
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.2
21.2
19.5
7
79%
4
0
1
1
1
0
0
4
1-1
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
49%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.8
19.3
21.5
10
63%
5
2
2
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
5-8
3-7
63%
50%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.7
18.4
19.7
3
40%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
0-2
2-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.5
4.3
5.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.2
4.7
0
0-1
40%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 21.9
3.4
0
0-1
50%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.1
1.9
0
0-1
48%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 22.9
36.5
36.8
15
40%
10
0
2
1
1
3
1
9
5-6
83%
5-16
9-17
31%
52%
0-0
-
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
33.6
30.2
19
53%
6
2
2
1
0
8
1
5
2-4
50%
4-8
4-8
50%
48%
3-8
38%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 28.9
23.6
24.7
6
44%
0
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
0-1
0%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 25.2
23.4
24.6
7
41%
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
1-1
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 34.6
15.4
23.6
2
100%
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.3
33.5
19.8
14
71%
5
2
3
1
0
3
2
3
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
3-5
60%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 21.7
24.6
21.0
5
50%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 22.4
24.4
23.6
9
51%
1
3
1
1
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
4-8
2-5
50%
41%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.2
14.4
20.6
6
66%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
6-8
75%
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 24.0
10.7
18.0
6
61%
4
0
1
1
2
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 22.9
3.4
0
0-1
48%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.8
2.9
0
0-1
46%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 24.1
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 31.8
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.